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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2024Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tennessee by 11.2

Home Win Probability

Arkansas 22%

Market (Bovada)

Arkansas +14

Edge: Arkansas +14 (2.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TennesseeTennessee
0014014
ArkansasArkansas
307919

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-710-1413-1419-14
ArkansasTennessee

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARKTENARKTENARKTENARKTENARKTENARKTENARKTENARKTENARKTENARKTENARKTENFG1674ydPUNT3-5ydDOWNS737ydPUNT829ydDOWNS1374ydPUNT3-5ydMISS931ydDOWNS932ydEND1-2ydTD775ydPUNT3-6ydTD760ydTD875ydPUNT530ydFG1075ydPUNT510ydPUNT37ydPUNT829ydPUNT35ydPUNT31ydTD459ydDOWNS759yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tennessee and Arkansas
StatisticTennesseeArkansas
Passing17-2921-30
Pass Yards158297
Rush Yards174134
Total Yards332431
Turnovers00
3rd Down7-166-16
Penalties10-606-45
Possession24:3135:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tennessee
passing
Nico Iamaleava
17/29, 158 YDS
rushing
Dylan Sampson
22 CAR, 138 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Dont'E Thornton
1 REC, 42 YDS
defense
Arkansas
passing
Taylen Green
19/27, 266 YDS
rushing
Braylen Russell
8 CAR, 62 YDS
receiving
Andrew Armstrong
9 REC, 132 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Taylen Green pass complete to Ja'Quinden Jackson for 7 yds to the ARK 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Taylen Green run for 1 yd to the ARK 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds to the ARK 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for no gain to the ARK 35

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the ARK 36

3rd & 9Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.52

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 23 yds to the TENN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Braylen Russell run for 4 yds to the TENN 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.70

Taylen Green pass complete to Luke Hasz for 16 yds Luke Hasz fumbled, forced by Will Brooks, recovered by ARK

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Rashod Dubinion run for 8 yds to the TENN 13

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.52

Taylen Green run for no gain to the TENN 13

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Taylen Green run for 1 yd to the TENN 12

4th & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.56

Braylen Russell run for 9 yds to the TENN 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Braylen Russell run for 1 yd to the TENN 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the TENN 1

3rd & 0Penalty-4 yds

Arkansas Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the TENN 5

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Taylen Green pass complete to Jordan Anthony for 4 yds to the TENN 1

4th & 1Field Goal Good+20 yds

Kyle Ramsey 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Iamaleava, Nico pass complete to Gibson III, Rickey for 15 yards to the TENN40, PENALTY TENN ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TENN20, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Dylan Sampson run for 4 yds to the TENN 24

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TENN 19

2nd & 16Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Squirrel White for 5 yds to the TENN 24

3rd & 11Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.19

Nico Iamaleava sacked by Eric Gregory for a loss of 4 yards to the TENN 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 13 yds to the ARK 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.87

Taylen Green run for a loss of 4 yards to the ARK 38

2nd & 14Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.08

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 19 yds to the TENN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the TENN 38

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Taylen Green run for 4 yds to the TENN 34

4th & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -2.63

Taylen Green pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for no gain to the TENN 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the TENN 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.64

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Squirrel White for 10 yds to the TENN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Dylan Sampson run for 4 yds to the ARK 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Squirrel White for 5 yds to the ARK 44

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.09

Dylan Sampson run for 7 yds to the ARK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.77

Nico Iamaleava sacked by Eric Gregory and Stephen Dix Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the ARK 42

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Dylan Sampson run for 4 yds to the ARK 38

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the ARK 37

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARK 6

1st & 10Penalty-3 yds

Arkansas Penalty, False Start (-3 Yards) to the ARK 3

1st & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.20

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 1

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Andrew Armstrong

3rd & 15Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.44

Taylen Green pass complete to Ja'Quinden Jackson for 26 yds to the ARK 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 26

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Rashod Dubinion run for 2 yds to the ARK 28

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.17

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 11 yds to the ARK 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.04

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 10 yds to the ARK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.14

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 22 yds to the TENN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Isaiah Sategna

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.44

Braylen Russell run for 8 yds to the TENN 21

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Braylen Russell run for 1 yd to the TENN 20

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.64

Taylen Green run for no gain to the TENN 20

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Squirrel White for no gain to the TENN 20

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

DeSean Bishop run for 2 yds to the TENN 22

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.26

Nico Iamaleava sacked by Cameron Ball for a loss of 7 yards to the TENN 15

4th & 15Punt+8 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 50 yds , Isaiah Sategna returns for 8 yds to the ARK 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 11 yds to the TENN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 7 yds to the TENN 39

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds to the TENN 37

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.75

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 7 yds to the TENN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 6 yds to the TENN 24

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.86

Taylen Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the TENN 26

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Andrew Armstrong

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Kyle Ramsey 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Nico Iamaleava run for 2 yds to the TENN 28

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the TENN 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.66

