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← Back to GamesDec 1, 2024Week 14

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida by 15

Home Win Probability

Florida State 16%

Market (Bovada)

Florida State +17

Edge: Florida State +17 (2.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 1, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
FloridaFlorida
7731431
Florida StateFlorida State
003811

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-143-143-173-2419-31
Florida StateFlorida

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSFLOFSFLOFSFLOFSFLOFSFLOFSFLOFSFLOFSFLOFLOFSFLOFSFLOFSFLOFSFLOPUNT719ydPUNT39ydPUNT39ydPUNT421ydTO5-1ydTD214ydPUNT30ydPUNT613ydTO750ydTO950ydPUNT511ydTD980ydEND2-4ydPUNT3-8ydFG942ydPUNT420ydFG40ydTO1368ydTD693ydPUNT613ydPUNT33ydTD1159ydTD551ydTO218ydEND312yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida and Florida State
StatisticFloridaFlorida State
Passing14-2215-28
Pass Yards133140
Rush Yards23599
Total Yards368239
Turnovers15
3rd Down5-136-13
Penalties7-700-0
Possession27:0832:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida
passing
D.J. Lagway
14/22, 133 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Montrell Johnson
10 CAR, 99 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chimere Dike
3 REC, 63 YDS
defense
Florida State
passing
Luke Kromenhoek
15/28, 140 YDS
rushing
Lawrance Toafili
9 CAR, 43 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Lawrance Toafili
3 REC, 39 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Trey Smack kickoff for 64 yds , Samuel Singleton Jr. return for 15 yds to the FSU 16

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Luke Kromenhoek run for 10 yds to the FSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 2 yds to the FSU 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 5 yds to the FSU 33

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.27

Lawrance Toafili run for 3 yds to the FSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

(12:31) No Huddle-Shotgun Toafili,Lawrance rush right for 4 yards gain to the FSU40 (James,Shemar), out of bounds PENALTY UF Offside (Pyburn,Jack) 5 yards from FSU36 to FSU41. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.43

Kam Davis run for no gain to the FSU 41

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.56

Luke Kromenhoek sacked by Tyreak Sapp for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 38 Luke Kromenhoek fumbled, recovered by FSU Kam Davis , return for 0 yards

3rd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.59

Luke Kromenhoek sacked by Jaden Robinson for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 35

4th & 11Punt+35 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 47 yds , Chimere Dike returns for 35 yds to the FSU 47

4th & 11Punt+35 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 47 yds , Chimere Dike returns for 35 yds to the FLA 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FLA 18

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Marcus Burke

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

DJ Lagway run for 6 yds to the FLA 24

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FSU 25

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Hykeem Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 24

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Roydell Williams run for 8 yds to the FSU 32

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Luke Kromenhoek run for 3 yds to the FSU 35 for a 1ST down

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.84

Jadan Baugh run for 21 yds to the FLA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jadan Baugh run for no gain to the FLA 44

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Tony Livingston

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Lawayne McCoy at the FSU 15

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Lawrance Toafili run for 6 yds to the FSU 21

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.65

Lawrance Toafili run for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 20

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.02

Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 6 yds to the FSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Kam Davis run for no gain to the FSU 26

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-12 ydsPPA -0.63

Luke Kromenhoek sacked by Jack Pyburn for a loss of 12 yards to the FSU 14 Luke Kromenhoek fumbled, recovered by FLA D'Antre Robinson , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.61

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 13 yds to the FSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Ja'Khi Douglas

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Hykeem Williams

4th & 10Punt+4 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 49 yds , Chimere Dike returns for 4 yds to the FLA 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.72

DJ Lagway pass complete to Aidan Mizell for 1 yd to the FLA 31

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 8 yds to the FLA 39

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.55

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds to the FLA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Montrell Johnson Jr.

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.34

Jadan Baugh run for a loss of 3 yards to the FLA 43

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Tony Livingston

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Luke Kromenhoek run for 8 yds to the FSU 29

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 7 yds to the FSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Luke Kromenhoek run for 2 yds to the FSU 38

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Micahi Danzy run for 6 yds to the FSU 44

3rd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.23

Luke Kromenhoek run for 15 yds to the FLA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Luke Kromenhoek run for 3 yds to the FLA 38

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Lawrance Toafili run for 9 yds to the FLA 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 2 yds to the FLA 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.30

DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for 17 yds to the FLA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for no gain to the FLA 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 7 yds to the FSU 45

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.48

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 7 yds to the FSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.35

DJ Lagway pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 11 yds to the FSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UF False Start (Barber,Austin) 5 yards from FSU27 to FSU32. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

DJ Lagway pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 4 yds to the FSU 28

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 7 yds to the FSU 21

3rd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -3.94

DJ Lagway pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kam Davis run for 5 yds to the FSU 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.74

Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 17 yds to the FSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Ja'Khi Douglas

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.23

Roydell Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the FSU 38

3rd & 14Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.40

Luke Kromenhoek sacked by Jaden Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the FSU 31

