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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2024Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri by 15

Home Win Probability

Missouri 83%

Market (Bovada)

Missouri -14.5

Edge: Missouri -14.5 (0.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Boston CollegeBoston College
770721
MissouriMissouri
3147327

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-73-76-1414-1424-1427-1427-21
MissouriBoston College

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BCMISBCMISBCMISBCMISBCMISMISBCMISBCMISBCMISBCMISTD1475ydFG1160ydPUNT728ydPUNT630ydTD486ydFG1067ydTO1-10ydTD325ydPUNT835ydFG653ydTD975ydPUNT31ydPUNT69ydPUNT611ydPUNT44ydTO32ydFG1448ydTD875ydEND826yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Boston College and Missouri
StatisticBoston CollegeMissouri
Passing16-2821-30
Pass Yards249264
Rush Yards49176
Total Yards298440
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-1211-19
Penalties5-288-91
Possession24:1435:46

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Boston College
passing
Thomas Castellanos
16/28, 249 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Treshaun Ward
6 CAR, 21 YDS
receiving
Reed Harris
1 REC, 67 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Missouri
passing
Brady Cook
21/30, 264 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Nate Noel
22 CAR, 121 YDS
receiving
Luther Burden III
6 REC, 117 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Thomas Castellanos run for 7 yds to the BC 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Kye Robichaux run for 5 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Thomas Castellanos run for 7 yds to the BC 44

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the BC 45

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.45

Thomas Castellanos run for 4 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Boston College Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 44

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.79

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down Missouri Penalty, Personal Foul (TEAM) to the MIZ 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Turbo Richard run for 3 yds to the MIZ 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.60

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 14 yds to the MIZ 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Thomas Castellanos sacked by Corey Flagg for a loss of 2 yards to the MIZ 20

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the MIZ 18

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 6 yds to the MIZ 12

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.23

Jerand Bradley 12 Yd pass from Thomas Castellanos (Luca Lombardo Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Luca Lombardo kickoff for 62 yds , Joshua Manning return for 16 yds to the MIZ 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 5 yds to the MIZ 24

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.51

Brady Cook pass complete to Nate Noel for 9 yds to the MIZ 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.20

Nate Noel run for 13 yds to the MIZ 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.13

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 17 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.37

Nate Noel run for 13 yds to the BC 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Brady Cook run for no gain to the BC 24

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 3 yds to the BC 21

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+38 yds

Blake Craig 38 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Thomas Castellanos run for 2 yds to the BC 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty+10 yds

(02:07) CASTELLANOS, Thomas pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BRADLEY, Jerand broken up by PRIDE JR., Toriano at the BSC46, clock 02:04. PENALTY MIZ Pass Interference on PRIDE JR., Toriano enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the BSC37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Treshaun Ward run for 5 yds to the BC 42

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.85

Treshaun Ward run for 5 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Thomas Castellanos run for 3 yds to the MIZ 47

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Kye Robichaux run for no gain to the MIZ 47

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Sam Stone punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.32

Nate Noel run for 16 yds to the MIZ 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the MIZ 43

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.83

Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the MIZ 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the BC 48

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Treshaun Ward run for 4 yds to the BC 18

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.68

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 15 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +5.43

Reed Harris 67 Yd pass from Thomas Castellanos (Luca Lombardo Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 9 yds to the MIZ 21

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.08

Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the MIZ 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.14

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 44 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the BC 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the BC 22

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.43

Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the BC 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.88

run for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 23

2nd & 16Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 2 yds to the BC 21

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 14Field Goal Good+38 yds

Blake Craig 38 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(04:50) JONES, Datrell rush to the right for a loss of 1 yard to the BSC24 (NORWOOD, Dreyden), clock 04:48. PENALTY BSC Holding on TAYLOR, Logan enforced 10 yards from the BSC25 to the BSC15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Interception Return+22 ydsPPA +0.16

Thomas Castellanos pass intercepted Reed Harris return for 22 yds to the BC 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the BC 23

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the BC 19

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.00

Luther Burden III 19 Yd pass from Brady Cook (Nate Noel Run for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Thomas Castellanos run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.72

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 12 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Thomas Castellanos run for 2 yds to the BC 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.87

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 11 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 12 yds to the MIZ 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Thomas Castellanos run for no gain to the MIZ 40

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Sam Stone punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.89

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 18 yds to the MIZ 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Brady Cook pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 6 yds to the MIZ 33

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 3 yds Luther Burden III fumbled, recovered by MIZ

3rd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.35

Marcus Carroll run for 17 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Brady Cook pass complete to Joshua Manning for 9 yds to the BC 38

2nd & 1Field Goal Good+56 yds

Blake Craig 56 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the MIZ 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the MIZ 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.27

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 13 yds to the MIZ 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the MIZ 47

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the MIZ 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.78

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 38 yds to the BC 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the BC 10

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the BC 6

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.66

Brady Cook run for 6 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the BC 29

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.88

Kye Robichaux run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+6 yds

Ivan Zivenko punt for 45 yds , Luther Burden III returns for 6 yds to the MIZ 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the MIZ 38

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the MIZ 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.87

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 7 yds to the MIZ 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the MIZ 49

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.70

Brady Cook sacked by Donovan Ezeiruaku for a loss of 5 yards to the MIZ 44

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 42 yds , Cameron Martinez returns for no gain to the BC 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 6 yds to the BC 20

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.74

Thomas Castellanos run for no gain to the BC 20 Boston College Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Thomas Castellanos) to the BC 14

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.64

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 15 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the BC 34

2nd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.17

Thomas Castellanos sacked by Khalil Jacobs for a loss of 9 yards to the BC 25

3rd & 17Penalty-5 yds

Boston College Penalty, False Start (Jack Conley) to the BC 20

3rd & 22Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 5 yds to the BC 25

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Ivan Zivenko punt for 35 yds

3rd & 34Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the MIZ 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.66

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 22 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Missouri Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Luther Burden III) to the MIZ 47

2nd & 25Penalty-5 yds

(01:16) COOK, Brady pass to the right complete for 23 yards to MANNING, Joshua caught at the BSC40 and advanced to the BSC30 (MARTINEZ, Cameron), out of bounds, clock 01:15. PENALTY MIZ Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on JOHNSON, Cam'Ron enforced 5 yards from the MIZ47 to the MIZ42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 30Penalty-15 yds

(00:48) COOK, Brady pass to the left complete for 6 yards to BURDEN, Luther caught at the MIZ36 and advanced to the MIZ48, out of bounds, clock 00:43. PENALTY MIZ Personal Foul on MILLER, Mekhi enforced 15 yards MIZ Personal Foul on BURDEN, Luther enforced half the distance from the goal, 13 yards from the MIZ27 to the MIZ14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 58Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.07

Nate Noel run for 24 yds to the MIZ 38

4th & 28Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the BC 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.35

Thomas Castellanos pass intercepted Dreyden Norwood return for no gain to the MIZ 38

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the MIZ 42

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.22

Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.98

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 16 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the BC 39

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the BC 37

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty+5 yds

(10:31) COOK, Brady pass up the middle incomplete intended for BLOOD, Daniel broken up by JOHNSON, Khari at the BSC37, clock 10:29. PENALTY BSC Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Khari enforced at the spot of the foul for 5 yards to the BSC32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brady Cook pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 5 yds to the BC 27

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the BC 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 2 yds to the BC 24

4th & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.10

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 6 yds to the BC 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the BC 13

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the BC 11

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.72

Brady Cook run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 14

4th & 6Field Goal Good+31 yds

Blake Craig 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.29

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 6 yds to the MIZ 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.39

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kamari Morales for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 45

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Thomas Castellanos run for 4 yds to the MIZ 41

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.95

Thomas Castellanos run for 3 yds to the MIZ 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kamari Morales for 38 yds for a TD (Luca Lombardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the MIZ 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the MIZ 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 11 yds to the MIZ 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Marcus Carroll run for 6 yds to the MIZ 45

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.73

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the MIZ 47

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.57

Brady Cook run for 6 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

(01:10) Kneel down by MIZ at BSC48 (team loss of 1), clock 01:05.

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.20

(00:28) Kneel down by MIZ at BSC49 (team loss of 1), clock 00:24.

Situational Analysis

Boston College

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
20 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
22%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
29 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
13%
8 plays
27%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play