Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 7, 2024Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Vanderbilt by 1

Home Win Probability

Vanderbilt 49%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Vanderbilt -32.5

Edge: Alcorn State +32.5 (31.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Alcorn State
00000
VanderbiltVanderbilt
101772155

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-010-017-024-027-034-055-0
VanderbiltAlcorn State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASVANASVANASVANASVANASVANASVANASVANASVANASASASVANASPUNT34ydFG1253ydTO414ydTD117ydPUNT516ydTD746ydPUNT30ydTD634ydPUNT32ydFG1027ydEND1-3ydPUNT92ydPUNT32ydTD652ydPUNT50ydTD156ydTD3-3ydTD10ydPUNT38ydPUNT37ydEND1041yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alcorn State and Vanderbilt
StatisticAlcorn StateVanderbilt
Passing8-1611-14
Pass Yards31100
Rush Yards40242
Total Yards71342
Turnovers20
3rd Down1-116-10
Penalties7-329-90
Possession28:5731:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alcorn State
passing
Xzavier Vaughn
5/9, 20 YDS
rushing
Cameron Stewart
10 CAR, 29 YDS
receiving
Tavarious Griffin
2 REC, 14 YDS
defense
Vanderbilt
passing
Diego Pavia
10/13, 83 YDS
rushing
Nate Johnson
2 CAR, 69 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tristen Brown
3 REC, 27 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jacorian Sewell run for no gain to the ALCN 25

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyler Macon run for no gain to the ALCN 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tyler Macon pass complete to Tavarious Griffin for 4 yds to the ALCN 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Elijah Gorman punt for 40 yds, downed at the VAN 31

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the VAN 34

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Diego Pavia run for 6 yds to the VAN 40

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.96

Diego Pavia run for 12 yds to the ALCN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Diego Pavia run for no gain to the ALCN 48

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Sedrick Alexander run for 6 yds to the ALCN 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.54

Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 9 yds to the ALCN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Sedrick Alexander run for 9 yds to the ALCN 24

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Diego Pavia run for 3 yds to the ALCN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the ALCN 18

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 1 yd to the ALCN 17

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the ALCN 16

4th & 5Field Goal Good+35 yds

Brock Taylor 35 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Will Faris kickoff for 61 yds , Terrick Latham return for 19 yds to the ALCN 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Tyler Macon pass complete to Tavarious Griffin for 10 yds to the ALCN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.23

Brandon Rogers run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALCN 31

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Tyler Macon run for 6 yds to the ALCN 37

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return+23 ydsPPA -0.51

Tyler Macon pass intercepted CJ Taylor return for 23 yds to the ALCN 17

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Eli Stowers pass complete to Cole Spence for 17 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jacorian Sewell run for 3 yds to the ALCN 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jacorian Sewell run for 1 yd to the ALCN 29

3rd & 6Penalty+10 yds

VAUGHN, Xzavier pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MCGEE, Deablo thrown to the ASU45. PENALTY VU Holding on BERRY, Trudell enforced 10 yards from the ASU29 to the ASU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Deablo McGee for 3 yds to the ALCN 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Bakari McCall for 6 yds to the ALCN 48

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.47

Jacorian Sewell run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALCN 46

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

GORMAN, Elijah punt 53 yards to the VU1 downed by HANEY, Tayvion, clock 13:58. PENALTY Before the snap, ASU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the ASU46 to the ASU41. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 8Punt+34 yds

Elijah Gorman punt for 39 yds , Martel Hight returns for 34 yds to the ALCN 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Diego Pavia pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 8 yds to the ALCN 38

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.11

AJ Newberry run for 5 yds to the ALCN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ALCN 38

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Diego Pavia run for 5 yds to the ALCN 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Diego Pavia pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 9 yds to the ALCN 24

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

AJ Newberry run for 6 yds to the ALCN 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.71

AJ Newberry run for 13 yds to the ALCN 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Diego Pavia run for 5 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Will Faris kickoff for 58 yds , Terrick Latham return for 13 yds to the ALCN 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Xzavier Vaughn run for no gain to the ALCN 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Xzavier Vaughn pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Xzavier Vaughn pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+28 yds

Elijah Gorman punt for 42 yds , Martel Hight returns for 28 yds to the ALCN 34

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Diego Pavia run for 8 yds to the ALCN 26

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.22

Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 7 yds to the ALCN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Sedrick Alexander run for 9 yds to the ALCN 10

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the ALCN 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Sedrick Alexander run for 2 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Will Faris kickoff for 60 yds , Terrick Latham return for no gain to the ALCN 5

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.32

Jacorian Sewell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALCN 4

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.08

Xzavier Vaughn run for 1 yd to the ALCN 5

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Xzavier Vaughn run for 2 yds to the ALCN 7

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Elijah Gorman punt for 48 yds, downed at the VAN 45

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Chase Gillespie run for 6 yds to the ALCN 49

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.54

Diego Pavia pass complete to Tristen Brown for 6 yds to the ALCN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

PAVIA, Diego scrambles to the right for no gain to the ASU43 (SPOTTSVILLE, Gideon), out of bounds. PENALTY VU Holding on HANSEN, Gunnar enforced 10 yards from the ASU43 to the VU47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.38

Diego Pavia pass complete to Tristen Brown for 11 yds to the ALCN 42

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.26

Diego Pavia pass complete to Tristen Brown for 10 yds to the ALCN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ALCN 37

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Diego Pavia run for 9 yds to the ALCN 28

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 5 yds to the ALCN 23

4th & 1Penalty-10 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ALCN 28

4th & 6Field Goal Good+46 yds

Brock Taylor 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

[NHSG] Kneel down by VAUGHN, Xzavier at ASU22 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Noah Kiani kickoff for 61 yds , Junior Sherrill return for 34 yds to the VAN 38

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Diego Pavia run for 7 yds to the VAN 45

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.29

Chase Gillespie run for no gain to the VAN 45

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.69

Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Diego Pavia run for 9 yds to the ALCN 41

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.94

Sedrick Alexander run for 7 yds to the ALCN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Chase Gillespie run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALCN 35

2nd & 11Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.52

Diego Pavia sacked by Stemarion Edwards for a loss of 8 yards to the ALCN 43

3rd & 19Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.95

Diego Pavia sacked by Brendon Gibson for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 26Penalty-10 yds

MIRCO, Jesse punt 43 yards to the ASU7, LATHAM, Terrick returned -2 yards to the ASU5 (RINALDI, Nick), clock 08:26. PENALTY VU Holding on GILLESPIE, Chase enforced 10 yards from the ASU50 to the VU40 [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 36Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Xzavier Vaughn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Tevarrius Adams for 1 yd to the ALCN 19

3rd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Jacorian Sewell for 1 yd to the ALCN 20

4th & 8Punt+8 yds

Elijah Gorman punt for 40 yds , Martel Hight returns for 8 yds to the VAN 48

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.15

AJ Newberry run for 9 yds to the ALCN 43

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the ALCN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the ALCN 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.01

Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 17 yds to the ALCN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

AJ Newberry run for 1 yd to the ALCN 20

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.93

AJ Newberry run for 20 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Will Faris kickoff for 60 yds , Terrick Latham return for 22 yds to the ALCN 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Omarion Blakes for 9 yds to the ALCN 36

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Xzavier Vaughn run for 3 yds to the ALCN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jacorian Sewell run for 1 yd to the ALCN 40

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Alcorn State Penalty, False Start (Rene Miller) to the ALCN 35

2nd & 14Penalty-5 yds

Alcorn State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ALCN 30

2nd & 19Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.26

Xzavier Vaughn sacked by Prince Kollie for a loss of 3 yards to the ALCN 27

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Xzavier Vaughn pass incomplete

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Franklin Rogers punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Martel Hight at the VAN 44

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +4.37

Nate Johnson run for 56 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Will Faris kickoff for 61 yds , Terrick Latham return for 25 yds to the ALCN 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Anthony Williams run for 2 yds to the ALCN 31

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Alcorn State Penalty, False Start (Rene Miller) to the ALCN 26

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Roderick Hartsfield Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Roderick Hartsfield Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt+57 yds

Franklin Rogers punt for 31 yds , Martel Hight returns for 57 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+18 ydsPPA -7.92

Roderick Hartsfield Jr. pass intercepted Alan Wright return for 18 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Will Faris kickoff for 64 yds , Terrick Latham return for 23 yds to the ALCN 24

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Cameron Stewart run for 6 yds to the ALCN 30

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.06

Cameron Stewart run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALCN 28

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Cameron Stewart run for 4 yds to the ALCN 32

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Elijah Gorman punt for 47 yds, downed at the VAN 21

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

JOHNSON, Nate pass deep to the right complete for 79 yards to SKINNER JR., Quincy caught at the VU45 and advanced to the ASU0, TOUCHDOWN VU, score nullified by penalty (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY VU Pass Interference on SKINNER JR., Quincy enforced half the distance from the goal, 10 yards to the VU11 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.13

Landon Wells run for a loss of 2 yards to the VAN 9

2nd & 22Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Jamoni Jones run for 6 yds to the VAN 15

3rd & 16Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.26

Nate Johnson run for 13 yds to the VAN 28

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 69 yds, downed at the ALCN 3

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Roderick Hartsfield Jr. run for 1 yd to the ALCN 4

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.11

Cameron Stewart run for 1 yd to the ALCN 5

3rd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.90

Cameron Stewart run for 15 yds to the ALCN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Roderick Hartsfield Jr. run for 2 yds to the ALCN 22

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Cameron Stewart run for 3 yds to the ALCN 25

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Alcorn State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ALCN 20

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Yilanan Ouattara) to the ALCN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Roderick Hartsfield Jr. pass complete to Omarion Blakes for a loss of 3 yards to the ALCN 32

2nd & 13Penalty+15 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, Personal Foul (Darren Agu) to the ALCN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Cameron Stewart run for 1 yd to the ALCN 49

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Alcorn State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ALCN 44

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cameron Stewart run for no gain to the ALCN 44

Situational Analysis

Alcorn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
17%
18 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
14%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

Vanderbilt

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
59%
17 plays
75%
4 plays
2nd
0%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
75%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th