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← Back to GamesNov 2, 2024Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Auburn by 2.2

Home Win Probability

Auburn 61%

Market (Bovada)

Auburn -8.5

Edge: Vanderbilt +8.5 (6.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 2, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VanderbiltVanderbilt
703717
AuburnAuburn
07007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-77-77-107-17
AuburnVanderbilt

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AUBVANAUBVANAUBVANAUBVANAUBVANAUBVANAUBVANAUBVANAUBVANAUBVANAUBVANAUBVANPUNT420ydPUNT34ydPUNT31ydPUNT522ydPUNT649ydTD681ydDOWNS534ydPUNT35ydTD1180ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT38ydPUNT65ydEND32ydPUNT35ydMISS746ydPUNT928ydPUNT3-1ydFG48ydPUNT611ydTD1478ydMISS841ydPUNT33ydTO116ydEND3-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Vanderbilt and Auburn
StatisticVanderbiltAuburn
Passing9-2320-29
Pass Yards143239
Rush Yards8988
Total Yards232327
Turnovers01
3rd Down4-162-13
Penalties3-216-47
Possession31:5728:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Vanderbilt
passing
Diego Pavia
9/22, 143 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Sedrick Alexander
10 CAR, 28 YDS
receiving
Junior Sherrill
1 REC, 31 YDS
defense
Auburn
passing
Payton Thorne
20/29, 239 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jarquez Hunter
12 CAR, 50 YDS
receiving
Keandre Lambert
4 REC, 78 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Jarquez Hunter run for 15 yds to the AUB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Payton Thorne pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for 6 yds to the AUB 46

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.01

Jeremiah Cobb run for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 45

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Martel Hight at the VAN 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Sedrick Alexander run for 4 yds to the VAN 20

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Diego Pavia run for no gain to the VAN 20

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 50 yds, downed at the AUB 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jarquez Hunter run for 2 yds to the AUB 32

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Payton Thorne sacked by Khordae Sydnor for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 31

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Martel Hight at the VAN 33

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.44

Eli Stowers run for a loss of 4 yards to the VAN 29

2nd & 14Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.03

Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Diego Pavia pass complete to Richie Hoskins for 7 yds to the AUB 43

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AUB 48

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

AJ Newberry run for 3 yds to the AUB 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 44 yds, downed at the AUB 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Payton Thorne pass complete to Cam Coleman for 9 yds to the AUB 10

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.31

Jarquez Hunter run for 4 yds to the AUB 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.19

Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 29 yds to the AUB 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Jarquez Hunter run for 2 yds to the AUB 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Payton Thorne pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 31 yds, downed at the VAN 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.60

Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 31 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the AUB 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.60

Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 16 yds to the AUB 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Diego Pavia run for 4 yds to the AUB 28

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.58

Diego Pavia pass complete to AJ Newberry for 28 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.15

Jeremiah Cobb run for 27 yds to the VAN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(00:05) COBB, Jeremiah rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the VANDY35 (LONGWELL, Bryan), clock 00:00. PENALTY AUBURN Holding on MILLER, Izavion enforced 10 yards from the VANDY38 to the VANDY48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.46

Payton Thorne sacked by Miles Capers for a loss of 3 yards to the AUB 49

2nd & 23Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.79

Payton Thorne pass complete to Robert Lewis for 14 yds to the VAN 37

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Payton Thorne run for 6 yds to the VAN 31

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.63

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Chase Gillespie run for 5 yds to the VAN 36

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 64 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Damari Alston run for 5 yds to the AUB 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jeremiah Cobb for 5 yds to the AUB 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Damari Alston run for 8 yds to the AUB 38

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

Payton Thorne run for 1 yd to the AUB 39

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jarquez Hunter run for no gain to the AUB 39

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.93

Jarquez Hunter run for 2 yds to the AUB 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Jarquez Hunter run for 2 yds to the AUB 43

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jarquez Hunter run for 6 yds to the AUB 49

4th & 2Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.26

Payton Thorne pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for 21 yds to the VAN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Payton Thorne pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 30 yds for a TD (Towns McGough KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Sedrick Alexander run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt+7 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 56 yds , Keionte Scott returns for 7 yds to the AUB 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jeremiah Cobb for 4 yds to the AUB 31

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jarquez Hunter run for 4 yds to the AUB 35

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jarquez Hunter run for no gain to the AUB 35

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 58 yds, fair catch by Martel Hight at the VAN 7

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Moni Jones run for 2 yds to the VAN 9

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Moni Jones run for 3 yds to the VAN 12

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Moni Jones run for 6 yds to the VAN 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Diego Pavia run for 5 yds to the VAN 23

2nd & 5Penalty-15 yds

(01:37) PAVIA, Diego pass up the middle complete for 15 yards to STOWERS, Eli caught at the VANDY35 and advanced to the VANDY38 (MAUSI, Dorian), clock 01:30. PENALTY VANDY Face mask on HANSEN, Gunnar enforced half the distance from the goal, 11 yards from the VANDY23 to the VANDY12 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt+5 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 60 yds , Keionte Scott returns for 5 yds to the AUB 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Payton Thorne pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 6 yds to the AUB 39

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.03

Payton Thorne pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 9 yds to the AUB 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(00:36) QB Keeper THORNE, Payton rush to the left for a gain of 12 yards to the VANDY40, out of bounds, clock 00:31. PENALTY AUBURN Holding on LEW, Connor enforced 10 yards from the AUBURN48 to the AUBURN38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.83

Payton Thorne sacked by Aeneas DiCosmo for a loss of 3 yards to the AUB 35

0th & 20End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Diego Pavia run for 3 yds to the VAN 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the VAN 31

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Diego Pavia run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 30

4th & 5Punt+17 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 59 yds , Malcolm Simmons returns for 17 yds to the AUB 28

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Jarquez Hunter run for 8 yds to the AUB 36

2nd & 2Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.59

Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 22 yds to the VAN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 10 yds to the VAN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jarquez Hunter run for 5 yds to the VAN 27

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Jeremiah Cobb run for a loss of 2 yards to the VAN 29

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Payton Thorne pass complete to Perry Thompson for 3 yds to the VAN 26

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Towns McGough 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Diego Pavia run for no gain to the VAN 26

3rd & 10Penalty+10 yds

(08:14) PAVIA, Diego pass up the middle incomplete intended for STOWERS, Eli thrown to the VANDY35; QB hurried by FAULK, Keldric, clock 08:09. PENALTY AUBURN Holding on CRAWFORD, Jay enforced 10 yards from the VANDY26 to the VANDY36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Diego Pavia run for 4 yds to the VAN 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

(07:23) PAVIA, Diego pass short to the left incomplete intended for HOSKINS, Richie broken up by FAULK, Keldric at the VANDY45, clock 07:20. PENALTY Before the snap, AUBURN Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the VANDY40 to the VANDY45. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Diego Pavia run for no gain to the VAN 45

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.40

Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

AJ Newberry run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Eli Stowers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

AJ Newberry run for 4 yds to the AUB 46

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 44 yds, downed at the AUB 2

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Damari Alston run for 1 yd to the AUB 3

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.16

Payton Thorne run for a loss of 2 yards to the AUB 1

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt+39 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 59 yds , Martel Hight returns for 39 yds to the AUB 21

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Moni Jones run for 6 yds to the AUB 15

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Moni Jones run for 2 yds to the AUB 13

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

4th & 2Field Goal Good+31 yds

Brock Taylor 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Damari Alston run for 4 yds to the AUB 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Damari Alston run for 1 yd to the AUB 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Payton Thorne pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for 12 yds to the AUB 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.47

Malcolm Simmons run for a loss of 10 yards to the AUB 32

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jeremiah Cobb run for 4 yds to the AUB 36

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Martel Hight at the VAN 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Sedrick Alexander run for 4 yds to the VAN 26

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Sedrick Alexander run for 4 yds to the VAN 30

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.12

Sedrick Alexander run for 4 yds to the VAN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the VAN 36

2nd & 8Penalty+8 yds

(10:24) PAVIA, Diego pass up the middle incomplete intended for STOWERS, Eli thrown to the VANDY44, clock 10:23. PENALTY AUBURN Pass Interference on WOODEN, Caleb enforced at the spot of the foul for 8 yards to the VANDY44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Chase Gillespie run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.22

Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 22 yds to the AUB 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, False Start (Chase Mitchell) to the AUB 33

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Diego Pavia pass complete to Chase Gillespie for 6 yds to the AUB 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.42

Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 8 yds to the AUB 19

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Diego Pavia run for 7 yds to the AUB 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Sedrick Alexander run for 4 yds to the AUB 8

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Sedrick Alexander run for no gain to the AUB 8

4th & 6Penalty+4 yds

(05:18) TAYLOR, Brock field goal attempt from 26 yards GOOD [kick was spotted at AUBURN16], score nullified by penalty, clock 05:14. PENALTY AUBURN Personal Foul on FAULK, Keldric enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the AUBURN8 to the AUBURN4 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [FG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Diego Pavia run for no gain to the AUB 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 4 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 17 yds to the AUB 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Payton Thorne run for 3 yds to the AUB 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 4 yds to the AUB 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.97

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 11 yds to the VAN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 6 yds to the VAN 34

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Towns McGough 52 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Nate Johnson run for 2 yds to the VAN 36

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the VAN 37

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Nate Johnson run for no gain to the VAN 37

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 46 yds, downed at the AUB 17

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+16 ydsPPA -0.46

Payton Thorne pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 16 yds Rivaldo Fairweather fumbled, recovered by VAN De'Rickey Wright D. Wright return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

(01:36) [NH] Kneel down by PAVIA, Diego at AUBURN35 (team loss of 2), clock 01:29.

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

(00:56) Kneel down by PAVIA, Diego at AUBURN36 (team loss of 1), clock 00:51.

3rd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.30

(00:15) Kneel down by PAVIA, Diego at AUBURN38 (team loss of 2), clock 00:11.

Situational Analysis

Vanderbilt

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
24%
21 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
29%
7 plays
30%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Auburn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
57%
23 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays