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← Back to GamesNov 10, 2024Week 11
AlabamaAlabama
42
-Final
13
LSULSU
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 3

Home Win Probability

LSU 39%

Market (Bovada)

LSU +3

Edge: LSU +3 (0.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 10, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AlabamaAlabama
14771442
LSULSU
330713

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-73-146-146-216-286-356-4213-42
LSUAlabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSULSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALATD875ydFG644ydTD1575ydPUNT617ydPUNT69ydFG764ydDOWNS935ydTO1-8ydTD332ydEND1033ydTO1471ydTD880ydPUNT514ydTD485ydDOWNS733ydPUNT33ydTO414ydTD947ydTD875ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alabama and LSU
StatisticAlabamaLSU
Passing12-1827-42
Pass Yards109239
Rush Yards311104
Total Yards420343
Turnovers03
3rd Down10-136-14
Penalties7-747-65
Possession33:5526:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alabama
passing
Jalen Milroe
12/18, 109 YDS
rushing
Jalen Milroe
12 CAR, 185 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
Jamarion Miller
5 REC, 50 YDS
defense
Jihaad Campbell
3 TFL, 1 PD
LSU
passing
Garrett Nussmeier
27/42, 239 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Caden Durham
8 CAR, 63 YDS
receiving
Kyren Lacy
5 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Whit Weeks
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Alabama Penalty, False Start (Kadyn Proctor) to the ALA 20

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Jam Miller run for 1 yd to the ALA 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.34

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for 19 yds to the ALA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Kendrick Law run for no gain to the ALA 40

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Jam Miller run for 1 yd to the ALA 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.75

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kendrick Law for 10 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Justice Haynes for 9 yds to the LSU 40

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Justice Haynes run for 1 yd to the LSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Jalen Milroe run for 39 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+50 yds

Conor Talty kickoff for 65 yds , Zavion Thomas return for 50 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

2nd & 10Rush+45 ydsPPA +3.07

Caden Durham run for 45 yds to the ALA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Trey'Dez Green

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Josh Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Damian Ramos 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jam Miller for 5 yds to the ALA 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the ALA 32

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.42

Jalen Milroe run for 5 yds to the ALA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jam Miller for 8 yds to the ALA 45

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Jalen Milroe run for 7 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.28

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for 10 yds to the LSU 39

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.67

Justice Haynes run for 2 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Germie Bernard

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

LSU Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the LSU 32

2nd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.44

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jam Miller for 20 yds to the LSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jalen Milroe run for 5 yds to the LSU 7

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Germie Bernard

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.85

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jam Miller for 6 yds to the LSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jam Miller run for no gain to the LSU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Justice Haynes run for 1 yd for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

2nd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Conor Talty kickoff for 64 yds , Zavion Thomas return for 16 yds to the LSU 17

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Caden Durham run for 7 yds to the LSU 24

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the LSU 26

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.68

Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the LSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 7 yds to the LSU 35

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.25

Caden Durham run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 34

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

4th & 4Punt+28 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 42 yds , Ryan Williams returns for 28 yds to the LSU 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Ryan Williams

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Jam Miller run for 1 yd to the LSU 47

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.60

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jam Miller for 11 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Jam Miller run for 6 yds to the LSU 30

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Justice Haynes run for 1 yd to the LSU 29

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Alabama Penalty, False Start (Danny Lewis Jr.) to the LSU 34

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr.

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

Alabama Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LSU 39

4th & 13Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 29 yds, downed at the LSU 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.65

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 26 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Zavion Thomas run for 12 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.00

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 16 yds to the ALA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Alabama Penalty, Personal Foul (Tim Smith) to the ALA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Josh Williams

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Will Campbell) to the ALA 31

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 5 yds to the ALA 26

4th & 15Field Goal Good+43 yds

Damian Ramos 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jam Miller run for 4 yds to the ALA 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kendrick Law run for 4 yds to the ALA 33

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Jalen Milroe run for 6 yds to the ALA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jalen Milroe run for 4 yds to the ALA 43

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.26

Justice Haynes run for 8 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Justice Haynes run for 7 yds to the LSU 42

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the LSU 40

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

TEAM run for no gain to the LSU 40

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.05

Jam Miller run for no gain to the LSU 40

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.20

Garrett Nussmeier sacked by Jihaad Campbell for a loss of 8 yards to the LSU 32 Garrett Nussmeier fumbled, forced by Jihaad Campbell, recovered by ALA Tim Smith , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.36

Jalen Milroe run for 22 yds to the LSU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Jalen Milroe run for 10 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

2nd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Conor Talty kickoff for 65 yds , Zavion Thomas return for 18 yds to the LSU 18

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Josh Williams run for 1 yd to the LSU 19

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.49

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 14 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 8 yds to the LSU 41

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.22

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 5 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Garrett Nussmeier run for 6 yds to the ALA 48

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 3 yds to the ALA 45

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.94

Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the ALA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (DJ Chester) to the ALA 47

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

2nd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 4 yds to the ALA 43

3rd & 11Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.51

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for a loss of 6 yards to the ALA 49

0th & 11End of Half-6 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Zavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the LSU 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Zavion Thomas

3rd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.34

Garrett Nussmeier run for 14 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Chris Hilton Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the LSU 47

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 7 yds to the ALA 46

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.11

Garrett Nussmeier run for 2 yds to the ALA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Emery Jones Jr.) to the LSU 46

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Chris Hilton Jr.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.17

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Zavion Thomas for 11 yds to the ALA 43

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 5 yds to the ALA 38

4th & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.45

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 12 yds to the ALA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.84

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 21 yds to the ALA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Josh Williams run for 1 yd to the ALA 4

2nd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.67

Garrett Nussmeier pass intercepted, touchback. Deontae Lawson return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Kendrick Law run for 8 yds to the ALA 28

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.44

Jam Miller run for 8 yds to the ALA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Justice Haynes run for 2 yds to the ALA 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Kendrick Law

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

LSU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the LSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.91

Ryan Williams run for 22 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Justice Haynes run for 1 yd to the LSU 24

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jam Miller run for 5 yds to the LSU 19

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.00

Jalen Milroe run for 19 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

3rd & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Conor Talty kickoff for 60 yds , Zavion Thomas return for 27 yds to the LSU 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the LSU 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.14

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 28 yds to the ALA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the ALA 38

3rd & 9Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.34

Garrett Nussmeier sacked by Jihaad Campbell and DaShawn Jones for a loss of 11 yards to the ALA 49

4th & 20Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LSU 46

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ryan Williams at the ALA 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.69

Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 12 yds to the ALA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the ALA 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kendrick Law for no gain to the ALA 28

3rd & 9Rushing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +7.03

Jalen Milroe run for 72 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

3rd & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+32 yds

Conor Talty kickoff for 65 yds for a 1ST down , Zavion Thomas return for 32 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down Alabama Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the LSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 4 yds to the ALA 49

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Garrett Nussmeier run for 5 yds to the ALA 44

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.90

Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the ALA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Alabama Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the ALA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.59

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 27

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Caden Durham run for 6 yds to the ALA 21

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -3.22

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 1 yd to the ALA 20

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jam Miller run for 6 yds to the ALA 26

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the ALA 28

3rd & 2Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.70

Jalen Milroe run for a loss of 5 yards to the ALA 23

4th & 7Punt-3 yds

James Burnip punt for 62 yds , Zavion Thomas returns for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for 4 yds to the LSU 16

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for 1 yd to the LSU 17

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 9 yds to the LSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.99

Garrett Nussmeier pass intercepted Bray Hubbard return for no gain to the LSU 47

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Richard Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 48

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Richard Young run for 3 yds to the LSU 45

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

LSU Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Bradyn Swinson) to the LSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Richard Young run for 6 yds to the LSU 24

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Richard Young run for 2 yds to the LSU 22

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.31

Daniel Hill run for 3 yds to the LSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Daniel Hill run for 1 yd to the LSU 18

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Ty Simpson run for 1 yd to the LSU 17

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Richard Young run for 9 yds to the LSU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Richard Young run for 8 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kaleb Jackson run for 4 yds to the LSU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.34

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kaleb Jackson for 10 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Kaleb Jackson run for 2 yds to the LSU 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.23

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 17 yds to the ALA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.76

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 15 yds to the ALA 27 for a 1ST down Alabama Penalty, Roughing Passer (14 Yards) to the ALA 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 1 yd to the ALA 12

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Aaron Anderson

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.09

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 12 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 24

Situational Analysis

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
25%
8 plays
29%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
42%
24 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays