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← Back to GamesSep 21, 2024Week 4
OhioOhio
6
-Final
41
KentuckyKentucky

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio by 0.4

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 52%

Market (Bovada)

Kentucky -19

Edge: Ohio +19 (19.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
OhioOhio
00066
KentuckyKentucky
314101441

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-017-020-027-034-641-6
KentuckyOhio

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KENOHIKENOHIKENOHIKENOHIKENOHIKENOHIOHIKENOHIKENOHIKENOHIPUNT420ydPUNT33ydFG852ydPUNT519ydTD780ydTO1260ydTD880ydPUNT620ydEND848ydPUNT615ydFG1367ydTD10ydPUNT3-4ydDOWNS46ydTD551ydTD656ydPUNT35ydTD1259ydEND739yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ohio and Kentucky
StatisticOhioKentucky
Passing8-1919-27
Pass Yards110282
Rush Yards113206
Total Yards223488
Turnovers20
3rd Down3-97-13
Penalties5-406-45
Possession26:2533:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ohio
passing
Nick Poulos
8/19, 110 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Duncan Brune
6 CAR, 33 YDS
receiving
Coleman Owen
4 REC, 54 YDS
defense
Kentucky
passing
Brock Vandagriff
17/24, 237 YDS
rushing
Jamarion Wilcox
8 CAR, 82 YDS
receiving
Dane Key
7 REC, 145 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Gianni Spetic kickoff for 52 yds , Demie Sumo-Karngbaye return for 9 yds to the UK 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.52

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 18 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 1 yd to the UK 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 3 yds to the UK 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Barion Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the UK 42

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Aidan Laros punt for 58 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nick Poulos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.35

Anthony Tyus III run for a loss of 3 yards to the OHIO 17

3rd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Nick Poulos pass complete to Mason Williams for 6 yds to the OHIO 23

4th & 7Punt+10 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 51 yds , Ja'Mori Maclin returns for 10 yds to the UK 36

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.67

Jamarion Wilcox run for 19 yds to the OHIO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Gavin Wimsatt run for 8 yds to the OHIO 37

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 2 yds to the OHIO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.37

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 16 yds to the OHIO 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

(08:15) WILCOX, Jamarion rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the OU15 (LEAKE, Blake;BRAWLEY, Austin), clock 08:10. PENALTY OU Offsides enforced 5 yards from the OU19 to the OU14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 4 yds to the OHIO 10

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Kentucky Penalty, False Start (Gerald Mincey) to the OHIO 15

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Gavin Wimsatt run for no gain to the OHIO 15

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Brock Vandagriff run for 3 yds to the OHIO 12

4th & 3Field Goal Good+30 yds

Alex Raynor 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 2 yds to the OHIO 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.97

Nick Poulos pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 15 yds to the OHIO 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 3 yds to the OHIO 45

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Rickey Hunt Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 44

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Nick Poulos pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.53

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Barion Brown for 19 yds to the UK 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.67

Jamarion Wilcox run for 21 yds to the OHIO 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.61

Jamarion Wilcox run for 23 yds to the OHIO 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 1 yd to the OHIO 16

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.38

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Barion Brown for no gain to the OHIO 16

3rd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.28

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 15 yds to the OHIO 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Aidan Laros kickoff for 62 yds , Duncan Brune return for 17 yds to the OHIO 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Anthony Tyus III run for no gain to the OHIO 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.61

Nick Poulos pass complete to Coleman Owen for 14 yds to the OHIO 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(13:16) TYUS III, Anthony rush to the right for a gain of 9 yards to the OU43 (RYBKA, Tre'vonn), clock 13:09. PENALTY OU Holding on ATKINSON, Christophe enforced 10 yards from the OU34 to the OU24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Nick Poulos pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 5 yds to the OHIO 29

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the OHIO 33

3rd & 11Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.60

Nick Poulos run for 11 yds to the OHIO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.65

Nick Poulos pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 30 yds to the UK 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Nick Poulos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.62

Eamonn Dennis run for 10 yds to the UK 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Anthony Tyus III run for 6 yds to the UK 10

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.50

Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the UK 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Nick Poulos pass incomplete

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-15 ydsPPA -4.56

Nick Poulos run for a loss of 15 yards to the UK 20 Nick Poulos fumbled, recovered by UK J.J. Weaver J. Weaver return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.35

Anthony Brown-Stephens run for a loss of 3 yards to the UK 17

3rd & 13Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +4.05

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 42 yds to the OHIO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jamarion Wilcox run for no gain to the OHIO 41

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jamarion Wilcox run for 3 yds to the OHIO 38

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +4.33

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 36 yds to the OHIO 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Aidan Laros kickoff for 64 yds , Tank Pearson return for 19 yds to the OHIO 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 3 yds to the OHIO 23

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Nick Poulos run for 4 yds to the OHIO 27

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

Kentucky Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the OHIO 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Nick Poulos pass complete to Coleman Owen for 13 yds to the OHIO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Nick Poulos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Nick Poulos pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Nick Poulos pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

Ohio Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OHIO 40

4th & 15Punt-6 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 45 yds , Ja'Mori Maclin returns for a loss of 6 yards to the UK 9

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.55

Brock Vandagriff run for 13 yds to the UK 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 7 yds to the UK 29

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 7 yds to the UK 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.53

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 17 yds to the OHIO 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brock Vandagriff run for no gain to the OHIO 47

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

(00:39) VANDAGRIFF, Brock pass to the right incomplete intended for MACLIN, Ja'Mori thrown to the OU34, clock 00:34. PENALTY OU Personal Foul enforced 15 yards from the OU47 to the OU32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Brock Vandagriff run for 4 yds to the OHIO 28

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Kentucky Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the OHIO 33

3rd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -2.43

Brock Vandagriff sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the OHIO 43 Brock Vandagriff fumbled, recovered by UK Brock Vandagriff , return for 0 yards

0th & 11End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the OHIO 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the OHIO 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the OHIO 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Rickey Hunt Jr. run for no gain to the OHIO 37

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 3 yds to the OHIO 40

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Nick Poulos pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 43 yds, downed at the UK 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Gavin Wimsatt run for 8 yds to the UK 25

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.98

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 5 yds to the UK 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+33 yds

(10:04) VANDAGRIFF, Brock pass deep to the left complete for 33 yards to KEY, Dane caught at the OU45 and advanced to the OU45 (BRAWLEY, Austin;PARODIE, Roman), 1ST DOWN, clock 09:55. PENALTY UKY Holding on FARMER, Jalen OU Offsides , Offsetting penalties [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.77

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 19 yds to the UK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 8 yds to the OHIO 43

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.05

Jamarion Wilcox run for 7 yds to the OHIO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 7 yds to the OHIO 29

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Jamarion Wilcox run for 2 yds to the OHIO 27

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.41

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 9 yds to the OHIO 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Barion Brown for 2 yds to the OHIO 16

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+34 yds

Alex Raynor 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+25 ydsPPA -7.92

Nick Poulos pass intercepted Maxwell Hairston return for 25 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nick Poulos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Ohio Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the OHIO 20

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 1 yd to the OHIO 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.08

Nick Poulos pass complete to Coleman Owen for no gain to the OHIO 21

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ja'Mori Maclin at the UK 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 6 yds to the OHIO 49

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.23

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for no gain to the OHIO 49

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Anthony Brown-Stephens run for 3 yds to the OHIO 46

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -1.48

Brock Vandagriff run for a loss of 3 yards to the OHIO 49 Brock Vandagriff fumbled, recovered by UK Brock Vandagriff B. Vandagriff return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.24

Nick Poulos pass complete to Coleman Owen for 27 yds to the UK 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 2 yds to the UK 22

2nd & 8Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.45

Nick Poulos run for 19 yds to the UK 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 2 yds to the UK 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Gianni Spetic kickoff for 48 yds , Barion Brown return for 27 yds to the UK 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Barion Brown for 9 yds to the OHIO 47

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.52

Brock Vandagriff run for 14 yds to the OHIO 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(13:23) VANDAGRIFF, Brock pass short to the left incomplete intended for DINGLE, Jordan thrown to the OU30; QB hurried by HALE, Nathan, clock 13:15. PENALTY UKY Holding on RAY, Dylan enforced 10 yards from the OU33 to the OU43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Penalty-10 yds

(13:15) VANDAGRIFF, Brock scrambles to the right for a gain of 11 yards to the OU32 (BRAWLEY, Austin), clock 13:04. PENALTY UKY Holding on MINCEY, Gerald enforced 10 yards from the OU43 to the UKY47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 30Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.77

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 14 yds to the OHIO 39

2nd & 16Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.99

Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 16 yds to the OHIO 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Barion Brown run for 23 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

Aidan Laros kickoff for 51 yds , Eamonn Dennis return for no gain to the OHIO 21 , return for 7 yds to the OHIO 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Nick Poulos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 1 yd to the OHIO 22

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 4 yds to the OHIO 26

4th & 5Punt+11 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 44 yds , Ja'Mori Maclin returns for 11 yds to the UK 41

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Anthony Brown-Stephens run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.02

Jamarion Wilcox run for 7 yds to the OHIO 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -3.37

Gavin Wimsatt sacked by Kadin Schmitz for a loss of 13 yards to the UK 44

2nd & 23Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.88

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 25 yds to the OHIO 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.43

Gavin Wimsatt run for a loss of 5 yards to the OHIO 36

2nd & 15Penalty-10 yds

Kentucky Penalty, Offensive Holding (Khamari Anderson) to the OHIO 40

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

3rd & 19Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.44

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 20 yds to the OHIO 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Anthony Brown-Stephens run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 21

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.51

Gavin Wimsatt run for 10 yds to the OHIO 11

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Gavin Wimsatt run for 9 yds to the OHIO 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Aidan Laros kickoff for 65 yds , Austin Brawley return for 16 yds to the OHIO 16

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Duncan Brune run for 8 yds to the OHIO 24

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Nick Poulos run for 6 yds to the OHIO 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Duncan Brune run for 5 yds to the OHIO 35

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.12

Duncan Brune run for 8 yds to the OHIO 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Duncan Brune run for 4 yds to the OHIO 47

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Duncan Brune run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.59

Duncan Brune run for 5 yds to the UK 45 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Ohio

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
30%
20 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
40%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
57%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play