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← Back to GamesNov 16, 2024Week 12
LSULSU
16
-Final
27
FloridaFlorida
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

LSU by 2.6

Home Win Probability

Florida 44%

Market (Bovada)

Florida +3

Edge: Florida +3 (0.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 16, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LSULSU
0103316
FloridaFlorida
7331427

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-710-710-1010-1313-1320-1627-16
FloridaLSU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LSUFLOLSUFLOLSUFLOLSUFLOLSUFLOFLOLSUFLOLSUFLOLSUFLOLSUFLOLSUFLODOWNS521ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT430ydTD580ydMISS1341ydPUNT415ydTD1484ydFG944ydFG1247ydEND1-1ydPUNT420ydFG1562ydFG838ydTO34ydPUNT3-8ydTO3-3ydTD345ydFG1554ydTD375ydDOWNS1237ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing LSU and Florida
StatisticLSUFlorida
Passing28-4813-26
Pass Yards262226
Rush Yards130113
Total Yards392339
Turnovers10
3rd Down13-243-9
Penalties3-257-55
Possession41:4318:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

LSU
passing
Garrett Nussmeier
27/47, 260 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Caden Durham
20 CAR, 91 YDS
receiving
Aaron Anderson
7 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Florida
passing
D.J. Lagway
13/26, 226 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jadan Baugh
6 CAR, 65 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Elijhah Badger
6 REC, 131 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Shemar James
2 TFL, 2 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 15 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 6 yds to the LSU 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.74

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 2 yds to the LSU 48

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Josh Williams run for 1 yd to the LSU 49

4th & 1Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.05

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Zavion Thomas for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 46

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Baugh, Jadan rush for 1 yard to the LSU45, PENALTY FLA holding (Barber, Austin) 10 yards to the FLA44, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Penalty-5 yds

Florida Penalty, False Start (Jake Slaughter) to the FLA 39

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Chimere Dike, broken up by Ashton Stamps

2nd & 25Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.98

DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for 13 yds to the LSU 48

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

Florida Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the FLA 47

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Zavion Thomas at the LSU 16

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.63

Josh Williams run for 7 yds to the LSU 23 for a 1ST down Florida Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Caleb Banks) to the LSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Caden Durham run for 8 yds to the LSU 46

3rd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.00

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for no gain to the LSU 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Aidan Mizell, broken up by Davhon Keys

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 3 yds to the FLA 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.71

DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for 34 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.69

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 20 yds to the LSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Elijhah Badger 23 Yd pass from DJ Lagway (Trey Smack Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Caden Durham run for 4 yds to the LSU 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Ka'Morreun Pimpton

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.09

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 11 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 6 yds to the LSU 46

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.05

Caden Durham run for 8 yds to the FLA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Caden Durham run for 9 yds to the FLA 37

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Josh Williams

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.63

Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the FLA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Zavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the FLA 32

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (Will Campbell) to the FLA 37

2nd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Caden Durham run for a loss of 2 yards to the FLA 39

3rd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 5 yds to the FLA 34

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Damian Ramos 51 Yard Field Goal Missed

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Jadan Baugh run for 11 yds to the FLA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Jadan Baugh

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jadan Baugh run for no gain to the FLA 45

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

DJ Lagway pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 4 yds to the FLA 49

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Zavion Thomas at the LSU 16

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Caden Durham run for 7 yds to the LSU 23

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the LSU 25

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.57

Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the LSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Chris Hilton Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.16

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 12 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Josh Williams run for 1 yd to the LSU 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy, broken up by Bryce Thornton

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.61

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 9 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the FLA 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.62

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 20 yds to the FLA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the FLA 28

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Caden Durham

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.88

Aaron Anderson 28 Yd pass from Garrett Nussmeier (Damian Ramos Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

DJ Lagway pass complete to Tony Livingston for 14 yds to the FLA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 1 yd to the FLA 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

DJ Lagway pass complete to Ja'Kobi Jackson for 8 yds to the FLA 48

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.23

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 4 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 10 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Marcus Burke, broken up by Zy Alexander

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the LSU 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

DJ Lagway pass complete to Aidan Mizell for 3 yds to the LSU 31

4th & 3Field Goal Good+49 yds

Trey Smack 49 Yd Field Goal

4th & 3Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Trey Smack kickoff for 64 yds , Zavion Thomas return for 19 yds to the LSU 20

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Caden Durham run for 16 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 7 yds to the LSU 43

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.43

Josh Williams run for 5 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Josh Williams run for 5 yds to the FLA 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 6 yds to the FLA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Caden Durham run for 3 yds to the FLA 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Aaron Anderson

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.79

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 13 yds to the FLA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.17

Garrett Nussmeier sacked by Shemar James for a loss of 8 yards to the FLA 33

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Mason Taylor, broken up by Shemar James

4th & 18Field Goal Good+50 yds

Damian Ramos 50 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 24

0th & 10End of Half-1 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 19 yds to the FLA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd to the FLA 45

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Elijhah Badger

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Zavion Thomas at the LSU 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Caden Durham run for 3 yds to the LSU 13

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.39

Garrett Nussmeier sacked by Caleb Banks for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 8 Garrett Nussmeier fumbled, forced by Caleb Banks, recovered by LSU Paul Mubenga , return for 0 yards

3rd & 12Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.19

Josh Williams run for 16 yds to the LSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Chris Hilton Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the LSU 26

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.18

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 13 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Caden Durham run for 7 yds to the LSU 46

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

Caden Durham run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.83

Caden Durham run for 14 yds to the FLA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Chris Hilton Jr., broken up by Jordan Castell

2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.18

Josh Williams run for 22 yds to the FLA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Josh Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 15

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the FLA 13

3rd & 9Penalty-15 yds

Nussmeier, Garrett pass complete to Daniels, CJ for 13 yards to the FLA0, PENALTY LSU pass interference (Lacy, Kyren) 15 yards to the FLA28, NO PLAY.

3rd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Aaron Anderson

4th & 24Field Goal Good+45 yds

Damian Ramos 45 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Elijhah Badger

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Elijhah Badger

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.57

DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 17 yds to the FLA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.62

DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 24 yds to the LSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Lagway, DJ pass complete to Jackson, Ja'Kobi for 17 yards to the LSU17, PENALTY FLA holding (Barber, Austin) 10 yards to the LSU44, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Marcus Burke, broken up by Sage Ryan

2nd & 20Penalty-5 yds

Florida Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LSU 49

2nd & 25Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.33

DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 12 yds to the LSU 37

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Ja'Kobi Jackson

4th & 13Field Goal Good+55 yds

Trey Smack 55 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Mason Taylor, broken up by Aaron Chiles

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kaleb Jackson run for 4 yds to the LSU 29

3rd & 6Sack+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Garrett Nussmeier sacked by T.J. Searcy for a loss of 12 yards to the LSU 17 Garrett Nussmeier fumbled, forced by T.J. Searcy, recovered by LSU Emery Jones Jr. , return for 5 yds to the LSU 34 Emery Jones Jr. fumbled, forced by Caleb Banks, recovered by FLA Caleb Banks , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Florida Penalty, False Start (Aidan Mizell) to the LSU 39

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Elijhah Badger

2nd & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.58

Jadan Baugh run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 42

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Aidan Mizell

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 34 yds, downed at the LSU 8

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the LSU 10

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Mason Taylor

3rd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.13

Garrett Nussmeier sacked by George Gumbs Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 5

4th & 13Punt-2 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 38 yds , Chimere Dike returns for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 45 Chimere Dike fumbled, recovered by FLA

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 8 yds to the LSU 37

2nd & 2Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.81

DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 36 yds to the LSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Ja'Kobi Jackson 1 Yd Run (Trey Smack Kick)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Caden Durham run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 2 yds to the LSU 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.80

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 20 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 47

2nd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.07

Garrett Nussmeier sacked by Kamran James for a loss of 7 yards to the LSU 40

3rd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Zavion Thomas for 11 yds to the FLA 49

4th & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.74

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 7 yds to the FLA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Caden Durham run for 3 yds to the FLA 39

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Caden Durham run for 3 yds to the FLA 36

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Josh Williams

4th & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.34

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 15 yds to the FLA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (Emery Jones Jr.) to the FLA 26

1st & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for 3 yds to the FLA 23

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the FLA 22

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Garrett Nussmeier run for 1 yd to the FLA 21

4th & 10Field Goal Good+38 yds

Damian Ramos 38 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd to the FLA 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.39

DJ Lagway pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 19 yds to the FLA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.28

Jadan Baugh 55 Yd Run (Trey Smack Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Mason Taylor

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 6 yds to the LSU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 5 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.09

Garrett Nussmeier sacked by Shemar James for a loss of 12 yards to the LSU 24

2nd & 22Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.07

AJ Swann pass complete to Caden Durham for 2 yds to the LSU 26

3rd & 20Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.46

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Garrett Nussmeier run for 2 yds to the FLA 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.46

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for 12 yds to the FLA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Chris Hilton Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 5 yds to the FLA 31

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.40

Garrett Nussmeier sacked by Tyreak Sapp for a loss of 7 yards to the FLA 38

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Mason Taylor, broken up by Trikweze Bridges

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 37

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 36

Situational Analysis

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
33 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
39%
18 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
83%
6 plays
63%
8 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
18 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
29%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
4th