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← Back to GamesAug 31, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas by 26.2

Home Win Probability

Texas 93%

Market (Bovada)

Texas -35

Edge: Colorado State +35 (8.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Aug 31, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Colorado StateColorado State
00000
TexasTexas
72414752

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-010-017-031-038-045-052-0
TexasColorado State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TEXCSTEXCSTEXCSTEXCSTEXCSTEXCSTEXCSCSTEXCSTEXCSTEXCSTEXCSTEXPUNT525ydPUNT31ydTD464ydPUNT726ydTO1160ydDOWNS614ydFG44ydPUNT37ydTD770ydTO413ydTD543ydPUNT30ydTD533ydEND112ydPUNT620ydTD880ydDOWNS624ydTD449ydPUNT43ydTD1155ydTO619ydDOWNS1054ydTO743ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colorado State and Texas
StatisticColorado StateTexas
Passing13-2425-33
Pass Yards74355
Rush Yards118190
Total Yards192545
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-146-12
Penalties3-253-25
Possession29:1730:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colorado State
passing
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi
10/18, 59 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Justin Marshall
25 CAR, 106 YDS
receiving
Tory Horton
5 REC, 31 YDS
defense
Texas
passing
Quinn Ewers
20/27, 260 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jerrick Gibson
10 CAR, 67 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ryan Wingo
4 REC, 70 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Bryan Hansen kickoff for 65 yds , Matthew Golden return for 26 yds to the TEX 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.35

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 15 yds to the TEX 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 13 yds to the CSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Texas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TEX 49

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jaydon Blue run for 2 yds to the CSU 49

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Isaiah Bond

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Michael Kern punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tory Horton at the CSU 10

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for a loss of 3 yards to the CSU 7

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Justin Marshall run for 3 yds to the CSU 10

3rd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.06

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Justin Marshall for 1 yd to the CSU 11

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 53 yds , Silas Bolden returns for no gain to the TEX 36

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jaydon Blue run for 7 yds to the TEX 43

2nd & 3Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.25

Jaydon Blue run for 17 yds to the CSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.72

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 37 yds to the CSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Quintrevion Wisner 3 Yd Run (Bert Auburn Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Justin Marshall run for 6 yds to the CSU 31

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.37

Justin Marshall run for 13 yds to the CSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Justin Marshall run for 1 yd to the CSU 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.82

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 10 yds to the TEX 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Justin Marshall run for 1 yd to the TEX 44

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Colorado State Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TEX 49

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TEX 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.61

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Johntay Cook II for 11 yds to the TEX 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.45

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 16 yds to the TEX 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 9 yds to the CSU 49

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -2.15

Jaydon Blue run for a loss of 3 yards to the TEX 48

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.11

Jaydon Blue run for 10 yds to the CSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.23

Quinn Ewers sacked by Gabe Kirschke for a loss of 6 yards to the CSU 48

2nd & 16Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 8 yds to the CSU 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.16

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 18 yds to the CSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.71

Jaydon Blue run for a loss of 3 yards to the CSU 25

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Jaydon Blue

3rd & 13Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.96

Quinn Ewers pass intercepted Chase Wilson return for no gain to the CSU 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Kobe Johnson run for 2 yds to the CSU 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 9 yds to the CSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Justin Marshall run for 5 yds to the CSU 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.85

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Vince Brown II for no gain to the CSU 33

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

4th & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA +0.04

Paddy Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the CSU 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Isaiah Bond

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Quintrevion Wisner run for 7 yds to the CSU 24

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Quintrevion Wisner run for 2 yds to the CSU 22

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Texas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CSU 27

4th & 6Field Goal Good+45 yds

Bert Auburn 45 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Justin Marshall run for 7 yds to the CSU 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Justin Marshall run for 1 yd to the CSU 33

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Justin Marshall run for a loss of 1 yard to the CSU 32

4th & 3Punt+37 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 37 yds , Silas Bolden returns for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.82

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 38 yds to the CSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Juan Davis for 11 yds to the CSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jaydon Blue run for 6 yds to the CSU 15

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd to the CSU 14

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.10

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 10 yds to the CSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jaydon Blue run for 3 yds to the CSU 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Matthew Golden 1 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dylan Goffney for 8 yds to the CSU 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kobe Johnson run for 1 yd to the CSU 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Keegan Holles run for 4 yds to the CSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+30 ydsPPA -2.05

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass intercepted Jahdae Barron return for 30 yds to the CSU 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.53

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 15 yds to the CSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ryan Niblett for a loss of 2 yards to the CSU 30

2nd & 12Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.35

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 23 yds to the CSU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Isaiah Bond 7 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Keegan Holles run for no gain to the CSU 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+35 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 43 yds , Silas Bolden returns for 35 yds to the CSU 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Amari Niblack for 7 yds to the CSU 26

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Jaydon Blue run for 2 yds to the CSU 24

4th & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.06

Jaydon Blue run for 13 yds to the CSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Matthew Golden 11 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Justin Marshall run for 12 yds to the CSU 37 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half+12 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Justin Marshall run for 7 yds to the CSU 32

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.26

Justin Marshall run for a loss of 2 yards to the CSU 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Armani Winfield for 7 yds to the CSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Colorado State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CSU 27

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Justin Marshall run for 2 yds to the CSU 29

2nd & 18Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Justin Marshall run for 9 yds to the CSU 38

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 7 yds to the CSU 45

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 35 yds, downed at the TEX 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jaydon Blue run for 3 yds to the TEX 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 7 yds to the TEX 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.22

Isaiah Bond run for 25 yds to the CSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 5 yds to the CSU 40

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.54

Quintrevion Wisner run for 9 yds to the CSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jerrick Gibson run for 4 yds to the CSU 27

2nd & 6Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.01

Jerrick Gibson run for 22 yds to the CSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jerrick Gibson 5 Yd Run (Bert Auburn Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Justin Marshall run for 4 yds to the CSU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.53

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Vince Brown II for 12 yds to the CSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Justin Marshall run for 6 yds to the CSU 47

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.73

Justin Marshall run for 2 yds to the CSU 49

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Dylan Goffney

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.34

Arch Manning pass complete to Johntay Cook II for 40 yds to the CSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jerrick Gibson run for 4 yds to the CSU 5

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Arch Manning run for no gain to the CSU 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Silas Bolden 5 Yd pass from Arch Manning (Bert Auburn Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Kobe Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the CSU 24

2nd & 11Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.45

Justin Marshall run for 4 yds to the CSU 28 Colorado State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CSU 18

2nd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Justin Marshall run for 2 yds to the CSU 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.10

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 8 yds to the CSU 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TEX 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Arch Manning pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 15 yds to the CSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Jerrick Gibson run for 10 yds to the CSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jerrick Gibson run for 6 yds to the CSU 24

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.02

Jerrick Gibson run for 7 yds to the CSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Arch Manning pass complete to Johntay Cook II for 5 yds to the CSU 12

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Colin Page run for 3 yds to the CSU 9

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.94

Jerrick Gibson run for 5 yds to the CSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Arch Manning run for a loss of 1 yard to the CSU 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jerrick Gibson run for 4 yds to the CSU 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jerrick Gibson run for no gain to the CSU 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Arch Manning 1 Yd Run (Bert Auburn Kick)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Justin Marshall run for 8 yds to the CSU 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Justin Marshall run for 1 yd to the CSU 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Justin Marshall run for 5 yds to the CSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Justin Marshall run for 1 yd to the CSU 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Peter Montini for 4 yds to the CSU 44

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 50 yds , Silas Bolden returns for no gain to the TEX 6 Silas Bolden fumbled, recovered by TEX Gavin Holmes

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Ryan Niblett run for 6 yds to the TEX 12

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Ryan Niblett run for 2 yds to the TEX 14

3rd & 2Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Arch Manning pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 30 yds to the TEX 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ryan Niblett run for 4 yds to the TEX 48

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Warren Roberson run for 4 yds to the CSU 48

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.35

Warren Roberson run for 5 yds to the CSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Warren Roberson run for no gain to the CSU 43

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Warren Roberson run for 2 yds to the CSU 41

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Colin Page run for 1 yd to the CSU 40

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Arch Manning pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Justin Marshall run for no gain to the CSU 40

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Justin Marshall run for 9 yds to the CSU 49

3rd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.40

Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Jordan Ross for 7 yds to the TEX 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Jackson Brousseau run for 8 yds to the TEX 36

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Keegan Holles

3rd & 2Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.06

Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Keegan Holles for 4 yds to the TEX 32 for a 1ST down Texas Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TEX 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.42

Jackson Brousseau pass intercepted, touchback. Wardell Mack return for no gain

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 19

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.25

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 18

Situational Analysis

Colorado State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
63%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
9 plays
80%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play