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← Back to GamesNov 9, 2024Week 11
FloridaFlorida
17
-Final
49
TexasTexas
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas by 21.2

Home Win Probability

Texas 88%

Market (Bovada)

Texas -22

Edge: Florida +22 (0.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 9, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
FloridaFlorida
0010717
TexasTexas
14217749

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425614-021-028-042-342-1049-1049-17
TexasFlorida

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TEXFLOTEXFLOTEXFLOTEXFLOTEXFLOTEXFLOTEXFLOTEXFLOFLOTEXFLOTEXFLOTEXFLOTEXFLOTEXMISS943ydPUNT516ydTD785ydTO30ydTD222ydPUNT522ydPUNT3-8ydMISS542ydPUNT626ydPUNT3-2ydTD150ydPUNT835ydTD480ydTO212ydTD445ydEND18ydTO29ydTD331ydFG1570ydPUNT3-5ydTD956ydTD475ydPUNT34ydTO420ydTD767ydEND1568yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida and Texas
StatisticFloridaTexas
Passing12-2522-33
Pass Yards132352
Rush Yards197210
Total Yards329562
Turnovers31
3rd Down6-145-11
Penalties4-357-70
Possession32:0627:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida
passing
Aidan Warner
12/25, 132 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Ja'Kobi Jackson
19 CAR, 116 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chimere Dike
5 REC, 95 YDS
defense
Texas
passing
Quinn Ewers
19/27, 333 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Jerrick Gibson
16 CAR, 100 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaydon Blue
3 REC, 67 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Quinn Ewers pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 10 yds to the TEX 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Quinn Ewers pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 12 yds to the TEX 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.19

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 20 yds to the FLA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Quintrevion Wisner run for 6 yds to the FLA 27

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.02

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Juan Davis for 4 yds to the FLA 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 7 yds to the FLA 16

2nd & 3Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.29

Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 7 yards to the FLA 23

3rd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.61

Quinn Ewers sacked by T.J. Searcy for a loss of 9 yards to the FLA 32

4th & 19Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Bert Auburn 51 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Aidan Warner pass complete to Aidan Mizell for 5 yds to the FLA 37

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Jadan Baugh run for 9 yds to the FLA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Jadan Baugh run for a loss of 2 yards to the FLA 44

2nd & 12Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Aidan Warner pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for a loss of 3 yards to the FLA 41

3rd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Aidan Warner pass complete to Chimere Dike for 7 yds to the FLA 48

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 37 yds, downed at the TEX 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Isaiah Bond

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Gunnar Helm

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.20

Quinn Ewers run for 9 yds to the TEX 24

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Jerrick Gibson run for 2 yds to the TEX 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+44 ydsPPA +3.19

Isaiah Bond run for 44 yds to the FLA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Jaydon Blue run for 1 yd to the FLA 29

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.24

Matthew Golden 29 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Aidan Warner pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Aidan Warner pass incomplete to Hayden Hansen

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Florida Penalty, False Start (Arlis Boardingham) to the FLA 20

3rd & 15Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+15 ydsPPA +0.29

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 5 yds to the FLA 23 Ja'Kobi Jackson fumbled, forced by Anthony Hill Jr., recovered by TEX Trey Moore , return for 13 yds to the FLA 12 Texas Penalty, Illegal Block (Jelani McDonald) to the FLA 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Quintrevion Wisner

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.05

Gunnar Helm 22 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick)

2nd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Will Stone kickoff for 65 yds , Jadan Baugh return for 16 yds to the FLA 16

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jadan Baugh run for 3 yds to the FLA 19

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Jadan Baugh run for 11 yds to the FLA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jadan Baugh run for no gain to the FLA 30

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Jadan Baugh run for 2 yds to the FLA 32

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Aidan Warner pass complete to Marcus Burke for 6 yds to the FLA 38

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 62 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Blue, Jaydon rush for 2 yards to the TEX22, PENALTY TEX holding (Banks Jr., Kelvin) 10 yards to the TEX10, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.10

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for no gain to the TEX 10

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.01

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 2 yds to the TEX 12

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Michael Kern punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the FLA 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +1.63

Aidan Warner pass complete to Chimere Dike for 39 yds to the TEX 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Aidan Warner run for no gain to the TEX 15

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Jadan Baugh run for 7 yds to the TEX 8

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd to the TEX 7

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TEX 12

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+30 yds

Trey Smack 30 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 2 yds to the TEX 22

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd to the TEX 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.50

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 19 yds to the TEX 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to DeAndre Moore Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jaydon Blue run for 4 yds to the TEX 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to DeAndre Moore Jr.

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Michael Kern punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the FLA 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Aidan Warner pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd to the FLA 18

3rd & 9Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.15

Aidan Warner pass complete to Tank Hawkins for a loss of 3 yards to the FLA 15

4th & 12Punt+13 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 48 yds , Silas Bolden returns for 13 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +3.84

Quintrevion Wisner 50 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Will Stone kickoff for 61 yds , Jadan Baugh return for 13 yds to the FLA 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.84

Aidan Warner pass complete to Ja'Kobi Jackson for 13 yds to the FLA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 5 yds to the FLA 35 for a 1ST down Texas Penalty, Illegal Block (Jaylon Guilbeau) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Aidan Warner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 5 yds to the TEX 45

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.83

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 8 yds to the TEX 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 6 yds to the TEX 31

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Aidan Warner run for no gain to the TEX 31

