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← Back to GamesJan 9, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 5.4

Home Win Probability

Michigan 65%

Market (Bovada)

Michigan -5.5

Edge: Washington +5.5 (0.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Jan 9, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WashingtonWashington
373013
MichiganMichigan
14331434

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-317-317-1020-1327-1334-13
MichiganWashington

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICWASMICWASMICWASMICWASMICWASMICWASWASMICWASMICWASMICWASMICWASMICWASMICWASMICTD884ydFG1467ydTD486ydPUNT37ydFG565ydDOWNS628ydPUNT30ydPUNT33ydDOWNS629ydTD1161ydPUNT421ydEND1-1ydTO10ydFG612ydFG747ydPUNT37ydPUNT511ydPUNT741ydPUNT518ydPUNT35ydPUNT31ydTD571ydTO645ydTD28ydDOWNS814ydEND3-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Washington and Michigan
StatisticWashingtonMichigan
Passing27-5110-19
Pass Yards255140
Rush Yards46303
Total Yards301443
Turnovers20
3rd Down2-141-10
Penalties5-305-45
Possession30:4429:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Washington
passing
Michael Penix Jr.
27/51, 255 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Dillon Johnson
11 CAR, 33 YDS
receiving
Rome Odunze
5 REC, 87 YDS
Michigan
passing
J.J. McCarthy
10/18, 140 YDS
rushing
Blake Corum
21 CAR, 134 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Colston Loveland
3 REC, 64 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Grady Gross kickoff for 62 yds, Semaj Morgan return for 13 yds to the MICH 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the MICH 20

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 8 yds to the MICH 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the MICH 35

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Kalel Mullings run for 4 yds to the MICH 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.93

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 10 yds to the MICH 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.87

Kalel Mullings run for 14 yds to the WASH 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.56

J.J. McCarthy sacked by Ulumoo Ale for a loss of 4 yards to the WASH 41

2nd & 14Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +4.61

Donovan Edwards 41 Yd Run (James Turner Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Dillon Johnson run for 6 yds to the WASH 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.18

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 11 yds to the WASH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Will Nixon for 3 yds to the WASH 45

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Will Nixon run for 2 yds to the WASH 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.35

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Tybo Rogers for 11 yds to the MICH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Tybo Rogers

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.48

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 16 yds to the MICH 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Will Nixon

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.51

Jalen McMillan run for 9 yds to the MICH 17

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Dillon Johnson run for 7 yds to the MICH 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Dillon Johnson run for 1 yd to the MICH 9

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Ja'Lynn Polk run for 1 yd to the MICH 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome Odunze

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 yds

Grady Gross 25 Yd Field Goal

4th & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Grady Gross kickoff for 65 yds, Semaj Morgan return for 14 yds to the MICH 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the MICH 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.29

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 37 yds to the WASH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Semaj Morgan

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +4.57

Donovan Edwards 46 Yd Run (James Turner Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Michael Penix Jr. run for 5 yds to the WASH 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Dillon Johnson run for no gain to the WASH 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 2 yds to the WASH 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jack McCallister punt for 47 yds, downed at the MICH 21

1st & 10Rush+59 ydsPPA +3.71

Blake Corum run for 59 yds to the WASH 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the WASH 17

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kalel Mullings run for 3 yds to the WASH 14

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson

4th & 4Field Goal Good+31 yds

James Turner 31 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 10 yds to the WASH 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Dillon Johnson run for 1 yd to the MICH 49

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Washington Penalty, Illegal Procedure (Parker Brailsford) to the WASH 46

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn Polk

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

Washington Penalty, False Start (Julius Buelow) to the WASH 41

3rd & 19Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 12 yds to the MICH 47

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome Odunze

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Blake Corum run for no gain to the MICH 47

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Colston Loveland

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.97

Michael Penix Jr. sacked by Kenneth Grant for a loss of 12 yards to the WASH 8

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillan

3rd & 22Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.13

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Dillon Johnson for 15 yds to the WASH 23

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack McCallister punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MICH 33

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the MICH 41

2nd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.86

Alex Orji run for 13 yds to the WASH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Alex Orji run for 2 yds to the WASH 44

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Blake Corum run for no gain to the WASH 44

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Donovan Edwards run for 6 yds to the WASH 38

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.10

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Roman Wilson

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Dillon Johnson run for 6 yds to the WASH 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.98

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 10 yds to the MICH 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Dillon Johnson run for 2 yds to the MICH 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 9 yds to the MICH 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.27

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 11 yds to the MICH 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn Polk

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome Odunze

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Penix Jr., Michael pass incomplete to McMillan, Jalen, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference (Sainristil, Mike) 15 yards to the MICHIGAN8, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the MICH 5

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Dillon Johnson run for no gain to the MICH 5

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Michael Penix Jr. run for 2 yds to the MICH 3

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.92

Jalen McMillan 3 Yd pass from Michael Penix Jr. (Grady Gross Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 19 yds to the MICH 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 7 yds to the WASH 49

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

TEAM pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Michigan Penalty, Delay of Game (TEAM) to the MICH 46

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 52 yds, downed at the WASH 2

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.28

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WASH 1

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.92

Michael Penix Jr. pass intercepted Will Johnson return for no gain to the WASH 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the WASH 29

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.49

Blake Corum run for 13 yds to the WASH 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Michigan Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the WASH 21

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the WASH 19

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Michigan Penalty, False Start (LaDarius Henderson) to the WASH 24

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

3rd & 18Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 4 yds to the WASH 20

4th & 14Field Goal Good+38 yds

James Turner 38 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dillon Johnson run for 4 yds to the WASH 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 8 yds to the WASH 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.11

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 14 yds to the MICH 49 for a 1ST down. Michigan Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Makari Paige) to the MICH 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jack Westover

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Tybo Rogers run for 2 yds to the MICH 32

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 4 yds to the MICH 28

4th & 4Field Goal Good+45 yds

Grady Gross 45 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the MICH 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the MICH 33

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Blake Corum run for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Giles Jackson at the WASH 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 5 yds to the WASH 31

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.35

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 11 yds to the WASH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillan

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn Polk

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Washington Penalty, False Start (Nate Kalepo) to the WASH 37

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome Odunze

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Jack McCallister punt for 56 yds, downed at the MICH 7

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Blake Corum run for no gain to the MICH 7

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the MICH 9

3rd & 8Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.66

J.J. McCarthy run for 22 yds to the MICH 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

J.J. McCarthy run for 12 yds to the MICH 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the MICH 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.58

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Semaj Morgan for a loss of 3 yards to the MICH 43

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 5 yds to the MICH 48

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 41 yds, downed at the WASH 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn Polk

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 12 yds to the WASH 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the WASH 26

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 3 yds to the WASH 29

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Will Nixon

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack McCallister punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MICH 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the MICH 20

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.16

J.J. McCarthy run for 1 yd to the MICH 21

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 46 yds, Giles Jackson returns for no gain to the WASH 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn Polk

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Penix Jr., Michael pass complete to Odunze, Rome for 32 yards to the MICHIGAN35. PENALTY WASHINGTON holding (Rosengarten, Roger) 10 yards to the WASHINGTON23, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 2 yds to the WASH 25

3rd & 18Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.14

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Dillon Johnson for 9 yds to the WASH 34

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack McCallister punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jake Thaw at the MICH 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.96

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 41 yds to the WASH 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the WASH 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.43

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 12 yds to the WASH 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the WASH 12

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.66

Blake Corum 12 Yd Run (James Turner Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 4 yds to the WASH 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.45

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 44 yds to the MICH 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Washington Penalty, False Start (Roger Rosengarten) to the MICH 32

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Will Nixon for 2 yds to the MICH 30

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillan

4th & 13Pass Interception Return+81 ydsPPA -1.53

Michael Penix Jr. pass intercepted Mike Sainristil return for 81 yds to the WASH 8

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the WASH 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Blake Corum 1 Yd Run (James Turner Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 7 yds to the WASH 24

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillan

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Will Nixon for 2 yds to the WASH 26

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.42

Will Nixon run for 5 yds to the WASH 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Josh Cuevas

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn Polk

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.22

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Devin Culp

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the WASH 30

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.93

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WASH 31

3rd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WASH 32

Situational Analysis

Washington

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
71%
7 plays
36%
11 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
42%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play