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← Back to GamesOct 12, 2024Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kentucky by 11.7

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 77%

Market (Bovada)

Kentucky -13

Edge: Vanderbilt +13 (1.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VanderbiltVanderbilt
773320
KentuckyKentucky
070613

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-77-177-2013-20
KentuckyVanderbilt

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KENVANKENVANKENVANKENVANKENVANKENVANKENVANKENVANPUNT931ydTD897ydTD1278ydTO530ydTO730ydPUNT610ydPUNT415ydTD660ydEND1-2ydFG1144ydDOWNS1251ydFG1258ydTD675ydPUNT66ydDOWNS621ydEND3-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Vanderbilt and Kentucky
StatisticVanderbiltKentucky
Passing15-1815-26
Pass Yards143158
Rush Yards147166
Total Yards290324
Turnovers12
3rd Down8-134-9
Penalties5-5712-105
Possession34:3525:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Vanderbilt
passing
Diego Pavia
15/18, 143 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Sedrick Alexander
11 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
Richie Hoskins
3 REC, 44 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Kentucky
passing
Brock Vandagriff
15/25, 158 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Demie Sumo
12 CAR, 59 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dane Key
8 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brock Vandagriff run for no gain to the UK 25

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 9 yds to the UK 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Brock Vandagriff run for 3 yds to the UK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(13:26) WIMSATT, Gavin pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BROWN, Barion thrown to the VANDY16, clock 13:19. PENALTY VANDY Pass Interference on TAYLOR, Kolbey enforced 15 yards to the VANDY48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for no gain to the VAN 48

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 9 yds to the VAN 39

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.67

Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the VAN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(11:26) BROWN, Barion rush to the right for a gain of 12 yards to the VANDY25 (HIGHT, Martel), clock 11:19. PENALTY UK Holding on MINCEY, Gerald enforced 10 yards from the VANDY37 to the VANDY47 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 8 yds to the VAN 39

2nd & 12Penalty-15 yds

Kentucky Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Dane Key) to the VAN 44

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Aidan Laros punt for 41 yds, downed at the VAN 3

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the VAN 6

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.44

Moni Jones run for 9 yds to the VAN 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(08:41) PAVIA, Diego pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SHERRILL, Junior thrown to the VANDY37; QB hurried by DUMAS-JOHNSON, Jamon, clock 08:33. PENALTY UK Roughing the Passer on DUMAS-JOHNSON, Jamon enforced 15 yards from the VANDY15 to the VANDY30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Diego Pavia run for no gain to the VAN 30

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Diego Pavia run for 5 yds to the VAN 35

3rd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.58

Diego Pavia run for 14 yds to the VAN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.31

Diego Pavia run for 31 yds to the UK 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Diego Pavia run for no gain to the UK 20

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.99

Diego Pavia pass complete to AJ Newberry for 20 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Brock Taylor kickoff for 65 yds , Barion Brown return for 22 yds to the UK 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 5 yds to the UK 27

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Gavin Wimsatt run for 9 yds to the UK 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 8 yds to the UK 44

2nd & 2Penalty+15 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, Personal Foul (Glenn Seabrooks III) to the VAN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 7 yds to the VAN 31

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.03

Gavin Wimsatt run for 6 yds to the VAN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(01:33) BROWN, Barion rush to the right for no gain to the VANDY25 (WRIGHT, De'Rickey;KOLLIE, Prince), clock 01:27. PENALTY Before the snap, UK Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the VANDY25 to the VANDY30. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 8 yds to the VAN 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 8 yds to the VAN 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds to the VAN 11

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Brock Vandagriff run for 5 yds to the VAN 6

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.65

Brock Vandagriff run for 5 yds to the VAN 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Sedrick Alexander run for 12 yds to the VAN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 5 yds to the VAN 42

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Diego Pavia run for 3 yds to the VAN 45

3rd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.90

Diego Pavia pass complete to Cole Spence for 10 yds to the UK 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+1 ydsPPA -3.52

Diego Pavia pass intercepted D'Eryk Jackson return for 1 yd to the UK 36

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 6 yds to the UK 42

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Kentucky Penalty, False Start (Barion Brown) to the UK 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.90

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 10 yds to the UK 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(09:16) QB Keeper WIMSATT, Gavin rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the UK49 (LONGWELL, Bryan;THOMAS, De'Marion), clock 09:10. PENALTY UK Holding on COX, Marques enforced 10 yards from the UK47 to the UK37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.50

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 9 yds to the UK 46

3rd & 11Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.43

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 20 yds to the VAN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 2 yds to the VAN 32

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -3.71

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for a loss of 2 yards Dane Key fumbled, recovered by VAN Nicholas Rinaldi N. Rinaldi return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

AJ Newberry run for 2 yds to the VAN 36

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Sedrick Alexander run for 6 yds to the VAN 42

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Diego Pavia run for 3 yds to the VAN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 4 yds to the VAN 49

