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← Back to GamesJan 1, 2024Week 1
LibertyLiberty
6
-Final
45
OregonOregon

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon by 7.7

Home Win Probability

Oregon 72%

Market (Bovada)

Oregon -18.5

Edge: Liberty +18.5 (10.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Jan 1, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LibertyLiberty
60006
OregonOregon
3287745

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-610-717-624-638-645-6
OregonLiberty

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LIBORELIBORELIBORELIBORELIBORELIBORELIBORELIBORELIBORELIBORETD675ydFG860ydPUNT516ydPUNT35ydPUNT737ydTD782ydPUNT35ydTD1075ydPUNT35ydTD595ydTO841ydTD568ydEND1-1ydTD775ydDOWNS857ydTD1382ydPUNT732ydPUNT515ydTO425ydEND939yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Liberty and Oregon
StatisticLibertyOregon
Passing15-2433-42
Pass Yards126401
Rush Yards168183
Total Yards294584
Turnovers20
3rd Down5-116-11
Penalties6-492-20
Possession24:4535:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Liberty
passing
Kaidon Salter
15/24, 126 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Quinton Cooley
8 CAR, 79 YDS
receiving
C.J. Daniels
8 REC, 79 YDS
defense
Oregon
passing
Bo Nix
28/35, 363 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Mar'Keise Irving
14 CAR, 117 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tez Johnson
11 REC, 172 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for a loss of 2 yards to the LIB 23

2nd & 12Rush+33 ydsPPA +3.55

Aaron Bedgood run for 33 yds to the ORE 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Oregon Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Casey Rogers) to the ORE 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete to CJ Daniels

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.44

Kaidon Salter run for 8 yds to the ORE 21

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the ORE 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Bentley Hanshaw for 17 yds for a TD (Nick Brown PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Max Morgan kickoff for 61 yds , Bucky Irving return for 17 yds to the ORE 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bucky Irving run for 5 yds to the ORE 26

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.81

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 7 yds to the ORE 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 5 yds to the ORE 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.67

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 40 yds to the LIB 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Bucky Irving run for 2 yds to the LIB 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Bo Nix pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 1 yd to the LIB 19

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Bo Nix pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+37 yds

Camden Lewis 37 Yd Field Goal

4th & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Camden Lewis kickoff for 63 yds , Aaron Bedgood return for 19 yds to the LIB 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Aaron Bedgood run for 5 yds to the LIB 26

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Liberty Penalty, False Start (Chase Mitchell) to the LIB 21

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.49

Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Daniels for 12 yds to the LIB 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Billy Lucas run for 2 yds to the LIB 35

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +1.56

Kaidon Salter run for a loss of 6 yards to the LIB 37 Kaidon Salter fumbled, recovered by LIB Billy Lucas Billy Lucas run for 8 yds to the LIB 37

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete to Noah Frith

4th & 6Punt+18 yds

Max Morgan punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 30 Liberty Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the ORE 45

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan James run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Jordan James

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Traeshon Holden

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ross James punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Brylan Green at the LIB 8

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Aaron Bedgood run for 7 yds to the LIB 15 Liberty Penalty, Offensive Holding (Xavior Gray) to the LIB 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.36

Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Daniels for 10 yds to the LIB 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Liberty Penalty, False Start (Xavior Gray) to the LIB 13

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for 4 yds to the LIB 17

2nd & 11Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.01

Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Daniels for 20 yds to the LIB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the LIB 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete to Noah Frith

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kaidon Salter run for 4 yds to the LIB 45

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Max Morgan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Tez Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.66

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 16 yds to the ORE 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Bucky Irving run for 7 yds to the ORE 41

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.87

Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 10 yds to the LIB 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+44 ydsPPA +1.88

Bucky Irving run for 44 yds to the LIB 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Bucky Irving run for 3 yds to the LIB 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Gary Bryant Jr. 2 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Camden Lewis Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Billy Lucas run for 4 yds to the LIB 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Vaughn Blue run for 1 yd to the LIB 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete to CJ Daniels

4th & 5Punt+12 yds

Max Morgan punt for 57 yds , Tez Johnson returns for 12 yds to the ORE 25

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Bucky Irving run for no gain to the ORE 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Bo Nix pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 9 yds to the ORE 34

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.09

Jordan James run for 14 yds to the ORE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jordan James run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Terrance Ferguson

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.52

Bo Nix pass complete to Jordan James for 9 yds to the LIB 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.62

Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 21 yds to the LIB 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Bo Nix pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.30

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 16 yds to the LIB 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty+2 yds

Nix, Bo pass incomplete to Holden, Traeshon, PENALTY LIBERTY pass interference (Williams, Amarian) 2 yards to the LIBERTY2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGON.

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Terrance Ferguson 2 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Camden Lewis Kick)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Kaidon Salter run for a loss of 4 yards to the LIB 21

2nd & 14Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Quinton Cooley run for 9 yds to the LIB 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete to CJ Daniels

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Max Morgan punt for 65 yds, downed at the ORE 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +3.44

Bo Nix pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 50 yds to the LIB 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Nix, Bo pass incomplete to Johnson, Tez, PENALTY LIBERTY pass interference (Bishop, Brandon) 15 yards to the LIBERTY30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGON.

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 4 yds to the LIB 26

2nd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.44

Jordan James run for 17 yds to the LIB 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jordan James run for 6 yds to the LIB 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Kenyon Sadiq 3 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Camden Lewis Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Daniels for 11 yds to the LIB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Quinton Cooley run for 8 yds to the LIB 44

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.42

Quinton Cooley run for 8 yds to the ORE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.54

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Quinton Cooley for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Daniels for 7 yds to the ORE 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.71

Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Daniels for 8 yds to the ORE 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Kaidon Salter run for 1 yd to the ORE 34

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.50

Kaidon Salter pass intercepted Steve Stephens IV return for no gain to the ORE 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 3 yds to the ORE 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 2 yds to the ORE 37

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.93

Bo Nix run for 6 yds to the ORE 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.89

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 40 yds to the LIB 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Traeshon Holden 17 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Camden Lewis Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Bucky Irving run for 10 yds to the ORE 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Bucky Irving run for 1 yd to the ORE 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 4 yds to the ORE 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.72

Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 15 yds to the LIB 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 12 yds to the LIB 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Bucky Irving run for 9 yds to the LIB 24

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.18

Tez Johnson 24 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Camden Lewis Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Daniels for 5 yds to the LIB 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the LIB 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Kaidon Salter run for 2 yds to the LIB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+41 ydsPPA +2.48

Quinton Cooley run for 41 yds to the ORE 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Vaughn Blue for 1 yd to the ORE 22

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kaidon Salter run for 4 yds to the ORE 18

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Kaidon Salter run for no gain to the ORE 18

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.41

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.15

Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 16 yds to the ORE 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jordan James run for 6 yds to the ORE 40

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Jordan James run for 8 yds to the ORE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jordan James run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Bo Nix pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Bucky Irving run for 7 yds to the LIB 43

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.05

Jordan James run for 3 yds to the LIB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 12 yds to the LIB 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 7 yds to the LIB 21

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA -0.00

Bo Nix pass complete to Patrick Herbert for 12 yds to the LIB 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Bucky Irving run for 4 yds to the LIB 5

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 4 yds to the LIB 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Bucky Irving 1 Yd Run (Grant Meadors Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Billy Lucas run for 3 yds to the LIB 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Kaidon Salter run for 6 yds to the LIB 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Billy Lucas run for 4 yds to the LIB 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.71

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Billy Lucas for 21 yds to the ORE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.31

Billy Lucas run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 43

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete to Noah Frith

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Max Morgan punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Oregon Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the ORE 15

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Bucky Irving run for 7 yds to the ORE 22

2nd & 8Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.89

Bucky Irving run for 17 yds to the ORE 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.75

Austin Novosad pass complete to Kyler Kasper for a loss of 4 yards to the ORE 35

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Austin Novosad pass incomplete to Kenyon Sadiq

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Austin Novosad pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt+4 yds

Luke Dunne punt for 45 yds , CJ Daniels returns for 4 yds to the LIB 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Treon Sibley for 8 yds to the LIB 32

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the LIB 33

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.70

Kaidon Salter run for 10 yds to the LIB 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -2.53

Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Daniels for 6 yds CJ Daniels fumbled, forced by Rodrick Pleasant, recovered by ORE Zach Grisham

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Austin Novosad pass complete to Jurrion Dickey for 7 yds to the LIB 42

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Jayden Limar run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 43

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jayden Limar run for 3 yds to the LIB 40

4th & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.16

Austin Novosad pass complete to Darrian Anderson for 11 yds to the LIB 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Jayden Limar run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 30

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Austin Novosad pass complete to Darrian Anderson for a loss of 6 yards to the LIB 24 lat. to Jayden Limar for 12 yds to the LIB 24

3rd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.22

Austin Novosad pass complete to Jayden Limar for 18 yds to the LIB 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.62

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIB 8

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.40

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIB 10

Situational Analysis

Liberty

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Oregon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
60%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
6 plays
67%
6 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays