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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2024Week 8
LSULSU
34
-Final
10
ArkansasArkansas
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

LSU by 4.6

Home Win Probability

Arkansas 38%

Market (Bovada)

Arkansas +3

Edge: LSU -3 (1.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LSULSU
10681034
ArkansasArkansas
073010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-107-137-1610-1610-2710-34
ArkansasLSU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKTD875ydMISS852ydFG1460ydTO113ydFG67ydTD975ydFG1059ydPUNT826ydEND320ydFG1142ydPUNT727ydTO10ydTD12ydPUNT628ydFG850ydPUNT3-3ydTD1480ydTO110ydDOWNS41ydEND424yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing LSU and Arkansas
StatisticLSUArkansas
Passing24-3521-31
Pass Yards235239
Rush Yards16038
Total Yards395277
Turnovers03
3rd Down9-154-9
Penalties11-807-78
Possession38:5321:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

LSU
passing
Garrett Nussmeier
23/34, 233 YDS
rushing
Caden Durham
21 CAR, 101 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
C.J. Daniels
7 REC, 86 YDS
defense
Whit Weeks
1 TFL, 1 PD
Arkansas
passing
Taylen Green
21/31, 239 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ja'Quinden Jackson
5 CAR, 26 YDS
receiving
Andrew Armstrong
7 REC, 94 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for 7 yds to the LSU 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Caden Durham run for 4 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 9 yds to the LSU 45

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.00

Caden Durham run for 6 yds to the ARK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 11 yds to the ARK 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(11:58) NUSSMEIER, Garrett pass deep to the right incomplete intended for DANIELS, CJ thrown to the ARK0, clock 11:52. PENALTY ARK Pass Interference on SINGLETARY, Jaheim enforced 15 yards to the ARK23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.24

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 14 yds to the ARK 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Caden Durham run for 3 yds to the ARK 2

2nd & 2Penalty-15 yds

(10:33) NUSSMEIER, Garrett pass short to the right complete for 2 yards to TAYLOR, Mason caught at the ARK1 and advanced to the ARK0, TOUCHDOWN LSU, score nullified by penalty, clock 10:31 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY LSU Pass Interference on LACY, Kyren enforced 15 yards to the ARK17 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARK 22

2nd & 22Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.84

Caden Durham run for 22 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the ARK 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.80

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 16 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Anthony run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.53

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 20 yds to the LSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Rashod Dubinion run for 2 yds to the LSU 28

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Taylen Green pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Taylen Green run for 5 yds to the LSU 23

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Matthew Shipley 42 Yard Field Goal Missed

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LSU 19

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.20

Josh Williams run for 8 yds to the LSU 27

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.69

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 18 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 10 yds to the ARK 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Caden Durham run for 8 yds to the ARK 37

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.90

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 7 yds to the ARK 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 9 yds to the ARK 21

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARK 26

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 8 yds to the ARK 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the ARK 16

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+33 yds

Damian Ramos 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+13 ydsPPA -0.92

Rashod Dubinion run for 13 yds to the ARK 38 Rashod Dubinion fumbled, recovered by LSU Major Burns M. Burns return for 0 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, Illegal Snap on CHESTER, DJ enforced (-5 Yards) to the ARK 43

1st & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.09

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 11 yds to the ARK 32

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.08

Caden Durham run for 4 yds to the ARK 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (DJ Chester) to the ARK 33

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the ARK 31

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Good+48 yds

Damian Ramos 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Taylen Green pass complete to Ja'Quinden Jackson for 7 yds to the ARK 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 4 yds to the ARK 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Taylen Green pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 3 yds to the ARK 39

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Braylen Russell run for 3 yds to the ARK 42

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.01

Taylen Green run for 7 yds to the ARK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the LSU 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.43

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 10 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.44

Taylen Green pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 14 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 25 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Kaleb Jackson run for 6 yds to the LSU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.76

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 8 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Kaleb Jackson run for 12 yds to the ARK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Josh Williams run for 4 yds to the ARK 45

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

(05:37) NUSSMEIER, Garrett pass deep to the left incomplete intended for TAYLOR, Mason thrown to the ARK20, clock 05:28. PENALTY ARK Offsides on SPENCE, Brad enforced 5 yards from the ARK45 to the ARK40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (Will Campbell) to the ARK 45

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Arkansas Penalty, Illegal use of the hands on DAVILLIER, Nico enforced (Nico Davillier) to the ARK 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Zavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the ARK 16

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (Aaron Anderson) to the ARK 21

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 5 yds to the ARK 16

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+33 yds

Damian Ramos 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Taylen Green pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 7 yds to the ARK 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 8 yds to the ARK 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(02:27) GREEN, Taylen pass to the right complete for 11 yards to BRODEN, Tyrone caught at the LSU49 and advanced to the LSU49, out of bounds, clock 02:21. PENALTY ARK Holding on HARRIS, E'Marion enforced 10 yards from the ARK40 to the ARK30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.06