2nd & 6Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.67

Diego Pavia sacked by Jamon Dumas-Johnson for a loss of 12 yards to the VAN 37

3rd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 7 yds to the VAN 44

4th & 11Punt+44 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 44 yds , Ja'Mori Maclin returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 5

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.57

Jamarion Wilcox run for 15 yds to the UK 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Aidan Laros punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Martel Hight at the VAN 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 4 yds to the UK 46

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Kentucky Penalty, Offsides (Deone Walker) to the UK 41

2nd & 1Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.13

Diego Pavia pass complete to Richie Hoskins for 21 yds to the UK 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the UK 18

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.24

Diego Pavia pass complete to Richie Hoskins for 18 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

(00:11) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at UK33 (team loss of 2), clock 00:02.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the VAN 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Sedrick Alexander run for 4 yds to the VAN 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Eli Stowers run for 3 yds to the VAN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Sedrick Alexander run for 15 yds to the UK 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Diego Pavia pass complete to Cole Spence for 8 yds to the UK 40

2nd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.80

AJ Newberry run for a loss of 3 yards to the UK 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.64

Diego Pavia pass complete to AJ Newberry for 6 yds to the UK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, False Start (Gunnar Hansen) to the UK 42

1st & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.89

Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 10 yds to the UK 32

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Diego Pavia run for no gain to the UK 32

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the UK 31

4th & 4Field Goal Good+49 yds

Brock Taylor 49 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+38 yds

Brock Taylor kickoff for 64 yds , Barion Brown return for 38 yds to the UK 39

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.38

Jamarion Wilcox run for 16 yds to the VAN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 4 yds to the VAN 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Barion Brown for 2 yds to the VAN 39

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 3 yds to the VAN 36

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.63

Brock Vandagriff run for 2 yds to the VAN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Barion Brown run for 10 yds to the VAN 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jamarion Wilcox run for 4 yds to the VAN 20

2nd & 6Penalty+7 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, Personal Foul (CJ Taylor) to the VAN 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Gavin Wimsatt run for 5 yds to the VAN 1

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Kentucky Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VAN 6

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Brock Vandagriff run for 1 yd to the VAN 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Interception Return+9 ydsPPA -3.95

Wilson Berry pass intercepted De'Rickey Wright return for 9 yds to the VAN 10

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

AJ Newberry run for 5 yds to the VAN 15

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the VAN 16

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.72

Diego Pavia pass complete to Richie Hoskins for 5 yds to the VAN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the VAN 26

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.00

Eli Stowers run for 9 yds to the VAN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.19

Diego Pavia run for 28 yds to the UK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

AJ Newberry run for 5 yds to the UK 32

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

AJ Newberry run for 6 yds to the UK 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

AJ Newberry run for no gain to the UK 26

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.81

Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 27

3rd & 11Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.97

Diego Pavia sacked by J.J. Weaver for a loss of 5 yards to the UK 32

4th & 16Field Goal Good+50 yds

Brock Taylor 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Brock Vandagriff run for 14 yds to the UK 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

(08:14) VANDAGRIFF, Brock sacked for a loss of 12 yards at the UK27 (OUATTARA, Yilanan), clock 08:09. PENALTY VANDY Horse Collar Tackle on OUATTARA, Yilanan enforced 15 yards from the UK39 to the VANDY46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 10 yds to the VAN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.36

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 14 yds to the VAN 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.05

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 22 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the VAN 30

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Diego Pavia run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 16 yds to the VAN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the VAN 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-15 ydsPPA -1.18

Diego Pavia sacked by D'Eryk Jackson for a loss of 15 yards to the VAN 31

4th & 24Punt+16 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 45 yds , Barion Brown returns for 16 yds to the UK 20

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Brock Vandagriff run for 9 yds to the UK 29

2nd & 1Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.59

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Barion Brown for 23 yds to the VAN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(02:00) VANDAGRIFF, Brock pass to the right complete for 0 yards to SUMO-KARNGBAYE, Demie caught at the VANDY48 and advanced to the VANDY48 (COWAN, Bryce), out of bounds, clock 01:55. PENALTY UK Holding on MINCEY, Gerald enforced 10 yards from the VANDY48 to the UK42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Brock Vandagriff sacked by Nicholas Rinaldi for a loss of 2 yards to the UK 40

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

3rd & 22Penalty-10 yds

(01:35) VANDAGRIFF, Brock pass short to the left complete for 12 yards to BROWN, Barion caught at the UK41 and advanced to the VANDY48 (FONTENETTE, Randon), clock 01:23. PENALTY UK Holding on COX, Marques enforced 10 yards from the UK40 to the UK30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 32Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.09

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Barion Brown for 11 yds to the UK 41

4th & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.27

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Kneel down by PAVIA, Diego at UK42 (team loss of 1), clock 00:59.

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

(00:55) Kneel down by PAVIA, Diego at UK43 (team loss of 1), clock 00:49.

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

(00:21) Kneel down by TEAM at UK43 (team loss of 0), clock 00:15.

Situational Analysis

Vanderbilt

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
8 plays
57%
7 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
52%
21 plays
50%
4 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
75%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play