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← Back to GamesNov 24, 2024Week 13
VanderbiltVanderbilt
17
-Final
24
LSULSU
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

LSU by 8.9

Home Win Probability

LSU 73%

Market (Bovada)

LSU -9.5

Edge: Vanderbilt +9.5 (0.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 24, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VanderbiltVanderbilt
703717
LSULSU
777324

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-714-714-1021-1024-1024-17
LSUVanderbilt

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LSUVANLSUVANLSUVANLSUVANLSUVANLSUVANLSUVANLSUVANLSUPUNT33ydTD163ydTD890ydPUNT34ydDOWNS1270ydPUNT650ydPUNT37ydDOWNS1040ydTD980ydPUNT417ydEND1-1ydFG1246ydTD1077ydPUNT33ydFG1374ydTD1075ydEND1166yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Vanderbilt and LSU
StatisticVanderbiltLSU
Passing13-2428-37
Pass Yards186332
Rush Yards122142
Total Yards308474
Turnovers00
3rd Down2-108-13
Penalties3-153-25
Possession25:1734:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Vanderbilt
passing
Diego Pavia
13/24, 186 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Diego Pavia
6 CAR, 43 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Quincy Skinner Jr.
3 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
defense
LSU
passing
Garrett Nussmeier
28/37, 332 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Josh Williams
14 CAR, 90 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kyren Lacy
6 REC, 85 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+62 yds

Brock Taylor kickoff for 62 yds , Zavion Thomas return for 15 yds to the LSU 18 Zavion Thomas fumbled, recovered by LSU return for 15 yds , return for no gain to the LSU 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Caden Durham run for 3 yds to the LSU 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for 4 yds to the LSU 25

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LSU 20

3rd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 1 yd to the LSU 21

4th & 7Punt+41 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 41 yds , Martel Hight returns for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 37

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +5.05

Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 63 yds for a TD LSU Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the LSU 0 (Brock Taylor KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+2 yds

Brock Taylor kickoff for 42 yds , Josh Williams return for 2 yds to the LSU 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.41

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 10 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Caden Durham run for 6 yds to the LSU 26

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Caden Durham run for 3 yds to the LSU 29

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.96

Caden Durham run for 4 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.38

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 30 yds to the VAN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 3 yds to the VAN 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.67

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 14 yds to the VAN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Josh Williams run for 20 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the VAN 30

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Diego Pavia run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+10 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 54 yds , Zavion Thomas returns for 10 yds to the LSU 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the LSU 28

3rd & 9Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.34

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 24 yds to the VAN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Josh Williams run for 6 yds to the VAN 42

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.47

Caden Durham run for 7 yds to the VAN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.37

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 16 yds to the VAN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.28

Caden Durham run for 11 yds to the VAN 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.72

Garrett Nussmeier sacked by Yilanan Ouattara for a loss of 6 yards to the VAN 14

2nd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 6 yds to the VAN 8

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 5 yds to the VAN 3

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.08

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 1 yd to the VAN 4

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 8 yds to the VAN 12

3rd & 1Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.92

Diego Pavia run for 36 yds to the VAN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 5 yds to the LSU 47

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Caden Durham run for 3 yds to the LSU 23

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Caden Durham run for 4 yds to the LSU 27

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Martel Hight at the VAN 40

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Nate Johnson run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Diego Pavia pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 9 yds to the LSU 41

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Moni Jones run for 3 yds to the LSU 35

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Sedrick Alexander run for no gain to the LSU 35

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.45

Diego Pavia pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 7 yds to the LSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the LSU 23

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the LSU 21

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Eli Stowers run for 1 yd to the LSU 20

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.55

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Ka'Morreun Pimpton for 5 yds to the LSU 25

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.69

Josh Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.56

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 9 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Josh Williams run for 8 yds to the LSU 41

3rd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.25

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 14 yds to the VAN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Josh Williams run for 8 yds to the VAN 37

2nd & 2Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.11

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 16 yds to the VAN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Josh Williams run for 21 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 13 yds to the VAN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 9 yds to the VAN 47

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.42

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, False Start (Eli Stowers) to the VAN 42

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 49 yds, downed at the LSU 9

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

(00:03) Kneel down by TEAM at LSU8 (team loss of 1).

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the VAN 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

AJ Newberry run for 6 yds to the VAN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 2 yds to the VAN 38

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Diego Pavia run for 7 yds to the VAN 45

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.15

Sedrick Alexander run for 2 yds to the VAN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.28

Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 18 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the LSU 34

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Nate Johnson run for 7 yds to the LSU 27

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, False Start (Gunnar Hansen) to the LSU 32

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Diego Pavia pass complete to Richie Hoskins for 3 yds to the LSU 29

4th & 4Field Goal Good+47 yds

Brock Taylor 47 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Brock Taylor kickoff for 62 yds , Zavion Thomas return for 20 yds to the LSU 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the LSU 24

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.69

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 9 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Caden Durham run for 5 yds to the LSU 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.08

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 21 yds to the VAN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the VAN 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for 2 yds to the VAN 38

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the VAN 36

4th & 5Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.57

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 24 yds to the VAN 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 12 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Sedrick Alexander run for 2 yds to the VAN 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the VAN 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 57 yds, downed at the LSU 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the LSU 17

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 13 yds to the LSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 18 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 7 yds to the VAN 45

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 6 yds to the VAN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.51

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 18 yds to the VAN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VAN 26

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Josh Williams run for 6 yds to the VAN 20

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.87

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Chris Hilton Jr. for 9 yds to the VAN 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Josh Williams run for no gain to the VAN 11

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 yds

Damian Ramos 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nate Johnson run for 3 yds to the VAN 28

2nd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Diego Pavia sacked by Shone Washington and Bradyn Swinson for a loss of 2 yards to the VAN 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

4th & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.02

Jesse Mirco run for 9 yds to the VAN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

AJ Newberry run for 10 yds to the VAN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.87

Diego Pavia pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 39 yds to the LSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 9 yds to the LSU 7

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.01

AJ Newberry run for 6 yds to the LSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Diego Pavia run for 1 yd for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 21 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Caden Durham run for 6 yds to the VAN 48

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Caden Durham run for 3 yds to the VAN 45

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.94

Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the VAN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 10 yds to the VAN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Josh Williams run for 1 yd to the VAN 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 5 yds to the VAN 26

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, Disconcerting Signals on TAYLOR, CJ enforced (CJ Taylor) to the VAN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Josh Williams run for 8 yds to the VAN 13

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.03

Josh Williams run for 6 yds to the VAN 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

(01:14) [SG] Kneel down by TEAM at VANDY8 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

[SG] Kneel down by TEAM at VANDY9 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Vanderbilt

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
53%
19 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
44%
9 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
59%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
57%
7 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play