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← Back to GamesSep 1, 2024Week 1
USCUSC
27
-Final
20
LSULSU

House Prediction

Model Margin

LSU by 9.1

Home Win Probability

LSU 71%

Market (Bovada)

LSU -4

Edge: LSU -4 (5.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 1, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
USCUSC
01031427
LSULSU
0107320

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-710-1010-1317-1320-2020-27
LSUUSC

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LSUUSCLSUUSCLSUUSCLSUUSCUSCLSUUSCLSUUSCLSUUSCLSUUSCLSUUSCLSUUSCDOWNS1374ydPUNT524ydPUNT831ydTD887ydTD975ydFG538ydFG847ydEND963ydPUNT37ydPUNT39ydFG959ydTD778ydPUNT33ydPUNT523ydDOWNS949ydPUNT3-7ydTD364ydFG961ydTD875ydTO10ydEND1-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing USC and LSU
StatisticUSCLSU
Passing27-3629-38
Pass Yards378304
Rush Yards72117
Total Yards450421
Turnovers01
3rd Down3-95-13
Penalties6-5010-99
Possession27:0033:00

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

USC
passing
Miller Moss
27/36, 378 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jo'quavious Marks
16 CAR, 68 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kyron Ware-Hudson
5 REC, 83 YDS
defense
LSU
passing
Garrett Nussmeier
29/38, 304 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
John Emery Jr.
10 CAR, 61 YDS
receiving
Kyren Lacy
7 REC, 94 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Michael Lantz kickoff for 58 yds , Zavion Thomas return for 16 yds to the LSU 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.26

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 15 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.34

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 15 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the USC 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 5 yds to the USC 40

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Kaleb Jackson run for 1 yd to the USC 39

4th & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.98

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 3 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 8 yds to the USC 28

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (DJ Chester) to the USC 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.62

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 13 yds to the USC 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.30

Josh Williams run for 12 yds to the USC 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Josh Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyle Parker for 6 yds to the USC 3

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.08

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to CJ Daniels

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Miller Moss pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 9 yds to the USC 12

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -0.10

Miller Moss pass complete to Lake McRee for 8 yds to the USC 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Woody Marks run for 6 yds to the USC 26

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Woody Marks run for 2 yds to the USC 28

3rd & 2Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Miller Moss pass complete to Woody Marks for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 27

4th & 3Punt+1 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 57 yds , Zavion Thomas returns for 1 yd to the LSU 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kaleb Jackson run for 4 yds to the LSU 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.92

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kaleb Jackson for 9 yds to the LSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Kaleb Jackson run for 2 yds to the LSU 32

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Zavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the LSU 37

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.70

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 6 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the LSU 45

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the LSU 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 1 yd to the LSU 48

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the USC 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.00

Miller Moss pass complete to Lake McRee for 17 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Woody Marks run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 29

2nd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.67

Miller Moss pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 19 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Miller Moss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the LSU 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Miller Moss pass complete to Quinten Joyner for 4 yds to the LSU 43

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.81

Quinten Joyner run for 2 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.66

Miller Moss pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 24 yds to the LSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Moss, Miller pass incomplete to Lane, Ja'Kobi, PENALTY LSU pass interference (Ryan, Sage) 15 yards to the LSU2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Woody Marks run for 2 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LSU 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 8 yds to the LSU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 6 yds to the LSU 34

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.73

Josh Williams run for 10 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Mason Taylor

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.05

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Zavion Thomas for 11 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 12 yds to the USC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

John Emery Jr. run for 3 yds to the USC 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.50

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 11 yds to the USC 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 19 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

LSU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kyren Lacy) to the LSU 20

1st & 25Kickoff Return (Offense)+46 yds

Aeron Burrell kickoff for 69 yds , Zachariah Branch return for 46 yds to the LSU 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.47

Miller Moss pass complete to Duce Robinson for 38 yds to the LSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-15 yds

Moss, Miller pass incomplete to Fair, Jay, PENALTY USC illegal block (Lane, Ja'Kobi) 15 yards to the LSU20, NO PLAY.

1st & 0Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 yds

Miller Moss sacked by Sai'vion Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 24 Miller Moss fumbled, forced by Sai'vion Jones, recovered by USC Emmanuel Pregnon , return for 0 yards

2nd & 0Pass Reception+19 yds

Miller Moss pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 19 yds to the LSU 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Miller Moss pass incomplete to Kyron Hudson

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Michael Lantz 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kaleb Jackson run for 4 yds to the LSU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 5 yds to the LSU 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.54

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 8 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.69

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 26 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Josh Williams run for no gain to the USC 32

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Zavion Thomas

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 4 yds to the USC 28

4th & 6Field Goal Good+45 yds

Damian Ramos 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Miller Moss pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 9 yds to the USC 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Woody Marks run for no gain to the USC 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Miller Moss pass complete to Woody Marks for 3 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Miller Moss pass complete to Lake McRee for 5 yds to the USC 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.93

Miller Moss pass complete to Makai Lemon for 22 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.41

Woody Marks run for 17 yds to the LSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Woody Marks run for 7 yds to the LSU 12

3rd & 3Field Goal Missed+29 yds

Michael Lantz 29 yd FG MISSED

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Woody Marks run for 6 yds to the USC 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Quinten Joyner run for 1 yd to the USC 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Miller Moss pass incomplete to Makai Lemon

4th & 3Punt+15 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 55 yds , Zavion Thomas returns for 15 yds to the LSU 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 31

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kaleb Jackson run for 4 yds to the LSU 35

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 2 yds to the LSU 37

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Peyton Todd punt for 40 yds , Zachariah Branch returns for no gain to the USC 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Miller Moss pass incomplete to Zachariah Branch

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Miller Moss pass incomplete to Kyle Ford

3rd & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +4.15

Miller Moss pass complete to Kyle Ford for 41 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Woody Marks run for 3 yds to the LSU 33

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Elijah Paige) to the LSU 38

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Miller Moss pass complete to Kyle Ford for 4 yds to the LSU 34

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Moss, Miller pass incomplete to Robinson, Duce, PENALTY LSU pass interference (Woodland, PJ) 15 yards to the LSU19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Miller Moss pass incomplete to Kyron Hudson

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Quinten Joyner run for 5 yds to the LSU 14

3rd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Miller Moss sacked by Sai'vion Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 18

4th & 9Field Goal Good+35 yds

Michael Lantz 35 yd FG GOOD

4th & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Michael Lantz kickoff for 57 yds , Josh Williams return for 14 yds to the LSU 22

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (Will Campbell) to the LSU 17

1st & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 15 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +2.73

John Emery Jr. run for 39 yds to the USC 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.72

John Emery Jr. run for 10 yds to the USC 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

John Emery Jr. run for 3 yds to the USC 16

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kaleb Jackson run for 3 yds to the USC 13

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.84

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 13 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

USC Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Anthony Lucas) to the 50 yard line

3rd & -11Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Damian Ramos kickoff for 38 yds , Makai Lemon return for 8 yds to the USC 20

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.91

Woody Marks run for a loss of 8 yards to the USC 12 Woody Marks fumbled, forced by Greg Penn III, recovered by USC Elijah Paige

2nd & 18Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Makai Lemon) to the USC 7

2nd & 23Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Woody Marks run for 5 yds to the USC 12

3rd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.11

Miller Moss pass complete to Duce Robinson for 11 yds to the USC 23

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 54 yds, downed at the LSU 23

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

John Emery Jr. run for 6 yds to the LSU 29

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.04

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to John Emery Jr. for 10 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

John Emery Jr. run for 4 yds to the LSU 43

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Trey'Dez Green

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 3 yds to the LSU 46

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Peyton Todd punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the USC 15

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Woody Marks run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 14

2nd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.69

Miller Moss pass complete to Lake McRee for 19 yds to the USC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.59

Miller Moss pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Miller Moss pass complete to Lake McRee for 7 yds to the LSU 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Miller Moss pass complete to Kade Eldridge for 6 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Quinten Joyner run for 4 yds to the LSU 33

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Miller Moss pass incomplete to Kyle Ford

3rd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Woody Marks run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 36

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.42

Miller Moss pass incomplete to Makai Lemon

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

LSU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Major Burns) to the LSU 21

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.88

John Emery Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 16

2nd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.87

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Ka'Morreun Pimpton for 14 yds to the LSU 30

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

John Emery Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 29

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Peyton Todd punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the USC 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.73

Miller Moss pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 20 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.65

Woody Marks run for 16 yds to the LSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Miller Moss pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 28 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (Will Campbell) to the LSU 20

1st & 15Penalty+5 yds

USC Penalty, Defensive Offside (Anthony Lucas) to the LSU 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 3 yds to the LSU 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.85

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 41 yds to the USC 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

John Emery Jr. run for no gain to the USC 28

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Zavion Thomas for 12 yds to the USC 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

John Emery Jr. run for 2 yds to the USC 14

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Aaron Anderson

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

4th & 8Field Goal Good+31 yds

Damian Ramos 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Miller Moss pass complete to Woody Marks for 5 yds to the USC 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Miller Moss pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 5 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Miller Moss pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 9 yds to the USC 44

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Woody Marks run for 4 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Miller Moss pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 10 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Miller Moss pass incomplete to Kyron Hudson

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Alani Noa) to the LSU 47

2nd & 15Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.77

Miller Moss pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 20 yds to the LSU 27 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (Jardin Gilbert) to the LSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Woody Marks run for 13 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.92

Garrett Nussmeier pass intercepted Mason Cobb return for no gain to the LSU 40

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.48

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 43

Situational Analysis

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
62%
29 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
27 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
53%
15 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays