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← Back to GamesJan 1, 2024Week 1
AlabamaAlabama
20
-Final
27
MichiganMichigan

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 4.9

Home Win Probability

Michigan 66%

Market (Bovada)

Michigan -2

Edge: Michigan -2 (2.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Jan 1, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
AlabamaAlabama
73010020
MichiganMichigan
7607727

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-713-713-1013-1713-2020-20
MichiganAlabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICALAALAMICALAMICALAMICALAMICALAMICALAMICALAMICALAMICALAMICALAMICALAMICMICALAPUNT32ydPUNT3-13ydTD444ydTD1075ydPUNT37ydPUNT620ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT34ydPUNT32ydTD883ydFG1052ydEND1-2ydPUNT927ydPUNT621ydPUNT36ydPUNT32ydTD855ydPUNT31ydTO213ydMISS520ydFG935ydTD875ydPUNT518ydEND30ydTD225ydDOWNS623yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alabama and Michigan
StatisticAlabamaMichigan
Passing16-2317-27
Pass Yards116221
Rush Yards172130
Total Yards288351
Turnovers11
3rd Down3-132-11
Penalties3-152-25
Possession32:1927:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alabama
passing
Jalen Milroe
16/23, 116 YDS
rushing
Jase McClellan
14 CAR, 87 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Isaiah Bond
4 REC, 47 YDS
defense
Michigan
passing
J.J. McCarthy
17/27, 221 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Blake Corum
19 CAR, 83 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Roman Wilson
4 REC, 73 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 2 yds to the MICH 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to AJ Barner

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Caleb Downs at the ALA 37

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -2.20

Jalen Milroe sacked by Braiden McGregor for a loss of 13 yards to the ALA 24

2nd & 23Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.30

Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 11 yds to the ALA 35

3rd & 12Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.43

Jalen Milroe sacked by Josaiah Stewart for a loss of 11 yards to the ALA 24

4th & 23Punt+6 yds

James Burnip punt for 38 yds , Semaj Morgan returns for 6 yds to the MICH 44 Semaj Morgan fumbled, recovered by ALA Quandarrius Robinson

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jase McClellan run for 6 yds to the MICH 38

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jalen Milroe run for 3 yds to the MICH 35

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.49

Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the MICH 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

Jase McClellan 34 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the MICH 31

2nd & 4Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.06

Blake Corum run for 21 yds to the ALA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to AJ Barner

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 2 yds to the ALA 46

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

J.J. McCarthy run for 7 yds to the ALA 39

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.88

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the ALA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the ALA 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.79

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Kalel Mullings for 19 yds to the ALA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Semaj Morgan run for 6 yds to the ALA 8

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.37

Blake Corum 8 Yd pass from J.J. McCarthy (James Turner Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Roydell Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Kendrick Law

3rd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.19

Jalen Milroe run for 8 yds to the ALA 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Semaj Morgan at the MICH 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the MICH 23

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.83

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 7 yds to the MICH 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Donovan Edwards run for 8 yds to the MICH 38

2nd & 2Rush-9 ydsPPA -2.38

Kalel Mullings run for 6 yds to the MICH 44 Michigan Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the MICH 29

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

J.J. McCarthy run for 2 yds to the MICH 31

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.35

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 8 yds to the MICH 39

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Caleb Downs at the ALA 24

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.12

Jalen Milroe sacked by Michael Barrett for a loss of 8 yards to the ALA 16

2nd & 18Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.12

Jalen Milroe sacked by Kris Jenkins for a loss of 5 yards to the ALA 11

3rd & 23Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.07

Jalen Milroe run for 12 yds to the ALA 23

4th & 11Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Semaj Morgan at the MICH 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Alex Orji run for 4 yds to the MICH 34

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Roman Wilson

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Caleb Downs at the ALA 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the ALA 33

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Jase McClellan run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALA 31

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the ALA 32

4th & 8Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 51 yds, downed at the MICH 17

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the MICH 25

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.03

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the MICH 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the MICH 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.74

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 11 yds to the MICH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.47

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 20 yds to the ALA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Blake Corum run for no gain to the ALA 38

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Donovan Edwards run for no gain to the ALA 38

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +4.87

Tyler Morris 38 Yd pass from J.J. McCarthy (PAT failed)

3rd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Tommy Doman kickoff for 65 yds , Kendrick Law return for 16 yds to the ALA 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.30

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 29 yds to the ALA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Jermaine Burton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 6 yds to the MICH 49

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.71

Jase McClellan run for 5 yds to the MICH 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Alabama Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MICH 49

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Kendrick Law

2nd & 15Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.63

Jalen Milroe run for 17 yds to the MICH 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Amari Niblack for 6 yds to the MICH 26

2nd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 1 yd to the MICH 25

3rd & 3Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.19

Jalen Milroe sacked by Derrick Moore for a loss of 7 yards to the MICH 32

4th & 10Field Goal Good+50 yds

Will Reichard 50 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MICH 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Tommy Doman kickoff for 65 yds , Kendrick Law return for 14 yds to the ALA 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jam Miller for 2 yds to the ALA 16

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Justice Haynes run for 9 yds to the ALA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Isaiah Bond

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Justice Haynes run for 11 yds to the ALA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 8 yds to the ALA 44

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.50

Jase McClellan run for 9 yds to the MICH 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-13 ydsPPA -3.28

TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the ALA 40 TEAM fumbled, recovered by ALA Jalen Milroe

2nd & 23Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -0.44

TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the ALA 34 TEAM fumbled, recovered by ALA Jalen Milroe

3rd & 29Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.04

Jase McClellan run for 7 yds to the ALA 41

4th & 22Punt+8 yds

James Burnip punt for 54 yds , Semaj Morgan returns for 8 yds to the MICH 13

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Blake Corum run for no gain to the MICH 13

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the MICH 14

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.24

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 12 yds to the MICH 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the MICH 29

2nd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.74

Alex Orji sacked by Dallas Turner for a loss of 2 yards to the MICH 27

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.18

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Tyler Morris for 7 yds to the MICH 34

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Caleb Downs at the ALA 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the ALA 24

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the ALA 27

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Jam Miller

4th & 4Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 62 yds, downed at the MICH 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to AJ Barner

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the MICH 13

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Semaj Morgan

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ALA 45

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Jalen Milroe run for 9 yds to the MICH 46

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.05

Justice Haynes run for 8 yds to the MICH 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.33

Jalen Milroe run for 10 yds to the MICH 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Justice Haynes run for 3 yds to the MICH 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 9 yds to the MICH 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jalen Milroe run for no gain to the MICH 16

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Alabama Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MICH 21

2nd & 15Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.85

Jalen Milroe run for 18 yds to the MICH 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jase McClellan 3 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the MICH 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Colston Loveland

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Donovan Edwards

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 41 yds , Antonio Kite returns for no gain to the ALA 33 Antonio Kite fumbled, recovered by ALA Caleb Downs

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 13 yds to the ALA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -2.82

Jalen Milroe run for 5 yds to the MICH 49 Jalen Milroe fumbled, forced by Quinten Johnson, recovered by MICH Josh Wallace

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.08

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 20 yds to the ALA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.58

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for no gain to the ALA 31

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -2.26

Blake Corum run for a loss of 7 yards to the ALA 38 Blake Corum fumbled, recovered by MICH J.J. McCarthy

3rd & 17Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 7 yds to the ALA 31

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+49 yds

James Turner 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the ALA 35

2nd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.07

Jase McClellan run for 17 yds to the MICH 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 2 yds to the MICH 46

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jalen Milroe run for 5 yds to the MICH 41

3rd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.39

Jam Miller run for 11 yds to the MICH 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Alabama Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the MICH 35

1st & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 2 yds to the MICH 33

2nd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 4 yds to the MICH 29

3rd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.98

Jalen Milroe sacked by Braiden McGregor for a loss of 5 yards to the MICH 34

4th & 14Field Goal Good+52 yds

Will Reichard 52 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the MICH 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the MICH 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Colston Loveland

4th & 2Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.06

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Blake Corum for 27 yds to the ALA 40 for a 1ST down Michigan Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.90

J.J. McCarthy run for 16 yds to the ALA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.05

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 29 yds to the ALA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the ALA 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Roman Wilson 4 Yd pass from J.J. McCarthy (James Turner Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jalen Milroe run for 7 yds to the ALA 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jase McClellan for 5 yds to the ALA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Kobe Prentice

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Malik Benson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jase McClellan for 6 yds to the ALA 43

4th & 4Punt-5 yds

James Burnip punt for 51 yds , Jake Thaw returns for a loss of 5 yards to the MICH 1 Jake Thaw fumbled, recovered by MICH Jake Thaw

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the MICH 2

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.14

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 1

0th & 9End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the ALA 17

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.22

Blake Corum 17 Yd Run (James Turner Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kendrick Law for 1 yd to the MICH 24

2nd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.62

Jalen Milroe run for 15 yds to the MICH 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jase McClellan run for no gain to the MICH 9

2nd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.69

Jase McClellan run for a loss of 5 yards to the MICH 14

3rd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.51

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 11 yds to the MICH 3

4th & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -4.08

Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the MICH 2

Situational Analysis

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
35%
26 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
60%
10 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
24 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
18%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
63%
8 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays