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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2024Week 8
KentuckyKentucky
20
-Final
48
FloridaFlorida
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida by 3.9

Home Win Probability

Florida 60%

Market (Bovada)

Florida +2.5

Edge: Florida +2.5 (6.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
KentuckyKentucky
0137020
FloridaFlorida
32471448

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-06-06-613-627-1327-2034-2048-20
FloridaKentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FLOKENFLOKENFLOKENFLOKENFLOKENFLOKENFLOKENFLOFLOKENKENFLOKENFLOKENFLOKENKENFLOFG1063ydPUNT520ydPUNT524ydPUNT514ydFG965ydTD484ydPUNT30ydPUNT39ydTD365ydTO416ydTO27ydDOWNS49ydTD498ydTO22ydTD11ydTD30ydEND1-2ydTD1275ydTD877ydTD1553ydPUNT33ydDOWNS724ydTD559ydTD10ydTD515ydEND519yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kentucky and Florida
StatisticKentuckyFlorida
Passing12-328-15
Pass Yards165279
Rush Yards146197
Total Yards311476
Turnovers31
3rd Down4-136-12
Penalties3-304-40
Possession29:5630:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kentucky
passing
Brock Vandagriff
12/26, 165 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Demie Sumo
10 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
Barion Brown
2 REC, 56 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Florida
passing
D.J. Lagway
7/14, 259 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jadan Baugh
22 CAR, 106 YDS, 5 TD
receiving
Elijhah Badger
3 REC, 148 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Aidan Laros kickoff for 60 yds , Elijhah Badger return for 22 yds to the FLA 27

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.18

DJ Lagway run for 13 yds to the FLA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jadan Baugh run for 5 yds to the FLA 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

DJ Lagway pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.26

DJ Lagway pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 40 yds to the UK 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jadan Baugh run for 3 yds to the UK 12

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Jadan Baugh run for 8 yds to the UK 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jadan Baugh run for no gain to the UK 4

2nd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.74

DJ Lagway sacked by Alex Afari Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the UK 10

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

DJ Lagway pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+29 yds

Trey Smack 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 3 yds to the UK 28

2nd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.91

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 15 yds to the UK 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Khamari Anderson for 2 yds to the UK 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Aidan Laros punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 5 yds to the FLA 14

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 11 yds to the FLA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 4 yds to the FLA 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

DJ Lagway pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

DJ Lagway pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 4 yds to the FLA 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 8 yds to the UK 33

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 2 yds to the UK 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 5 yds to the UK 40

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 4 yds to the UK 44

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Kentucky Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UK 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty+6 yds

(03:32) LAROS, Aidan punt 40 yards to the FLA21, DIKE, Chimere returned 6 yards to the FLA27 (BRYANT, Ty;ADDISON, Nasir), clock 03:25. PENALTY Before the snap, UKY Illegal Formation on SCOTT, Quay'sheed FLA Holding on JACKSON, Ja'Kobi , Offsetting penalties [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Aidan Laros punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Kentucky Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the FLA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

DJ Lagway run for 1 yd to the FLA 45

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

DJ Lagway run for 8 yds to the UK 47

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.01

DJ Lagway run for 3 yds to the UK 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.77

DJ Lagway run for 22 yds to the UK 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Jadan Baugh run for 2 yds to the UK 20

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Jadan Baugh run for 6 yds to the UK 14

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.57

Jadan Baugh run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 15

4th & 3Field Goal Good+33 yds

Trey Smack 33 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Trey Smack kickoff for 65 yds , Barion Brown return for 16 yds to the UK 16

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.65

Brock Vandagriff run for 11 yds to the UK 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.25

Jamarion Wilcox run for 25 yds to the FLA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Barion Brown run for 3 yds to the FLA 45

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +4.05

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Barion Brown for 45 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor PAT MISSED)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Aidan Laros kickoff for 64 yds , Jadan Baugh return for 19 yds to the FLA 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

DJ Lagway pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

DJ Lagway pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

DJ Lagway pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Barion Brown at the UK 16

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jamarion Wilcox run for 1 yd to the UK 17

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Deamonte Trayanum run for 8 yds to the UK 25

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Brock Vandagriff run for no gain to the UK 25

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Aidan Laros punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the FLA 35

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jadan Baugh run for 8 yds to the FLA 43

2nd & 2Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +2.01

DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 50 yds to the UK 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Jadan Baugh run for 7 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 11 yds to the UK 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Deamonte Trayanum run for 5 yds to the UK 41

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.87

Brock Vandagriff pass intercepted Trikweze Bridges return for no gain to the FLA 46

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 7 yds to the UK 47

2nd & 3Pass Interception Return+63 ydsPPA -3.46

DJ Lagway pass intercepted Kristian Story return for 63 yds to the FLA 11

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brock Vandagriff run for 4 yds to the FLA 7

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Gavin Wimsatt run for 4 yds to the FLA 3

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 1 yd to the FLA 2

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.20

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for no gain to the FLA 2

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.20

Jadan Baugh run for 27 yds to the FLA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+58 ydsPPA +3.24

DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 58 yds to the UK 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jadan Baugh run for 3 yds to the UK 10

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.64

Jadan Baugh run for 10 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 2 yds to the UK 27

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return+52 ydsPPA -0.47

Brock Vandagriff pass intercepted Devin Moore return for 52 yds to the UK 1

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+99 yds

Trey Smack kickoff for 64 yds , Barion Brown return for 99 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 3 yds to the FLA 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 3 yds to the FLA 31

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

DJ Lagway run for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 30

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

(00:17) CRAWSHAW, Jeremy punt 61 yards to the UKY9 downed by DOUGLAS, DJ, clock 00:09. PENALTY Before the snap, FLA Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the FLA30 to the FLA25. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 60 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

[NH] Kneel down by TEAM at UKY13 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Barion Brown for 11 yds to the UK 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brock Vandagriff run for no gain to the UK 36

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Brock Vandagriff run for 9 yds to the UK 45

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 44

4th & 2Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.44

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Josh Kattus for 21 yds to the FLA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Deamonte Trayanum run for 2 yds to the FLA 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.62

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 19 yds to the FLA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jamarion Wilcox run for 5 yds to the FLA 7 Jamarion Wilcox fumbled, recovered by UK Jamarion Wilcox J. Wilcox return for 2 yds

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.78

Barion Brown run for 4 yds to the FLA 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the FLA 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Aidan Laros kickoff for 63 yds , Jadan Baugh return for 21 yds to the FLA 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Jadan Baugh run for 2 yds to the FLA 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.62

DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for 23 yds to the FLA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Jadan Baugh run for a loss of 2 yards to the FLA 46

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

DJ Lagway run for 7 yds to the UK 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.61

DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for 44 yds to the UK 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Jadan Baugh run for a loss of 2 yards to the UK 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

DJ Lagway run for 4 yds to the UK 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Brock Vandagriff run for 1 yd to the UK 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 10 yds to the UK 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Deamonte Trayanum run for 2 yds to the UK 38

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.50

Brock Vandagriff run for 9 yds to the UK 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 7 yds to the FLA 46

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.37

Deamonte Trayanum run for 8 yds to the FLA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.61

Deamonte Trayanum run for a loss of 4 yards to the FLA 42

2nd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.61

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 13 yds to the FLA 29

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.32

Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd to the FLA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Deamonte Trayanum run for 5 yds to the FLA 23

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Barion Brown run for no gain to the FLA 23

4th & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -3.07

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 1 yd to the FLA 22

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 5 yds to the FLA 27

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 3 yds to the FLA 30

3rd & 2Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.78

DJ Lagway sacked by Alex Afari Jr. and Kahlil Saunders for a loss of 5 yards to the FLA 25

4th & 7Punt+7 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 47 yds , Ja'Mori Maclin returns for 7 yds to the UK 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 14 yds to the UK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.86

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 11 yds to the FLA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.25

Brock Vandagriff sacked by T.J. Searcy for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 41

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Jadan Baugh run for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 40

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jadan Baugh run for 3 yds to the FLA 43

3rd & 8Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.72

DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 40 yds to the UK 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.64

Jadan Baugh run for 16 yds to the UK 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+29 ydsPPA -7.92

Cutter Boley pass intercepted Cormani McClain return for 29 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Trey Smack kickoff for 23 yds , Willie Rodriguez return for 6 yds to the UK 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Cutter Boley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

(03:15) BOLEY, Cutter pass to the left incomplete intended for FARRIER II, Fred thrown to the FLA45; QB hurried by MCCRAY, LJ, clock 03:12. PENALTY FLA Roughing the Passer on MCCRAY, LJ enforced 15 yards from the UKY48 to the FLA37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Cutter Boley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Cutter Boley pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Cutter Boley pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Cutter Boley pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
28 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
14 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
52%
21 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
71%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th