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← Back to GamesSep 7, 2024Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

California by 5.7

Home Win Probability

Auburn 45%

Market (Bovada)

Auburn -12.5

Edge: California +12.5 (18.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CaliforniaCalifornia
770721
AuburnAuburn
700714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-77-147-2114-21
AuburnCalifornia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AUBCALAUBCALAUBCALAUBCALAUBCALAUBCALAUBCALAUBCALAUBCALAUBCALAUBAUBCALAUBCALAUBCALTD875ydTD875ydDOWNS627ydMISS1345ydTO10ydTD321ydPUNT36ydPUNT744ydPUNT34ydPUNT612ydMISS645ydPUNT615ydPUNT831ydPUNT526ydPUNT513ydPUNT31ydTO10ydMISS710ydTO2-1ydTD236ydTD1275ydTD12ydPUNT829ydTO212ydPUNT35ydTO10ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing California and Auburn
StatisticCaliforniaAuburn
Passing25-3614-27
Pass Yards233165
Rush Yards101121
Total Yards334286
Turnovers05
3rd Down10-195-10
Penalties11-776-46
Possession35:1624:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

California
passing
Fernando Mendoza
25/36, 233 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jaivian Thomas
8 CAR, 53 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jonathan Brady
4 REC, 63 YDS
defense
Auburn
passing
Payton Thorne
14/27, 165 YDS, 1 TD, 4 INT
rushing
Jarquez Hunter
12 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Cam Coleman
2 REC, 53 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jarquez Hunter run for 1 yd to the AUB 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.51

Payton Thorne pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 16 yds to the AUB 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Jarquez Hunter run for 2 yds to the AUB 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.69

Payton Thorne pass complete to Cam Coleman for 41 yds to the CAL 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jeremiah Cobb run for no gain to the CAL 15

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.24

Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 15 yds for a TD (Towns McGough KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Mavin Anderson for 12 yds to the CAL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Trond Grizzell for 6 yds to the CAL 43

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.73

Jaydn Ott run for 2 yds to the CAL 45

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Mavin Anderson for 3 yds to the CAL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.27

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jonathan Brady for 25 yds to the AUB 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Fernando Mendoza run for 2 yds to the AUB 25

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

California Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AUB 30

2nd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jonathan Brady for 11 yds to the AUB 19

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.83

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 19 yds for a TD (Ryan Coe KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-7 yds

(07:15) HUNTER, Jarquez rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the AUB32 (MCCULLOCH, Ryan;BUCHANAN, Teddye), clock 07:11. PENALTY AUB Personal Foul on WADE, Dillon enforced half the distance from the goal, 12 yards from the AUB25 to the AUB13 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 22Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.04

Payton Thorne pass complete to Brandon Frazier for 16 yds to the AUB 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.82

Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 15 yds to the AUB 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 3 yds to the AUB 47

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

(05:10) THORNE, Payton pass deep to the left incomplete intended for COLEMAN, Cam thrown to the CAL28, clock 05:07. PENALTY CAL Offsides on BOLLERS, T.J. enforced 5 yards from the AUB47 to the CAL48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 5 yds to the AUB 47

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.05

Jaydn Ott run for a loss of 4 yards to the CAL 49

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.71

Fernando Mendoza run for 10 yds to the AUB 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

California Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AUB 46

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jaydn Ott run for no gain to the AUB 46

2nd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.97

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jonathan Brady for 14 yds to the AUB 32

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.43

Jaivian Thomas run for 2 yds to the AUB 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Jaivian Thomas run for 7 yds to the AUB 23

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.54

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jonathan Brady for 13 yds to the AUB 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.52

Jaivian Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the AUB 14

2nd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Corey Dyches for 3 yds to the AUB 11

3rd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.46

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Mavin Anderson for 9 yds to the AUB 7

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

California Penalty, False Start (Mavin Anderson) to the AUB 16

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+25 yds

Ryan Coe 25 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+14 ydsPPA -0.61

Payton Thorne pass intercepted Nohl Williams return for 14 yds to the AUB 21

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jaydn Ott run for 2 yds to the AUB 19

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Jaydn Ott run for 6 yds to the AUB 13

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.69

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 13 yds for a TD (Ryan Coe KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jarquez Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Payton Thorne run for 7 yds to the AUB 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Mikey Matthews at the CAL 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jack Endries for 8 yds to the CAL 23

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jaydn Ott run for 5 yds to the CAL 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(07:59) MENDOZA, Fernando pass to the left complete for 7 yards to MATTHEWS, Mikey caught at the CAL35 and advanced to the CAL35 (SMITH, Sylvester), clock 07:55. PENALTY Before the snap, CAL Illegal Motion on CALLOWAY, Kadarius enforced 5 yards from the CAL28 to the CAL23. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.04

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Mason Starling for 18 yds to the CAL 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

California Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CAL 36

1st & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.17

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Mason Starling for 16 yds to the AUB 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Kadarius Calloway run for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Mason Starling for 8 yds to the AUB 41

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Payton Thorne run for 6 yds to the AUB 26

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Payton Thorne run for 3 yds to the AUB 29

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Auburn Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the AUB 24

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Mikey Matthews at the CAL 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jack Endries for 8 yds to the CAL 44

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.36

Jaydn Ott run for no gain to the CAL 44

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.70

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jack Endries for 7 yds to the AUB 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jaivian Thomas for 7 yds to the AUB 42

2nd & 3Sack-4 ydsPPA -2.07

Fernando Mendoza sacked by Keldric Faulk for a loss of 4 yards to the AUB 46

3rd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.67

Fernando Mendoza sacked by Keldric Faulk for a loss of 6 yards to the CAL 48

4th & 13Punt+40 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 40 yds , Keionte Scott returns for no gain to the AUB 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Payton Thorne pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 7 yds to the AUB 19

2nd & 3Penalty-9 yds

(00:51) THORNE, Payton pass short to the right incomplete thrown to the AUB20; QB hurried by ULUAVE, Cade, clock 00:44. PENALTY AUB Holding on FAIRWEATHER, Rivaldo enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the AUB19 to the AUB10 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 12Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.16

Jarquez Hunter run for 27 yds to the AUB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Payton Thorne run for 2 yds to the AUB 39

2nd & 8Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.41

Payton Thorne run for 19 yds to the CAL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-1 ydsPPA -1.13

pass incomplete Auburn Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Payton Thorne) to the CAL 43

2nd & 11Field Goal Missed+17 yds

Towns McGough 17 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half-32 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaydn Ott run for no gain to the CAL 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 9 yds to the CAL 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Jaydn Ott run for 3 yds to the CAL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 3 yds to the CAL 40

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 58 yds, downed at the AUB 2

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Jarquez Hunter run for 6 yds to the AUB 8

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.07

Jarquez Hunter run for 4 yds to the AUB 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Payton Thorne run for 3 yds to the AUB 15

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jarquez Hunter run for 5 yds to the AUB 20

3rd & 2Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.88

Jarquez Hunter run for 18 yds to the AUB 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.06

Payton Thorne sacked by Teddye Buchanan for a loss of 8 yards to the AUB 30

2nd & 18Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 8 yds to the AUB 38

3rd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.54

Payton Thorne sacked by Teddye Buchanan for a loss of 5 yards to the AUB 33

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Mikey Matthews at the CAL 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Mavin Anderson for 7 yds to the CAL 29

3rd & 3Penalty+15 yds

(05:46) MENDOZA, Fernando pass short up the middle incomplete intended for STARLING, Mason thrown to the CAL30, clock 05:44. PENALTY AUB Roughing the Passer on BLOCTON, Malik enforced 15 yards from the CAL29 to the CAL44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jaivian Thomas run for 4 yds to the CAL 48

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Payton Thorne run for 8 yds to the AUB 10

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.02

Damari Alston run for 7 yds to the AUB 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Damari Alston run for 3 yds to the AUB 20

2nd & 7Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.64

Payton Thorne sacked by Ja'ir Smith for a loss of 12 yards to the AUB 8

3rd & 19Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.02

Jarquez Hunter run for 7 yds to the AUB 15

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 41 yds , Mikey Matthews returns for no gain to the CAL 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Kadarius Calloway run for 2 yds to the CAL 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.20

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Mikey Matthews for a loss of 1 yard to the CAL 45

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 40 yds , Keionte Scott returns for no gain to the AUB 34

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.66

Payton Thorne pass intercepted Ja'ir Smith return for no gain to the AUB 47

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Kadarius Calloway run for 6 yds to the AUB 41

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Kadarius Calloway run for 1 yd to the AUB 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.06

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 3 yds to the AUB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+55 yds

Ryan Coe 55 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jarquez Hunter run for 7 yds to the AUB 44

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-8 ydsPPA -2.66

Jarquez Hunter run for a loss of 8 yards to the AUB 36 Jarquez Hunter fumbled, recovered by CAL Craig Woodson C. Woodson return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jaivian Thomas run for 4 yds to the AUB 32

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.08

Jaivian Thomas run for 32 yds for a TD (Ryan Coe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Payton Thorne run for 3 yds to the AUB 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Payton Thorne pass complete to Robert Lewis for 12 yds to the AUB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Payton Thorne run for 7 yds to the AUB 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.16

Payton Thorne pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for 13 yds to the CAL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Payton Thorne pass complete to Damari Alston for 2 yds to the CAL 38

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

California Penalty, Targeting on HARRIS, Marcus enforced (Marcus Harris) to the CAL 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Payton Thorne run for 9 yds to the CAL 9

2nd & 1Penalty+7 yds

(07:36) THORNE, Payton pass to the left incomplete intended for COLEMAN, Cam thrown to the CAL0, clock 07:35. PENALTY CAL Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Nohl enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the CAL2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Penalty-5 yds

Auburn Penalty, False Start (Connor Lew) to the CAL 7

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jarquez Hunter run for no gain to the CAL 7

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.28

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for no gain to the CAL 7

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

(06:13) THORNE, Payton pass to the right incomplete intended for LAMBERT-SMITH, KeAndre broken up by WILLIAMS, Nohl at the CAL0, clock 06:10. PENALTY CAL Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Nohl enforced at the spot of the foul for 5 yards to the CAL2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

(06:13) THORNE, Payton pass to the left incomplete intended for LAMBERT-SMITH, KeAndre thrown to the CAL0, clock 06:10. PENALTY CAL Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Nohl enforced at the spot of the foul for 5 yards to the CAL2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Payton Thorne run for 2 yds for a TD (Towns McGough KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Jaydn Ott run for a loss of 3 yards to the CAL 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jaivian Thomas for 7 yds to the CAL 29

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.99

Fernando Mendoza run for 10 yds to the CAL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Kadarius Calloway run for 1 yd to the CAL 40

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.21

Chandler Rogers run for 14 yds to the AUB 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Kadarius Calloway run for 2 yds to the AUB 44

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Kadarius Calloway run for 3 yds to the AUB 41

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Chandler Rogers run for no gain to the AUB 41

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

California Penalty, False Start (Ryan Yaites) to the AUB 46

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Payton Thorne pass complete to Cam Coleman for 12 yds to the AUB 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.48

Payton Thorne pass intercepted Nohl Williams return for no gain to the CAL 44

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Kadarius Calloway run for a loss of 3 yards to the CAL 41

2nd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Jaivian Thomas run for 7 yds to the CAL 48

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jaivian Thomas run for 1 yd to the CAL 49

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.61

Payton Thorne pass intercepted Lu-Magia Hearns III return for no gain to the AUB 45

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

(00:20) Kneel down by MENDOZA, Fernando at AUB47 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

California

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
25 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
83%
6 plays
3rd
89%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th

Auburn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
28%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play