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← Back to GamesNov 30, 2024Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri by 13.1

Home Win Probability

Missouri 79%

Market (Bovada)

Missouri -3

Edge: Missouri -3 (10.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 30, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ArkansasArkansas
077721
MissouriMissouri
7031828

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-710-1417-1420-2128-21
MissouriArkansas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKDOWNS839ydPUNT629ydTO620ydTD840ydTD1580ydPUNT34ydPUNT37ydPUNT614ydPUNT3-2ydDOWNS612ydPUNT30ydTD650ydFG1657ydTO11ydTD834ydPUNT632ydFG573ydTD1280ydTD875ydEND1041yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arkansas and Missouri
StatisticArkansasMissouri
Passing21-3510-20
Pass Yards229168
Rush Yards148193
Total Yards377361
Turnovers20
3rd Down3-116-15
Penalties10-727-46
Possession28:2131:39

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arkansas
passing
Taylen Green
21/35, 229 YDS
rushing
Ja'Quinden Jackson
18 CAR, 87 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Andrew Armstrong
9 REC, 128 YDS
defense
Missouri
passing
Brady Cook
10/20, 168 YDS
rushing
Marcus Carroll
22 CAR, 90 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Theo Wease
4 REC, 100 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Blake Craig kickoff for 59 yds , Rodney Hill return for 24 yds to the ARK 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Rashod Dubinion run for 3 yds to the ARK 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.77

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 12 yds to the ARK 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 10 yds to the MIZ 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 11 yds to the MIZ 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Rashod Dubinion run for 3 yds to the MIZ 31 Rashod Dubinion fumbled, recovered by ARK Dylan Hasz D. Hasz return for 0 yds

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Taylen Green pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Taylen Green pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.14

Taylen Green pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the MIZ 34

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.60

Nate Noel run for 10 yds to the MIZ 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.08

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 14 yds to the ARK 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the ARK 40

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 40 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 7 yds to the ARK 27

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds to the ARK 29

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.87

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 3 yds to the ARK 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARK 27

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Taylen Green pass complete to Ja'Quinden Jackson for 7 yds to the ARK 34

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -0.22

Taylen Green run for 6 yds to the ARK 40 Taylen Green fumbled, recovered by MIZ Sterling Webb S. Webb return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the ARK 35

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the ARK 31

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jamal Roberts run for no gain to the ARK 31

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.29

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the ARK 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.27

Marcus Carroll run for 16 yds to the ARK 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the ARK 13

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the ARK 18

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the ARK 14

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

COOK, Brady pass to the right incomplete intended for WEASE, Theo thrown to the ARK0, clock 02:32. PENALTY ARK Offsides on JACKSON, Landon enforced 5 yards from the ARK14 to the ARK9 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 5Penalty0 yds

COOK, Brady pass up the middle incomplete intended for WEASE, Theo thrown to the ARK0, clock 02:27. PENALTY ARK Offsides on JACKSON, Landon declined ARK Pass Interference on STEWART, Kee'yon enforced 7 yards to the ARK2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Blake Craig kickoff for 45 yds , Maddox Lassiter return for no gain to the ARK 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 6 yds to the ARK 26

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 3 yds to the ARK 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the ARK 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 9 yds to the ARK 40

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the ARK 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Taylen Green pass complete to Luke Hasz for 7 yds to the MIZ 48

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.20

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 4 yds to the MIZ 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 6 yds to the MIZ 38

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MIZ 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.32

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 12 yds to the MIZ 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.24

Taylen Green run for 6 yds to the MIZ 25 Arkansas Penalty, Offensive Holding (Luke Hasz) to the MIZ 35

1st & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 12 yds to the MIZ 23

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Taylen Green run for 3 yds to the MIZ 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.19

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 11 yds to the MIZ 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-10 yds

HILL, Rodney rush up the middle for a gain of 9 yards to the MIZZOU0, TOUCHDOWN ARK, score nullified by penalty, clock 10:31 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY ARK Holding on BRAUN, Joshua enforced 10 yards from the MIZZOU9 to the MIZZOU19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 19Penalty+11 yds

Missouri Penalty, Defensive Holding (Chuck Hicks) to the MIZ 2

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Devin Bale kickoff for 63 yds , Marquis Johnson return for 21 yds to the MIZ 23

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Nate Noel run for a loss of 4 yards to the MIZ 19

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 5 yds to the MIZ 24

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Brady Cook run for 3 yds to the MIZ 27

4th & 6Punt+11 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 43 yds , Isaiah Sategna returns for 11 yds to the ARK 41

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Taylen Green run for 3 yds to the ARK 44

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 43

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 5 yds to the ARK 48

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 23 yds, downed at the MIZ 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the MIZ 34

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the MIZ 37

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.67

Brady Cook run for 7 yds to the MIZ 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Missouri Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the MIZ 36

2nd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Brady Cook pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 7 yds to the MIZ 43

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Taylen Green run for 5 yds to the ARK 26

2nd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.06

Taylen Green sacked by Eddie Kelly Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the ARK 17

3rd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds to the ARK 19

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Brady Cook run for 7 yds to the MIZ 42

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Jamal Roberts run for 4 yds to the MIZ 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jamal Roberts run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the ARK 48

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Brady Cook run for 1 yd to the ARK 47

4th & 3Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.13

Brady Cook sacked by Brad Spence for a loss of 6 yards to the MIZ 47

0th & 3End of Half+6 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Devin Bale kickoff for 57 yds , Marquis Johnson return for 13 yds to the MIZ 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Taylen Green run for 6 yds to the MIZ 44

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Taylen Green run for 7 yds to the MIZ 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Taylen Green pass complete to Luke Hasz for 6 yds to the MIZ 31

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.19

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 11 yds to the MIZ 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Taylen Green run for 8 yds to the MIZ 12

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.16

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 12 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+62 yds

Devin Bale kickoff for 62 yds , Marquis Johnson return for 29 yds to the MIZ 32 Marquis Johnson fumbled, recovered by MIZ return for 29 yds , return for no gain to the MIZ 32

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Nate Noel run for no gain to the MIZ 32

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the MIZ 37

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.02

Brady Cook run for 7 yds to the MIZ 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the MIZ 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.91

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 15 yds to the ARK 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Brady Cook run for 7 yds to the ARK 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the ARK 30

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.28

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the ARK 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the ARK 24

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Marcus Carroll run for 6 yds to the ARK 18

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.15

Brady Cook run for 3 yds to the ARK 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Marcus Carroll run for 7 yds to the ARK 8

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the ARK 6

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARK 11

4th & 6Field Goal Good+28 yds

Blake Craig 28 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Blake Craig kickoff for 60 yds , Rodney Hill return for 28 yds to the ARK 33

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -1.57

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the ARK 34 Ja'Quinden Jackson fumbled, recovered by MIZ Corey Flagg Jr. C. Flagg Jr. return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Marcus Carroll run for 9 yds to the ARK 25

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.42

Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the ARK 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

CARROLL, Marcus rush to the right for a gain of 20 yards to the ARK0, TOUCHDOWN MIZZOU, score nullified by penalty, clock 01:30 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY MIZZOU Holding on MEMBOU, Armand enforced 10 yards from the ARK20 to the ARK30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the ARK 29

2nd & 19Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.53

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 18 yds to the ARK 11

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.25

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the ARK 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the ARK 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the ARK 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Blake Craig kickoff for 55 yds , Dylan Hasz return for 13 yds to the ARK 23

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, False Start (Isaac TeSlaa) to the ARK 18

1st & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.55

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 13 yds to the ARK 31

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 6 yds to the ARK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 11 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Taylen Green run for 7 yds to the MIZ 45

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Taylen Green pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+70 ydsPPA +4.18

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 70 yds to the ARK 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.37

Brady Cook pass complete to Joshua Manning for no gain to the ARK 20

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Brady Cook run for 3 yds to the ARK 17

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+34 yds

Blake Craig 34 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Blake Craig kickoff for 53 yds , Rodney Hill return for 18 yds to the ARK 20

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.39

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 12 yds to the ARK 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Taylen Green pass complete to Luke Hasz for 9 yds to the ARK 39

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 7 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the MIZ 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.78

Taylen Green pass complete to Ja'Quinden Jackson for 7 yds to the MIZ 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the MIZ 40

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Taylen Green pass incomplete

4th & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.27

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 25 yds to the MIZ 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Taylen Green run for 6 yds to the MIZ 9

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.38

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 9 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Devin Bale kickoff for 56 yds , Joshua Manning return for 16 yds to the MIZ 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Brady Cook run for 1 yd to the MIZ 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.02

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 11 yds to the MIZ 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.57

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 18 yds to the ARK 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the ARK 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 10 yds to the ARK 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the ARK 30

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.37

Brady Cook run for 30 yds for a TD (Brady Cook pass to Luther Burden III for Two-Point Conversion)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Blake Craig kickoff for 50 yds , Rodney Hill return for 12 yds to the ARK 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 6 yds to the ARK 33

3rd & 4Penalty-8 yds

Arkansas Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Intentional Grounding on GREEN, Taylen enforced resulting in a (-8 Yards) to the ARK 26

4th & 12Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.85

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 18 yds to the ARK 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Taylen Green pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.60

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 25 yds to the MIZ 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Taylen Green pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Taylen Green pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
59%
27 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
57%
7 plays
67%
6 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
38%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
64%
11 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays