House Prediction
Model Margin
Mississippi State by 2.6
Home Win Probability
Mississippi State 51%
Market (Bovada)
Mississippi State +6.5
fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2024
Line Movement
No line movement to chart
Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Florida | 7 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 45 |
 Mississippi State | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 28 |
Scoring Timeline
Drive Chart
Box Score
| Statistic | Florida | Mississippi State |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 26-28 | 20-34 |
| Pass Yards | 277 | 240 |
| Rush Yards | 226 | 240 |
| Total Yards | 503 | 480 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
| 3rd Down | 7-9 | 11-20 |
| Penalties | 6-54 | 8-70 |
| Possession | 27:36 | 32:24 |
Player Leaders
Player Leaders
Play-by-Play
Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the MSST 22
Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for no gain to the MSST 22
Blake Shapen pass complete to Seydou Traore for 3 yds to the MSST 25
Nick Barr-Mira punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the FLA 28
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FLA 30
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 5 yds to the FLA 35
Graham Mertz pass complete to Tony Livingston for no gain to the FLA 35
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 41 yds , Kevin Coleman Jr. returns for no gain to the MSST 24
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Braylon Burnside
Blake Shapen pass complete to Creed Whittemore for 12 yds to the MSST 36 for a 1ST down
Blake Shapen run for 3 yds to the MSST 39
Keyvone Lee run for 3 yds to the MSST 42
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Justin Ball
Nick Barr-Mira punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the FLA 16
Graham Mertz pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 2 yds to the FLA 18
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Elijhah Badger
Graham Mertz pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 8 yds to the FLA 26 for a 1ST down
Graham Mertz pass complete to Aidan Mizell for 4 yds to the FLA 30
Treyaun Webb run for 7 yds to the FLA 37 for a 1ST down
Graham Mertz pass complete to Aidan Mizell for 9 yds to the FLA 46
Graham Mertz run for 16 yds to the MSST 38 for a 1ST down
Mertz, Graham pass incomplete to Mizell, Aidan, PENALTY MSST roughing passer (Smith, Isaac) 15 yards to the MSST23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLA.
DJ Lagway run for 3 yds to the MSST 20
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the MSST 16
Graham Mertz run for 7 yds to the MSST 9 for a 1ST down
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the MSST 6
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the MSST 3
Arlis Boardingham 3 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Trey Smack Kick)
Trey Smack kickoff for 65 yds , Davon Booth return for 38 yds to the MSST 38
Keyvone Lee run for 6 yds to the MSST 44
Keyvone Lee run for 1 yd to the MSST 45
Keyvone Lee run for 10 yds to the FLA 45 for a 1ST down
Kevin Coleman Jr. run for 9 yds to the FLA 36
Blake Shapen pass complete to Seydou Traore for 25 yds to the FLA 11 for a 1ST down
Davon Booth run for 3 yds to the FLA 8
Davon Booth run for 3 yds to the FLA 5
Davon Booth run for 4 yds to the FLA 1 for a 1ST down
Davon Booth 1 Yd Run (Kyle Ferrie Kick)
Lagway, DJ pass incomplete to Livingston, Tony, PENALTY MSST offside 5 yards to the FLA30, NO PLAY.
DJ Lagway pass complete to Marcus Burke for 10 yds to the FLA 40 for a 1ST down
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 12 yds to the MSST 48 Montrell Johnson Jr. fumbled, forced by Isaac Smith, recovered by MSST Kelley Jones
Shapen, Blake rush for 4 yards to the FLA48, PENALTY MSST holding (Pounders, Makylan) 10 yards to the MSST38, NO PLAY.
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Seydou Traore
Johnnie Daniels run for 3 yds to the MSST 41
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Kevin Coleman Jr.
