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← Back to GamesOct 12, 2024Week 7

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri by 25.8

Home Win Probability

Massachusetts 6%

Market (Bovada)

Massachusetts +27

Edge: Massachusetts +27 (1.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MissouriMissouri
141021045
MassachusettsMassachusetts
03003

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-140-213-213-313-383-45
MassachusettsMissouri

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MISMASMISMASMISMASMISMASMISMASMISMASMISMASMISMASMISMASMISMASMISMASMISTD263ydPUNT32ydTD1380ydPUNT837ydTD980ydFG1065ydPUNT628ydTO976ydFG2-10ydPUNT47ydTD657ydPUNT47ydTD163ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT56ydTD348ydPUNT38ydPUNT1136ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-13ydTO527ydEND427yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri and Massachusetts
StatisticMissouriMassachusetts
Passing17-2415-25
Pass Yards230142
Rush Yards23195
Total Yards461237
Turnovers02
3rd Down5-102-14
Penalties4-356-45
Possession31:4128:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri
passing
Brady Cook
14/19, 219 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Marcus Carroll
15 CAR, 91 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Joshua Manning
2 REC, 68 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Massachusetts
passing
Taisun Phommachanh
12/22, 132 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Te'Rai Powell
1 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the MIZ 39

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +5.71

Luther Burden III run for 61 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+32 yds

Blake Craig kickoff for 60 yds , T.Y. Harding return for 32 yds to the MASS 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

CJ Hester run for 3 yds to the MASS 40

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

CJ Hester run for 1 yd to the MASS 39

4th & 8Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 61 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(12:24) PENALTY Mizzou False Start (Muckey,Logan) 5 yards from Mizzou20 to Mizzou15. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Marcus Carroll run for 7 yds to the MIZ 22

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.70

Brady Cook run for 15 yds to the MIZ 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the MIZ 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.24

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 14 yds to the MASS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the MASS 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 8 yds to the MASS 40

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the MASS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 10 yds to the MASS 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Brady Cook run for 11 yds to the MASS 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jamal Roberts run for 3 yds to the MASS 13

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

(06:41) Shotgun Cook,Brady pass incomplete short left to Cooper,Mookie thrown to UMass00 PENALTY UMass Offside (Hudson,Jaylen) 5 yards from UMass13 to UMass08. NO PLAY.

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Jamal Roberts run for 1 yd to the MASS 7

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.05

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the MASS 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

CJ Hester run for 4 yds to the MASS 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.18

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 19 yds to the MASS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

CJ Hester run for 1 yd to the MASS 49

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.77

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 11 yds to the MIZ 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Brandon Campbell run for 6 yds to the MIZ 34

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Brandon Campbell run for 2 yds to the MIZ 32

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun Campbell,Brandon rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Mizzou31 (McClellan,Chris) PENALTY UMass False Start (Harding,T.Y.) 5 yards from Mizzou32 to Mizzou37. NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Chris McClellan for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 38

4th & 8Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 38 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 15 yds to the MIZ 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kewan Lacy run for 4 yds to the MIZ 39

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Kewan Lacy run for 3 yds to the MIZ 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.98

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 28 yds to the MASS 30 for a 1ST down Massachusetts Penalty, (Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Kewan Lacy run for 1 yd to the MASS 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.63

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 10 yds to the MASS 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Marcus Carroll run for 9 yds to the MASS 10

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Marcus Carroll run for 6 yds to the MASS 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

(11:01) No Huddle-Shotgun Phommachanh,Taisun pass incomplete short right thrown to UMass35 PENALTY Mizzou Holding (Norwood,Dreyden) 10 yards from UMass25 to UMass35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Taisun Phommachanh run for no gain to the MASS 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.33

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 14 yds to the MASS 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.02

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 18 yds to the MIZ 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-6 yds

Massachusetts Penalty, (Yards) to the MIZ 39

2nd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for 6 yds to the MIZ 33

3rd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.84

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 18 yds to the MIZ 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the MIZ 11

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Brandon Campbell run for 1 yd to the MIZ 10

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+28 yds

Jacob Lurie 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

CJ Kolodziey kickoff for 60 yds , Marquis Johnson return for 7 yds to the MIZ 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the MIZ 14

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 4 yds to the MIZ 18

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.68

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 16 yds to the MIZ 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 6 yds to the MIZ 40

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 45 yds, fair catch by T.Y. Harding at the MASS 15

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.93

Taisun Phommachanh run for 15 yds to the MASS 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

CJ Hester run for 8 yds to the MASS 38

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Taisun Phommachanh run for 1 yd to the MASS 39

4th & 1Rush+39 ydsPPA +3.94

Te'Rai Powell run for 39 yds to the MIZ 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.22

CJ Hester run for 13 yds to the MIZ 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the MIZ 7

2nd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.40

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to CJ Hester for a loss of 2 yards to the MIZ 9

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.99

Taisun Phommachanh pass intercepted Corey Flagg Jr. return for no gain to the MASS 15

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.33

Brady Cook sacked by Shambre Jackson for a loss of 10 yards to the MASS 25

2nd & 20Field Goal Good+42 yds

Blake Craig 42 yd FG GOOD

0th & 20End of Half-40 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 10 yds to the MASS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

CJ Hester run for no gain to the MASS 35

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

(13:50) No Huddle-Shotgun Phommachanh,Taisun rush right for 4 yards gain to the UMass39 (Jacobs,Khalil) PENALTY UMass Personal Foul (Mottinger,Ethan) 15 yards from UMass35 to UMass20. NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Brandon Campbell for 12 yds to the MASS 32

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MIZ 43

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Luther Burden III run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.17

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the MASS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Marcus Carroll run for 9 yds to the MASS 38

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the MASS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +3.66

Marcus Carroll run for 35 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Blake Craig kickoff for 59 yds , T.Y. Harding return for 19 yds to the MASS 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 11 yds to the MASS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Cookie Desiderio run for 1 yd to the MASS 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UMass False Start (Terlaak,Wyatt) 5 yards from UMass37 to UMass32. NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MIZ 37

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +5.05

Brady Cook pass complete to Joshua Manning for 63 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.20

Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Williams Nwaneri for a loss of 2 yards to the MASS 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 29 yds , Daniel Blood returns for no gain to the MIZ 47

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Brady Cook pass complete to Kewan Lacy for a loss of 3 yards to the MIZ 44

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Brandon Campbell run for 2 yds to the MASS 11

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.83

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Brandon Campbell for 12 yds to the MASS 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Brandon Campbell run for 2 yds to the MASS 25

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-12 ydsPPA -0.74

Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Marcus Clarke for a loss of 12 yards to the MASS 13 Taisun Phommachanh fumbled, recovered by MIZ Brandon Campbell , return for 0 yards

3rd & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.02

Brandon Campbell run for 2 yds to the MASS 15

4th & 18Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 4 yds to the MASS 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.50

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 36 yds to the MASS 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 8 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to CJ Hester for 3 yds to the MASS 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Cookie Desiderio run for 2 yds to the MASS 30

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

CJ Hester run for 3 yds to the MASS 33

4th & 2Punt+6 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 56 yds , Daniel Blood returns for 6 yds to the MIZ 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Drew Pyne pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 6 yds to the MIZ 23

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Kewan Lacy run for 2 yds to the MIZ 21

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Drew Pyne pass complete to Joshua Manning for 5 yds to the MIZ 26

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.17

Kewan Lacy run for 2 yds to the MIZ 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Kewan Lacy run for 4 yds to the MIZ 32

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kewan Lacy run for 4 yds to the MIZ 36

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.25

Jamal Roberts run for 3 yds to the MIZ 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Tavorus Jones run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Tavorus Jones run for 3 yds to the MASS 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.13

Drew Pyne pass complete to Tyler Stephens for no gain to the MASS 47

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 26 yds, fair catch by T.Y. Harding at the MASS 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ahmad Haston run for 5 yds to the MASS 26

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Brandon Campbell run for 3 yds to the MASS 29

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.08

Brandon Campbell run for 4 yds to the MASS 25

4th & 6Punt+1 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 38 yds , Daniel Blood returns for 1 yd to the MIZ 38

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Mizzou False Start (Chandler,Talan) 5 yards from Mizzou38 to Mizzou33. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Drew Pyne run for 2 yds to the MIZ 31

2nd & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Drew Pyne run for 6 yds to the MIZ 25

3rd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MASS 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Ahmad Haston pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 8 yds to the MASS 41

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.33

Cookie Desiderio run for no gain to the MASS 41

3rd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.31

Ahmad Haston pass complete to Brandon Campbell for no gain to the MIZ 41 for a 1ST down Missouri Penalty, (15 Yards) to the MIZ 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Ahmad Haston run for 2 yds to the MIZ 42

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Ahmad Haston pass complete to Cookie Desiderio for 2 yds Cookie Desiderio fumbled, recovered by MIZ Shamar McNeil

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Tavorus Jones run for 2 yds to the MIZ 47

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.82

Tavorus Jones run for 14 yds to the MASS 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Tavorus Jones run for 3 yds to the MASS 36

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Tavorus Jones run for 8 yds to the MASS 28 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
38%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
73%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Massachusetts

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
22 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
27%
11 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play