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← Back to GamesSep 21, 2024Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri by 26.1

Home Win Probability

Missouri 94%

Market (Bovada)

Missouri -18

Edge: Missouri -18 (8.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
VanderbiltVanderbilt
7670727
MissouriMissouri
731001030

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-77-1010-1013-1320-1320-2020-27
MissouriVanderbilt

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VANMISVANMISVANMISVANMISVANMISVANMISVANMISVANMISVANMISVANMISVANMISVANVANMISMISVANPUNT3-2ydPUNT31ydTD492ydTD1076ydFG1066ydMISS1391ydPUNT3-6ydFG947ydPUNT35ydDOWNS515ydFG24ydFG921ydPUNT3-4ydTD475ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT38ydTD880ydMISS930ydPUNT31ydMISS837ydMISS839ydPUNT521ydEND3-4ydTD425ydTD125ydFG45ydMISS612yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Vanderbilt and Missouri
StatisticVanderbiltMissouri
Passing14-2323-37
Pass Yards178226
Rush Yards146216
Total Yards324442
Turnovers00
3rd Down4-147-17
Penalties8-933-33
Possession26:5433:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Vanderbilt
passing
Diego Pavia
14/23, 178 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Diego Pavia
17 CAR, 84 YDS
receiving
Joseph McVay
1 REC, 65 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Missouri
passing
Brady Cook
23/37, 226 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Nate Noel
24 CAR, 199 YDS
receiving
Luther Burden III
6 REC, 76 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

AJ Newberry run for 6 yds to the VAN 31

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VAN 26

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.66

Diego Pavia run for a loss of 8 yards to the VAN 18 Diego Pavia fumbled, recovered by VAN AJ Newberry A. Newberry return for 0 yds

3rd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Diego Pavia run for 5 yds to the VAN 23

4th & 12Punt+24 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 54 yds , Luther Burden III returns for 24 yds to the MIZ 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Brady Cook pass complete to Nate Noel for 2 yds to the MIZ 49

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 48

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 36 yds. PENALTY, VANDY Holding (Newberry) enforced half the distance to the goal

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the VAN 13

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 8 yds to the VAN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.09

Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 14 yds to the VAN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.24

Diego Pavia pass complete to Joseph McVay for 65 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the MIZ 31

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Nate Noel run for 10 yds to the MIZ 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the MIZ 46

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.25

Brady Cook pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 9 yds to the VAN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Brady Cook pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 7 yds to the VAN 38

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the VAN 37

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.81

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the VAN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.29

Brady Cook run for 13 yds to the VAN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 20 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Diego Pavia run for 3 yds to the VAN 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Diego Pavia run for 6 yds to the VAN 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

AJ Newberry run for 4 yds to the VAN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.23

Diego Pavia run for 36 yds to the MIZ 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.67

Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 15 yds to the MIZ 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Diego Pavia run for 7 yds to the MIZ 4

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

AJ Newberry run for no gain to the MIZ 4

3rd & 3Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.71

Diego Pavia run for a loss of 5 yards to the MIZ 9

4th & 8Field Goal Good+27 yds

Brock Taylor 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the MIZ 6

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Brady Cook run for 1 yd to the MIZ 7

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 8 yds to the MIZ 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.97

Nate Noel run for 32 yds to the MIZ 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 4 yds to the VAN 49

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.76

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 18 yds to the VAN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the VAN 30

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Brady Cook pass incomplete. PENALTY VAN Personal Foul (Kollie) enforced 15 yards

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Luther Burden run for a loss of 2 yards to the VANDY17. PENALTY MIZ Holding (Johnson) enforced 10 yards

1st & 20Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.04

Nate Noel run for 17 yds to the VAN 8

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the VAN 6

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Brady Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 7

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+24 yds

Blake Craig 24 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

AJ Newberry run for 4 yds to the VAN 24

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Sedrick Alexander run for 2 yds to the VAN 26

3rd & 4Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.57

Diego Pavia sacked by Chuck Hicks for a loss of 12 yards to the VAN 14

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 49 yds , Luther Burden III returns for no gain to the MIZ 14 Missouri Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the MIZ 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.20

Nate Noel run for 16 yds to the VAN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.75

Brady Cook pass complete to Nate Noel for no gain to the VAN 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Brady Cook pass complete to Mekhi Miller for 11 yds to the VAN 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.52

Brady Cook pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 19 yds to the VAN 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the VAN 5

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Blake Craig 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Diego Pavia run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 24

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Sedrick Alexander run for 6 yds to the VAN 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the MIZ 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 13 yds to the MIZ 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 7 yds to the MIZ 47

4th & 3Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.68

Brady Cook sacked by Khordae Sydnor for a loss of 5 yards to the MIZ 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 4 yds to the MIZ 38

2nd & 6Field Goal Good+57 yds

Brock Taylor 57 Yd Field Goal

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the MIZ 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 5 yds to the MIZ 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.55

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 4 yds to the VAN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the VAN 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Brady Cook pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 10 yds to the VAN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.75

Brady Cook run for a loss of 6 yards to the VAN 39

2nd & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the VAN 37

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 14Field Goal Good+54 yds

Blake Craig 54 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Junior Sherrill run for a loss of 7 yards to the VAN 18 Junior Sherrill fumbled, recovered by VAN Diego Pavia D. Pavia return for 0 yds

2nd & 17Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 3 yds to the VAN 21

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the MIZ 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Nate Noel run for 8 yds to the MIZ 33

3rd & 2Rush+64 ydsPPA +4.83

Nate Noel run for 64 yds to the VAN 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

M. Carroll run for 3 yds for a TD (B. Craig KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yard to the VAN 36. Vanderbilt Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Chase Mitchell) to the VAN 21

2nd & 24Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.09

Diego Pavia pass complete to AJ Newberry for 8 yds to the VAN 29

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the MIZ 33

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 8 yds to the MIZ 41

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Martel Hight at the VAN 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 9 yds to the VAN 29

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the VAN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the VAN 35

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the VAN 38

3rd & 2Rush+31 ydsPPA +3.12

Sedrick Alexander run for 31 yds to the MIZ 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.27

Diego Pavia run for 15 yds to the MIZ 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.88

Diego Pavia pass complete to Cole Spence for 12 yds to the MIZ 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

A. Newberry run for 4 yds for a TD (B. Taylor KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 6 yds to the VAN 47

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.43

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the VAN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Brady Cook sacked by Bryan Longwell for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 43

2nd & 11Penalty+5 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, Delay Of Game (De'Rickey Wright) to the VAN 38

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the VAN 37

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.29

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 6 yds to the VAN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the VAN 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 7 yds to the VAN 23

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Brady Cook run for no gain to the VAN 23

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Blake Craig 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Diego Pavia run for 1 yd to the VAN 24

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the MIZ 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.18

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 27 yds to the VAN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.25

Nate Noel run for 14 yds to the VAN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the VAN 22

2nd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.64

Brady Cook sacked by Randon Fontenette for a loss of 7 yards to the VAN 29

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Blake Craig 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 6 yds to the VAN 35

3rd & 4Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.79

Diego Pavia run for 18 yds to the MIZ 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.68

Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 13 yds to the MIZ 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

AJ Newberry run for no gain to the MIZ 34

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the MIZ 32

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Brock Taylor 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the MIZ 35

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.53

Brady Cook run for 9 yds to the MIZ 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Brady Cook pass complete to Nate Noel for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the VAN 47

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Nate Noel run for no gain to the VAN 47

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Martel Hight at the VAN 7

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the VAN 10

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.27

(00:42) [NHSG] Kneel down by VANDY at VANDY9 (team loss of 1), clock 00:41.

3rd & 8Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.12

Diego Pavia run for a loss of 6 yards to the VAN 3

0th & 8End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

1st & 10Penalty+13 yds

(00:00) PAVIA, Diego pass to the right complete for 0 yards to STOWERS, Eli caught at the MIZZOU25 and advanced to the MIZZOU25 (WALKER, Johnny). PENALTY MIZZOU Unnecessary Roughness on HICKS, Chuck enforced half the distance from the goal, 13 yards from the MIZZOU25 to the MIZZOU12 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.72

Sedrick Alexander run for a loss of 6 yards to the MIZ 18

2nd & 16Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.77

Diego Pavia run for 15 yds to the MIZ 3

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.26

Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the MIZ 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

D. Pavia pass to G. Fisher for 2 yds for a TD (B. Taylor KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Luther Burden III 25 Yd pass from Brady Cook (Blake Craig Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 4 yds to the VAN 21

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the VAN 20

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brady Cook pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 2 yds to the MIZ 23

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Diego Pavia run for 11 yds to the MIZ 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Diego Pavia run for a loss of 3 yards to the MIZ 15

2nd & 13Penalty-15 yds

(00:00) PAVIA, Diego pass to the right incomplete intended for SHERRILL, Junior broken up by PRIDE JR., Toriano at the MIZZOU0. PENALTY VANDY Pass Interference on SHERRILL, Junior enforced 15 yards to the MIZZOU30 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 28Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.94

Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 17 yds to the MIZ 13

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Brock Taylor 31 yd FG MISSED

Situational Analysis

Vanderbilt

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
46%
24 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
4th

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
22%
9 plays
69%
13 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play