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← Back to GamesJan 7, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Dakota State by 14.4

Home Win Probability

South Dakota State 81%

Market (Bovada)

South Dakota State -12.5

Edge: South Dakota State -12.5 (1.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Jan 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Montana
03003
South Dakota State
7016023

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-314-323-3
South Dakota StateMontana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSMONSDSMONSDSMONMONSDSMONMONSDSMONSDSMONSDSMONSDSMONSDSMONSDSMONSDSMONTD1175ydDOWNS1557ydTO326ydFG620ydPUNT536ydTO68ydPUNT510ydPUNT424ydTO431ydTO435ydPUNT38ydPUNT36ydTD558ydPUNT3-13ydTD659ydTO1-2ydFG46ydDOWNS1252ydPUNT427ydPUNT610ydPUNT513ydPUNT30ydPUNT523ydUncategorized212yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Montana and South Dakota State
StatisticMontanaSouth Dakota State
Passing24-4113-21
Pass Yards177175
Rush Yards53190
Total Yards230365
Turnovers32
3rd Down4-154-10
Penalties6-346-35
Possession28:4529:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Montana
passing
Clifton McDowell
22/39, 165 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Nick Ostmo
6 CAR, 18 YDS
receiving
Aaron Fontes
4 REC, 48 YDS
South Dakota State
passing
Mark Gronowski
13/21, 175 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Isaiah Davis
16 CAR, 87 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaxon Janke
4 REC, 66 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the SDST 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.99

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 27 yds to the MONT 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the SDST 49

1st & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 7 yds to the MONT 44

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the MONT 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 8 yds to the MONT 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 3 yds to the MONT 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.51

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Amar Johnson for 10 yds to the MONT 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Mark Gronowski run for 6 yds to the MONT 15

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Mark Gronowski run for 9 yds to the MONT 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Isaiah Davis run for 6 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Eli Gillman run for 3 yds to the MONT 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.31

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Keelan White for 7 yds to the SDST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Eli Gillman for 2 yds to the SDST 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Eli Gillman for 7 yds to the SDST 39

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.74

Eli Gillman run for 4 yds to the SDST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Eli Gillman run for 5 yds to the SDST 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Xavier Harris run for 4 yds to the SDST 26

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Nick Ostmo run for no gain to the SDST 26

4th & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.09

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Nick Ostmo for 5 yds to the SDST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Keelan White for 8 yds to the SDST 13

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Clifton McDowell run for 7 yds to the SDST 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Eli Gillman run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDST 7

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Clifton McDowell run for 6 yds to the SDST 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Eli Gillman run for no gain to the SDST 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.41

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 15 yds to the SDST 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.65

Amar Johnson run for 11 yds to the SDST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+35 ydsPPA -1.07

Mark Gronowski pass intercepted Corbin Walker return for 25 yds to the SDST 23 Montana Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the SDST 33

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Nick Ostmo run for 8 yds to the SDST 25

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA -0.19

Xavier Harris run for 11 yds to the SDST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Nick Ostmo run for 1 yd to the SDST 13

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.32

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Keelan White for no gain to the SDST 13

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+30 yds

Nico Ramos 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Isaiah Davis run for no gain to the SDST 27

2nd & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +3.51

Mark Gronowski run for 33 yds to the MONT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Isaiah Davis run for 3 yds to the MONT 37

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Mark Gronowski run for no gain to the MONT 37

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MONT 5

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Eli Gillman run for 3 yds to the MONT 8

2nd & 7Penalty-4 yds

Montana Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the MONT 4

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Keelan White for 4 yds to the MONT 8

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Eli Gillman for 9 yds to the MONT 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Clifton McDowell run for 2 yds to the MONT 19

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.21

Clifton McDowell sacked by Quinton Hicks and Cade Terveer for a loss of 6 yards to the MONT 13

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Travis Benham punt for 31 yds , Kevin Brenner returns for no gain to the MONT 44 Kevin Brenner fumbled, recovered by MONT

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nick Ostmo run for 5 yds to the MONT 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Junior Bergen for 12 yds to the SDST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Montana Penalty, Offensive Holding (Journey Grimsrud) to the SDST 49

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

3rd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Clifton McDowell run for 3 yds to the SDST 46

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Travis Benham punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tucker Large at the SDST 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.09

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 18 yds to the SDST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.56

Mark Gronowski sacked by Braxton Hill for a loss of 8 yards to the SDST 23 for a 1ST down South Dakota State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Yards) to the SDST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Amar Johnson run for 1 yd to the SDST 24

2nd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.70

Amar Johnson run for 13 yds to the SDST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Punt+5 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 53 yds , Junior Bergen returns for 5 yds to the MONT 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Drew Deck for 6 yds to the MONT 21

2nd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.32

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Aaron Fontes for 16 yds to the MONT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Drew Deck for 9 yds to the MONT 46

2nd & 1Pass Interception Return+34 ydsPPA -3.33

Clifton McDowell pass intercepted Dalys Beanum return for 34 yds to the SDST 35

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Evan Shafer for 7 yds to the MONT 31

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

Eli Gillman run for 4 yds to the MONT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Junior Bergen for 6 yds to the MONT 41

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+18 ydsPPA -2.16

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Aaron Fontes for 18 yds Aaron Fontes fumbled, recovered by SDST DyShawn Gales

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Isaiah Davis run for 5 yds to the SDST 46

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Isaiah Davis run for 3 yds to the SDST 49

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Isaiah Davis run for no gain to the SDST 49

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MONT 5

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Nick Ostmo run for 2 yds to the MONT 7

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Clifton McDowell run for 4 yds to the MONT 11

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Travis Benham punt for 47 yds, downed at the SDST 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 7 yds to the SDST 49

2nd & 3Penalty+5 yds

Montana Penalty, Defensive Offside (Garrett Hustedt) to the MONT 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Amar Johnson run for 7 yds to the MONT 39

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MONT 44

3rd & 8Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.68

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 34 yds to the MONT 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Mark Gronowski run for 10 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Clifton McDowell run for a loss of 1 yard to the MONT 25

2nd & 11Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.54

Clifton McDowell sacked by Isaiah Stalbird for a loss of 13 yards to the MONT 12 Montana Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Clifton McDowell) to the MONT 12

3rd & 24Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.01

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Eli Gillman for 1 yd to the MONT 13

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Travis Benham punt for 46 yds, downed at the SDST 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 13 yds to the MONT 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.78

Isaiah Davis run for 18 yds to the MONT 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the MONT 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 3 yds to the MONT 23

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.23

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 23 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK) (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Sack+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Clifton McDowell sacked by Cade Terveer for a loss of 2 yards to the MONT 21 Clifton McDowell fumbled, forced by Cade Terveer, recovered by SDST Ryan Van Marel , return for 0 yards , return for 12 yds to the MONT 21

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MONT 26

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Amar Johnson run for 4 yds to the MONT 22

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 7 yds to the MONT 15

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+32 yds

Hunter Dustman 32 yd FG GOOD

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the SDST 30

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Clifton McDowell run for 2 yds to the MONT 29 Clifton McDowell fumbled, recovered by MONT Clifton McDowell

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Aaron Fontes for 7 yds to the MONT 36

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.01

Nick Ostmo run for 2 yds to the MONT 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.90

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Junior Bergen for 10 yds to the SDST 48 for a 1ST down South Dakota State Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Adam Bock) to the SDST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Nick Ostmo for 5 yds to the SDST 32

2nd & 5Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.46

Clifton McDowell run for a loss of 8 yards to the SDST 40 Nick Ostmo fumbled, recovered by MONT

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

4th & 13Penalty-5 yds

Montana Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDST 45

4th & 18Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +4.21

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Nick Ostmo for 21 yds to the SDST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.91

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Junior Bergen for a loss of 3 yards to the SDST 31 lat. to Xavier Harris for a loss of 4 yards to the SDST 31

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

3rd & 17Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.29

Clifton McDowell sacked by Aaron Wolfcale-Holsten for a loss of 2 yards to the SDST 33

4th & 19Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA -0.69

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Eli Gillman for 12 yds to the SDST 21

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.77

Isaiah Davis run for 21 yds to the SDST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Isaiah Davis run for 6 yds to the SDST 48

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.24

Mark Gronowski run for no gain to the SDST 48

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Junior Bergen at the MONT 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.01

Clifton McDowell run for 10 yds to the MONT 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Travis Benham punt for 47 yds, downed at the SDST 31

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Amar Johnson run for 1 yd to the SDST 32

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.98

Amar Johnson run for 12 yds to the SDST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.25

Isaiah Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDST 41

3rd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Mark Gronowski run for 3 yds to the SDST 44

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Junior Bergen at the MONT 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Travis Benham punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tucker Large at the SDST 44

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Isaiah Davis run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.01

Isaiah Davis run for 15 yds to the MONT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Isaiah Davis run for 1 yd to the MONT 34

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Amar Johnson run for 2 yds to the MONT 32

3rd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Amar Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MONT 33

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mark Gronowski punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MONT 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Aaron Fontes for 7 yds to the MONT 20

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.20

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Nick Ostmo for 5 yds to the MONT 25 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Montana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
9 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
43%
7 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays

South Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
24 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
55%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
0%
1 play
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th