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← Back to GamesOct 26, 2024Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 9.3

Home Win Probability

Alabama 70%

Market (Bovada)

Alabama -15.5

Edge: Missouri +15.5 (6.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MissouriMissouri
00000
AlabamaAlabama
31014734

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-06-020-027-034-0
AlabamaMissouri

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MISALAMISALAMISALAMISALAMISALAMISALAMISALAMISALAMISALAMISALAMISALAMISALAPUNT35ydFG850ydPUNT35ydPUNT31ydPUNT732ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT34ydPUNT714ydPUNT515ydFG1159ydTO416ydTD335ydDOWNS934ydTD680ydTO721ydPUNT35ydTO316ydTD565ydPUNT36ydPUNT59ydPUNT37ydTD577ydDOWNS1488ydEND688yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri and Alabama
StatisticMissouriAlabama
Passing13-2416-26
Pass Yards72215
Rush Yards167271
Total Yards239486
Turnovers30
3rd Down3-132-9
Penalties5-557-85
Possession30:0129:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri
passing
Drew Pyne
6/12, 42 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Marcus Carroll
17 CAR, 80 YDS
receiving
Brett Norfleet
3 REC, 23 YDS
defense
Alabama
passing
Jalen Milroe
16/26, 215 YDS
rushing
Justice Haynes
8 CAR, 79 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Germie Bernard
5 REC, 82 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for no gain to the MIZ 25

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.56

Brady Cook sacked by Jihaad Campbell for a loss of 8 yards to the MIZ 17

3rd & 18Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.23

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 13 yds to the MIZ 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Cole Adams at the ALA 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Robbie Ouzts for 6 yds to the ALA 27

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jam Miller run for 3 yds to the ALA 30

3rd & 1Penalty+15 yds

Missouri Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the ALA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 4 yds to the ALA 49

2nd & 6Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.62

Kendrick Law run for 21 yds to the MIZ 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kendrick Law for 3 yds to the MIZ 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 2 yds to the MIZ 25

3rd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.59

Justice Haynes run for a loss of 4 yards to the MIZ 29

4th & 9Field Goal Good+47 yds

Graham Nicholson 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the MIZ 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the MIZ 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Brady Cook pass incomplete to Joshua Manning

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Mbakwe at the ALA 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Jam Miller run for 1 yd to the ALA 27

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Ryan Williams

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Kobe Prentice

4th & 9Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 54 yds, downed at the MIZ 19

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.53

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for no gain to the MIZ 19

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 3 yds to the MIZ 22

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the MIZ 17

3rd & 12Penalty+15 yds

Alabama Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the MIZ 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 8 yds to the MIZ 40

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.22

Jamal Roberts run for 5 yds to the MIZ 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Brady Cook pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 1 yd to the MIZ 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brady Cook pass complete to Jordon Harris for 5 yds to the ALA 49

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Mbakwe at the ALA 7

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Justice Haynes run for 1 yd to the ALA 8

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Justice Haynes for 2 yds to the ALA 10

3rd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.15

Jalen Milroe sacked by Johnny Walker Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the ALA 5

4th & 12Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the MIZ 48

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the ALA 49

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the ALA 48

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+1 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 40 yds , Ryan Williams returns for 1 yd to the ALA 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for 5 yds to the ALA 14

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Alabama Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ALA 9

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.83

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 12 yds to the ALA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.09

Jam Miller run for 14 yds to the ALA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the ALA 37

2nd & 8Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.34

Jalen Milroe run for 2 yds to the ALA 39 Alabama Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ALA 29

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Kobe Prentice

3rd & 16Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.17

Jalen Milroe sacked by Johnny Walker Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the ALA 23

4th & 22Punt+36 yds

James Burnip punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the MIZ 26 Alabama Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the MIZ 41

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jamal Roberts run for 3 yds to the MIZ 44

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.48

Jamal Roberts run for 9 yds to the ALA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Jamal Roberts run for 3 yds to the ALA 44

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Brady Cook pass incomplete to Marquis Johnson

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brady Cook pass incomplete to Luther Burden III

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.20

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 26 yds to the ALA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Justice Haynes run for 9 yds to the MIZ 45

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Justice Haynes run for 2 yds to the MIZ 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Jalen Milroe run for 9 yds to the MIZ 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jam Miller run for 3 yds to the MIZ 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Jalen Milroe run for a loss of 2 yards to the MIZ 33

2nd & 12Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.20

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 21 yds to the MIZ 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Jam Miller run for 1 yd to the MIZ 11

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

Alabama Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MIZ 21

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Ryan Williams

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Germie Bernard

4th & 19Field Goal Good+39 yds

Graham Nicholson 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Luther Burden III run for 12 yds to the MIZ 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the MIZ 41

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the MIZ 41

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return+31 ydsPPA -0.76

Drew Pyne pass intercepted Malachi Moore return for 31 yds to the MIZ 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jam Miller run for 4 yds to the MIZ 31

2nd & 6Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.58

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 28 yds to the MIZ 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jam Miller run for 3 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jamal Roberts run for 8 yds to the MIZ 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Luther Burden III run for 3 yds to the MIZ 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jamal Roberts run for 7 yds to the MIZ 43

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.34

Jamal Roberts run for 4 yds to the MIZ 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Drew Pyne pass complete to Jamal Roberts for 10 yds to the ALA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Drew Pyne pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 2 yds to the ALA 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Mekhi Miller

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Theo Wease Jr.

4th & 8Missed Field Goal Return+40 yds

Blake Craig 59 yd FG RETURNED , Kendrick Law return for 40 yds to the ALA 40

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kendrick Law for 14 yds to the ALA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jalen Milroe run for 2 yds to the ALA 36

2nd & 8Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.08

Jalen Milroe run for 32 yds to the MIZ 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.45

Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 23 yds to the MIZ 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jalen Milroe run for no gain to the MIZ 9

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Jalen Milroe run for 9 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jamal Roberts run for no gain to the MIZ 25

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jamal Roberts run for no gain to the MIZ 25

3rd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.89

Drew Pyne run for 10 yds to the MIZ 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Drew Pyne pass complete to Joshua Manning for 6 yds to the MIZ 41

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Jamal Roberts run for 3 yds to the MIZ 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Jamal Roberts run for 2 yds to the MIZ 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.82

Drew Pyne pass intercepted Bray Hubbard return for no gain to the ALA 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Kobe Prentice

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Kobe Prentice

4th & 10Penalty+5 yds

Missouri Penalty, Running Into Kicker (5 Yards) to the ALA 32

4th & 5Penalty-15 yds

Alabama Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the ALA 17

4th & 20Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the MIZ 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Drew Pyne pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 13 yds to the ALA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the ALA 43

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.11

Drew Pyne pass intercepted Qua Russaw return for no gain to the ALA 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for 7 yds to the MIZ 43

2nd & 3Rush+28 ydsPPA +0.69

Justice Haynes run for 28 yds to the MIZ 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jalen Milroe run for 4 yds to the MIZ 11

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.58

Jam Miller run for 11 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jamal Roberts run for no gain to the MIZ 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Drew Pyne pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 6 yds to the MIZ 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Mekhi Miller

4th & 4Punt+14 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 44 yds , Ryan Williams returns for 14 yds to the ALA 39

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Alabama Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the ALA 24

1st & 25Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Jalen Milroe run for 5 yds to the ALA 29

2nd & 20Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.26

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Justice Haynes run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALA 48

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Ryan Williams

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Ryan Williams

4th & 12Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the MIZ 25

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the MIZ 28

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

JR Blood run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 27

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 50 yds, downed at the ALA 23

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Justice Haynes run for 10 yds to the ALA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jam Miller run for 5 yds to the ALA 38

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jam Miller run for 1 yd to the ALA 39

3rd & 4Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.18

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for 26 yds to the MIZ 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Justice Haynes run for 35 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Missouri Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Drew Pyne pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 5 yds to the MIZ 15

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.34

Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the MIZ 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the MIZ 24

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jamal Roberts run for 4 yds to the MIZ 28

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.60

Marcus Carroll run for 10 yds to the MIZ 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.66

Marcus Carroll run for 20 yds to the ALA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jamal Roberts run for 6 yds to the ALA 36

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.37

Marcus Carroll run for 14 yds to the ALA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the ALA 19

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.58

Jamal Roberts run for 12 yds to the ALA 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Jamal Roberts run for 5 yds to the ALA 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jamal Roberts run for no gain to the ALA 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the ALA 1

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.21

Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 2

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Richard Young run for 1 yd to the ALA 3

2nd & 9Rush+62 ydsPPA +4.21

Richard Young run for 62 yds to the MIZ 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Missouri Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the MIZ 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Daniel Hill run for 7 yds to the MIZ 13

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Daniel Hill run for no gain to the MIZ 13

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.25

Ty Simpson run for 3 yds to the MIZ 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Richard Young run for no gain to the MIZ 10

Situational Analysis

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
27 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
12 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
44%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
4th