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← Back to GamesSep 21, 2024Week 4
UCLAUCLA
17
-Final
34
LSULSU

House Prediction

Model Margin

LSU by 12.9

Home Win Probability

LSU 75%

Market (Bovada)

LSU -21.5

Edge: UCLA +21.5 (8.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UCLAUCLA
1070017
LSULSU
71071034

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-1017-1724-1731-1734-17
LSUUCLA

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LSUUCLLSUUCLLSUUCLLSUUCLLSUUCLLSUUCLLSUUCLLSUUCLLSUUCLLSUTD675ydTD875ydDOWNS926ydFG727ydTD475ydPUNT3-16ydPUNT617ydTO832ydFG733ydTD1175ydEND1-1ydPUNT421ydTD1496ydPUNT835ydTD1192ydTO57ydFG831ydPUNT516ydEND825yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UCLA and LSU
StatisticUCLALSU
Passing22-3632-44
Pass Yards281352
Rush Yards14102
Total Yards295454
Turnovers20
3rd Down5-1210-15
Penalties9-805-22
Possession26:2433:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UCLA
passing
Ethan Garbers
22/36, 281 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Keegan Jones
3 CAR, 22 YDS
receiving
Kwazi Gilmer
2 REC, 61 YDS
defense
LSU
passing
Garrett Nussmeier
32/44, 352 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Josh Williams
13 CAR, 62 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Mason Taylor
8 REC, 77 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 17 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Josh Williams run for 4 yds to the LSU 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.83

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 21 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 5 yds to the UCLA 28

2nd & 5Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.94

Josh Williams run for 23 yds to the UCLA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Zavion Thomas for 5 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ethan Garbers run for no gain to the UCLA 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 6 yds to the UCLA 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.37

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Keegan Jones for 28 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 6 yds to the LSU 35

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

T.J. Harden run for 2 yds to the LSU 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.80

Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for 13 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Jack Pedersen for 20 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Nussmeier, Garrett pass incomplete to Lacy, Kyren, PENALTY UCLA offside 5 yards to the LSU35, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Josh Williams run for 4 yds to the LSU 39

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Caden Durham run for 5 yds to the LSU 47

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Caden Durham run for no gain to the LSU 47

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (Will Campbell) to the LSU 42

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.92

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 11 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 3 yds to the UCLA 44

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Josh Williams run for no gain to the UCLA 44

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Zavion Thomas

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Moliki Matavao

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Keegan Jones run for 2 yds to the UCLA 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.38

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 29 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

T.J. Harden run for 3 yds to the LSU 22

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to J.Michael Sturdivant

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.15

Ethan Garbers sacked by Paris Shand and Sai'vion Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the LSU 29

4th & 14Field Goal Good+47 yds

Mateen Bhaghani 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Nussmeier, Garrett pass incomplete to Lacy, Kyren, PENALTY UCLA pass interference (Stewart, Croix) 15 yards to the LSU40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 7 yds to the LSU 47

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.29

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 4 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 4 yds to the UCLA 45

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.90

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyle Parker for 45 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Ethan Garbers sacked by Dominick McKinley for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 20

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Jack Pedersen

3rd & 15Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.11

Ethan Garbers sacked by Bradyn Swinson for a loss of 11 yards to the UCLA 9

4th & 26Punt+10 yds

Brody Richter punt for 61 yds , Zavion Thomas returns for 10 yds to the LSU 40

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Caden Durham run for 4 yds to the LSU 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Aaron Anderson

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.61

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 12 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the UCLA 43

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Mason Taylor

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 37 yds, downed at the UCLA 6

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

T.J. Harden run for 2 yds to the UCLA 8

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.65

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 11 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Moliki Matavao

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.36

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 12 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

T.J. Harden run for 2 yds to the UCLA 33

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Keegan Jones run for 3 yds to the UCLA 36

3rd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.53

Ethan Garbers run for 13 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.95

Ethan Garbers sacked by Bradyn Swinson for a loss of 11 yards to the UCLA 38 Ethan Garbers fumbled, forced by Bradyn Swinson, recovered by LSU Sai'vion Jones , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 3 yds to the UCLA 35

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Kaleb Jackson run for 2 yds to the UCLA 33

3rd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.30

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 23 yds to the UCLA 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Josh Williams run for 1 yd to the UCLA 9

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 4 yds to the UCLA 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Damian Ramos 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Logan Loya for 16 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Carter Shaw run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.21

Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for 4 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Keegan Jones for 6 yds to the LSU 40

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

T.J. Harden run for 6 yds to the LSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UCLA Penalty, False Start (Reuben Unije) to the LSU 39

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for 4 yds to the LSU 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.30

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 32 yds to the LSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

T.J. Harden run for no gain to the LSU 3

2nd & 0Penalty+2 yds

Garbers, Ethan pass incomplete to Shaw, Carter, PENALTY LSU holding (Johnson, JK) 2 yards to the LSU1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCLA.

