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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2024Week 3
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida by 2.1

Home Win Probability

Florida 54%

Market (Bovada)

Florida +3

Edge: Florida +3 (5.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas A&MTexas A&M
101013033
FloridaFlorida
0014620

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-100-137-207-2614-3320-33
FloridaTexas A&M

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TAFLOTAFLOTAFLOTAFLOFLOTAFLOTAFLOFLOTAFLOTAFLOTAFG1462ydPUNT515ydTD992ydPUNT3-17ydFG924ydPUNT438ydTD1599ydTO727ydTD775ydTD275ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT416ydTD423ydTD1072ydMISS1253ydTD978ydMISS618ydTO216ydEND524yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas A&M and Florida
StatisticTexas A&MFlorida
Passing11-1718-29
Pass Yards178249
Rush Yards31052
Total Yards488301
Turnovers03
3rd Down5-132-9
Penalties13-1107-65
Possession37:4622:14

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas A&M
passing
Marcel Reed
11/17, 178 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Le'Veon Moss
18 CAR, 110 YDS
receiving
Cyrus Allen
3 REC, 81 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Florida
passing
Graham Mertz
12/15, 195 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Treyaun Webb
6 CAR, 37 YDS
receiving
Elijhah Badger
5 REC, 94 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the TA&M 29

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 24

2nd & 11Penalty-10 yds

Moss, Le'Veon rush for no gain to the TA&M24, PENALTY TA&M holding 10 yards to the TA&M14, NO PLAY.

2nd & 21Rush+31 ydsPPA +3.04

Marcel Reed run for 31 yds to the TA&M 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Marcel Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Amari Daniels run for no gain to the TA&M 45

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.38

Marcel Reed pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 20 yds to the FLA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.69

Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for no gain to the FLA 35

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Noah Thomas run for 10 yds to the FLA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Marcel Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Terry Bussey run for a loss of 2 yards to the FLA 27

3rd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.57

Marcel Reed pass complete to Tre Watson for 15 yds to the FLA 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the FLA 10

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Marcel Reed run for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 11

3rd & 9Penalty-10 yds

Texas A&M Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the FLA 21

3rd & 19Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Marcel Reed pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 8 yds to the FLA 13

4th & 11Field Goal Good+31 yds

Randy Bond 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FLA 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.87

Graham Mertz pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 11 yds to the FLA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.92

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the FLA 45

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

4th & 13Penalty+5 yds

Texas A&M Penalty, Running Into Kicker (5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 42 yds, downed at the TA&M 8

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.61

Le'Veon Moss run for 27 yds to the TA&M 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the TA&M 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.77

Marcel Reed pass complete to Terry Bussey for no gain to the TA&M 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.41

Marcel Reed pass complete to Amari Daniels for 22 yds to the FLA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the FLA 36

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

EJ Smith run for no gain to the FLA 36

3rd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.05

Marcel Reed pass complete to Cyrus Allen for no gain to the FLA 36

4th & 5Penalty+10 yds

Florida Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the FLA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Texas A&M Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the FLA 31

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the FLA 29

2nd & 13Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.57

Marcel Reed pass complete to Theo Melin Ohrstrom for 29 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)

2nd & 13Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Jared Zirkel kickoff for 65 yds , Jadan Baugh return for 27 yds to the FLA 27

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the FLA 25

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

DJ Lagway run for no gain to the FLA 25

3rd & 12Sack-15 ydsPPA -0.22

DJ Lagway sacked by Solomon DeShields and Shemar Stewart for a loss of 15 yards to the FLA 10

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 45 yds, downed at the TA&M 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Marcel Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.13

Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 9 yds to the FLA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Terry Bussey run for 9 yds to the FLA 32

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the FLA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FLA 35

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Noah Thomas run for 4 yds to the FLA 31

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Marcel Reed pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Marcel Reed pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+48 yds

Randy Bond 48 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.07

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 39 yds to the TA&M 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 3 yds to the TA&M 33

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 38

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 1 yd to the TA&M 37

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 36 yds, downed at the TA&M 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Marcel Reed run for 1 yd to the TA&M 2

2nd & 9Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.05

Le'Veon Moss run for 22 yds to the TA&M 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the TA&M 28

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.50

Amari Daniels run for 12 yds to the TA&M 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.46

Amari Daniels run for 18 yds to the FLA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Marcel Reed run for 2 yds to the FLA 40

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

EJ Smith run for 8 yds to the FLA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

EJ Smith run for 5 yds to the FLA 27

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd to the FLA 26

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Marcel Reed run for 3 yds to the FLA 23

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.92

Amari Daniels run for 4 yds to the FLA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Moss, Le'Veon rush for 1 yard to the FLA18, PENALTY TA&M holding 10 yards to the FLA29, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Penalty-15 yds

Texas A&M Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the FLA 44

1st & 35Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the FLA 40

2nd & 31Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.35

M. Reed pass to N. Thomas for 2 yds for a 1ST down,Florida penalty, targeting on BRIDGES, Trikweze (15 Yards) to the FLA23

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Reed, Marcel pass incomplete, PENALTY FLA holding 10 yards to the FLA13, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TA&M.

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.60

Marcel Reed run for 12 yds to the FLA 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Florida Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FLA 15

1st & 20Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.97

Treyaun Webb run for 14 yds to the FLA 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

DJ Lagway pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 4 yds to the FLA 33

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.93

Treyaun Webb run for 11 yds to the FLA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

DJ Lagway pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.58

DJ Lagway pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 8 yds to the TA&M 48

4th & 2Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.17

DJ Lagway pass intercepted, touchback. Marcus Ratcliffe return for no gain

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 19 yds to the FLA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Tank Hawkins run for 2 yds to the FLA 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.33

Graham Mertz pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 38 yds to the TA&M 16 for a 1ST down Florida Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TA&M 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Treyaun Webb run for 8 yds to the TA&M 18

2nd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.35

Treyaun Webb run for 8 yds to the TA&M 10 for a 1ST down Texas A&M Penalty, Face Mask (5 yards) (5 Yards) to the TA&M 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 10

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.52

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the TA&M 14

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.03

Graham Mertz pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 14 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the TA&M 27

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+73 ydsPPA +6.53

Marcel Reed pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 73 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

2nd & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Jared Zirkel kickoff for 65 yds , Jadan Baugh return for 27 yds to the FLA 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

DJ Lagway pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the FLA 27

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.27

DJ Lagway sacked by Cashius Howell for a loss of 6 yards to the FLA 21

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 50 yds , Terry Bussey returns for no gain to the TA&M 29

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Marcel Reed run for 10 yds to the TA&M 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Marcel Reed run for 2 yds to the TA&M 41

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jahdae Walker run for 4 yds to the TA&M 45

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Moose Muhammad III

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tyler White punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the FLA 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.45

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 22 yds to the FLA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the FLA 35

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.87

Treyaun Webb run for a loss of 4 yards to the FLA 31

3rd & 14Penalty+5 yds

Mertz, Graham pass incomplete to Spierto, Taylor, PENALTY TA&M offside (Howell, Cashius) 5 yards to the FLA36, NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Interception Return Touchdown+45 ydsPPA -7.24

Graham Mertz pass intercepted Bryce Anderson return for 45 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Jared Zirkel kickoff for 65 yds , Treyaun Webb return for 28 yds to the FLA 28

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Lagway, DJ pass incomplete to Dike, Chimere, PENALTY TA&M pass interference (Ricks, Dezz) 15 yards to the FLA43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLA.

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.41

Tank Hawkins run for 5 yds to the TA&M 48 for a 1ST down Texas A&M Penalty, Personal Foul Targeting (Dalton Brooks) to the TA&M 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

DJ Lagway pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 8 yds to the TA&M 29

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.22

Jadan Baugh run for 5 yds to the TA&M 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

DJ Lagway run for 1 yd to the TA&M 23

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Hayden Hansen

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Aidan Mizell

4th & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.82

DJ Lagway pass complete to Tony Livingston for 11 yds to the TA&M 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Webb, Treyaun rush for 5 yards to the TA&M7, PENALTY TA&M 12 men on the field 5 yards to the TA&M7, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Hayden Hansen

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Treyaun Webb run for no gain to the TA&M 7

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.79

DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for 7 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Le'Veon Moss run for 10 yds to the TA&M 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Le'Veon Moss run for 6 yds to the TA&M 41

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Amari Daniels run for 8 yds to the TA&M 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the FLA 46

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

EJ Smith run for no gain to the FLA 46

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.79

Marcel Reed run for 6 yds to the FLA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

EJ Smith run for 7 yds to the FLA 33

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the FLA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd to the FLA 28

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the FLA 23

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the FLA 22

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Randy Bond 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 10 yds to the FLA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Graham Mertz pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 12 yds to the FLA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Graham Mertz pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 5 yds to the FLA 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.21

Graham Mertz pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 14 yds to the TA&M 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.43

Graham Mertz pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 17 yds to the TA&M 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 9 yds to the TA&M 11

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 2 yds to the TA&M 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Graham Mertz run for 7 yds to the TA&M 2 Graham Mertz fumbled, forced by Marcus Ratcliffe, recovered by FLA

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the FLA 36

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Le'Veon Moss run for 6 yds to the FLA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the FLA 27

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Marcel Reed run for 4 yds to the FLA 23

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Marcel Reed run for no gain to the FLA 23

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Randy Bond 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.36

DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 16 yds to the FLA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+15 ydsPPA -2.14

DJ Lagway pass intercepted Jayvon Thomas return for 15 yds to the FLA 44

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Marcel Reed run for 12 yds to the FLA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the FLA 30

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the FLA 29

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the FLA 24

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.07

EJ Smith run for 4 yds to the FLA 20 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
28 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
46%
13 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
33%
6 plays
100%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
54%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play