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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2024Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 25.6

Home Win Probability

Vanderbilt 6%

Market (Bovada)

Vanderbilt +23

Edge: Alabama -23 (2.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AlabamaAlabama
7714735
VanderbiltVanderbilt
131071040

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-013-720-723-723-1423-2130-2133-2840-2840-35
VanderbiltAlabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VANALAALAVANALAVANALAVANALAALAVANALAVANALAVANALAVANALAVANTD1075ydTD34ydTD775ydTD1775ydPUNT3-3ydFG826ydTD983ydPUNT633ydEND1-2ydTD553ydPUNT925ydPUNT3-1ydTD445ydTD475ydFG960ydTO328ydTD753ydTD875ydEND754yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alabama and Vanderbilt
StatisticAlabamaVanderbilt
Passing18-2416-21
Pass Yards310252
Rush Yards84166
Total Yards394418
Turnovers20
3rd Down3-612-18
Penalties6-573-20
Possession17:5242:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alabama
passing
Jalen Milroe
18/24, 310 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jamarion Miller
5 CAR, 45 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Ryan Williams
3 REC, 82 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Vanderbilt
passing
Diego Pavia
16/20, 252 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Sedrick Alexander
21 CAR, 64 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Eli Stowers
6 REC, 113 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Sedrick Alexander run for 2 yds to the VAN 27

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.29

AJ Newberry run for 8 yds to the VAN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Sedrick Alexander run for 7 yds to the VAN 42

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.66

Diego Pavia run for a loss of 2 yards to the VAN 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.66

Diego Pavia pass complete to AJ Newberry for 14 yds to the ALA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.64

Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 13 yds to the ALA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.33

Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 17 yds to the ALA 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Diego Pavia run for 5 yds to the ALA 11

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Sedrick Alexander run for 4 yds to the ALA 7

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.52

Sedrick Alexander run for 7 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Justice Haynes run for 4 yds to the ALA 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

3rd & 6Interception Return Touchdown+29 ydsPPA -7.16

Jalen Milroe pass intercepted Randon Fontenette return for 29 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Justice Haynes run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +4.07

Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 46 yds to the VAN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Justice Haynes run for 3 yds to the VAN 27

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Jam Miller run for 1 yd to the VAN 26

3rd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.04

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Josh Cuevas for 17 yds to the VAN 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the VAN 8

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Jam Miller run for 8 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Sedrick Alexander run for 6 yds to the VAN 31

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Diego Pavia run for a loss of 2 yards to the VAN 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Diego Pavia pass complete to Cole Spence for 12 yds to the VAN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the VAN 42

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the VAN 43

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Sedrick Alexander run for 4 yds to the VAN 47

4th & 4Penalty+6 yds

Alabama Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Malachi Moore) to the ALA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Nate Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jamoni Jones run for 2 yds to the ALA 45

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Alabama Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jihaad Campbell) to the ALA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Sedrick Alexander run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 23

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Diego Pavia run for no gain to the ALA 23

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Sedrick Alexander run for 6 yds to the ALA 5

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the ALA 3

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.62

Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the ALA 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Sedrick Alexander run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the ALA 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Brock Taylor kickoff for 64 yds , Emmanuel Henderson Jr. return for 13 yds to the ALA 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jalen Milroe sacked by Nicholas Rinaldi for a loss of 3 yards to the ALA 11

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Diego Pavia run for 1 yd to the VAN 43

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.01

Diego Pavia run for 12 yds to the ALA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 9 yds to the ALA 36

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.24

AJ Newberry run for 8 yds to the ALA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

AJ Newberry run for 1 yd to the ALA 27

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ALA 32

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

4th & 14Field Goal Good+51 yds

Brock Taylor 51 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Brock Taylor kickoff for 64 yds , Emmanuel Henderson Jr. return for 16 yds to the ALA 17

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.84

Justice Haynes run for 13 yds to the ALA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Justice Haynes for 8 yds to the ALA 38

2nd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.81

Jalen Milroe run for a loss of 3 yards to the ALA 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.66

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Justice Haynes for 9 yds to the VAN 41

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Justice Haynes run for 2 yds to the VAN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jam Miller for 4 yds to the VAN 35

2nd & 6Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.76

Jam Miller run for 32 yds to the VAN 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jam Miller run for 3 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Sedrick Alexander run for 2 yds to the VAN 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

AJ Newberry run for 3 yds to the VAN 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.60

Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 31 yds to the ALA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the ALA 44

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

AJ Newberry run for 1 yd to the ALA 43

3rd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Diego Pavia run for 1 yd to the ALA 42

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 30 yds, downed at the ALA 12

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

[NH] Kneel down by MILROE, Jalen at UA10 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+46 yds

Brock Taylor kickoff for 64 yds , Emmanuel Henderson Jr. return for 46 yds to the ALA 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 7 yds to the VAN 46

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.37

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Robbie Ouzts for 8 yds to the VAN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.39

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for 13 yds to the VAN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for 11 yds to the VAN 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Jalen Milroe run for 14 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Diego Pavia run for a loss of 4 yards to the VAN 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 5 yds to the VAN 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.12

Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 12 yds to the VAN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Diego Pavia run for 3 yds to the VAN 41

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Sedrick Alexander run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.56

Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 9 yds to the VAN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the ALA 49

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Jamoni Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 46 yds, downed at the ALA 4

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Jam Miller run for 1 yd to the ALA 5

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty-49 yds

Alabama Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Jalen Milroe) to the ALA 3

4th & 11Punt-2 yds

James Burnip punt for 40 yds , Martel Hight returns for a loss of 2 yards to the ALA 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Chase Gillespie run for 3 yds to the ALA 42

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Chase Gillespie run for 1 yd to the ALA 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 5 yds to the ALA 36

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +4.56

Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 36 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Cole Adams for 14 yds to the ALA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Germie Bernard run for 6 yds to the ALA 45

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.73

Justice Haynes run for 2 yds to the ALA 47

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Alabama Penalty, False Start (Parker Brailsford) to the ALA 42

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +6.27

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for 58 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Sedrick Alexander run for 2 yds to the VAN 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.34

Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 33 yds to the ALA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

AJ Newberry run for 1 yd to the ALA 39

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Diego Pavia run for 8 yds to the ALA 31

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.59

AJ Newberry run for 12 yds to the ALA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Diego Pavia run for 3 yds to the ALA 16

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Sedrick Alexander run for 4 yds to the ALA 12

3rd & 3Penalty-10 yds

HOSKINS, Richie rush to the left for a gain of 12 yards to the UA0, TOUCHDOWN VANDY, score nullified by penalty, clock 11:22 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY VANDY Holding on MITCHELL, Chase enforced 10 yards from the UA12 to the UA22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Diego Pavia run for 7 yds to the ALA 15

4th & 6Field Goal Good+33 yds

Brock Taylor 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 20 yds to the ALA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 16 yds to the VAN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.52

Jalen Milroe sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the VAN 47 Jalen Milroe fumbled, recovered by VAN Yilanan Ouattara , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Diego Pavia run for 5 yds to the ALA 48

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the ALA 45

3rd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.47

Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 11 yds to the ALA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.39

Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 20 yds to the ALA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Junior Sherrill run for 8 yds to the ALA 6

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Sedrick Alexander run for no gain to the ALA 6

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.59

Diego Pavia pass complete to Kamrean Johnson for 6 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Josh Cuevas for 5 yds to the ALA 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.32

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 47 yds to the VAN 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Jalen Milroe run for 9 yds to the VAN 14

2nd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.49

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Cole Adams for 3 yds to the VAN 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jalen Milroe run for no gain to the VAN 11

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.31

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jam Miller for 9 yds to the VAN 2

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.80

Ryan Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Conor Talty kickoff for 52 yds , Junior Sherrill return for 5 yds to the VAN 18

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Diego Pavia run for a loss of 2 yards to the VAN 16

2nd & 12Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.88

Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 19 yds to the VAN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Sedrick Alexander run for 13 yds to the VAN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the ALA 49

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.17

Diego Pavia run for 8 yds to the ALA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

[NHSG] Kneel down by PAVIA, Diego at UA42 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Penalty+15 yds

Alabama Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Malachi Moore) to the ALA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Diego Pavia run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 28

Situational Analysis

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
57%
23 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Vanderbilt

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
37%
30 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
38%
13 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
6 plays
100%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play