Nick Barr-Mira punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FLA 35
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 3 yds to the FLA 38
Graham Mertz pass complete to Ja'Kobi Jackson for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
Graham Mertz pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 6 yds to the MSST 44
Graham Mertz pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 12 yds to the MSST 32 for a 1ST down
Graham Mertz pass complete to Ja'Kobi Jackson for 15 yds to the MSST 17 Florida Penalty, Illegal Block (Brandon Crenshaw-Dickson) to the MSST 27
Graham Mertz pass complete to Aidan Mizell for 7 yds to the MSST 20 for a 1ST down
Marcus Burke 20 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Trey Smack Kick)
Trey Smack kickoff for 65 yds , Davon Booth return for 19 yds to the MSST 19
Davon Booth run for 2 yds to the MSST 21
Davon Booth run for 3 yds to the MSST 24
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Mario Craver
Nick Barr-Mira punt for 55 yds , Chimere Dike returns for 35 yds to the MSST 44
Graham Mertz pass complete to Tony Livingston for 9 yds to the MSST 35
Hayden Hansen 35 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Trey Smack Kick)
Blake Shapen run for 4 yds to the MSST 29
Johnnie Daniels run for 3 yds to the MSST 32
Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 10 yds to the MSST 42 for a 1ST down
Mississippi State Penalty, False Start (Jordan Mosley) to the MSST 37
Keyvone Lee run for 9 yds to the MSST 46
Keyvone Lee run for 9 yds to the FLA 45 for a 1ST down
Blake Shapen run for 1 yd to the FLA 44
Keyvone Lee run for 18 yds to the FLA 26 for a 1ST down
Keyvone Lee run for a loss of 4 yards to the FLA 30
Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 1 yd to the FLA 29 Mississippi State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Justin Ball) to the FLA 39
Johnnie Daniels run for 2 yds to the FLA 37
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Kelly Akharaiyi
Mississippi State Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the FLA 42
Nick Barr-Mira punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the FLA 9
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FLA 10
DJ Lagway pass complete to Marcus Burke for no gain to the FLA 10
DJ Lagway run for 13 yds to the FLA 23 for a 1ST down
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 11 yds to the FLA 34 for a 1ST down
DJ Lagway pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 12 yds to the FLA 46 for a 1ST down
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FLA 49
Treyaun Webb run for 11 yds to the MSST 40 for a 1ST down
DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 27 yds to the MSST 13 for a 1ST down
Treyaun Webb run for 3 yds to the MSST 10
Ja'Kobi Jackson 10 Yd Run (Trey Smack Kick)
Blake Shapen pass complete to Mario Craver for 16 yds to the MSST 41 for a 1ST down
Blake Shapen pass complete to Mario Craver for 37 yds to the FLA 22 for a 1ST down
Davon Booth run for 17 yds to the FLA 5 for a 1ST down
Blake Shapen run for 2 yds to the FLA 3
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Mario Craver
Blake Shapen 3 Yd Run (Kyle Ferrie Kick)
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FLA 28
End of 2nd Quarter
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 5 yds to the FLA 30
Treyaun Webb run for 2 yds to the FLA 32
Graham Mertz pass complete to Aidan Mizell for 1 yd to the FLA 33
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman Jr. at the MSST 24
Blake Shapen run for 8 yds to the MSST 32
Johnnie Daniels run for 15 yds to the MSST 47 for a 1ST down
Blake Shapen run for 7 yds to the FLA 46
Johnnie Daniels run for 4 yds to the FLA 42 Johnnie Daniels fumbled, recovered by MSST Johnnie Daniels for a 1ST down
Davon Booth run for a loss of 6 yards to the FLA 48
Blake Shapen run for 6 yds to the FLA 42
Davon Booth run for 15 yds to the FLA 27 for a 1ST down
Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the FLA 29
Blake Shapen sacked by Sharif Denson for a loss of 4 yards to the FLA 33 Blake Shapen fumbled, forced by Sharif Denson, recovered by MSST Blake Shapen , return for 0 yards
Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 13 yds to the FLA 20
Davon Booth run for 3 yds to the FLA 17 for a 1ST down
Blake Shapen run for 4 yds to the FLA 13
Jordan Mosley 13 Yd pass from Blake Shapen (Kyle Ferrie Kick)
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Tony Livingston
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 10 yds to the FLA 35 for a 1ST down
Graham Mertz pass complete to Aidan Mizell for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down Florida Penalty, Personal Foul (Montrell Johnson Jr.) to the MSST 35 for a 1ST down
Mertz, Graham pass incomplete to Burke, Marcus, PENALTY MSST pass interference (Jones, Kelley) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLA.
Mississippi State Penalty, Defensive Offside (Tyler Woodard) to the MSST 45
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 28 yds to the MSST 17 for a 1ST down
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the MSST 12
Treyaun Webb run for 4 yds to the MSST 8
Treyaun Webb run for 7 yds to the MSST 1 for a 1ST down
Graham Mertz 1 Yd Run (Trey Smack Kick)
Blake Shapen pass complete to Seydou Traore for 15 yds to the MSST 40 for a 1ST down
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Jordan Mosley
Johnnie Daniels run for 2 yds to the MSST 42
Johnnie Daniels run for 18 yds to the FLA 40 for a 1ST down
Davon Booth run for 13 yds to the FLA 27 for a 1ST down
Shapen, Blake pass incomplete to Coleman Jr., Kevin, PENALTY FLA pass interference (Denson, Sharif) 12 yards to the FLA15, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MSST.
Blake Shapen run for 4 yds to the FLA 11
Davon Booth run for 3 yds to the FLA 8
Davon Booth run for no gain to the FLA 8
Shapen, Blake pass incomplete to Coleman Jr., Kevin, PENALTY FLA pass interference (Denson, Sharif) 5 yards to the FLA3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MSST.
Johnnie Daniels run for 2 yds to the FLA 1
Johnnie Daniels run for no gain to the FLA 1
Davon Booth run for no gain to the FLA 1
Blake Shapen run for a loss of 6 yards to the FLA 7 Blake Shapen fumbled, recovered by FLA Grayson Howard
Jadan Baugh run for 3 yds to the FLA 10
DJ Lagway pass complete to Marcus Burke for 15 yds to the FLA 25 for a 1ST down
Jadan Baugh run for 8 yds to the FLA 33
DJ Lagway pass complete to TJ Abrams for 3 yds to the FLA 36 for a 1ST down
DJ Lagway pass complete to Tony Livingston for 9 yds to the FLA 45
Jadan Baugh run for 32 yds to the MSST 23 for a 1ST down
Jadan Baugh run for 10 yds to the MSST 13 for a 1ST down
Treyaun Webb run for 8 yds to the MSST 5
Treyaun Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSST 6
Austin Barber 0 Yd Run (Trey Smack Kick)
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete to Davon Booth
Davon Booth run for 9 yds to the MSST 34
Davon Booth run for 5 yds to the MSST 39 for a 1ST down
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete to Mario Craver
Johnnie Daniels run for 9 yds to the MSST 48
Johnnie Daniels run for 4 yds to the FLA 48 for a 1ST down
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 17 yds to the FLA 31 for a 1ST down
Michael Van Buren Jr. sacked by Kelby Collins and George Gumbs Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 32
Van Buren Jr., Michael pass incomplete to Coleman Jr., Kevin, PENALTY FLA holding (Marshall Jr., Jason) 10 yards to the FLA22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MSST.
Michael Van Buren Jr. run for no gain to the FLA 22
Johnnie Daniels run for 1 yd to the FLA 21
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 11 yds to the FLA 10 for a 1ST down
Johnnie Daniels 10 Yd Run (Kyle Ferrie Kick)
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the MSST 45
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 9 yds to the MSST 36 for a 1ST down
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the MSST 36
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the MSST 39
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 10 yds to the MSST 29
Trey Smack 47 Yd Field Goal
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Seydou Traore for 5 yds to the MSST 30
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 6 yds to the MSST 36 for a 1ST down
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Mario Craver for 9 yds to the MSST 45
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete to Kelly Akharaiyi
Johnnie Daniels run for 4 yds to the MSST 49 for a 1ST down
Michael Van Buren Jr. run for 5 yds to the FLA 46
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete
Michael Van Buren Jr. sacked by Aaron Chiles for a loss of 10 yards to the MSST 44
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Creed Whittemore for 24 yds to the FLA 32 for a 1ST down
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 28 yds to the FLA 4 for a 1ST down
Van Buren Jr., Michael pass incomplete to Walley, Jaden, PENALTY FLA pass interference 2 yards to the FLA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MSST.
Michael Van Buren Jr. run for 1 yd to the FLA 1