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

T.J. Harden run for no gain to the LSU 1

2nd & 0Penalty-10 yds

Garbers, Ethan pass complete to Flores Jr., Rico for 1 yard to the LSU0, PENALTY UCLA holding (Unije, Reuben) 10 yards to the LSU11, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Moliki Matavao

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.15

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Logan Loya for 11 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 24

0th & 10End of Half-1 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Jalen Berger run for 13 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jalen Berger run for 1 yd to the UCLA 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Rico Flores Jr.

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Jalen Berger for 7 yds to the UCLA 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Brody Richter punt for 50 yds, downed at the LSU 4

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Josh Williams run for 7 yds to the LSU 11

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.23

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 9 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Josh Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.33

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 33 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to CJ Daniels

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Aaron Anderson

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

UCLA Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the UCLA 43

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.71

Josh Williams run for 8 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for 5 yds to the UCLA 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 4 yds to the UCLA 26

3rd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.36

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 8 yds to the UCLA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Josh Williams run for 6 yds to the UCLA 12

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the UCLA 10

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.44

Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the UCLA 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty+5 yds

Nussmeier, Garrett pass incomplete to Lacy, Kyren, PENALTY UCLA pass interference (Davies, Jaylin) 5 yards to the UCLA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Josh Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Bryce Pierre

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 3 yds to the UCLA 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.17

Ethan Garbers pass complete to J.Michael Sturdivant for 23 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Harden, T.J. rush for no gain to the LSU49, PENALTY LSU illegal procedure 5 yards to the LSU44, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA -0.13

Keegan Jones run for 17 yds to the LSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.19

Jalen Berger run for 5 yds to the LSU 22 UCLA Penalty, Clipping (-15 Yards) to the LSU 37

1st & 20Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Logan Loya for 8 yds to the LSU 29

2nd & 12Fumble Recovery (Own)-23 ydsPPA -3.78

Ethan Garbers run for a loss of 23 yards to the UCLA 48 Ethan Garbers fumbled, recovered by UCLA Garrett DiGiorgio

3rd & 35Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.34

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Jalen Berger for 12 yds to the LSU 40

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Brody Richter punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Zavion Thomas at the LSU 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.52

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 13 yds to the LSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kaleb Jackson for 12 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kaleb Jackson for 9 yds to the LSU 42

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Kaleb Jackson run for 1 yd to the LSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Kaleb Jackson run for 6 yds to the LSU 49

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.72

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kaleb Jackson for 2 yds to the UCLA 49

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Kaleb Jackson run for 4 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kaleb Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 2 yds to the UCLA 43

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.13

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 8 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for 35 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Logan Loya

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Logan Loya for 11 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Ethan Garbers pass complete to J.Michael Sturdivant for 3 yds to the UCLA 39

2nd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.55

Ethan Garbers sacked by Jay'viar Suggs for a loss of 7 yards to the UCLA 32

3rd & 14Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.11

Ethan Garbers pass intercepted Jardin Gilbert return for no gain to the UCLA 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.69

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 16 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Zavion Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 30

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.44

Kaleb Jackson run for 8 yds to the UCLA 22

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.41

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 3 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kaleb Jackson run for 5 yds to the UCLA 14

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

4th & 5Field Goal Good+32 yds

Damian Ramos 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Carter Shaw

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.12

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Keegan Jones for 16 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Kwazi Gilmer

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to J.Michael Sturdivant

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Kwazi Gilmer

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 9 yds to the LSU 29

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Caden Durham run for 4 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 1 yd to the LSU 34

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Major Burns run for 1 yd to the LSU 35

3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.26

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 20 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Ju'Juan Johnson run for no gain to the UCLA 45

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kyle Parker

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LSU 45

3rd & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Caden Durham run for no gain to the LSU 45

Situational Analysis

UCLA

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
29%
21 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
42%
12 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
52%
29 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
33%
9 plays
0%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play