Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 26, 2024Week 9
AuburnAuburn
24
-Final
10
KentuckyKentucky
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kentucky by 7.1

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 63%

Market (Bovada)

Kentucky -2

Edge: Kentucky -2 (5.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AuburnAuburn
0107724
KentuckyKentucky
1000010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-010-710-1010-1710-24
KentuckyAuburn

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KENAUBKENAUBKENAUBKENAUBKENAUBKENAUBAUBKENAUBKENAUBKENAUBFG747ydPUNT30ydTD753ydTO20ydPUNT3-9ydPUNT938ydPUNT66ydTD553ydTO526ydFG854ydPUNT622ydEND1066ydTD1475ydPUNT31ydMISS761ydPUNT420ydTD980ydDOWNS1466ydEND1181yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Auburn and Kentucky
StatisticAuburnKentucky
Passing20-2612-27
Pass Yards172154
Rush Yards32870
Total Yards500224
Turnovers12
3rd Down8-144-12
Penalties6-493-40
Possession35:4224:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Auburn
passing
Payton Thorne
20/26, 172 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jarquez Hunter
23 CAR, 278 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Keandre Lambert
4 REC, 53 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Kentucky
passing
Brock Vandagriff
9/17, 120 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jason Patterson
6 CAR, 38 YDS
receiving
Dane Key
4 REC, 87 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jamarion Wilcox run for 7 yds to the UK 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Jason Patterson for 15 yds to the UK 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.22

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 21 yds to the AUB 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd to the AUB 31

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 3 yds to the AUB 28

4th & 6Field Goal Good+46 yds

Alex Raynor 46 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Aidan Laros kickoff for 65 yds , Malcolm Simmons return for 26 yds to the AUB 39 Auburn Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) to the AUB 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15

Payton Thorne run for no gain to the AUB 9

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.06

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for no gain to the AUB 9

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Kentucky Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UK 40

2nd & 17Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.82

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 34 yds to the AUB 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.26

Jason Patterson run for 23 yds to the AUB 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd to the AUB 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Jamarion Wilcox run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jarquez Hunter run for no gain to the AUB 25

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-1 ydsPPA -0.22

Payton Thorne pass intercepted JQ Hardaway return for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 40

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Jamarion Wilcox run for 1 yd to the AUB 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.22

Brock Vandagriff sacked by Keldric Faulk for a loss of 10 yards to the AUB 49

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Aidan Laros punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Payton Thorne pass complete to Cam Coleman for 4 yds to the AUB 14

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.31

Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 25 yds to the AUB 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Payton Thorne pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for 5 yds to the AUB 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.14

Payton Thorne pass complete to Cam Coleman for 7 yds to the UK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.68

Payton Thorne sacked by Jamon Dumas-Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the AUB 43

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 18Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 5 yds to the AUB 48

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Barion Brown for 8 yds to the UK 17

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Jason Patterson run for 1 yd to the UK 18

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.41

Brock Vandagriff run for 2 yds to the UK 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Josh Kattus for 3 yds to the UK 23

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Gavin Wimsatt run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 22

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.26

Brock Vandagriff sacked by Keldric Faulk for a loss of 7 yards to the UK 15

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Aidan Laros punt for 38 yds, downed at the AUB 47

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Damari Alston run for 1 yd to the AUB 48

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Damari Alston run for 7 yds to the UK 45

3rd & 2Penalty+15 yds

(12:03) THORNE, Payton pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LAMBERT-SMITH, KeAndre thrown to the UK15, clock 11:58. PENALTY UK Pass Interference on NICHOLS, Terhyon enforced 15 yards to the UK30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.20

Jarquez Hunter run for 10 yds to the UK 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.57

Jarquez Hunter run for 14 yds to the UK 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 6 yds for a TD (Alex McPherson KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Towns McGough kickoff for 65 yds , Barion Brown return for 19 yds to the UK 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Jamarion Wilcox for 2 yds to the UK 21

2nd & 8Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.32

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Hardley Gilmore IV for 22 yds to the UK 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Jamarion Wilcox run for 2 yds to the UK 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA -0.84

Brock Vandagriff pass intercepted Jay Crawford return for a loss of 3 yards to the AUB 37

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Damari Alston run for 11 yds to the AUB 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Damari Alston run for 5 yds to the UK 47

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Payton Thorne run for 10 yds to the UK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.49

Payton Thorne pass complete to Damari Alston for 22 yds to the UK 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Payton Thorne sacked by Keeshawn Silver for a loss of 2 yards to the UK 17

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Payton Thorne pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for 8 yds to the UK 9

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Payton Thorne run for no gain to the UK 9

4th & 4Field Goal Good+27 yds

Alex McPherson 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 12 yds to the UK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jason Patterson run for 3 yds to the UK 40

2nd & 7Penalty+10 yds

(03:01) VANDAGRIFF, Brock pass deep to the left incomplete intended for KEY, Dane thrown to the AUB44, clock 02:57. PENALTY AUB Holding on HARRIS, Kaleb enforced 10 yards from the UK40 to the UK50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.51

Brock Vandagriff run for a loss of 3 yards to the UK 47 Brock Vandagriff fumbled, recovered by UK Brock Vandagriff B. Vandagriff return for 0 yds

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt+1 yds

Aidan Laros punt for 41 yds , Keionte Scott returns for 1 yd to the AUB 13

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.92

Jarquez Hunter run for 16 yds to the AUB 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.16

Jarquez Hunter run for 24 yds to the UK 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Payton Thorne pass complete to Cam Coleman for 9 yds to the UK 38

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -0.21

Payton Thorne pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for 8 yds to the UK 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.98

Payton Thorne sacked by Deone Walker for a loss of 8 yards to the UK 38

2nd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Payton Thorne pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 7 yds to the UK 31

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Payton Thorne pass complete to Camden Brown for 12 yds to the UK 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Damari Alston run for 2 yds to the UK 17

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Payton Thorne pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 3 yds to the UK 14

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.57

Payton Thorne sacked by J.J. Weaver for a loss of 7 yards to the UK 21

0th & 5End of Half-7 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jarquez Hunter run for no gain to the AUB 25

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Jarquez Hunter run for 12 yds to the AUB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Payton Thorne run for 9 yds to the AUB 46

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.01

Jarquez Hunter run for 6 yds to the UK 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Jarquez Hunter run for 9 yds to the UK 39

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jarquez Hunter run for no gain to the UK 39

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.62

Jarquez Hunter run for 1 yd to the UK 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jeremiah Cobb run for 1 yd to the UK 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.90

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 10 yds to the UK 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Jarquez Hunter run for 1 yd to the UK 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.92

Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 19 yds to the UK 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jarquez Hunter run for 6 yds to the UK 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jarquez Hunter run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jamarion Wilcox run for 1 yd to the UK 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+16 yds

Aidan Laros punt for 53 yds , Keionte Scott returns for 16 yds to the AUB 10

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jarquez Hunter run for 5 yds to the AUB 15

2nd & 5Rush+50 ydsPPA +3.75

Jarquez Hunter run for 50 yds to the UK 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Payton Thorne pass complete to Robert Lewis for 11 yds to the UK 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Payton Thorne pass complete to Cam Coleman for 4 yds to the UK 20

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Jeremiah Cobb run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 21

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion-8 ydsPPA -2.30

Payton Thorne pass incomplete Auburn Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Payton Thorne) to the UK 29

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Alex McPherson 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds to the UK 32

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

(03:08) WIMSATT, Gavin pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BROWN, Barion thrown to the AUB20, clock 03:02. PENALTY AUB Pass Interference on LEE, Kayin enforced 15 yards to the UK47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Barion Brown run for 2 yds to the UK 49

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Aidan Laros punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jeremiah Cobb run for 2 yds to the AUB 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 3 yds to the AUB 25

3rd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.76

Payton Thorne run for 11 yds to the AUB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jarquez Hunter run for 3 yds to the AUB 39

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Payton Thorne run for 4 yds to the AUB 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.61

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 4 yds to the AUB 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Jarquez Hunter run for 7 yds to the UK 46

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.95

Jarquez Hunter run for 1 yd to the UK 45

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +4.41

Jarquez Hunter run for 45 yds for a TD (Alex McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the UK 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.87

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Khamari Anderson for 14 yds to the UK 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Jason Patterson run for 1 yd to the UK 42

2nd & 9Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.13

Gavin Wimsatt sacked by Quientrail Jamison-Travis for a loss of 2 yards to the UK 40

3rd & 11Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.52

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Dane Key for 20 yds to the AUB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Jamarion Wilcox run for 9 yds to the AUB 31

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.45

Gavin Wimsatt run for 4 yds to the AUB 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Jason Patterson run for 9 yds to the AUB 18

2nd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.62

Gavin Wimsatt run for 15 yds to the AUB 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jason Patterson run for 1 yd to the AUB 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Gavin Wimsatt run for no gain to the AUB 2

3rd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.31

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Khamari Anderson for no gain to the AUB 2

4th & 2Pass Interception Return+9 ydsPPA -4.15

Gavin Wimsatt pass intercepted Kayin Lee return for 9 yds to the AUB 9

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Jarquez Hunter run for 10 yds to the AUB 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Jarquez Hunter run for 11 yds to the AUB 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Damari Alston run for 1 yd to the AUB 31

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.65

Payton Thorne run for 9 yds to the AUB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Damari Alston run for a loss of 2 yards to the AUB 38

2nd & 12Rush+46 ydsPPA +3.68

Jarquez Hunter run for 46 yds to the UK 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Damari Alston run for a loss of 2 yards to the UK 18

2nd & 12Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.58

Damari Alston run for 15 yds to the UK 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Penalty-5 yds

ALSTON, Damari rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the UK1 (AFARI JR., Alex), clock 01:48. PENALTY Before the snap, AUB Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the UK3 to the UK8. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

(01:46) Kneel down by THORNE, Payton at UK9 (team loss of 1), clock 01:41.

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

(01:04) Kneel down by THORNE, Payton at UK10 (team loss of 1), clock 01:01.

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

(00:32) Kneel down by THORNE, Payton at UK10 (team loss of 0), clock 00:28.

Situational Analysis

Auburn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
46%
35 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
42%
12 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
30%
20 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
27%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play