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← Back to GamesDec 29, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa State by 9.1

Home Win Probability

Iowa State 70%

Market (Bovada)

Iowa State -10.5

Edge: Memphis +10.5 (1.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 29, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MemphisMemphis
19314036
Iowa StateIowa State
0137626

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428426-013-019-719-1029-1336-2036-26
Iowa StateMemphis

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MEMISMEMISMEMISMEMISMEMISMEMISMEMISMEMISMEMISMEMISTD375ydDOWNS721ydTD946ydPUNT628ydTD484ydTD775ydPUNT30ydFG767ydDOWNS836ydFG842ydEND444ydPUNT30ydTD465ydPUNT3-5ydTD350ydTD785ydMISS1357ydTD680ydDOWNS1773ydUncategorized838yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Memphis and Iowa State
StatisticMemphisIowa State
Passing24-3422-40
Pass Yards364446
Rush Yards1660
Total Yards530446
Turnovers00
3rd Down7-147-13
Penalties0-03-19
Possession34:2425:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Memphis
passing
Seth Henigan
24/34, 364 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Blake Watson
15 CAR, 107 YDS
receiving
Roc Taylor
8 REC, 102 YDS
defense
Iowa State
passing
Rocco Becht
22/38, 446 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Abu Sama III
12 CAR, 4 YDS
receiving
Jayden Higgins
9 REC, 214 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 4 yds to the MEM 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the MEM 30

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +3.60

Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 70 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Iowa State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ISU 15

1st & 20Pass Reception+16 yds

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 16 yds to the ISU 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jaylin Noel

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.86

Rocco Becht run for 6 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jaylin Noel

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.90

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 9 yds to the ISU 46

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.48

Rocco Becht run for no gain to the ISU 46

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.00

Blake Watson run for 14 yds to the ISU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Joseph Scates

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the ISU 30

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.07

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 9 yds to the ISU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Seth Henigan pass complete to Sutton Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the ISU 24

2nd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 4 yds to the ISU 20

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.20

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 8 yds to the ISU 12

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.51

Brandon Thomas run for 1 yd to the ISU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +6.76

Seth Henigan run for 11 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)-4 yds

Tristian Vandenberg kickoff for 57 yds , Jaylin Noel return for a loss of 4 yards to the ISU 4

1st & 10Rush-2 yds

Abu Sama III run for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 2

2nd & 12Rush+3 yds

Rocco Becht run for 3 yds to the ISU 5

3rd & 9Pass Reception+28 yds

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 28 yds to the ISU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Abu Sama III run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 32

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Carson Hansen

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 52 yds, downed at the MEM 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 11 yds to the MEM 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.32

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 18 yds to the MEM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Sutton Smith run for 4 yds to the MEM 49

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +4.25

Seth Henigan pass complete to Joseph Scates for 51 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.18

Rocco Becht pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 14 yds to the ISU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ISU 40

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.10

Rocco Becht run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 12 yds to the MEM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Abu Sama III run for a loss of 2 yards to the MEM 40

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.49

Rocco Becht pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 11 yds to the MEM 29

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +6.39

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 29 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)

3rd & 1Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Keegan Shackford kickoff for 58 yds , Sutton Smith return for 21 yds to the MEM 28

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Blake Watson run for no gain to the MEM 28

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Blake Watson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Demeer Blankumsee

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 4 yds to the ISU 33

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Abu Sama III run for 3 yds to the ISU 36

3rd & 3Pass Reception+53 yds

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 53 yds to the MEM 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Abu Sama III run for 7 yds to the MEM 4

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Abu Sama III run for a loss of 2 yards to the MEM 6

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Rocco Becht run for 2 yds to the MEM 4

4th & 3Field Goal Good+22 yds

Chase Contreraz 22 Yd Field Goal

4th & 3Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Keegan Shackford kickoff for 60 yds , Sutton Smith return for 22 yds to the MEM 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.20

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 14 yds to the MEM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the MEM 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Brandon Thomas run for 4 yds to the ISU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 7 yds to the ISU 39

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the ISU 38

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the ISU 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.85

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 30 yds to the MEM 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.52

Rocco Becht run for a loss of 5 yards to the MEM 38

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Benjamin Brahmer

3rd & 15Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.51

Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 17 yds to the MEM 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Benjamin Brahmer

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Benjamin Brahmer

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jayden Higgins

4th & 10Field Goal Good+39 yds

Chase Contreraz 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.01

Blake Watson run for 21 yds to the MEM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.75

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 17 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 6 yds to the ISU 31

2nd & 4Field Goal Good+49 yds

Tanner Gillis 49 yd FG GOOD

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Tristian Vandenberg kickoff for 56 yds , Jaylin Noel return for 11 yds to the ISU 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Abu Sama III run for no gain to the ISU 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jayden Higgins

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Benjamin Brahmer

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 5 yds to the MEM 40

2nd & 5Rush+55 yds

Blake Watson run for 55 yds to the ISU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Rush0 yds

Blake Watson run for no gain to the ISU 5

2nd & 0Passing Touchdown+5 yds

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 5 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK)

2nd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Tristian Vandenberg kickoff for 58 yds , Jaylin Noel return for 23 yds to the ISU 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ISU 31

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Iowa State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ISU 26

2nd & 14Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.97

Rocco Becht sacked by Chandler Martin for a loss of 6 yards to the ISU 20

3rd & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 5 yds to the ISU 25

4th & 15Punt+9 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 34 yds , Koby Drake returns for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 2 yds to the ISU 48

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +5.93

Seth Henigan pass complete to Sutton Smith for 48 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK)

3rd & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Tristian Vandenberg kickoff for 59 yds , Jaylin Noel return for 9 yds to the ISU 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ISU 16

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.79

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 10 yds to the ISU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.71

Abu Sama III run for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 24

2nd & 12Sack-14 ydsPPA -3.24

Rocco Becht sacked by William Whitlow Jr. for a loss of 14 yards to the ISU 10

3rd & 26Pass Reception+35 yds

Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for 35 yds to the ISU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.59

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 40 yds to the MEM 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +6.62

Rocco Becht pass complete to Easton Dean for 15 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Keegan Shackford kickoff for 56 yds , Sutton Smith return for 21 yds to the MEM 30

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Blake Watson run for no gain to the MEM 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.32

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 24 yds to the ISU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Sutton Smith run for 3 yds to the ISU 43

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.45

Seth Henigan run for a loss of 3 yards to the ISU 46

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.23

Seth Henigan pass complete to Joseph Scates for 17 yds to the ISU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Seth Henigan run for 9 yds to the ISU 20

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Blake Watson run for no gain to the ISU 20

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Anthony Landphere

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.85

Brandon Thomas run for 2 yds to the ISU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the ISU 15

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Seth Henigan pass complete to Jamauri Chislom for 2 yds to the ISU 13

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Tanner Gillis 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jaylin Noel pass incomplete to Jayden Higgins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 11 yds to the ISU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+46 yds

Rocco Becht pass complete to Beni Ngoyi for 46 yds to the MEM 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Abu Sama III run for no gain to the MEM 23

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +6.85

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 23 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Sutton Smith

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Joseph Scates

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.20

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 10 yds to the MEM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Sutton Smith run for 12 yds to the MEM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Sutton Smith run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.74

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 22 yds to the ISU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the ISU 26

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the ISU 22

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.15

Seth Henigan pass complete to Joseph Scates for 7 yds to the ISU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.59

Seth Henigan run for a loss of 3 yards to the ISU 18 Seth Henigan fumbled, recovered by MEM

2nd & 13Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.61

Seth Henigan run for 11 yds to the ISU 7

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.17

Brandon Thomas run for 1 yd to the ISU 6

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.39

Seth Henigan run for 2 yds to the ISU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Rush0 yds

Brandon Thomas run for no gain to the ISU 4

2nd & 0Rush+1 yds

Brandon Thomas run for 1 yd to the ISU 3

3rd & 0Rush+1 yds

Brandon Thomas run for 1 yd to the ISU 2

4th & 0Pass Incompletion0 yds

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Jamauri Chislom

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 yds

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 12 yds to the ISU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jayden Higgins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 yds

Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 15 yds to the ISU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Beni Ngoyi

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Easton Dean

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.46

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 11 yds to the ISU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jaylin Noel

Situational Analysis

Memphis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
26 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
30%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
83%
6 plays
4th
75%
4 plays

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
23 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
44%
9 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play