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← Back to GamesAug 31, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mississippi State by 1.3

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 49%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Mississippi State -26.5

Edge: Eastern Kentucky +26.5 (25.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Aug 31, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Eastern Kentucky
07007
Mississippi StateMississippi State
142171456

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425614-021-028-035-742-756-7
Mississippi StateEastern Kentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSEKMSEKMSEKMSEKMSEKMSEKMSEKMSEKMSEKMSEKMSEKEKEKMSTD375ydPUNT39ydTD426ydPUNT39ydDOWNS623ydPUNT616ydPUNT39ydPUNT34ydTD547ydPUNT518ydTD548ydDOWNS729ydTD254ydTD1475ydEND1-5ydDOWNS740ydTD1065ydDOWNS942ydMISS1060ydPUNT730ydPUNT622ydTD34ydTD618ydPUNT31ydEND316yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Eastern Kentucky and Mississippi State
StatisticEastern KentuckyMississippi State
Passing22-3815-22
Pass Yards169247
Rush Yards126203
Total Yards295450
Turnovers10
3rd Down8-205-11
Penalties2-204-15
Possession38:0621:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Eastern Kentucky
passing
Matt Morrissey
22/38, 169 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Joshua Carter
19 CAR, 75 YDS
receiving
Marcus Calwise Jr.
5 REC, 45 YDS
defense
Mississippi State
passing
Blake Shapen
15/20, 247 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Blake Shapen
7 CAR, 44 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jordan Mosley
5 REC, 104 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Blake Shapen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Blake Shapen pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 10 yds to the MSST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.24

Blake Shapen pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 65 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Joshua Carter for 2 yds to the EKU 22

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Joshua Carter run for 5 yds to the EKU 27

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Joshua Carter run for 2 yds to the EKU 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jacob Baker punt for 44 yds , Kevin Coleman Jr. returns for no gain to the EKU 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.20

Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 15 yds to the EKU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Davon Booth run for 5 yds to the EKU 6

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Davon Booth run for 2 yds to the EKU 4

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.64

Blake Shapen run for 4 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Matt Morrissey run for 4 yds to the EKU 24

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Brayden Latham run for 3 yds to the EKU 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Caeleb Schlachter for 2 yds to the EKU 29

4th & 1Punt+18 yds

Jacob Baker punt for 43 yds , Kevin Coleman Jr. returns for 18 yds to the MSST 46

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(08:59) SHAPEN, Blake pass to the right complete for 47 yards to CRAVER, Mario caught at the EKU43 and advanced to the EKU7 (WARD, Jaheim). PENALTY Before the snap, MSU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the MSU46 to the MSU41. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Keyvone Lee run for 7 yds to the MSST 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.67

Blake Shapen pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 12 yds to the EKU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SHAPEN, Blake pass short up the middle complete for 4 yards to LEE, Keyvone caught at the EKU38 and advanced to the EKU36 (KELLY, Kyle). PENALTY Before the snap, MSU Illegal Formation on POUNDERS, Makylan enforced 5 yards from the EKU40 to the EKU45. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Keyvone Lee run for 1 yd to the EKU 44

2nd & 14Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Blake Shapen run for 10 yds to the EKU 34

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Keyvone Lee run for 1 yd to the EKU 33

4th & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -2.45

Blake Shapen pass complete to Justin Ball for 2 yds to the EKU 31

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the EKU 35

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 38

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.63

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jakob Dixon for 5 yds to the EKU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the EKU 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.80

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jakob Dixon for no gain to the EKU 47

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jacob Baker punt for 37 yds , Kevin Coleman Jr. returns for no gain to the MSST 46

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Johnnie Daniels run for 2 yds to the MSST 48 Johnnie Daniels fumbled, recovered by MSST Justin Ball J. Ball return for 0 yds

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Johnnie Daniels run for 4 yds to the EKU 48

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Blake Shapen run for 3 yds to the EKU 45

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nick Barr-Mira punt for 44 yds, downed at the EKU 1

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Brayden Latham run for 6 yds to the EKU 7

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Brayden Latham run for 3 yds to the EKU 10

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Brayden Latham run for no gain to the EKU 10

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Eastern Kentucky Penalty, Delay Of Game (Mike Smith Jr.) to the EKU 5

4th & 6Punt+7 yds

Jacob Baker punt for 49 yds , Kevin Coleman Jr. returns for 7 yds to the EKU 47

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.53

Blake Shapen sacked by Gabe Fletcher for a loss of 7 yards to the MSST 46

2nd & 17Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Blake Shapen pass complete to Creed Whittemore for 3 yds to the MSST 49

3rd & 14Rush+16 ydsPPA +3.45

Blake Shapen run for 16 yds to the EKU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.88

Blake Shapen pass complete to Braylon Burnside for a loss of 6 yards to the EKU 41

2nd & 16Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +4.85

Creed Whittemore run for 41 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.16

Brayden Latham run for 11 yds to the EKU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Brayden Latham run for 7 yds to the EKU 35

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+30 yds

Jacob Baker punt for 43 yds , Kevin Coleman Jr. returns for 30 yds to the EKU 48

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Keyvone Lee run for 5 yds to the EKU 43

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Keyvone Lee run for 2 yds to the EKU 41

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Blake Shapen pass complete to Keyvone Lee for 2 yds to the EKU 39

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)+16 ydsPPA +2.19

Keyvone Lee run for 16 yds to the EKU 23 Keyvone Lee fumbled, recovered by MSST return for 0 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 23 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 28

2nd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Matt Morrissey sacked by Kalvin Dinkins for a loss of 3 yards to the EKU 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.94

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Bryant Johnson Jr. for 21 yds to the EKU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Dequan Stanley for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jayden West for 5 yds to the MSST 45

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.57

Joshua Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSST 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Blake Shapen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +5.34

Blake Shapen pass complete to Mario Craver for 54 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Joshua Carter for 6 yds to the EKU 31

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the EKU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Marcus Calwise Jr. for 11 yds to the EKU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 49

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.48

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Marcus Calwise Jr. for 10 yds to the MSST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jakob Dixon for 16 yds to the MSST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Marcus Calwise Jr. for 13 yds to the MSST 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Marcus Calwise Jr. for 3 yds to the MSST 9

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.92

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Ron Vann Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

(00:03) [NHSG] Kneel down by SHAPEN, Blake at MSU20 (team loss of 5).

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Dequan Stanley for 19 yds to the EKU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Joshua Carter run for 8 yds to the MSST 48

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Dequan Stanley for 5 yds to the MSST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Dequan Stanley for 8 yds to the MSST 35

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Joshua Carter run for no gain to the MSST 35

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.39

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Davon Booth run for 4 yds to the MSST 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.79

Blake Shapen pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 14 yds to the EKU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Blake Shapen pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 3 yds to the EKU 44

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Davon Booth run for 3 yds to the EKU 41

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Davon Booth run for no gain to the EKU 41

4th & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.76

Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 16 yds to the EKU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Blake Shapen run for no gain to the EKU 25

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Davon Booth run for 9 yds to the EKU 16

3rd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.72

Davon Booth run for 15 yds to the EKU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Davon Booth run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Brayden Latham run for 3 yds to the EKU 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Brayden Latham run for 2 yds to the EKU 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jaycob Horn for 6 yds to the EKU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Marcus Calwise Jr. for 8 yds to the EKU 44

2nd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.92

Brayden Latham run for 16 yds to the MSST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Brayden Latham for 2 yds to the MSST 38

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Brayden Latham run for 7 yds to the MSST 31

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Brayden Latham run for no gain to the MSST 31

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -2.89

Brayden Latham run for a loss of 2 yards to the MSST 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.13

Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 25 yds to the EKU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 9 yds to the EKU 33

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Keyvone Lee run for 3 yds to the EKU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Blake Shapen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Keyvone Lee run for 5 yds to the EKU 25

3rd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.12

Blake Shapen run for 18 yds to the EKU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Blake Shapen pass incomplete

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Keyvone Lee run for no gain to the EKU 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Blake Shapen pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+25 yds

Kyle Ferrie 25 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.96

Joshua Carter run for 13 yds to the EKU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jackson House for 7 yds to the EKU 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.11

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Bryant Johnson Jr. for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Mississippi State Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the MSST 45

1st & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.76

Matt Morrissey sacked by Joseph Head Jr. and Ashun Shepphard for a loss of 7 yards to the EKU 48

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Joshua Carter run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jacob Baker punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Johnnie Daniels run for 5 yds to the MSST 19

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Chris Parson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.36

Johnnie Daniels run for 11 yds to the MSST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Chris Parson run for 7 yds to the MSST 37

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Johnnie Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSST 36 Johnnie Daniels fumbled, recovered by MSST Johnnie Daniels J. Daniels return for 0 yds

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Chris Parson pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nick Barr-Mira punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Jalen Montgomery at the EKU 12

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Matt Morrissey run for no gain to the EKU 12

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the EKU 16

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

4th & 6Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by JP Purvis blocked by JP Purvis for a TD , returns for no gain for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Joshua Carter run for 5 yds to the EKU 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the EKU 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Joshua Carter run for 6 yds to the EKU 43

3rd & 4Interception Return Touchdown+51 ydsPPA -8.15

Matt Morrissey pass intercepted Elijah Cannon return for 51 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-14 ydsPPA -1.28

Matt Morrissey run for a loss of 14 yards to the EKU 11 Matt Morrissey fumbled, recovered by EKU Matt Morrissey M. Morrissey return for 0 yds

2nd & 24Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.02

Brayden Latham run for 2 yds to the EKU 13

3rd & 22Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.11

Brayden Latham run for 13 yds to the EKU 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jacob Baker punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Xavier Gayten run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSST 21

2nd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.54

Xavier Gayten run for 12 yds to the MSST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Xavier Gayten run for 5 yds to the MSST 38

Situational Analysis

Eastern Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
30%
27 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
16 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
33%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
3 plays

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
45%
22 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
63%
8 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play