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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2024Week 13
Ole MissOle Miss
17
-Final
24
FloridaFlorida
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ole Miss by 15.7

Home Win Probability

Florida 15%

Market (Bovada)

Florida +12.5

Edge: Ole Miss -12.5 (3.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ole MissOle Miss
0143017
FloridaFlorida
0143724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-714-1417-1417-1724-17
FloridaOle Miss

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OMFLOOMFLOOMFLOOMFLOOMFLOOMFLOFLOFLOOMFLOOMFLOOMFLOOMFLOOMFLOOMFLOPUNT612ydPUNT616ydDOWNS969ydTD1189ydTD775ydTO316ydTD555ydTD475ydMISS758ydPUNT518ydPUNT523ydEND626ydTO3-6ydFG42ydDOWNS1365ydPUNT3-4ydFG727ydPUNT621ydPUNT34ydTD467ydPUNT429ydPUNT529ydTO839ydPUNT37ydTO518ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ole Miss and Florida
StatisticOle MissFlorida
Passing24-4210-17
Pass Yards323180
Rush Yards141165
Total Yards464345
Turnovers31
3rd Down3-147-15
Penalties4-455-44
Possession30:0429:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ole Miss
passing
Jaxson Dart
24/41, 323 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jaxson Dart
14 CAR, 71 YDS
receiving
Cayden Lee
6 REC, 94 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Florida
passing
D.J. Lagway
10/17, 180 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Montrell Johnson
18 CAR, 107 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Elijhah Badger
5 REC, 87 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 5 yds to the MISS 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Micah Davis run for 4 yds to the MISS 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

JJ Pegues run for 4 yds to the MISS 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Micah Davis run for 6 yds to the MISS 44

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Dae'Quan Wright

3rd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.38

Jaxson Dart sacked by Caleb Banks for a loss of 7 yards to the MISS 37

4th & 11Punt+10 yds

Fraser Masin punt for 38 yds , Chimere Dike returns for 10 yds to the FLA 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FLA 38

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

DJ Lagway run for 6 yds to the FLA 44

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FLA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FLA 49

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the MISS 49

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Montrell Johnson Jr.

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Cayden Lee for 15 yds to the MISS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Micah Davis run for 2 yds to the MISS 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.46

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 19 yds to the FLA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 5 yds to the FLA 39

2nd & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.70

Jaxson Dart run for 4 yds to the FLA 35 for a 1ST down Florida Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the FLA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.65

Jaxson Dart run for a loss of 3 yards to the FLA 23

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.41

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Cayden Lee for 9 yds to the FLA 14

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Micah Davis run for 3 yds to the FLA 11

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.00

JJ Pegues run for no gain to the FLA 11

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jadan Baugh run for 4 yds to the FLA 15

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.48

DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 19 yds to the FLA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jadan Baugh run for 3 yds to the FLA 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.67

DJ Lagway pass complete to Ja'Quavion Fraziars for 14 yds to the MISS 32 for a 1ST down

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.19

Jadan Baugh run for 17 yds to the MISS 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jadan Baugh run for 2 yds to the MISS 30

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 3 yds to the MISS 27

3rd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.91

DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 17 yds to the MISS 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 1 yd to the MISS 9

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 1 yd to the MISS 8

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 8 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Jaxson Dart run for 11 yds to the MISS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 8 yds to the MISS 44

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Dae'Quan Wright

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

JJ Pegues run for 1 yd to the MISS 45

4th & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.63

JJ Pegues run for 8 yds to the FLA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Micah Davis run for 4 yds to the FLA 43

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.74

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Tre Harris for 43 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Elijhah Badger

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.12

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 16 yds to the FLA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.34

DJ Lagway pass intercepted John Saunders Jr. return for no gain to the MISS 45

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Micah Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the MISS 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.33

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 10 yds to the FLA 46

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.42

Micah Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 47

4th & 2Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.10

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 25 yds to the FLA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Cayden Lee for 22 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jadan Baugh run for 2 yds to the FLA 27

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

DJ Lagway run for 6 yds to the FLA 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.11

DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 27 yds to the MISS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Ole Miss Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jadon Canady) to the MISS 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

DJ Lagway pass complete to Jadan Baugh for 25 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Jordan Watkins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.94

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.22

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 30 yds to the FLA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 3 yds to the FLA 17

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Caden Prieskorn

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Tre Harris

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Caden Davis 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 3 yds to the FLA 23

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 8 yds to the FLA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 1 yd to the FLA 32

2nd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.97

DJ Lagway sacked by Walter Nolen for a loss of 10 yards to the FLA 22

3rd & 19Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.54

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 16 yds to the FLA 38

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 62 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Micah Davis for 11 yds to the MISS 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Ole Miss Penalty, False Start (Nate Kalepo) to the MISS 26

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Jordan Watkins

2nd & 15Penalty+10 yds

Florida Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jordan Castell) to the MISS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 6 yds to the MISS 42

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Jordan Watkins

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Micah Davis for 1 yd to the MISS 43

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Fraser Masin punt for 43 yds, downed at the FLA 14

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the FLA 18

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the FLA 18

3rd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.42

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 12 yds to the FLA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the FLA 35

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FLA 30

3rd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.26

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 10 yds to the FLA 40 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half+10 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

DJ Lagway sacked by Princely Umanmielen and JJ Pegues for a loss of 6 yards to the FLA 19

2nd & 16Penalty-9 yds

Florida Penalty, Offensive Holding (Damieon George Jr.) to the FLA 10

2nd & 25Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jadan Baugh run for a loss of 4 yards to the FLA 6

3rd & 29Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.03

DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for 13 yds to the FLA 19

4th & 16Punt-5 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 39 yds , Micah Davis returns for a loss of 5 yards to the MISS 37 Micah Davis fumbled, recovered by FLA DJ Douglas

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 2 yds to the MISS 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Elijhah Badger

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.04

DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for no gain to the MISS 35

4th & 8Field Goal Good+53 yds

Trey Smack 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Micah Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the MISS 24

2nd & 11Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.51

Jaxson Dart run for 20 yds to the MISS 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaxson Dart run for 5 yds to the MISS 49

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Matt Jones run for 4 yds to the FLA 47

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.18

JJ Pegues run for 6 yds to the FLA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 7 yds to the FLA 34

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Micah Davis run for 3 yds to the FLA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Antwane Wells Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 12 yds to the FLA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Antwane Wells Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Jordan Watkins

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.44

Jaxson Dart run for 9 yds to the FLA 10

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.03

JJ Pegues run for no gain to the FLA 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FLA 11

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

3rd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.12

DJ Lagway sacked by Suntarine Perkins and Princely Umanmielen for a loss of 5 yards to the FLA 6

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MISS 48

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Ole Miss Penalty, Offensive Holding (Diego Pounds) to the MISS 38

1st & 20Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.08

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Cayden Lee for 23 yds to the FLA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Jaxson Dart run for 8 yds to the FLA 31

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Domonique Thomas run for 3 yds to the FLA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.64

Jaxson Dart sacked by Caleb Banks for a loss of 7 yards to the FLA 35

2nd & 17Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 10 yds to the FLA 25

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Domonique Thomas

4th & 7Field Goal Good+42 yds

Caden Davis 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jadan Baugh run for 3 yds to the FLA 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jadan Baugh run for 6 yds to the FLA 34

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.64

Jadan Baugh run for 9 yds to the FLA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jadan Baugh run for 4 yds to the FLA 47

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jadan Baugh run for 4 yds to the MISS 49

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jadan Baugh run for no gain to the MISS 49

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Florida Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the FLA 46

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jordan Watkins at the MISS 9

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Micah Davis run for 2 yds to the MISS 11

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Micah Davis run for 6 yds to the MISS 17

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.40

Jaxson Dart run for a loss of 4 yards to the MISS 13

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Fraser Masin punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FLA 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.71

DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for 41 yds to the MISS 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.17

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 12 yds to the MISS 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the MISS 9

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.47

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.89

Jaxson Dart run for 35 yds to the FLA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Austin Simmons pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Jordan Watkins

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.77

Jaxson Dart sacked by Caleb Banks and Tyreak Sapp for a loss of 6 yards to the FLA 46

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Fraser Masin punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the FLA 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.62

DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 16 yds to the FLA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FLA 24

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Johnson Jr., Montrell rush for 1 yard to the FLA25, PENALTY MISS horse collar tackle 15 yards to the FLA39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLA.

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.75

Jadan Baugh run for a loss of 4 yards to the FLA 35

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

DJ Lagway pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

4th & 14Punt+4 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 47 yds , Jordan Watkins returns for 4 yds to the MISS 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 4 yds to the MISS 26

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Jordan Watkins

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.51

Jaxson Dart run for 7 yds to the MISS 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Domonique Thomas run for 7 yds to the MISS 40

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.89

Domonique Thomas run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 5 yds to the FLA 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.60

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Cayden Lee for 6 yds to the FLA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.86

Jaxson Dart pass intercepted, touchback. Bryce Thornton return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FLA 23

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FLA 25

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 2 yds to the FLA 27

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MISS 34

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Jaxson Dart sacked by Tyreak Sapp for a loss of 1 yard to the MISS 33

2nd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.79

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Cayden Lee for 19 yds to the FLA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Cayden Lee

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Jordan Watkins

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.19

Jaxson Dart pass intercepted Bryce Thornton return for no gain to the FLA 22

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 21

Situational Analysis

Ole Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
32 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
5 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
50%
4 plays

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
21%
28 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
14 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th