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← Back to GamesDec 30, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia by 1.9

Home Win Probability

Florida State 44%

Market (Bovada)

Florida State +23.5

Edge: Florida State +23.5 (21.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
GeorgiaGeorgia
73514763
Florida StateFlorida State
03003

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256700-73-143-283-353-493-563-63
Florida StateGeorgia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSGEOFSGEOFSGEOFSGEOGEOFSGEOFSGEOFSGEOFSGEOFSGEOFSGEOFSGEOPUNT515ydDOWNS846ydPUNT32ydTD769ydPUNT513ydTD682ydFG671ydTD475ydTD127ydDOWNS938ydTD562ydTO1136ydTD351ydEND310ydTD1075ydPUNT423ydTD1090ydTO26ydTD984ydPUNT36ydPUNT519ydPUNT39ydEND837yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia and Florida State
StatisticGeorgiaFlorida State
Passing20-2910-27
Pass Yards301146
Rush Yards37263
Total Yards673209
Turnovers04
3rd Down5-92-12
Penalties5-553-44
Possession35:3824:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia
passing
Carson Beck
13/18, 203 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Kendall Milton
9 CAR, 104 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Dillon Bell
5 REC, 86 YDS
defense
C.J. Allen
1.5 TFL, 1 PD
Florida State
passing
Brock Glenn
9/26, 139 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Ja'Khi Douglas
8 CAR, 46 YDS
receiving
Kentron Poitier
4 REC, 84 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Jared Zirkel kickoff for 65 yds , Deuce Spann return for 10 yds to the FSU 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Caziah Holmes run for 4 yds to the FSU 14

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Brock Glenn pass complete to Kentron Poitier for 7 yds to the FSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Ja'Khi Douglas run for 3 yds to the FSU 24

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Ja'Khi Douglas run for 1 yd to the FSU 25

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Brock Glenn pass incomplete to Darion Williamson

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 55 yds, downed at the UGA 20

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Kendall Milton run for 8 yds to the UGA 28

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.03

Kendall Milton run for 14 yds to the UGA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Carson Beck pass incomplete to Arian Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.47

Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 17 yds to the FSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -2.95

Carson Beck sacked by Patrick Payton for a loss of 10 yards to the UGA 49 Carson Beck fumbled, forced by Patrick Payton, recovered by UGA Lawson Luckie , return for 0 yards

2nd & 20Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 47

3rd & 22Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.32

Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 19 yds to the FSU 34

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.35

Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dillon Bell

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Caziah Holmes run for 1 yd to the FSU 35

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Brock Glenn run for 1 yd to the FSU 36

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Caziah Holmes run for no gain to the FSU 36

4th & 8Punt+17 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 50 yds , Anthony Evans III returns for 17 yds to the UGA 31

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kendall Milton run for 5 yds to the UGA 36

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Kendall Milton run for 1 yd to the UGA 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.60

Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 15 yds to the FSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Carson Beck pass incomplete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.89

Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 16 yds to the FSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.31

Daijun Edwards run for 17 yds to the FSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Kendall Milton run for 15 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brock Glenn pass complete to Kentron Poitier for 5 yds to the FSU 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Deuce Spann pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 7 yds to the FSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Deuce Spann run for 1 yd to the FSU 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Brock Glenn pass incomplete to Darion Williamson

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Brock Glenn pass incomplete to Ja'Khi Douglas

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 44 yds, downed at the UGA 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the UGA 21

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Daijun Edwards run for 9 yds to the UGA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Carson Beck pass incomplete to Arian Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.87

Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 22 yds to the FSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+43 ydsPPA +1.80

Kendall Milton run for 43 yds to the FSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Kendall Milton run for 5 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Brock Glenn pass complete to Kentron Poitier for 17 yds to the FSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +3.10

Brock Glenn pass complete to Kentron Poitier for 55 yds to the UGA 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Brock Glenn run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Brock Glenn pass incomplete to Ja'Khi Douglas

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brock Glenn pass incomplete to Kyle Morlock

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 14 yds to the UGA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.04

Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 31 yds to the FSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.26

Daijun Edwards run for 15 yds to the FSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Daijun Edwards run for 15 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Jared Zirkel kickoff for 64 yds , Deuce Spann return for 26 yds to the FSU 27 Deuce Spann fumbled at FSU 17, forced by Chaz Chambliss, recovered by UGA Cole Speer at FSU 27

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Ladd McConkey run for 27 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Jared Zirkel kickoff for 65 yds , Deuce Spann return for 19 yds to the FSU 46 Georgia Penalty, Defensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the FSU 24

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.05

Ja'Khi Douglas run for 23 yds to the FSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Ja'Khi Douglas run for 8 yds to the UGA 45

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.48

Ja'Khi Douglas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Brock Glenn pass complete to Caziah Holmes for 2 yds to the UGA 44

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.04

Darion Williamson run for 2 yds to the UGA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Brock Glenn pass incomplete to Kyle Morlock

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Ja'Khi Douglas run for 4 yds to the UGA 38

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Brock Glenn pass incomplete to Destyn Hill

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.58

Brock Glenn pass incomplete to Darion Williamson

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 3 yds to the UGA 41

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.62

Kendall Milton run for 10 yds to the FSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Beck, Carson pass incomplete to Smith, Arian, PENALTY FLORIDAST pass interference (Jones, Quindarrius) 15 yards to the FLORIDAST34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.38

Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 19 yds to the FSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kendall Milton run for 3 yds to the FSU 12

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.66

Carson Beck pass complete to Arian Smith for 12 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ja'Khi Douglas run for 4 yds to the FSU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Brock Glenn pass complete to Hykeem Williams for 9 yds to the FSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Caziah Holmes run for 6 yds to the FSU 44

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Brock Glenn pass incomplete to Destyn Hill

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.84

Brock Glenn run for 5 yds to the FSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brock Glenn pass incomplete to Hykeem Williams

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brock Glenn pass incomplete to Darion Williamson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.36

Brock Glenn pass complete to Darion Williamson for 26 yds to the UGA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Brock Glenn pass incomplete to Hykeem Williams

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brock Glenn pass incomplete to Deuce Spann

3rd & 10Sack+10 ydsPPA +1.20

Brock Glenn sacked by Mykel Williams for a loss of 14 yards to the UGA 39 Brock Glenn fumbled, forced by Mykel Williams, recovered by UGA Mykel Williams , return for 10 yds to the UGA 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dominic Lovett

2nd & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.48

Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 35 yds to the FSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

Beck, Carson pass incomplete to Evans III, Anthony, PENALTY FLORIDAST pass interference (Vance Jr., Greedy) 14 yards to the FLORIDAST2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brock Glenn pass incomplete to Destyn Hill

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Caziah Holmes run for 10 yds to the FSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+26 ydsPPA -1.76

Brock Glenn pass intercepted by Malaki Starks, return for 26 yds to the FSU 36

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Gunner Stockton run for 7 yds to the UGA 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd to the UGA 33

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Gunner Stockton run for 6 yds to the UGA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.95

Gunner Stockton pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 28 yds to the FSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Gunner Stockton pass complete to Dillon Bell for 2 yds to the FSU 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.69

Gunner Stockton pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 17 yds to the FSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Cash Jones run for 7 yds to the FSU 7

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Cash Jones run for 2 yds to the FSU 5

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.28

Cash Jones run for 3 yds to the FSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Caziah Holmes run for 3 yds to the FSU 28

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Glenn, Brock pass sacked for loss of 6 yards to the FLORIDAST22 (Chambliss, Chaz), PENALTY GEORGIA face mask (Chambliss, Chaz) 15 yards to the FLORIDAST43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Caziah Holmes run for 4 yds to the FSU 47

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Caziah Holmes run for 1 yd to the FSU 48

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Brock Glenn pass incomplete to Hykeem Williams

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Anthony Evans III at the UGA 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Dillon Bell

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.00

Roderick Robinson II run for 14 yds to the UGA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Anthony Evans III

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Roderick Robinson II run for 11 yds to the UGA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.31

Gunner Stockton pass complete to Pearce Spurlin III for 31 yds to the FSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Roderick Robinson II run for 3 yds to the FSU 31

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Gunner Stockton run for 5 yds to the FSU 26

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Roderick Robinson II run for 9 yds to the FSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.89

Gunner Stockton run for 13 yds to the FSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Gunner Stockton pass complete to Lawson Luckie for 4 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brock Glenn pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 6 yds to the FSU 31

2nd & 4Pass Interception Return+15 ydsPPA -1.26

Brock Glenn pass intercepted Daylen Everette return for no gain to the UGA 31 Georgia Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Patrick Taylor) to the UGA 16

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Cash Jones run for 9 yds to the UGA 25

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Andrew Paul run for no gain to the UGA 25

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.72

Andrew Paul run for 14 yds to the UGA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.61

Roderick Robinson II run for 20 yds to the FSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.50

Gunner Stockton run for 14 yds to the FSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Anthony Evans III

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.66

Cash Jones run for 11 yds to the FSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Gunner Stockton run for 2 yds to the FSU 14

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.75

Gunner Stockton pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 14 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)

2nd & 8Penalty-15 yds

Georgia Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Anthony Evans III) to the UGA 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ja'Khi Douglas run for 4 yds to the FSU 29

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -1.12

Darion Williamson run for a loss of 10 yards to the FSU 19 Darion Williamson fumbled, forced by Gabe Harris, recovered by FSU Robert Scott Jr.

3rd & 16Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.26

Brock Glenn pass complete to Darion Williamson for 12 yds to the FSU 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Anthony Evans III at the UGA 22

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Roderick Robinson II run for 9 yds to the UGA 31

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Roderick Robinson II run for 4 yds to the UGA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Gunner Stockton run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 34

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Andrew Paul run for 7 yds to the UGA 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Anthony Evans III

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Brett Thorson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Ja'Khi Douglas at the FSU 11

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 3 yds to the FSU 14

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

Georgia Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the FSU 19

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 1 yd to the FSU 20

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Deuce Spann run for no gain to the FSU 20

4th & 1Punt+4 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 47 yds , Anthony Evans III returns for 4 yds to the UGA 37

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Sevaughn Clark run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 36

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Sevaughn Clark run for 6 yds to the UGA 42

3rd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.64

Jackson Muschamp run for 14 yds to the FSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Joseph Daniels run for 3 yds to the FSU 41

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Joseph Daniels run for 2 yds to the FSU 39

3rd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.66

Collin Drake pass complete to Luke Bennett for 2 yds to the FSU 37 for a 1ST down Florida State Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the FSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 24

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 26

Situational Analysis

Georgia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
53%
38 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
93%
14 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
21 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
14%
7 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play