4th & 21Punt+7 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 56 yds , Chimere Dike returns for 7 yds to the FLA 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.73

DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for 21 yds to the FLA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FLA 43

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.93

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 13 yds to the FSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the FSU 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.71

DJ Lagway pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 10 yds to the FSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FSU 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.77

DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for 25 yds to the FSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.12

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

DJ Lagway pass complete to Marcus Burke for 4 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Lawrance Toafili

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.49

Luke Kromenhoek sacked by Cam Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the FSU 21

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the FLA 21

2nd & 14Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UF False Start (Crenshaw-Dickson,Brandon) 5 yards from UF21 to UF16. NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.21

DJ Lagway pass complete to Marcus Burke for 10 yds to the FLA 26

3rd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.31

DJ Lagway sacked by Joshua Farmer for a loss of 9 yards to the FLA 17

4th & 18Punt+7 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FSU 37 , Lawayne McCoy returns for 7 yds to the FSU 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the FSU 39

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.86

Lawrance Toafili run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Malik Benson for 5 yds to the FLA 45

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Florida Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Jack Pyburn) to the FLA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.17

Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 10 yds to the FLA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Landen Thomas

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Luke Kromenhoek run for a loss of 3 yards to the FLA 21 Luke Kromenhoek fumbled, recovered by FSU Luke Kromenhoek , return for 1 yd to the FLA 21

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Ja'Khi Douglas

4th & 13Field Goal Good+39 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Jadan Baugh run for 12 yds to the FLA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jadan Baugh run for 4 yds to the FLA 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 4 yds to the FLA 45

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Elijhah Badger

4th & 2Punt+43 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jadan Baugh run for 4 yds to the FSU 8

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Elijhah Badger

3rd & 6Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.77

DJ Lagway sacked by Marvin Jones Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the FSU 12

4th & 10Field Goal Good+30 yds

Trey Smack 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Micahi Danzy

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 15 yds to the FSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 1 yd to the FSU 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.19

Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Kam Davis for 14 yds to the FLA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Kyle Morlock

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Roydell Williams run for no gain to the FLA 45

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.64

Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 12 yds to the FLA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Roydell Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 34

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Luke Kromenhoek run for 8 yds to the FLA 26

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Roydell Williams run for 1 yd to the FLA 25

4th & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+20 ydsPPA +1.88

Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Amaree Williams for 20 yds Amaree Williams fumbled, recovered by FSU for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kam Davis run for 2 yds to the FLA 3

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -4.79

Kam Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the FLA 7 Kam Davis fumbled, recovered by FLA George Gumbs Jr.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 5 yds to the FLA 12

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 2 yds to the FLA 14

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

DJ Lagway pass complete to Tank Hawkins for 7 yds to the FLA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 8 yds to the FLA 29

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 6 yds to the FLA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.24

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 65 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(12:35) No Huddle-Shotgun Kromenhoek,Luke pass incomplete short middle to Douglas,Ja'Khi thrown to FSU40 PENALTY UF Roughing The Passer (McCray,LJ) 15 yards from FSU25 to FSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Malik Benson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Landen Thomas for 2 yds to the FSU 38

3rd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.16

Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 14 yds to the FLA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Luke Kromenhoek sacked by George Gumbs Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 49

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Florida State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declined

3rd & 18Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.42

Luke Kromenhoek sacked by Sharif Denson for a loss of 6 yards to the FSU 38

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 62 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jadan Baugh run for no gain to the FLA 20

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.29

DJ Lagway sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 19

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

DJ Lagway pass complete to Marcus Burke for 4 yds to the FLA 23

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Lawrance Toafili run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.38

Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.95

Luke Kromenhoek run for 1 yd to the FLA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Luke Kromenhoek sacked by Cam Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.95

Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 11 yds to the FLA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Malik Benson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to BJ Gibson

3rd & 10Penalty+10 yds

(04:45) No Huddle-Shotgun Kromenhoek,Luke sacked for loss of 6 yards to the UF45 (Gumbs Jr.,George) PENALTY UF Holding (Bridges,Trikweze) 10 yards from UF39 to UF29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Luke Kromenhoek run for 5 yds to the FLA 24

2nd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.02

Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Landen Thomas for 20 yds to the FLA 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the FLA 2

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.24

Jadan Baugh run for 27 yds to the FSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.17

Jadan Baugh run for 14 yds to the FSU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd to the FSU 9

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd to the FSU 8

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Tony Livingston 8 Yd pass from DJ Lagway (Trey Smack Kick)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Luke Kromenhoek run for 12 yds to the FSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -1.95

Luke Kromenhoek run for 6 yds to the FSU 43 Luke Kromenhoek fumbled, recovered by FLA T.J. Searcy

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

KD Daniels run for 3 yds to the FSU 40

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

KD Daniels run for 5 yds to the FSU 35

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.73

KD Daniels run for 4 yds to the FSU 31 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
40%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
55%
11 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
32%
28 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
43%
14 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play