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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2024Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 9.8

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 23%

Market (Bovada)

Wisconsin +14.5

Edge: Wisconsin +14.5 (4.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AlabamaAlabama
71414742
WisconsinWisconsin
307010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-1410-2810-3510-42
WisconsinAlabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISALAWISALAWISALAWISALAWISALAWISALAWISALAWISALAWISALAWISALAWISALAWISALAWISFG1040ydMISS1048ydDOWNS833ydTD460ydPUNT32ydPUNT36ydTO223ydTD728ydPUNT716ydPUNT37ydMISS1057ydTD273ydEND17ydTD575ydTD1775ydPUNT35ydTO1-2ydTD318ydPUNT421ydPUNT511ydPUNT37ydTD137ydPUNT34ydPUNT1132ydEND517yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alabama and Wisconsin
StatisticAlabamaWisconsin
Passing16-2218-31
Pass Yards226141
Rush Yards181149
Total Yards407290
Turnovers02
3rd Down8-143-14
Penalties4-404-23
Possession25:4434:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alabama
passing
Jalen Milroe
12/17, 196 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jalen Milroe
14 CAR, 75 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Ryan Williams
4 REC, 78 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Wisconsin
passing
Braedyn Locke
13/26, 125 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Chez Mellusi
11 CAR, 66 YDS
receiving
Will Pauling
9 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Conor Talty kickoff for 61 yds , Vinny Anthony II return for 21 yds to the WIS 25

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Chez Mellusi for no gain to the WIS 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Pauling for 11 yds to the WIS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Tyler Van Dyke run for 9 yds to the WIS 45

2nd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Chez Mellusi for 2 yds to the WIS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Chez Mellusi for no gain to the WIS 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Pauling for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

(11:00) VAN DYKE, Tyler scrambles to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the ALA45 (KOHT, Keanu), clock 11:01. PENALTY ALA Holding on JACKSON, Domani enforced 15 yards from the WIS50 to the ALA35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.91

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Tawee Walker for no gain to the ALA 35

4th & 10Field Goal Good+53 yds

Nathanial Vakos 53 Yd Field Goal

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Justice Haynes for 10 yds to the ALA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 10 yds to the ALA 44

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.88

Justice Haynes run for 12 yds to the WIS 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.51

Jalen Milroe run for 12 yds to the WIS 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the WIS 31

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jam Miller run for 4 yds to the WIS 27

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Graham Nicholson 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Chez Mellusi run for 7 yds to the WIS 35

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the WIS 37

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.23

Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the WIS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Chez Mellusi run for 11 yds to the ALA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.97

Braedyn Locke sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the WIS 48 Braedyn Locke fumbled, recovered by WIS Chez Mellusi , return for 0 yards

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.63

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 13 yds to the ALA 39

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.15

Tawee Walker run for no gain to the ALA 39

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.82

Jalen Milroe run for 26 yds to the WIS 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jam Miller run for 3 yds to the WIS 31

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jalen Milroe run for no gain to the WIS 31

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.89

Ryan Williams 31 Yd pass from Jalen Milroe (Graham Nicholson Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the WIS 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 37 yds, downed at the ALA 36

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Alabama Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ALA 31

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Jalen Milroe run for 6 yds to the ALA 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Justice Haynes for 5 yds to the ALA 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the WIS 7

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+21 ydsPPA +0.10

Chez Mellusi run for 21 yds to the WIS 28 Chez Mellusi fumbled, recovered by ALA Zabien Brown Z. Brown return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.21

Jam Miller run for 13 yds to the WIS 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jam Miller run for 4 yds to the WIS 11

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jalen Milroe run for 4 yds to the WIS 7

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.72

Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the WIS 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Jam Miller run for 1 yd to the WIS 4

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.49

Jalen Milroe run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIS 6

3rd & 6Penalty+3 yds

(09:45) MILROE, Jalen pass to the right incomplete intended for WILLIAMS, Ryan thrown to the WIS0, clock 09:50. PENALTY WIS Offsides on HILLS, Elijah enforced half the distance from the goal, 3 yards from the WIS6 to the WIS3 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Jalen Milroe 3 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the WIS 28

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Tawee Walker run for a loss of 3 yards to the WIS 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 9 yds to the WIS 34

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the WIS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Cade Yacamelli run for no gain to the WIS 37

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 4 yds to the WIS 41

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 46 yds, downed at the ALA 13

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Justice Haynes run for 5 yds to the ALA 18

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for 1 yd to the ALA 19

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Justice Haynes for 1 yd to the ALA 20

4th & 3Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 64 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Tawee Walker run for 8 yds to the WIS 24

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 2Penalty0 yds

(03:08) LOCKE, Braedyn pass deep to the right incomplete intended for GREEN, Bryson thrown to the WIS45, clock 03:11. PENALTY ALA Offsides on SMITH, Tim declined ALA Pass Interference on BROWN, Zabien enforced 15 yards to the WIS39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Tawee Walker run for no gain to the WIS 39

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.20

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Bryson Green for 12 yds to the ALA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cade Yacamelli run for 5 yds to the ALA 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.73

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 10 yds to the ALA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 7 yds to the ALA 27

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Nathanial Vakos 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.21

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for 47 yds to the WIS 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Germie Bernard 26 Yd pass from Jalen Milroe (Graham Nicholson Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Conor Talty kickoff for 62 yds , Vinny Anthony II return for 24 yds to the WIS 27

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Tawee Walker run for 7 yds to the WIS 34

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 23 yds to the ALA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 6 yds to the WIS 46

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jam Miller run for 3 yds to the WIS 43

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Jalen Milroe run for 9 yds to the WIS 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

Jam Miller 34 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the WIS 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Chez Mellusi for 10 yds to the WIS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Chez Mellusi run for 11 yds to the WIS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Cade Yacamelli run for 7 yds to the ALA 46

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.11

Darrion Dupree run for 3 yds to the ALA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(09:44) WALKER, Tawee rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the ALA36 (JEFFERSON, Justin), clock 09:36. PENALTY WIS Holding on RENFRO, Jake enforced 10 yards from the ALA43 to the WIS47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.34

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 16 yds to the ALA 37

4th & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.20

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Cade Yacamelli for 5 yds to the ALA 32 for a 1ST down

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.31

Cade Yacamelli run for 17 yds to the ALA 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Cade Yacamelli run for 7 yds to the ALA 8

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Cade Yacamelli run for 2 yds to the ALA 6

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.82

Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the ALA 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the ALA 2

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Cade Yacamelli run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALA 4

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Tawee Walker run for 1 yd to the ALA 3

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.92

Will Pauling 3 Yd pass from Braedyn Locke (Nathanial Vakos Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jalen Milroe run for 3 yds to the ALA 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jalen Milroe run for 3 yds to the ALA 31

3rd & 4Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Jalen Milroe sacked by Leon Lowery Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (Tucker Ashcraft) to the WIS 15

1st & 15Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Cade Yacamelli run for 3 yds to the WIS 18 Cade Yacamelli fumbled, recovered by ALA Que Robinson Q. Robinson return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jam Miller run for 7 yds to the WIS 11

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the WIS 10

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.64

Jalen Milroe 10 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Conor Talty kickoff for 64 yds , Vinny Anthony II return for 17 yds to the WIS 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.02

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 25 yds to the WIS 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(00:20) LOCKE, Braedyn pass deep to the left incomplete intended for KEKAHUNA, Trech thrown to the ALA24, clock 00:23. PENALTY WIS Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BRUNNER, Joe enforced 5 yards from the WIS43 to the WIS38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Tawee Walker run for 1 yd to the WIS 39

2nd & 14Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -0.96

Braedyn Locke sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the WIS 28 Braedyn Locke fumbled, recovered by WIS Joe Huber , return for 0 yards

3rd & 25Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 11 yds to the WIS 39

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 15 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Richard Young run for 7 yds to the WIS 47

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.40

Richard Young run for 8 yds to the WIS 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Richard Young run for 1 yd to the WIS 38

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Alabama Penalty, False Start (Tyler Booker) to the WIS 43

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

punt for 34 yds

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds to the WIS 15

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the WIS 16

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+20 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 41 yds , Ryan Williams returns for 20 yds to the WIS 37

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Josh Cuevas for 37 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Darrion Dupree run for 3 yds to the WIS 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Darrion Dupree run for 1 yd to the WIS 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 59 yds, downed at the ALA 12

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Daniel Hill run for 5 yds to the ALA 17

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Ty Simpson pass complete to Caleb Odom for 9 yds to the ALA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Daniel Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 25

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Ty Simpson pass complete to Caleb Odom for 7 yds to the ALA 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.71

Ty Simpson pass complete to Rico Scott for 7 yds to the ALA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Ty Simpson pass complete to Rico Scott for 7 yds to the ALA 46

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Ty Simpson run for 2 yds to the ALA 48

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.07

Daniel Hill run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Ty Simpson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Daniel Hill run for 2 yds to the WIS 48

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.56

Ty Simpson sacked by Christian Alliegro for a loss of 8 yards to the ALA 44

4th & 16Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Darrion Dupree run for 8 yds to the WIS 19

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Darrion Dupree run for 1 yd to the WIS 20

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.47

Darrion Dupree run for 2 yds to the WIS 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Darrion Dupree run for 1 yd to the WIS 23

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Darrion Dupree run for 5 yds to the WIS 28

Situational Analysis

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
61%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
17%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
26 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
14%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play