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← Back to GamesNov 16, 2024Week 12
TexasTexas
20
-Final
10
ArkansasArkansas
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas by 15.4

Home Win Probability

Arkansas 17%

Market (Bovada)

Arkansas +12

Edge: Texas -12 (3.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 16, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TexasTexas
733720
ArkansasArkansas
007310

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-107-1310-1310-20
ArkansasTexas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TEXARKTEXARKTEXARKTEXARKTEXARKTEXARKTEXARKARKTEXARKTEXARKTEXARKTEXPUNT518ydPUNT37ydPUNT30ydTO29ydTD661ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT715ydFG1127ydPUNT729ydPUNT1245ydPUNT34ydPUNT33ydEND1-6ydPUNT6-5ydFG736ydTD1275ydPUNT3-2ydFG1039ydTD875ydTO648ydEND1443yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas and Arkansas
StatisticTexasArkansas
Passing20-3217-25
Pass Yards176149
Rush Yards13982
Total Yards315231
Turnovers02
3rd Down4-155-12
Penalties2-152-15
Possession30:5929:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas
passing
Quinn Ewers
20/32, 176 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jaydon Blue
14 CAR, 83 YDS
receiving
Isaiah Bond
4 REC, 48 YDS
defense
Arkansas
passing
Taylen Green
17/25, 149 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Ja'Quinden Jackson
11 CAR, 56 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Andrew Armstrong
6 REC, 74 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds to the TEX 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.10

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 17 yds to the TEX 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 1 yd to the TEX 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Matthew Golden

3rd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.85

Quinn Ewers sacked by Brad Spence for a loss of 3 yards to the TEX 43

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Michael Kern punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 21

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Taylen Green run for 1 yd to the ARK 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 6 yds to the ARK 28

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TEX 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 1 yd to the TEX 36

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Quintrevion Wisner run for 7 yds to the TEX 43

3rd & 2Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -1.60

Quinn Ewers pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the TEX 35

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Michael Kern punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 26

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Rashod Dubinion run for 9 yds to the ARK 35

2nd & 1Pass Interception Return-1 ydsPPA -2.27

Taylen Green pass intercepted Jahdae Barron return for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 39

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Quintrevion Wisner run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.94

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Silas Bolden for 17 yds to the ARK 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Jaydon Blue run for 8 yds to the ARK 25

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.26

Jaydon Blue run for 5 yds to the ARK 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ryan Wingo, broken up by Hudson Clark

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.99

Matthew Golden 20 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick)

2nd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Will Stone kickoff for 61 yds , Jordan Anthony return for 13 yds to the ARK 17

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Taylen Green run for 5 yds to the ARK 22

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds to the ARK 24

3rd & 3Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 23

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Silas Bolden at the TEX 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jaydon Blue run for 4 yds to the TEX 41

3rd & 6Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.93

Quinn Ewers run for a loss of 5 yards to the TEX 36

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Michael Kern punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Rashod Dubinion run for 5 yds to the TEX 45

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Rashod Dubinion run for 4 yds to the TEX 41

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.78

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 3 yds to the TEX 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.20

Taylen Green sacked by Alfred Collins for a loss of 12 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Andrew Armstrong

3rd & 22Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.50

Taylen Green sacked by Colin Simmons for a loss of 10 yards to the ARK 40

4th & 32Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 8 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARK 48

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds to the ARK 45

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Silas Bolden for 7 yds to the ARK 39

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.84

Jerrick Gibson run for 3 yds to the ARK 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Matthew Golden, broken up by TJ Metcalf

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.81

Quintrevion Wisner run for 6 yds to the ARK 30 Texas Penalty, Offensive Holding (Matthew Golden) to the ARK 40

2nd & 14Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.85

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 17 yds to the ARK 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jaydon Blue run for 2 yds to the ARK 21

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Gunnar Helm

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Matthew Golden

4th & 8Field Goal Good+39 yds

Bert Auburn 39 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 6 yds to the ARK 31

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 10 yds to the ARK 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Taylen Green pass complete to Jordan Anthony for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.02

Taylen Green run for 7 yds to the TEX 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for no gain to the TEX 43

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Green, Taylen pass incomplete, PENALTY ARK holding (Hasz, Luke) 10 yards to the ARK47, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Andreas Paaske, broken up by Jelani McDonald

3rd & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Taylen Green pass complete to Rodney Hill for 7 yds to the TEX 46

4th & 13Punt+12 yds

Devin Bale punt for 44 yds , Silas Bolden returns for 12 yds to the TEX 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Gunnar Helm

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 10 yds to the TEX 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Isaiah Bond

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jaydon Blue run for 4 yds to the TEX 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.12

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 12 yds to the TEX 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Silas Bolden for 9 yds to the TEX 49

2nd & 1Penalty+5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, Defensive Offside (Doneiko Slaughter) to the ARK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 6 yds to the ARK 40

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Jerrick Gibson run for 2 yds to the ARK 38

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Jaydon Blue run for 3 yds to the ARK 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jaydon Blue run for 6 yds to the ARK 29

2nd & 4Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -2.27

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for a loss of 8 yards to the ARK 37

3rd & 12Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.58

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for a loss of 4 yards to the ARK 41

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Michael Kern punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.89

Taylen Green sacked by Trey Moore for a loss of 7 yards to the ARK 13

2nd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Taylen Green run for 5 yds to the ARK 18

3rd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Taylen Green pass complete to Rashod Dubinion for 6 yds to the ARK 24

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 59 yds, downed at the TEX 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 3 yds to the TEX 20

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Quinn Ewers run for 4 yds to the TEX 24

3rd & 3Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.48

Quinn Ewers sacked by Landon Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the TEX 20

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Michael Kern punt for 42 yds , Isaiah Sategna returns for no gain to the ARK 38

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.91

Taylen Green sacked by Jahdae Barron for a loss of 6 yards to the ARK 32

0th & 10End of Half-6 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Will Stone kickoff for 65 yds , Jordan Anthony return for 14 yds to the ARK 14

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the ARK 16

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Taylen Green pass complete to Luke Hasz for 1 yd to the ARK 17

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.02

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 7 yds to the ARK 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Rashod Dubinion run for no gain to the ARK 24

2nd & 10Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -0.52

Taylen Green pass complete to Rashod Dubinion for a loss of 7 yards to the ARK 17

3rd & 17Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.07

Taylen Green sacked by Colin Simmons for a loss of 8 yards to the ARK 9

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Silas Bolden at the TEX 49

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Quintrevion Wisner run for 7 yds to the ARK 43

3rd & 2Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.68

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 30 yds to the ARK 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jaydon Blue run for 4 yds to the ARK 9

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jaydon Blue run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 10

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

Texas Penalty, False Start (DJ Campbell) to the ARK 14

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Gunnar Helm

4th & 11Field Goal Good+33 yds

Bert Auburn 33 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Taylen Green run for 4 yds to the ARK 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the ARK 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 3 yds to the ARK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Jordan Anthony, broken up by Jahdae Barron

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.02

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 25 yds to the TEX 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 6 yds to the TEX 32

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.18

Taylen Green run for 9 yds to the TEX 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Andrew Armstrong

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.56

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 12 yds to the TEX 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Taylen Green run for 6 yds to the TEX 5

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.40

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 4 yds to the TEX 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Ja'Quinden Jackson 1 Yd Run (Matthew Shipley Kick)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 2 yards to the TEX 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ryan Wingo

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Silas Bolden

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Michael Kern punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 35

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Rashod Dubinion run for 5 yds to the ARK 40

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Rashod Dubinion run for 4 yds to the ARK 44

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.37

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the ARK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 11 yds to the TEX 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Rashod Dubinion run for 3 yds to the TEX 37

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.74

Taylen Green run for 11 yds to the TEX 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.32

Taylen Green run for a loss of 6 yards to the TEX 32

2nd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Taylen Green pass complete to Rashod Dubinion for 6 yds to the TEX 26

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Ja'Quinden Jackson

4th & 10Field Goal Good+44 yds

Matthew Shipley 44 Yd Field Goal

4th & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Devin Bale kickoff for 60 yds , Matthew Golden return for 20 yds to the TEX 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 20 yds to the TEX 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Jaydon Blue run for 7 yds to the ARK 48

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jaydon Blue run for 6 yds to the ARK 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +0.75

Jaydon Blue run for 28 yds to the ARK 14 Jaydon Blue fumbled, forced by Hudson Clark, recovered by TEX

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Quintrevion Wisner run for 2 yds to the ARK 12

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Juan Davis for 8 yds to the ARK 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds to the ARK 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Matthew Golden 1 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick)

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Taylen Green sacked by Barryn Sorrell for a loss of 5 yards to the ARK 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.41

Taylen Green pass complete to Luke Hasz for 10 yds to the ARK 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.90

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 11 yds to the TEX 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Isaiah Sategna

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+12 ydsPPA -3.05

Taylen Green pass complete to CJ Brown for 12 yds CJ Brown fumbled, forced by Alfred Collins, recovered by TEX Michael Taaffe

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Quintrevion Wisner run for 5 yds to the TEX 32

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.88

Jaydon Blue run for 6 yds to the TEX 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.58

Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 3 yards to the TEX 35

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Silas Bolden

3rd & 13Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.31

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 17 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the ARK 44

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.72

Quintrevion Wisner run for 6 yds to the ARK 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Quintrevion Wisner run for 2 yds to the ARK 36

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaydon Blue run for 1 yd to the ARK 35

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Quintrevion Wisner run for 5 yds to the ARK 30

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.41

Quinn Ewers run for 3 yds to the ARK 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 28

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 29

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.20

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 30

Situational Analysis

Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
34%
29 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
43%
14 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
44%
25 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
57%
7 plays
57%
7 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th