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 14 yds to the ARK 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.26

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 7 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Taylen Green pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Taylen Green pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 47 yds, downed at the LSU 2

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 7 yds to the LSU 9

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

(01:03) NUSSMEIER, Garrett pass deep to the left incomplete intended for LACY, Kyren thrown to the LSU34, clock 00:57. PENALTY ARK Pass Interference on ROBINSON, Marquise enforced 15 yards to the LSU24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Caden Durham run for no gain to the LSU 24

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

(00:09) [NH] Kneel down by NUSSMEIER, Garrett at LSU22 (team loss of 2), clock 00:03.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the ARK 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Taylen Green pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Taylen Green pass complete to Luke Hasz for 11 yds to the ARK 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

Rashod Dubinion run for no gain to the ARK 41

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.11

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 14 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Taylen Green pass complete to Luke Hasz for 11 yds to the LSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Braylen Russell run for no gain to the LSU 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 4 yds to the LSU 30

3rd & 6Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.59

Taylen Green sacked by Jay'viar Suggs and Davhon Keys for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 33

4th & 9Field Goal Good+51 yds

Matthew Shipley 51 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the LSU 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the LSU 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.70

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 7 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.17

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 29 yds to the ARK 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the ARK 34

3rd & 9Penalty-10 yds

(06:43) NUSSMEIER, Garrett pass deep to the right complete for 19 yards to TAYLOR, Mason caught at the ARK15 and advanced to the ARK15, out of bounds, clock 06:35. PENALTY LSU Holding on JONES JR., Emery enforced 10 yards from the ARK34 to the ARK44 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 19Penalty-15 yds

(06:19) NUSSMEIER, Garrett pass to the left complete for 14 yards to LACY, Kyren caught at the ARK30 and advanced to the ARK30 (ROBINSON, Marquise), clock 06:10. PENALTY LSU Pass Interference on LACY, Kyren enforced 15 yards to the LSU41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 34Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.18

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 11 yds to the ARK 48

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 14

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Taylen Green pass intercepted Whit Weeks return for 3 yds to the ARK 2

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Caden Durham run for 2 yds for a TD (Garrett Nussmeier pass to Trey'Dez Green for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 9 yds to the LSU 41

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.30

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 4 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Braylen Russell run for no gain to the LSU 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.97

Taylen Green pass complete to Braylen Russell for no gain to the LSU 37

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.26

Taylen Green sacked by Whit Weeks for a loss of 10 yards to the LSU 47

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the LSU 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 11 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Caden Durham run for 3 yds to the LSU 36

2nd & 7Penalty+14 yds

(14:58) NUSSMEIER, Garrett pass to the right incomplete intended for LACY, Kyren thrown to the LSU49, clock 14:53. PENALTY ARK Pass Interference on ROBINSON, Marquise enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the ARK50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 13 yds to the ARK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Garrett Nussmeier run for no gain to the ARK 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 5 yds to the ARK 32

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the ARK 30

4th & 3Field Goal Good+47 yds

Damian Ramos 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.24

Taylen Green sacked by Paris Shand for a loss of 11 yards to the ARK 14

2nd & 21Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.07

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 8 yds to the ARK 22

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Taylen Green pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 58 yds , Zavion Thomas returns for no gain to the LSU 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kaleb Jackson run for 5 yds to the LSU 25

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kaleb Jackson run for 4 yds to the LSU 29

3rd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.87

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 3 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Josh Williams run for 1 yd to the LSU 33

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the LSU 35

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.39

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 10 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Caden Durham run for 9 yds to the ARK 46

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.07

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Zavion Thomas for 11 yds to the ARK 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Caden Durham run for 4 yds to the ARK 31

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Caden Durham run for 13 yds to the ARK 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Garrett Nussmeier run for 5 yds to the ARK 13

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the ARK 10

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Caden Durham run for 9 yds to the ARK 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Caden Durham run for 1 yd for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -0.92

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 10 yds Isaiah Sategna fumbled, recovered by LSU Davhon Keys D. Keys return for 8 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kaleb Jackson run for 3 yds to the ARK 24

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Ju'Juan Johnson run for 4 yds to the ARK 20

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (Josh Williams) to the ARK 25

3rd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.46

Ju'Juan Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARK 28

4th & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -1.95

Rickie Collins pass complete to Ka'Morreun Pimpton for 2 yds to the ARK 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Taylen Green pass complete to Rashod Dubinion for 5 yds to the ARK 31

2nd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.07

Taylen Green pass complete to Rashod Dubinion for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Rashod Dubinion run for no gain to the 50 yard line

Situational Analysis

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
50%
28 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
45%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
13%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th