House Prediction
Model Margin
Toledo by 8.2
Home Win Probability
Mississippi State 26%
Market (Bovada)
Mississippi State -10.5
fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2024
Line Movement
No line movement to chart
Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toledo | 7 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 41 |
 Mississippi State | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 |
Scoring Timeline
Drive Chart
Box Score
| Statistic | Toledo | Mississippi State |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 23-28 | 28-39 |
| Pass Yards | 285 | 319 |
| Rush Yards | 169 | 66 |
| Total Yards | 454 | 385 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
| 3rd Down | 7-13 | 6-13 |
| Penalties | 8-50 | 10-104 |
| Possession | 37:04 | 22:56 |
Player Leaders
Player Leaders
Play-by-Play
Michael Denning kickoff for 62 yds , Davon Booth return for 26 yds to the MSST 29
Davon Booth run for 3 yds to the MSST 22
Davon Booth run for 1 yd to the MSST 23
Blake Shapen pass complete to Seydou Traore for 7 yds to the MSST 30
Nick Barr-Mira punt for 40 yds
Jacquez Stuart run for a loss of 1 yard to the TOL 29
Tucker Gleason run for 4 yds to the TOL 33
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 12 yds to the MSST 38 for a 1ST down
Toledo Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MSST 43
Willie Shaw III run for 2 yds to the MSST 41
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Willie Shaw III for 17 yds to the MSST 24 for a 1ST down
Tucker Gleason run for 3 yds to the MSST 21
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 12 yds to the MSST 9 for a 1ST down
(08:12) QB Keeper GLEASON, Tucker rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the MSU8 (SMITH, Isaac), clock 08:10. PENALTY Before the snap, TOL Illegal Formation on RHETT, Cole enforced 5 yards from the MSU9 to the MSU14. NO PLAY (replay the down).
(07:46) GLEASON, Tucker pass short to the left complete for 14 yards to NEWTON, Jerjuan caught at the MSU10 and advanced to the MSU0, TOUCHDOWN TOL, score nullified by penalty, clock 07:42 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY Before the snap, TOL Illegal Formation on JONES, JR., Allen enforced 5 yards from the MSU14 to the MSU19. NO PLAY (replay the down).
Tucker Gleason run for 12 yds to the MSST 7
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Connor Walendzak for 3 yds to the MSST 4
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 4 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
Blake Shapen sacked by Daniel Bolden and Cavon Butler for a loss of 7 yards to the MSST 18
Blake Shapen pass incomplete
Blake Shapen pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 5 yds to the MSST 23
Nick Barr-Mira punt for 53 yds
Jacquez Stuart run for 4 yds to the TOL 18
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jacquez Stuart for 27 yds to the TOL 45 for a 1ST down
Jacquez Stuart run for 3 yds to the TOL 48
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for a loss of 3 yards to the TOL 45
Emilio Duran punt for 33 yds, downed at the MSST 22
Davon Booth run for 3 yds to the MSST 25
(02:14) SHAPEN, Blake pass short to the left complete for 2 yards to COLEMAN JR., Kevin caught at the MSU27 and advanced to the MSU27 (AWLS, Braden;SMITH, Avery), clock 02:11. PENALTY MSU Pass Interference enforced half the distance from the goal, 12 yards to the MSU13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
Blake Shapen sacked by Daniel Bolden for a loss of 7 yards to the MSST 6
Blake Shapen run for 3 yds to the MSST 9
(00:44) BARR-MIRA, Nick punt 41 yards to the MSU50, HAMMER, Bryson returned 33 yards to the MSU17 (COOPER, Ty), clock 00:31. PENALTY TOL Running Into the kicker on RAGIN, D'Andre enforced 5 yards from the MSU9 to the MSU14 [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
Nick Barr-Mira punt for 54 yds , Bryson Hammer returns for 7 yds to the TOL 39
Willie Shaw III run for 5 yds to the TOL 44
Tucker Gleason run for 9 yds to the MSST 47 for a 1ST down
Willie Shaw III run for 11 yds to the MSST 36 for a 1ST down
Willie Shaw III run for 6 yds to the MSST 30
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 24 yds to the MSST 6 for a 1ST down