3rd & 4Penalty-10 yds

Warner, Aidan pass incomplete to Dike, Chimere, PENALTY FLA holding (Barber, Austin) 10 yards to the TEX41, NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.46

Aidan Warner sacked by Jaylon Guilbeau for a loss of 7 yards to the TEX 48

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 3 yds to the TEX 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.75

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 45 yds to the FLA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Jaydon Blue

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.48

Matthew Golden 32 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Jadan Baugh run for 12 yds to the FLA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+5 ydsPPA -1.95

Aidan Warner pass intercepted Ty'Anthony Smith return for 5 yds to the FLA 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.78

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Silas Bolden for 20 yds to the FLA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to DeAndre Moore Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.27

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 20 yds to the FLA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jaydon Blue 5 Yd Run (Bert Auburn Kick)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 8 yds to the FLA 33

0th & 10End of Half+8 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jadan Baugh run for 9 yds to the FLA 34

2nd & 1Pass Interception Return+9 ydsPPA -2.17

Aidan Warner pass intercepted Andrew Mukuba return for 9 yds to the FLA 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 2 yds to the FLA 29

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Quintrevion Wisner run for no gain to the FLA 29

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Texas Penalty, Face Mask (5 yards) (Trevor Goosby) to the FLA 34

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +4.84

Isaiah Bond 34 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 7 yds to the FLA 32

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 6 yds to the FLA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 4 yds to the FLA 42

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 4 yds to the FLA 46

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.44

Jadan Baugh run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Aidan Warner pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jadan Baugh run for 4 yds to the TEX 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.44

Aidan Warner pass complete to Jadan Baugh for 7 yds to the TEX 39 for a 1ST down Texas Penalty, Roughing Passer (Barryn Sorrell) to the TEX 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jadan Baugh run for 2 yds to the TEX 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Aidan Warner pass incomplete to Marcus Burke

3rd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.37

Jadan Baugh run for 16 yds to the TEX 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd to the TEX 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Aidan Warner pass incomplete to Ja'Kobi Jackson

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Aidan Warner pass incomplete to Ja'Quavion Fraziars

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Trey Smack 23 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaydon Blue run for 5 yds to the TEX 30

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Blue, Jaydon rush for 6 yards to the TEX36, PENALTY TEX holding (Williams, Cameron) 10 yards to the TEX20, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Arch Manning pass incomplete to Isaiah Bond

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Arch Manning pass incomplete to Jaydon Blue

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Michael Kern punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the FLA 44

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 3 yds to the FLA 47

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 5 yds to the TEX 48

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.51

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 8 yds to the TEX 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Aidan Warner pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 12 yds to the TEX 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.21

Aidan Warner pass complete to Chimere Dike for 13 yds to the TEX 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 4 yds to the TEX 11

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.89

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 7 yds to the TEX 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jadan Baugh run for 2 yds to the TEX 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Jadan Baugh 2 Yd Run (Trey Smack Kick)

1st & 10Rush+45 ydsPPA +3.26

Jaydon Blue run for 45 yds to the FLA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.22

Jerrick Gibson run for 12 yds to the FLA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Arch Manning pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 4 yds to the FLA 14

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.61

Jerrick Gibson 14 Yd Run (Bert Auburn Kick)

2nd & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Will Stone kickoff for 63 yds , Jadan Baugh return for 20 yds to the FLA 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jadan Baugh run for 4 yds to the FLA 26

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Aidan Warner pass incomplete to Tank Hawkins

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Aidan Warner pass incomplete to Amir Jackson

4th & 6Punt+29 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TEX 30 for a 1ST down Florida Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Ja'Markis Weston) to the TEX 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jerrick Gibson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.46

Arch Manning pass complete to Silas Bolden for 13 yds to the FLA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Jerrick Gibson run for 1 yd to the FLA 36

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Manning, Arch pass complete to Bolden, Silas for 11 yards to the FLA25, PENALTY TEX ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the FLA41, NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -2.39

Jerrick Gibson run for 8 yds to the FLA 33 Jerrick Gibson fumbled, forced by Myles Graham, recovered by FLA Aaron Gates

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.82

Aidan Warner pass complete to Chimere Dike for 20 yds to the TEX 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 9 yds to the TEX 38

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Aidan Warner pass incomplete to Aidan Mizell

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.70

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 4 yds to the TEX 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.27

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 11 yds to the TEX 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.47

Aidan Warner pass complete to Chimere Dike for 16 yds to the TEX 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Ja'Kobi Jackson 7 Yd Run (Trey Smack Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jerrick Gibson run for 7 yds to the TEX 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Arch Manning pass incomplete to Parker Livingstone

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Jerrick Gibson run for 3 yds to the TEX 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Jerrick Gibson run for a loss of 3 yards to the TEX 32

2nd & 13Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.89

Jerrick Gibson run for 10 yds to the TEX 42

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.79

Jerrick Gibson run for 6 yds to the TEX 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jerrick Gibson run for 1 yd to the TEX 49

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Colin Page run for 5 yds to the FLA 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Arch Manning pass complete to Amari Niblack for 2 yds to the FLA 44

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.18

Jerrick Gibson run for 2 yds to the FLA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jerrick Gibson run for 5 yds to the FLA 37

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Colin Page run for 2 yds to the FLA 35

3rd & 3Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.20

Jerrick Gibson run for 25 yds to the FLA 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jerrick Gibson run for 4 yds to the FLA 6

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 7

Situational Analysis

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
53%
30 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th

Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
46%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
64%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays