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← Back to GamesAug 31, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 21.6

Home Win Probability

Alabama 90%

Market (Bovada)

Alabama -34

Edge: Western Kentucky +34 (12.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Aug 31, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky
00000
AlabamaAlabama
212114763

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-021-028-042-049-056-063-0
AlabamaWestern Kentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WKALAWKALAWKALAWKALAWKALAWKALAWKALAWKALAWKALAWKALAWKALAWKALAWKALAWKALAPUNT56ydPUNT3-3ydTO22ydTD216ydTO853ydTD326ydPUNT35ydTD481ydPUNT35ydTO3-8ydMISS40ydTD280ydDOWNS2171ydTD296ydPUNT34ydTD255ydEND30ydPUNT34ydPUNT4-1ydTD961ydPUNT3-2ydTD653ydPUNT33ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-1ydTD1079ydPUNT35ydEND1355yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Kentucky and Alabama
StatisticWestern KentuckyAlabama
Passing22-4012-18
Pass Yards103266
Rush Yards42334
Total Yards145600
Turnovers21
3rd Down3-188-13
Penalties4-407-59
Possession29:2530:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Kentucky
passing
TJ Finley
18/31, 92 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Elijah Young
10 CAR, 18 YDS
receiving
Moussa Barry
4 REC, 27 YDS
defense
Alabama
passing
Jalen Milroe
7/9, 200 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Justice Haynes
4 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ryan Williams
2 REC, 139 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Deontae Lawson
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

TJ Finley pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 2 yds to the WKU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.07

TJ Finley pass complete to River Helms for 16 yds to the WKU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

TJ Finley pass incomplete to River Helms

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Elijah Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKU 41

3rd & 12Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.63

TJ Finley sacked by Que Robinson for a loss of 10 yards to the WKU 31

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Cole Maynard punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Cole Adams at the ALA 31

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Justice Haynes run for 4 yds to the ALA 35

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.41

Jalen Milroe sacked by Hosea Wheeler for a loss of 7 yards to the ALA 28 Jalen Milroe fumbled, forced by Hosea Wheeler, recovered by ALA Jalen Milroe , return for 0 yards

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Kendrick Law

4th & 13Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 52 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Easton Messer run for 2 yds to the WKU 22

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return+23 ydsPPA -0.25

TJ Finley pass intercepted Keon Sabb return for 23 yds to the WKU 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jam Miller run for 4 yds to the WKU 12

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.59

Jalen Milroe 12 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Dalvin Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

TJ Finley pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 13 yds to the WKU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Young, Elijah rush for 2 yards to the WESTERNKY40, PENALTY ALA substitution infraction 5 yards to the WESTERNKY43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTERNKY.

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Elijah Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKU 41

2nd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

TJ Finley run for 8 yds to the WKU 49

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

Finley, TJ pass incomplete to Childress, Bryce, PENALTY ALA pass interference (Morgan, Red) 15 yards to the ALA36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTERNKY.

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.29

Elijah Young run for 10 yds to the ALA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Easton Messer

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

TJ Finley pass complete to River Helms for 4 yds to the ALA 22

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return+64 ydsPPA -3.74

TJ Finley pass intercepted Keon Sabb return for 64 yds to the WKU 26

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Justice Haynes run for 2 yds to the WKU 24

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jalen Milroe run for 2 yds to the WKU 22

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.26

Kendrick Law 22 Yd pass from Jalen Milroe (Graham Nicholson Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the WKU 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Bryce Childress

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

TJ Finley run for 3 yds to the WKU 30

4th & 5Punt+1 yds

Cole Maynard punt for 42 yds , Cole Adams returns for 1 yd to the ALA 31 Alabama Penalty, Illegal Block (Zavier Mincey) to the ALA 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 8 yds to the ALA 27

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Alabama Penalty, False Start (Tyler Booker) to the ALA 22

2nd & 7Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.65

Jam Miller run for 3 yds to the ALA 25 Alabama Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kobe Prentice) to the ALA 15

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the ALA 16

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+84 ydsPPA +7.30

Ryan Williams 84 Yd pass from Jalen Milroe (Graham Nicholson Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

TJ Finley pass complete to Moussa Barry for 5 yds to the WKU 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Elijah Young

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Easton Messer

4th & 5Punt+9 yds

Cole Maynard punt for 51 yds , Cole Adams returns for 9 yds to the ALA 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the ALA 29

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Kendrick Law run for 7 yds to the ALA 36

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-16 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 16 yards to the ALA 20 TEAM fumbled, recovered by WKU Devonte' Mathews

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Elijah Young run for 7 yds to the ALA 13

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Western Kentucky Penalty, False Start (Blake Austin) to the ALA 18

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

TJ Finley run for 5 yds to the ALA 13

3rd & 3Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -1.43

TJ Finley pass complete to TJ Finley for a loss of 7 yards to the ALA 20

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Lucas Carneiro 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Miller, Jam rush for 12 yards to the ALA32, PENALTY ALA holding (Roberts, Jaeden) 10 yards to the ALA10, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+50 ydsPPA +4.08

Jalen Milroe run for 40 yds to the WKU 49 for a 1ST down Western Kentucky Penalty, Defensive Holding (Upton Stout) to the WKU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Jam Miller 39 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

TJ Finley pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 2 yds to the WKU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

TJ Finley pass complete to L.T. Sanders for 4 yds to the WKU 31

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

TJ Finley run for 3 yds to the WKU 34

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.85

TJ Finley run for 4 yds to the WKU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Easton Messer

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.69

TJ Finley pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for no gain to the WKU 38

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.89

TJ Finley pass complete to Elijah Young for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Kisean Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

TJ Finley pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

TJ Finley pass complete to Elijah Young for 7 yds to the ALA 43

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.42

TJ Finley pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 5 yds to the ALA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Kisean Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

TJ Finley pass complete to Easton Messer for 4 yds to the ALA 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.33

TJ Finley pass complete to Moussa Barry for 10 yds to the ALA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

TJ Finley pass complete to Moussa Barry for 3 yds to the ALA 21

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Moussa Barry

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.76

TJ Finley pass complete to Easton Messer for 8 yds to the ALA 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.66

TJ Finley pass complete to Elijah Young for a loss of 5 yards to the ALA 18

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the ALA 17

3rd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.44

TJ Finley pass complete to Moussa Barry for 9 yds to the ALA 8

4th & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -3.86

TJ Finley run for 4 yds to the ALA 4

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.32

Justice Haynes run for 11 yds to the ALA 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+85 ydsPPA +6.62

Justice Haynes 85 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

George Hart III run for 4 yds to the WKU 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

George Hart III run for no gain to the WKU 29

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

L.T. Sanders run for no gain to the WKU 29

4th & 6Punt+12 yds

Cole Maynard punt for 38 yds , Cole Adams returns for 12 yds to the ALA 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Jam Miller

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +5.44

Ryan Williams 55 Yd pass from Jalen Milroe (Graham Nicholson Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Elijah Young run for no gain to the WKU 25

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the WKU 28

3rd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.35

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKU 25

0th & 7End of Half-3 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jam Miller run for 7 yds to the ALA 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Jam Miller run for 1 yd to the ALA 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the ALA 34

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Alabama Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ALA 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 54 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Caden Veltkamp run for 2 yds to the WKU 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 2 yds to the WKU 21

3rd & 6Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -0.32

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 2 yds to the WKU 23 Western Kentucky Penalty, Illegal Block (Michael Mathison) to the WKU 13

3rd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 3 yds to the WKU 16

4th & 11Punt+9 yds

Cole Maynard punt for 54 yds , Cole Adams returns for 9 yds to the ALA 39

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jalen Milroe run for 3 yds to the ALA 42

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Richard Young run for 3 yds to the ALA 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.59

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 17 yds to the WKU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jalen Milroe run for 5 yds to the WKU 33

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Richard Young run for 1 yd to the WKU 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.86

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Josh Cuevas for 4 yds to the WKU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.17

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 10 yds to the WKU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.60

Richard Young run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKU 21

2nd & 13Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.19

Jalen Milroe 21 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)

2nd & 13Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Conor Talty kickoff for 61 yds , Easton Messer return for 16 yds to the WKU 20

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Elijah Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKU 18

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Kisean Johnson

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Dalvin Smith

4th & 12Punt+11 yds

Cole Maynard punt for 46 yds , Cole Adams returns for 11 yds to the ALA 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.19

Ty Simpson pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 20 yds to the WKU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Daniel Hill run for no gain to the WKU 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.93

Ty Simpson pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 14 yds to the WKU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.39

Ty Simpson run for 17 yds to the WKU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Daniel Hill run for no gain to the WKU 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Daniel Hill 2 Yd Run (Conor Talty Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

L.T. Sanders run for no gain to the WKU 25

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Caden Veltkamp run for 3 yds to the WKU 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Moussa Barry

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Cole Maynard punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Mbakwe at the ALA 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Richard Young

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Richard Young run for 1 yd to the ALA 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Caleb Odom

4th & 9Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 46 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 28

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Easton Messer run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKU 26

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the WKU 27

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to George Hart III

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Cole Maynard punt for 52 yds, downed at the ALA 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Rico Scott

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Kevin Riley run for 9 yds to the ALA 30

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.82

Richard Young run for 2 yds to the ALA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Ty Simpson pass complete to Caleb Odom for 8 yds to the ALA 40

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Richard Young run for 4 yds to the ALA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Kevin Riley run for 2 yds to the ALA 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.91

Ty Simpson pass complete to Caleb Odom for 15 yds to the WKU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Simpson, Ty pass pass intended for Scott, Rico intercepted by Robinson, Kent at the WESTERNKY6, Robinson, Kent return 0 yards to the WESTERNKY6, PENALTY WESTERNKY personal foul (Thomas, Darius) 15 yards to the WESTERNKY24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALA.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Ty Simpson pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 9 yds to the WKU 15

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Kobe Prentice

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.64

Ty Simpson 15 Yd Run (Conor Talty Kick)

3rd & 1Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Conor Talty kickoff for 60 yds , Easton Messer return for 22 yds to the WKU 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Bryce Childress for 4 yds to the WKU 31

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Caden Veltkamp run for 1 yd to the WKU 32

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Moussa Barry

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Cole Maynard punt for 35 yds, downed at the ALA 33

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Daniel Hill run for 5 yds to the ALA 38

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.40

Daniel Hill run for 11 yds to the ALA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Daniel Hill run for 3 yds to the WKU 48

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Daniel Hill run for 1 yd to the WKU 47

3rd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.38

Dylan Lonergan run for 16 yds to the WKU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Daniel Hill run for 4 yds to the WKU 27

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Daniel Hill run for 3 yds to the WKU 24

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.47

Kevin Riley run for 4 yds to the WKU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kevin Riley run for 3 yds to the WKU 17

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Kevin Riley run for 2 yds to the WKU 15

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kevin Riley run for 4 yds to the WKU 11

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.57

Kevin Riley run for 2 yds to the WKU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.49

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKU 12

Situational Analysis

Western Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
13%
23 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
20%
15 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
14%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
44%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
45%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play