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 6 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
Michael Denning kickoff for 61 yds , Davon Booth return for 27 yds to the MSST 31
Keyvone Lee run for 7 yds to the MSST 38
Blake Shapen pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 2 yds to the MSST 40
Keyvone Lee run for 3 yds to the MSST 43 for a 1ST down
Blake Shapen pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 9 yds to the TOL 48
Blake Shapen pass incomplete
Blake Shapen run for 2 yds to the TOL 46 for a 1ST down
Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 10 yds to the TOL 36 for a 1ST down
Blake Shapen pass complete to Creed Whittemore for 26 yds to the TOL 10 for a 1ST down
Blake Shapen run for 3 yds to the TOL 7
Blake Shapen pass incomplete
Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 6 yds to the TOL 1
Mississippi State Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the TOL 5
Kyle Ferrie 23 yd FG GOOD
Willie Shaw III run for 1 yd to the TOL 26
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Eric Holley III for 6 yds to the TOL 32
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Larry Stephens for 31 yds to the MSST 37 for a 1ST down
Willie Shaw III run for no gain to the MSST 37
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Anthony Torres for 16 yds to the MSST 21 for a 1ST down
Connor Walendzak run for 4 yds to the MSST 17
Tucker Gleason run for 4 yds to the MSST 13
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 12 yds to the MSST 1 for a 1ST down
Connor Walendzak run for 1 yd for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
Blake Shapen sacked by Jackson Barrow and Doran Ray Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the MSST 21
Blake Shapen pass complete to Seydou Traore for 7 yds to the MSST 28
Blake Shapen pass complete to Davon Booth for a loss of 1 yard to the MSST 27
Nick Barr-Mira punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Bryson Hammer at the TOL 22
Mississippi State Penalty, Roughing the Passer on RUSSELL, De'Monte enforced (De'Monte Russell) to the TOL 43 for a 1ST down
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 17 yds to the MSST 40 for a 1ST down
Terrell Crosby Jr. run for 2 yds to the MSST 38
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 6 yds to the MSST 32
Tucker Gleason run for 5 yds to the MSST 27 for a 1ST down
Jacquez Stuart run for 2 yds to the MSST 25
(01:27) GLEASON, Tucker pass to the right incomplete intended for ZSIROS, Thomas broken up by POLLOCK, Brice at the MSU14, clock 01:22. PENALTY MSU Holding on POLLOCK, Brice enforced 10 yards from the MSU25 to the MSU15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Willie Shaw III for 5 yds to the MSST 10
Willie Shaw III run for 10 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
Michael Denning kickoff for 65 yds , Davon Booth return for 15 yds to the MSST 15
Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 30 yds to the MSST 45 for a 1ST down
Blake Shapen pass incomplete
Blake Shapen pass complete to Seydou Traore for 14 yds to the TOL 41 for a 1ST down
Blake Shapen pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 9 yds to the TOL 32
Blake Shapen pass complete to Seydou Traore for 8 yds to the TOL 24 for a 1ST down
Blake Shapen pass incomplete
Blake Shapen pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 12 yds to the TOL 12 for a 1ST down
Blake Shapen pass intercepted, touchback. Avery Smith return for no gain
End of 2nd Quarter
Jacquez Stuart run for 2 yds to the TOL 27
Jacquez Stuart run for 6 yds to the TOL 33
Tucker Gleason run for a loss of 4 yards to the TOL 29
Emilio Duran punt for 43 yds, downed at the MSST 28
Davon Booth run for 1 yd to the MSST 29
Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 6 yds to the MSST 35
Blake Shapen pass complete to Davon Booth for 2 yds to the MSST 37
Davon Booth run for no gain to the MSST 37
Jacquez Stuart run for 2 yds to the MSST 35
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Justin Stephens for 17 yds to the MSST 18 for a 1ST down
Tucker Gleason run for 3 yds to the MSST 15
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 15 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
Michael Denning kickoff for 65 yds , Davon Booth return for 28 yds to the MSST 28
Keyvone Lee run for 3 yds to the MSST 31
Blake Shapen pass incomplete
Blake Shapen pass complete to Justin Ball for 14 yds to the MSST 45 for a 1ST down
Blake Shapen pass incomplete
Johnnie Daniels run for 2 yds to the MSST 47
(08:25) SHAPEN, Blake pass deep to the left incomplete intended for COLEMAN JR., Kevin thrown to the TOL19, clock 08:19. PENALTY TOL Holding on SMITH, Avery enforced 10 yards from the MSU47 to the TOL43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
Blake Shapen sacked by Anthony Dunn Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the MSST 49
Davon Booth run for 4 yds to the TOL 47
Blake Shapen pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 16 yds to the TOL 31 for a 1ST down
Blake Shapen pass complete to Seydou Traore for 4 yds to the TOL 27
Johnnie Daniels run for 3 yds to the TOL 24
Johnnie Daniels run for 14 yds to the TOL 10 for a 1ST down
Johnnie Daniels run for 1 yd to the TOL 9
Blake Shapen pass complete to Mario Craver for 9 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Anthony Torres for 12 yds to the TOL 37 for a 1ST down
Connor Walendzak run for 3 yds to the TOL 40
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Connor Walendzak for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
Connor Walendzak run for no gain to the 50 yard line
(03:20) GLEASON, Tucker pass up the middle complete for 49 yards to STUART, Jacquez caught at the MSU43 and advanced to the MSU1 (SMITH, Isaac;POLLOCK, Brice), clock 03:11. PENALTY Before the snap, TOL Illegal Formation on JONES, JR., Allen enforced 5 yards from the MSU50 to the TOL45. NO PLAY (replay the down).
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 13 yds to the MSST 42
Willie Shaw III run for 2 yds to the MSST 40 for a 1ST down
Willie Shaw III run for 3 yds to the MSST 37
Willie Shaw III run for 5 yds to the MSST 32
Willie Shaw III run for 1 yd to the MSST 31
Willie Shaw III run for 1 yd to the MSST 30 for a 1ST down
Connor Walendzak run for 6 yds to the MSST 24
Tucker Gleason run for 1 yd to the MSST 23
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete
Dylan Cunanan 41 yd FG GOOD
Blake Shapen sacked for 0 yards to the MSST 25 Blake Shapen fumbled, recovered by TOL Esean Carter , return for 0 yards
Connor Walendzak run for 6 yds to the MSST 19
Connor Walendzak run for 5 yds to the MSST 14 for a 1ST down
Connor Walendzak run for 1 yd to the MSST 13
Connor Walendzak run for 13 yds Connor Walendzak fumbled, recovered by MSST
Johnnie Daniels run for 10 yds to the MSST 30 for a 1ST down
Mississippi State Penalty, Personal Foul (Cameron Ball) to the MSST 25
Blake Shapen pass incomplete
Johnnie Daniels run for 15 yds to the MSST 40 for a 1ST down
Blake Shapen pass complete to Mario Craver for 45 yds to the TOL 15 for a 1ST down
Johnnie Daniels run for 3 yds to the TOL 12
Toledo Penalty, Delay Of Game (Braden Awls) to the TOL 7
Johnnie Daniels run for 5 yds to the TOL 2 for a 1ST down
Mississippi State Penalty, False Start (Mario Craver) to the TOL 7
Johnnie Daniels run for 6 yds to the TOL 1
Johnnie Daniels run for no gain to the TOL 1
Blake Shapen pass incomplete
Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
Jacquez Stuart run for 12 yds to the MSST 37 for a 1ST down
Willie Shaw III run for 8 yds to the MSST 29
Willie Shaw III run for 1 yd to the MSST 28
Tucker Gleason run for 3 yds to the MSST 25 for a 1ST down
Willie Shaw III run for 3 yds to the MSST 9
Willie Shaw III run for 3 yds to the MSST 6
Jacquez Stuart run for a loss of 4 yards to the MSST 10
Mississippi State Penalty, Offsides (Brylan Lanier) to the MSST 5
Dylan Cunanan 23 yd FG GOOD
Blake Shapen pass incomplete
Blake Shapen pass incomplete
Mississippi State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the MSST 22 for a 1ST down
Blake Shapen pass complete to Johnnie Daniels for 21 yds to the MSST 43 for a 1ST down
Blake Shapen pass complete to Johnnie Daniels for 5 yds to the MSST 48
Blake Shapen pass complete to Justin Ball for 16 yds to the TOL 36 for a 1ST down
Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 14 yds to the TOL 22 for a 1ST down