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← Back to GamesDec 29, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 3.2

Home Win Probability

Notre Dame 56%

Market (Bovada)

Notre Dame -5.5

Edge: Oregon State +5.5 (2.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 29, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Oregon StateOregon State
00088
Notre DameNotre Dame
77101640

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-017-024-033-040-8
Notre DameOregon State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OSNDOSNDOSNDOSNDOSNDOSNDOSNDOSNDOSNDOSPUNT415ydTD1196ydPUNT513ydMISS1248ydPUNT515ydPUNT612ydDOWNS513ydTD744ydTO327ydFG849ydPUNT3-8ydTD860ydDOWNS617ydDOWNS841ydSAF1-1ydTD372ydTD671ydTD640ydEND620yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Oregon State and Notre Dame
StatisticOregon StateNotre Dame
Passing17-2815-19
Pass Yards195232
Rush Yards2236
Total Yards197468
Turnovers10
3rd Down1-99-14
Penalties3-243-15
Possession20:0639:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Oregon State
passing
Ben Gulbranson
16/27, 180 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Deshaun Fenwick
6 CAR, 15 YDS
receiving
Jesiah Irish
3 REC, 56 YDS
defense
Kitan Oladapo
1 TFL, 1 PD
Notre Dame
passing
Steven Angeli
15/19, 232 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jadarian Price
13 CAR, 106 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jordan Faison
5 REC, 115 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Silas Bolden for 12 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the ORST 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.93

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for no gain to the ORST 40

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Jermaine Terry II

4th & 7Punt0 yds

AJ Winsor punt for 56 yds, downed at the ND 4

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jeremiyah Love run for 6 yds to the ND 10

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the ND 13

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.29

Gi'Bran Payne run for 2 yds to the ND 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +3.81

Steve Angeli pass complete to Jordan Faison for 55 yds to the ORST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Gi'Bran Payne run for 9 yds to the ORST 21

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.44

Jeremiyah Love run for 5 yds to the ORST 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Jeremiyah Love run for 9 yds to the ORST 7

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.07

Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the ORST 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 3 yards to the ORST 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Steve Angeli pass incomplete to Jayden Thomas

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Steve Angeli pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 8 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Deshaun Fenwick run for 7 yds to the ORST 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Silas Bolden for 4 yds to the ORST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Fenwick, Deshaun rush for no gain to the OREGONST36, PENALTY OREGONST holding (Terry II, Jermaine) 10 yards to the OREGONST26, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the ORST 29

2nd & 17Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.41

Ben Gulbranson run for 9 yds to the ORST 38

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Silas Bolden

4th & 8Punt0 yds

AJ Winsor punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jordan Faison at the ND 20

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jadarian Price run for 6 yds to the ND 26

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.81

Jadarian Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.05

Steve Angeli pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 14 yds to the ND 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.88

Steve Angeli pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 26 yds to the ORST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Steve Angeli run for 5 yds to the ORST 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the ORST 28

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Gi'Bran Payne run for 2 yds to the ORST 26

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.04

Steve Angeli run for 2 yds to the ORST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Steve Angeli pass incomplete to Eli Raridon

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jadarian Price run for 5 yds to the ORST 19

3rd & 5Sack-13 ydsPPA -3.08

Steve Angeli sacked by Melvin Jordan IV for a loss of 13 yards to the ORST 32

4th & 18Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Spencer Shrader 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Silas Bolden

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Silas Bolden for 12 yds to the ORST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.93

Ben Gulbranson sacked by Javontae Jean-Baptiste for a loss of 4 yards to the ORST 40 Ben Gulbranson fumbled, recovered by ORST Grant Starck , return for 0 yards

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 7 yds to the ORST 47

4th & 7Punt0 yds

AJ Winsor punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jordan Faison at the ND 10

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Steve Angeli pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for a loss of 3 yards to the ND 7

2nd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)+12 ydsPPA +0.48

Steve Angeli run for 12 yds to the ND 19 Steve Angeli fumbled, recovered by ND Ashton Craig

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.44

Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the ND 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the ND 23

2nd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.61

Steve Angeli sacked by Andrew Chatfield Jr. and John McCartan for a loss of 7 yards to the ND 16

3rd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Gi'Bran Payne run for 6 yds to the ND 22

4th & 9Punt+12 yds

Bryce McFerson punt for 59 yds , Silas Bolden returns for 12 yds to the ORST 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 14 yds to the ORST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Jimmy Valsin III

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Silas Bolden

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jesiah Irish run for 4 yds to the ORST 49

4th & 6Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.54

Jesiah Irish run for a loss of 5 yards to the ORST 44

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.57

Jadarian Price run for 13 yds to the ORST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.22

Steve Angeli pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 11 yds to the ORST 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Jadarian Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 21

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.31

Jadarian Price run for 8 yds to the ORST 13

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.30

Steve Angeli pass complete to Jordan Faison for 10 yds to the ORST 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the ORST 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jadarian Price run for 1 yd for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 5 yds to the ORST 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.89

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 32 yds to the ND 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Oregon State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jacob Strand) to the ND 48

1st & 20Pass Interception Return+14 ydsPPA -2.03

Ben Gulbranson pass intercepted Benjamin Morrison return for 14 yds to the ND 25

0th & 20End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Steve Angeli pass complete to Jordan Faison for 4 yds to the ND 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the ND 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.91

Steve Angeli pass complete to Eli Raridon for 10 yds to the ND 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Notre Dame Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ND 37

1st & 15Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.96

Steve Angeli pass complete to Jordan Faison for 33 yds to the ORST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jeremiyah Love run for 4 yds to the ORST 26

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the ORST 23

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.23

Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 3 yards to the ORST 26

4th & 6Field Goal Good+44 yds

Spencer Shrader 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Deshaun Fenwick run for a loss of 4 yards to the ORST 21

2nd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Deshaun Fenwick run for 6 yds to the ORST 27

3rd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.37

Ben Gulbranson sacked by Howard Cross III for a loss of 10 yards to the ORST 17

4th & 18Punt0 yds

AJ Winsor punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jordan Faison at the ND 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.34

Steve Angeli pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 16 yds to the ORST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Jadarian Price run for 8 yds to the ORST 36

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.06

Jadarian Price run for 8 yds to the ORST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Steve Angeli pass incomplete to Jordan Faison

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Notre Dame Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ORST 33

2nd & 15Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.45

Steve Angeli run for 17 yds to the ORST 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the ORST 15

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Steve Angeli pass complete to Eli Raridon for 2 yds to the ORST 13

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.01

Steve Angeli pass complete to Jordan Faison for 13 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Deshaun Fenwick run for no gain to the ORST 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.22

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Riley Sharp for 17 yds to the ORST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Riley Sharp

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Bryce Caufield for 7 yds to the ORST 49

3rd & 3Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.33

Ben Gulbranson sacked by Xavier Watts and Jack Kiser for a loss of 2 yards to the ORST 47

4th & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.51

Ben Gulbranson sacked by Jordan Botelho for a loss of 5 yards to the ORST 42

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.53

Steve Angeli run for 14 yds to the ORST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the ORST 25

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.05

Steve Angeli run for a loss of 3 yards to the ORST 28

3rd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.29

Steve Angeli pass complete to Matt Salerno for 20 yds to the ORST 8 for a 1ST down Oregon State Penalty, Personal Foul (4 Yards) to the ORST 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.84

Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORST 6

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Gi'Bran Payne run for 4 yds to the ORST 2

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Steve Angeli pass incomplete to Jordan Faison

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -4.15

Gi'Bran Payne run for 1 yd to the ORST 1

1st & 10Safety-1 ydsPPA -2.01

Isaiah Newell run for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETY

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Everett Hayes kickoff for 76 yds , Jadarian Price return for 24 yds to the ND 28

1st & 10Rush+54 ydsPPA +3.26

Jadarian Price run for 54 yds to the ORST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jeremiyah Love run for 5 yds to the ORST 13

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.52

Steve Angeli pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 13 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

2nd & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Spencer Shrader kickoff for 65 yds , Riley Sharp return for 29 yds to the ORST 29

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Gulbranson, Ben pass incomplete to Sharp, Riley, PENALTY NOTREDAME 12 men on the field 5 yards to the OREGONST34, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.20

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jimmy Valsin III for 9 yds to the ORST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 8 yds to the ND 49

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.31

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Bryce Caufield

3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jake Reichle for 1 yd to the ND 48

4th & 1Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.80

Jesiah Irish pass complete to Bryce Caufield for 15 yds to the ND 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jimmy Valsin III for 33 yds for a TD (T. Voltin Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.56

Devyn Ford run for 19 yds to the ORST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Devyn Ford run for 4 yds to the ORST 17

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Devyn Ford run for 3 yds to the ORST 14

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.28

Devyn Ford run for 4 yds to the ORST 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Skip Velotta run for 4 yds to the ORST 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Chase Ketterer run for 6 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jimmy Valsin III for 9 yds to the ORST 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.73

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 10 yds to the ORST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Isaiah Newell run for 2 yds to the ORST 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Jermaine Terry II

3rd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Isaiah Newell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 45

Situational Analysis

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
16 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
57%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
58%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
22%
9 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
63%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays