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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2024Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas A&M by 2.9

Home Win Probability

Texas A&M 58%

Market (Bovada)

Texas A&M -6.5

Edge: Arkansas +6.5 (3.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ArkansasArkansas
1400317
Texas A&MTexas A&M
770721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-1414-1414-1721-17
Texas A&MArkansas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARKTAARKTAARKTAARKTAARKTAARKTAARKTAARKTATAARKTAARKTAARKTAARKTAARKTATD375ydPUNT37ydPUNT35ydTD370ydTD1075ydPUNT39ydPUNT522ydPUNT937ydTO10ydTD210ydPUNT30ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT33ydTO941ydEND59ydPUNT320ydDOWNS1043ydPUNT417ydPUNT37ydPUNT511ydFG1058ydTD875ydPUNT732ydPUNT550ydTO518ydUncategorized4-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arkansas and Texas A&M
StatisticArkansasTexas A&M
Passing23-4111-22
Pass Yards279163
Rush Yards100137
Total Yards379300
Turnovers30
3rd Down5-154-13
Penalties10-757-63
Possession30:3929:21

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arkansas
passing
Taylen Green
23/41, 279 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ja'Quinden Jackson
10 CAR, 37 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Isaac Teslaa
5 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Texas A&M
passing
Marcel Reed
11/22, 163 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Le'Veon Moss
13 CAR, 117 YDS
receiving
Noah Thomas
6 REC, 109 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Taylen Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 2 yds to the ARK 25

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +7.13

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 75 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the TA&M 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 5 yds to the TA&M 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Jabre Barber

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tyler White punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 33

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the ARK 38

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Isaiah Sategna

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Andrew Armstrong

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TA&M 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the TA&M 34

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.27

Le'Veon Moss run for 8 yds to the TA&M 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +4.56

Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 58 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Rodney Hill run for 7 yds to the ARK 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 8 yds to the ARK 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARK 35

1st & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.18

Taylen Green pass complete to Ja'Quinden Jackson for 16 yds to the TA&M 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Luke Hasz

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Taylen Green run for 3 yds to the TA&M 46

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.80

Taylen Green sacked by Jaydon Hill for a loss of 8 yards to the ARK 46 Taylen Green fumbled, recovered by ARK

4th & 15Rush+25 ydsPPA +4.27

Devin Bale run for 25 yds to the TA&M 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.24

Isaiah Sategna run for 15 yds to the TA&M 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 6 yds to the TA&M 8

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.37

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 8 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Marcel Reed run for 5 yds to the TA&M 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Terry Bussey run for 1 yd to the TA&M 31

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Marcel Reed run for 3 yds to the TA&M 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tyler White punt for 58 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 8

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.40

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 6

2nd & 12Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.82

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 27 yds to the ARK 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.75

Taylen Green run for a loss of 9 yards to the ARK 24

2nd & 19Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 7 yds to the ARK 31

3rd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Taylen Green pass complete to Ja'Quinden Jackson for 4 yds to the ARK 35

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARK 30

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Terry Bussey at the TA&M 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Amari Daniels run for no gain to the TA&M 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 9 yds to the TA&M 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the TA&M 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Noah Thomas

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

EJ Smith run for 1 yd to the TA&M 32

3rd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.37

Marcel Reed pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 22 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Marcel Reed run for 7 yds to the ARK 39

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.72

EJ Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARK 42

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Marcel Reed run for 4 yds to the ARK 38

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARK 43

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tyler White punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 9

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Taylen Green run for 1 yd to the ARK 10 Taylen Green fumbled, recovered by TA&M Scooby Williams

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the ARK 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Marcel Reed run for 5 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Isaiah Sategna

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Ja'Quinden Jackson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Terry Bussey at the TA&M 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Cyrus Allen

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the TA&M 37

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Tre Watson

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tyler White punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 15

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for no gain to the ARK 15

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Ja'Quinden Jackson

3rd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.13

Taylen Green sacked by Nic Scourton for a loss of 5 yards to the ARK 10

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 44 yds, downed at the TA&M 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Noah Thomas

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TA&M 49

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Noah Thomas

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tyler White punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 7

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Andrew Armstrong

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.11

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the ARK 8

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Taylen Green run for 10 yds to the ARK 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Braylen Russell run for 6 yds to the ARK 24

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Braylen Russell run for 2 yds to the ARK 26

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARK 21

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.32

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 8 yds to the ARK 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 19 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.99

Taylen Green pass intercepted Dezz Ricks return for no gain to the TA&M 34

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the TA&M 39

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Noah Thomas

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.58

Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 13 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Jabre Barber

2nd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.22

Marcel Reed sacked by Landon Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the TA&M 43

0th & 10End of Half-9 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Arkansas Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the TA&M 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the TA&M 43

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Marcel Reed run for 2 yds to the TA&M 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Jabre Barber

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tyler White punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Ty Washington

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Braylen Russell run for 7 yds to the ARK 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.17

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 5 yds to the ARK 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 6 yds to the ARK 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Taylen Green pass complete to Luke Hasz for 2 yds to the ARK 40

3rd & 2Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.80

Taylen Green run for 24 yds to the TA&M 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 2 yds to the TA&M 34

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 39

2nd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Taylen Green pass complete to Jordan Anthony for 7 yds to the TA&M 32

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Isaiah Sategna

4th & 6Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.16

Devin Bale run for a loss of 5 yards to the TA&M 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.76

Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 21 yds to the ARK 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.43

Marcel Reed sacked by Quincy Rhodes Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the ARK 49

2nd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the ARK 46

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Jabre Barber

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Tyler White punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 10

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the ARK 15

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds to the ARK 17

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Andrew Armstrong

4th & 3Punt+6 yds

Devin Bale punt for 54 yds , Terry Bussey returns for 6 yds to the TA&M 35

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Marcel Reed run for 13 yds to the TA&M 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Penalty+10 yds

Arkansas Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (10 Yards) to the ARK 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.93

Marcel Reed sacked by Landon Jackson for a loss of 10 yards to the 50 yard line Texas A&M Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Yards) to the 50 yard line

2nd & 20Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.05

Jabre Barber run for a loss of 6 yards to the TA&M 44

3rd & 26Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 2 yds to the TA&M 46

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Tyler White punt for 39 yds, downed at the ARK 15

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.61

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 11 yds to the ARK 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Texas A&M Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the ARK 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARK 31

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Isaiah Sategna

2nd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.75

Taylen Green pass complete to Ja'Quinden Jackson for 16 yds to the ARK 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 7 yds to the TA&M 46

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.17

Taylen Green run for 4 yds to the TA&M 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.48

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 12 yds to the TA&M 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.37

Taylen Green run for a loss of 5 yards to the TA&M 35

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Andrew Armstrong

3rd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 8 yds to the TA&M 27

4th & 7Field Goal Good+45 yds

Kyle Ramsey 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Marcel Reed pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 4 yds to the TA&M 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.73

Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 14 yds to the TA&M 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the TA&M 44

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the TA&M 49

3rd & 4Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.55

Le'Veon Moss run for 23 yds to the ARK 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Le'Veon Moss run for 8 yds to the ARK 20

2nd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.38

Le'Veon Moss run for 15 yds to the ARK 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Marcel Reed pass complete to Tre Watson for 5 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the ARK 20

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Isaac TeSlaa

2nd & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.90

Taylen Green pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 15 yds to the ARK 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Ja'Quinden Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.94

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 21 yds to the TA&M 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 5 yds to the TA&M 40

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.72

Taylen Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the TA&M 43

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Andrew Armstrong

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TA&M 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.23

Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 10 yds to the TA&M 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TA&M 16

1st & 5Rush+45 ydsPPA +2.67

Le'Veon Moss run for 30 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST down Arkansas Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the ARK 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Amari Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 41

2nd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.63

Amari Daniels run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARK 44

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Noah Thomas

4th & 15Penalty-5 yds

Texas A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ARK 49

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Tyler White punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 5 yds to the ARK 15

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 4 yds to the ARK 19

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.81

Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the ARK 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+13 yds

Texas A&M Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (13 Yards) to the ARK 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Taylen Green sacked by Nic Scourton for a loss of 6 yards to the ARK 43 Taylen Green fumbled, recovered by TA&M Jaydon Hill , return for 0 yards Texas A&M Penalty, Assisting the Runner (15 Yards) to the ARK 43

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.65

Le'Veon Moss run for a loss of 8 yards to the TA&M 49

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Le'Veon Moss run for 7 yds to the TA&M 49

2nd & 18Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Le'Veon Moss run for 7 yds to the ARK 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 46

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

End of 4th Quarter

Situational Analysis

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
27 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
75%
8 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
38%
26 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
4th