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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2024Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas A&M by 18.7

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 11%

Market (Bovada)

Mississippi State +21

Edge: Mississippi State +21 (2.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas A&MTexas A&M
71410334
Mississippi StateMississippi State
7100724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-710-1417-2417-3124-34
Mississippi StateTexas A&M

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSTAMSTAMSTATAMSTATAMSTAMSTATAMSTAMSTAMSTATD1292ydTD1374ydPUNT837ydTD781ydFG969ydTO23ydTD428ydTD875ydEND14ydFG1764ydDOWNS57ydTD432ydPUNT822ydTO24ydPUNT32ydPUNT32ydFG741ydDOWNS626ydPUNT3-6ydDOWNS1220ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas A&M and Mississippi State
StatisticTexas A&MMississippi State
Passing15-2522-41
Pass Yards217242
Rush Yards137125
Total Yards354367
Turnovers21
3rd Down9-145-16
Penalties7-698-78
Possession30:0829:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas A&M
passing
Conner Weigman
15/25, 217 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Le'Veon Moss
17 CAR, 65 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jabre Barber
6 REC, 92 YDS
defense
Mississippi State
passing
Michael Van Buren Jr.
22/41, 242 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Davon Booth
12 CAR, 79 YDS
receiving
Kevin Coleman Jr.
8 REC, 89 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.52

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Mario Craver for 13 yds to the MSST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.88

Mario Craver run for a loss of 5 yards to the MSST 16

2nd & 15Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.70

Davon Booth run for 13 yds to the MSST 29

3rd & 2Rush+40 ydsPPA +3.67

Davon Booth run for 40 yds to the TA&M 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Johnnie Daniels run for 2 yds to the TA&M 29

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Johnnie Daniels run for no gain to the TA&M 29

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Michael Van Buren Jr. run for 7 yds to the TA&M 22

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.83

Johnnie Daniels run for 1 yd to the TA&M 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 7 yds to the TA&M 14

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.24

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Davon Booth for 14 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Nick Barr-Mira kickoff for 59 yds , Dalton Brooks return for 20 yds to the TA&M 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Jabre Barber run for 1 yd to the TA&M 27

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the TA&M 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.66

Conner Weigman pass complete to Jabre Barber for 6 yds to the TA&M 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Conner Weigman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Amari Daniels run for 7 yds to the TA&M 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.36

Conner Weigman pass complete to Jabre Barber for 14 yds to the MSST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.94

Conner Weigman pass complete to Jabre Barber for no gain to the MSST 43

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the MSST 40

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

(05:23) MOSS, Le'Veon rush to the left for a gain of 30 yards to the STATE10 (LANIER, Brylan), clock 05:15. PENALTY Before the snap, TEXAS Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the STATE40 to the STATE45. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.93

Conner Weigman pass complete to Amari Daniels for 14 yds to the MSST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

EJ Smith run for 1 yd to the MSST 30

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the MSST 29

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Conner Weigman pass complete to Jabre Barber for 9 yds to the MSST 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 20 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Michael Van Buren Jr. run for 2 yds to the MSST 15

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Johnnie Daniels run for 2 yds to the MSST 17

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.27

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Mario Craver for 11 yds to the MSST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Johnnie Daniels run for 8 yds to the MSST 36

2nd & 2Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.75

Johnnie Daniels run for 25 yds to the TA&M 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Johnnie Daniels run for 1 yd to the TA&M 38

2nd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.23

Michael Van Buren Jr. sacked by Rylan Kennedy and Taurean York for a loss of 6 yards to the TA&M 44

3rd & 15Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.14

Michael Van Buren Jr. sacked by Cashius Howell for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Nick Barr-Mira punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jabre Barber at the TA&M 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Conner Weigman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the TA&M 22

3rd & 7Pass Reception+58 ydsPPA +4.46

Conner Weigman pass complete to Jabre Barber for 58 yds to the MSST 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Conner Weigman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Amari Daniels run for 6 yds to the MSST 14

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.44

Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the MSST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Le'Veon Moss run for 9 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Davon Booth run for 1 yd to the MSST 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.20

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Davon Booth for 17 yds to the MSST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Mario Craver for 11 yds to the TA&M 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Davon Booth run for 1 yd to the TA&M 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.14

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 38 yds to the TA&M 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.72

Michael Van Buren Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the TA&M 12

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Michael Van Buren Jr. run for 6 yds to the TA&M 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Kyle Ferrie 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the TA&M 28

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.63

Conner Weigman pass intercepted Hunter Washington return for no gain to the TA&M 47

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the MSST 25

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the MSST 21

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Amari Daniels run for no gain to the MSST 21

4th & 3Penalty+15 yds

(02:00) WEIGMAN, Conner pass deep to the right incomplete intended for WALKER, Jahdae thrown to the STATE1, clock 01:55. PENALTY STATE Pass Interference on WASHINGTON, Hunter enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the STATE6 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Amari Daniels run for 6 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Davon Booth run for 6 yds to the MSST 31

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Michael Van Buren Jr. run for 8 yds to the MSST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Michael Van Buren Jr. run for 2 yds to the MSST 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.05

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 14 yds to the TA&M 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.81

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 22 yds to the TA&M 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Mario Craver for 4 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

EJ Smith run for 4 yds to the TA&M 29

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the TA&M 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Conner Weigman pass complete to Jabre Barber for 5 yds to the TA&M 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Conner Weigman run for 2 yds to the TA&M 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Conner Weigman run for 9 yds to the TA&M 45

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the TA&M 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Conner Weigman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.91

Conner Weigman pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 12 yds to the MSST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jabre Barber run for 5 yds to the MSST 34

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Amari Daniels run for no gain to the MSST 34

3rd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.23

Amari Daniels run for 11 yds to the MSST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

(09:37) WEIGMAN, Conner pass deep to the right complete for 18 yards to WALKER, Jahdae caught at the STATE5 and advanced to the STATE5, End of Play, clock 09:39. PENALTY TEXAS Pass Interference on WALKER, Jahdae enforced 15 yards to the STATE38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the MSST 36

2nd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Conner Weigman pass incomplete

3rd & 23Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.60

Conner Weigman pass complete to Tre Watson for 26 yds to the MSST 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Conner Weigman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Amari Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSST 11

4th & 11Field Goal Good+28 yds

Randy Bond 28 yd FG GOOD

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Conner Weigman pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Mississippi State Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the MSST 20

1st & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.40

Davon Booth run for a loss of 2 yards to the MSST 18

2nd & 17Penalty+10 yds

(06:18) VAN BUREN JR., Michael sacked for a loss of 3 yards at the STATE15 (WILLIAMS, Scooby;MAYES, BJ), clock 06:13. PENALTY TEXAS Holding on HOWELL, Cashius enforced 10 yards from the STATE18 to the STATE28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Davon Booth run for 2 yds to the MSST 30

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.19

Xavier Gayten run for 2 yds to the MSST 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.31

Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 17 yds to the MSST 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Amari Daniels run for 6 yds to the MSST 9

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Conner Weigman run for 3 yds to the MSST 6

3rd & 1Penalty+3 yds

(03:34) DANIELS, Amari rush to the left for no gain to the STATE6 (BLANTON, Stone;ELLINGTON, Corey), clock 03:30. PENALTY Before the snap, STATE Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 3 yards from the STATE6 to the STATE3 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Mario Craver for 3 yds to the MSST 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 9 yds to the MSST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Johnnie Daniels run for 5 yds to the MSST 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.96

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 5 yds to the MSST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nick Barr-Mira punt for 46 yds, downed at the TA&M 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Conner Weigman pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 4 yds to the TA&M 11

2nd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.09

Conner Weigman pass intercepted Zakari Tillman return for no gain to the TA&M 12

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Nick Barr-Mira kickoff for 63 yds , Dalton Brooks return for 16 yds to the TA&M 18

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the TA&M 22

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

(12:52) MOSS, Le'Veon rush up the middle for a gain of 38 yards to the STATE40 (JONES, Kelley), clock 12:45. PENALTY TEXAS Holding on REED-ADAMS, Armaj enforced 10 yards from the TEXAS22 to the TEXAS12 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TA&M 15

3rd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Conner Weigman pass complete to EJ Smith for 5 yds to the TA&M 20

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tyler White punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman Jr. at the MSST 37

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(11:16) VAN BUREN JR., Michael pass to the right incomplete dropped by MOSLEY, Jordan thrown to the STATE49, clock 11:10. PENALTY STATE Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BOONE, Canon enforced 5 yards from the STATE37 to the STATE32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Johnnie Daniels run for 1 yd to the MSST 33

2nd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Johnnie Daniels run for 6 yds to the MSST 39

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+6 yds

Nick Barr-Mira punt for 45 yds , Jabre Barber returns for 6 yds to the TA&M 32

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Le'Veon Moss run for 6 yds to the TA&M 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.59

Conner Weigman pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 16 yds to the MSST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Conner Weigman pass complete to Le'Veon Moss for 11 yds to the MSST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the MSST 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Conner Weigman pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the MSST 27

4th & 2Field Goal Good+44 yds

Randy Bond 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.22

Davon Booth run for 17 yds to the MSST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.72

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the MSST 39

2nd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.38

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Seydou Traore for 11 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Davon Booth run for 1 yd to the TA&M 49

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.21

Davon Booth run for no gain to the TA&M 49

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Texas A&M Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Albert Regis) to the TA&M 34

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the TA&M 38

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the TA&M 43

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Le'Veon Moss run for no gain to the TA&M 43

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tyler White punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman Jr. at the MSST 15

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.59

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Johnnie Daniels for a loss of 3 yards to the MSST 12

2nd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.60

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 12 yds to the MSST 24

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Johnnie Daniels run for 2 yds to the MSST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.06

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 11 yds to the MSST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

VAN BUREN JR., Michael pass to the right incomplete intended for BOOTH, Davon thrown to the STATE46. PENALTY TEXAS Holding on MAYES, BJ enforced 10 yards from the STATE37 to the STATE47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

VAN BUREN JR., Michael pass to the right incomplete intended for AKHARAIYI, Kelly thrown to the TEXAS47. PENALTY STATE Personal Foul on COLEMAN JR., Kevin enforced 15 yards from the STATE47 to the STATE32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -0.47

Michael Van Buren Jr. sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the MSST 23 Michael Van Buren Jr. fumbled, recovered by MSST Canon Boone , return for 0 yards

2nd & 34Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.13

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Seydou Traore for 12 yds to the MSST 35

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.33

Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

[NHSG] Kneel down by WEIGMAN, Conner at STATE36 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
36%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
43%
7 plays
30%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
4th

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
21%
24 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
46%
13 plays
83%
6 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play