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 6 yds to the TENN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Nico Iamaleava run for 2 yds to the TENN 38 Nico Iamaleava fumbled, recovered by TENN Nico Iamaleava

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.31

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 17 yds to the ARK 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 7 yds to the ARK 38

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell II

3rd & 3Penalty-15 yds

Iamaleava, Nico pass incomplete to White, Squirrel, PENALTY TENN face mask 15 yards to the TENN47, NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 11 yds to the ARK 42

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell II

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 40

0th & 10End of Half-2 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for 5 yds to the TENN 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for 4 yds to the TENN 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the TENN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Squirrel White for 6 yds to the TENN 43

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Squirrel White

3rd & 4Rush+53 ydsPPA +4.16

Dylan Sampson run for 53 yds to the ARK 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Dylan Sampson run for 4 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 3 yds to the ARK 27

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.36

Taylen Green sacked by James Pearce Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the ARK 19

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 41 yds, downed at the TENN 40

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Nico Iamaleava run for 4 yds to the TENN 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell II

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.54

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 11 yds to the ARK 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.71

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 2 yds to the ARK 43 for a 1ST down Arkansas Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the ARK 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the ARK 25

2nd & 7Penalty+13 yds

Iamaleava, Nico pass incomplete to McCoy, Bru, PENALTY ARK roughing passer 13 yards to the ARK12, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENN.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Dylan Sampson run for 8 yds to the ARK 4

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.08

Dylan Sampson run for 4 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 15 yds to the ARK 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Braylen Russell run for 4 yds to the ARK 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.11

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 26 yds to the TENN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.28

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 17 yds to the TENN 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Taylen Green run for 3 yds to the TENN 10

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the TENN 5

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.36

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 3 yds to the TENN 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Devin Bale kickoff for 64 yds , Cameron Seldon return for 24 yds to the TENN 25

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

DeSean Bishop run for 13 yds to the TENN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Nico Iamaleava run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

DeSean Bishop run for 4 yds to the ARK 46

2nd & 6Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Nico Iamaleava sacked by Larry Worth III and Landon Jackson for a loss of 3 yards to the ARK 49

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Nico Iamaleava run for 4 yds to the ARK 45

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 7 yds to the ARK 27

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for no gain to the ARK 27

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the ARK 28

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

Bale, Devin punt 49 yards to the TENN23, fair catch by White, Squirrel, PENALTY TENN running into kicker 5 yards to the ARK33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARK.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.91

Taylen Green pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 22 yds to the TENN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.16

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 30 yds to the TENN 15 for a 1ST down Tennessee Penalty, Roughing Passer (7 Yards) to the TENN 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 3 yds to the TENN 5

2nd & 0Penalty+3 yds

Jackson, Ja'Quinden rush for 3 yards to the TENN2, PENALTY TENN offside 3 yards to the TENN2, NO PLAY.

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for no gain to the TENN 2

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.51

Malachi Singleton run for a loss of 3 yards to the TENN 5 Malachi Singleton fumbled, recovered by ARK Malachi Singleton

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Matthew Shipley 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dylan Sampson run for 5 yds to the TENN 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Squirrel White for 7 yds to the TENN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the TENN 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell II

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Squirrel White

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TENN 35

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARK 28

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARK 23

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Ja'Quinden Jackson

2nd & 15Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.20

Malachi Singleton sacked by Christian Harrison and Daevin Hobbs for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 22

3rd & 16Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARK 17

3rd & 21Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.47

Malachi Singleton pass complete to Rashod Dubinion for 18 yds to the ARK 35

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 65 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TENN 15

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Dylan Sampson run for 4 yds to the TENN 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.68

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 15 yds to the TENN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dylan Sampson run for 4 yds to the TENN 38

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Dylan Sampson run for 4 yds to the TENN 42

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.55

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Squirrel White for 5 yds to the TENN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TENN 42

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.81

Dylan Sampson run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Dont'e Thornton Jr.

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Dylan Sampson run for 4 yds to the ARK 46

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TENN 49

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 42 yds, downed at the ARK 9

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for no gain to the ARK 9

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Malachi Singleton run for 5 yds to the ARK 14

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Malachi Singleton pass incomplete to Isaac TeSlaa

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 66 yds, downed at the TENN 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the TENN 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Squirrel White

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Miles Kitselman

4th & 9Punt+5 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 43 yds , Isaiah Sategna returns for 5 yds to the ARK 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Malachi Singleton pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 13 yds to the TENN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.90

Braylen Russell run for 24 yds to the TENN 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.13

Braylen Russell run for 11 yds to the TENN 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Malachi Singleton run for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chas Nimrod

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Nico Iamaleava run for 8 yds to the TENN 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.60

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for 42 yds to the ARK 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Miles Kitselman

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Dylan Sampson run for 5 yds to the ARK 20

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chas Nimrod

4th & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -3.28

Nico Iamaleava run for 4 yds to the ARK 16

Situational Analysis

Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
36%
22 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
44%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
52%
29 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
86%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
43%
7 plays
0%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
33%
3 plays