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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2024Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri by 19.7

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 10%

Market (Bovada)

Mississippi State +9.5

Edge: Missouri -9.5 (10.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MissouriMissouri
14143839
Mississippi StateMississippi State
1037020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-1410-2110-2813-2813-3120-3120-39
Mississippi StateMissouri

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSMISMSMISMSMSMISMSMISMSMISMSMISMISMSMISMSMISMSMISFG961ydPUNT35ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-8ydTD20ydPUNT31ydTD775ydTD775ydTD1179ydPUNT37ydTD783ydFG1467ydEND14ydFG1557ydTD265ydMISS952ydDOWNS556ydTD1483ydDOWNS46ydEND827yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri and Mississippi State
StatisticMissouriMississippi State
Passing15-2016-28
Pass Yards268191
Rush Yards207147
Total Yards475338
Turnovers01
3rd Down11-182-10
Penalties4-506-40
Possession41:5118:09

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri
passing
Brady Cook
15/20, 268 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Nate Noel
25 CAR, 95 YDS
receiving
Luther Burden III
7 REC, 91 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Mississippi State
passing
Michael Van Buren Jr.
16/28, 191 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Davon Booth
12 CAR, 124 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kelly Akharaiyi
3 REC, 64 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Blake Craig kickoff for 63 yds , Davon Booth return for 27 yds to the MSST 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Davon Booth run for 3 yds to the MSST 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.14

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 10 yds to the MSST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.55

Davon Booth run for 33 yds to the MIZ 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 7 yds to the MIZ 28

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.07

Davon Booth run for 6 yds to the MIZ 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Johnnie Daniels run for 2 yds to the MIZ 20

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+38 yds

Kyle Ferrie 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 4 yds to the MIZ 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the MIZ 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman Jr. at the MSST 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 6 yds to the MSST 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Seydou Traore for 3 yds to the MSST 47

3rd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.69

Davon Booth run for a loss of 4 yards to the MSST 43

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Nick Barr-Mira punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.18

Nate Noel run for a loss of 2 yards to the MIZ 7

3rd & 12Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.06

Brady Cook sacked by Zakari Tillman for a loss of 6 yards to the MIZ 1

4th & 18Punt+8 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 39 yds , Kevin Coleman Jr. returns for 8 yds to the MIZ 32

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Davon Booth run for 2 yds to the MIZ 30

2nd & 8Fumble Return Touchdown+68 ydsPPA -10.80

Daylan Carnell 68 Yd Fumble Return (Blake Craig Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Johnnie Daniels run for 1 yd to the MSST 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt-10 yds

Nick Barr-Mira punt for 39 yds , Daniel Blood returns for a loss of 10 yards to the MIZ 25

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Marcus Carroll run for 6 yds to the MIZ 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.34

Jamal Roberts run for 14 yds to the MIZ 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +1.76

Brady Cook pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 45 yds to the MSST 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jamal Roberts run for 5 yds to the MSST 5

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the MSST 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 13 yds to the MSST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 8 yds to the MSST 46

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.36

Davon Booth run for 3 yds to the MSST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Missouri Penalty, Personal Foul (Corey Flagg Jr.) to the MIZ 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Missouri Penalty, Personal Foul (Chuck Hicks) to the MIZ 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Davon Booth run for 5 yds to the MIZ 11

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.49

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 11 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Nick Barr-Mira kickoff for 61 yds , Marquis Johnson return for 17 yds to the MIZ 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 5 yds to the MIZ 26

2nd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.49

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 14 yds to the MIZ 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the MIZ 44

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

Missouri Penalty, Offensive Holding (Marquis Johnson) to the MIZ 38

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 7 yds to the MIZ 45

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.27

Brady Cook run for 9 yds to the MSST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Kewan Lacy run for 6 yds to the MSST 40

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.44

Nate Noel run for 11 yds to the MSST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the MSST 24

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.17

Nate Noel run for a loss of 4 yards to the MSST 28

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.88

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 28 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Davon Booth run for 5 yds to the MSST 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Davon Booth run for 2 yds to the MSST 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nick Barr-Mira punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Daniel Blood at the MIZ 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the MIZ 19

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the MIZ 21

3rd & 6Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.82

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 38 yds to the MSST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the MSST 39

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Nate Noel run for 8 yds to the MSST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Brady Cook run for 8 yds to the MSST 23

2nd & 2Penalty+4 yds

(05:04) NOEL, Nate rush up the middle for no gain to the MSU23 (MCCLENDON, Kai), clock 04:57. PENALTY Before the snap, MSU Illegal Substitution enforced 4 yards from the MSU23 to the MSU19 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Marcus Carroll run for 19 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 17 yds to the MSST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Justin Ball for 13 yds to the MIZ 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Johnnie Daniels run for 7 yds to the MIZ 38

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.01

Johnnie Daniels run for 4 yds to the MIZ 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.36

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 17 yds to the MIZ 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Michael Van Buren Jr. run for 2 yds to the MIZ 15

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Davon Booth run for 4 yds to the MIZ 11

3rd & 4Penalty-10 yds

(01:36) BOOTH, Davon rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the MIZZOU9 (NEWSON, Triston;NORWOOD, Dreyden), clock 01:33. PENALTY MSU Holding on BALL, Justin enforced 10 yards from the MIZZOU11 to the MIZZOU21 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.74

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Justin Ball for 11 yds to the MIZ 10

4th & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.63

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 7 yds to the MIZ 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Penalty-10 yds

(01:06) BOOTH, Davon rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the MIZZOU0, TOUCHDOWN MSU, score nullified by penalty, clock 01:05 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY MSU Holding on JACKSON, Jacoby enforced 10 yards from the MIZZOU3 to the MIZZOU13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Michael Van Buren Jr. run for 5 yds to the MIZ 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Kyle Ferrie 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the MIZ 29

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Nate Noel run for 15 yds to the MIZ 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the MIZ 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.67

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 57 yds Missouri Penalty, Illegal Block (Joshua Manning) to the MIZ 40

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Marcus Carroll run for 9 yds to the MIZ 49

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.20

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the MSST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the MSST 41

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.24

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the MSST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the MSST 33

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the MSST 30

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the MSST 28

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.15

Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the MSST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the MSST 23

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the MSST 18

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Brady Cook run for no gain to the MSST 18

4th & 2Field Goal Good+35 yds

Blake Craig 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.89

Davon Booth run for 22 yds to the MIZ 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Davon Booth run for 43 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Nick Barr-Mira kickoff for 65 yds , Marquis Johnson return for 21 yds to the MIZ 21

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the MIZ 25

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.47

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 13 yds to the MIZ 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the MIZ 41

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the MIZ 45

3rd & 3Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.79

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 28 yds to the MSST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Brady Cook run for no gain to the MSST 27

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Blake Craig 44 Yard Field Goal Missed

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.25

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 49 yds to the MIZ 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Johnnie Daniels run for 4 yds to the MIZ 20

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Johnnie Daniels run for 3 yds to the MIZ 17

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.63

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the MIZ 18

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the MIZ 25

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.74

Jamal Roberts run for 2 yds to the MIZ 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jamal Roberts run for 3 yds to the MIZ 30

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the MIZ 31

3rd & 6Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.87

Brady Cook pass complete to Joshua Manning for 36 yds to the MSST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the MSST 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.42

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 16 yds to the MSST 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the MSST 9

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 5 yds to the MSST 4

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Brady Cook run for 1 yd to the MSST 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the MSST 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the MSST 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd for a TD (M. Carroll Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Mississippi State Penalty, False Start (Kevin Coleman Jr.) to the MSST 20

1st & 15Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.43

Michael Van Buren Jr. sacked by Johnny Walker Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the MSST 17

2nd & 18Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.52

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Seydou Traore for 13 yds to the MSST 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA +0.11

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Seydou Traore for 1 yd to the MSST 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.29

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 17 yds to the MSST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the MSST 12

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Nate Noel run for no gain to the MSST 12

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jamal Roberts run for 5 yds to the MSST 7

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.79

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 5 yds to the MSST 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty+1 yds

(01:52) Kneel down by COOK, Brady at MSU1 (team loss of 2), clock 01:47. PENALTY MSU Personal Foul on WASHINGTON, Hunter enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the MSU2 to the MSU1 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

(01:30) Kneel down by COOK, Brady at MSU2 (team loss of 1), clock 01:27.

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

(00:46) Kneel down by COOK, Brady at MSU3 (team loss of 1), clock 00:43.

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

(00:24) Kneel down by COOK, Brady at MSU4 (team loss of 1), clock 00:21.

Situational Analysis

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
39%
28 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
55%
11 plays
45%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
9 plays
80%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
60%
20 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play