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← Back to GamesDec 28, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

SMU by 26.3

Home Win Probability

Boston College 6%

Market (Bovada)

Boston College +13.5

Edge: SMU -13.5 (12.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 28, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
SMUSMU
0140014
Boston CollegeBoston College
3701323

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-710-710-1417-1423-14
Boston CollegeSMU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMUSMUSMUBCSMUBCSMUBCSMUBCBCSMUBCSMUBCSMUBCSMUBCSMUBCTO941ydFG825ydPUNT31ydMISS617ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT3-6ydTD1578ydTD1077ydTD1055ydEND1-1ydTO642ydPUNT511ydPUNT43ydMISS1560ydTD872ydDOWNS47ydTD342ydPUNT57ydPUNT525ydDOWNS1123ydUncategorized733yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing SMU and Boston College
StatisticSMUBoston College
Passing24-4811-18
Pass Yards191102
Rush Yards118262
Total Yards309364
Turnovers11
3rd Down9-185-11
Penalties6-496-40
Possession29:0031:00

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

SMU
passing
Kevin Jennings
24/48, 191 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kevin Jennings
10 CAR, 51 YDS
receiving
Jake Bailey
6 REC, 54 YDS
defense
Boston College
passing
Thomas Castellanos
11/18, 102 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Thomas Castellanos
21 CAR, 156 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jaedn Skeete
2 REC, 40 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Liam Connor kickoff for 64 yds , Roderick Daniels Jr. return for 25 yds to the SMU 40 SMU Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the SMU 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 10 yds to the SMU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.12

Roderick Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 21

2nd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.43

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 10 yds to the SMU 31

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.13

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jake Bailey for 11 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jaylan Knighton for 6 yds to the SMU 48

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.48

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.68

Kevin Jennings run for 12 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SMU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 41

1st & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jake Bailey for 3 yds to the BC 38

2nd & 12Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.00

Kevin Jennings run for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 43 Kevin Jennings fumbled, forced by #, recovered by SMU

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kye Robichaux run for no gain to the BC 43

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 9 yds to the SMU 48

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Thomas Castellanos run for 2 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.80

Thomas Castellanos run for 19 yds to the SMU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Thomas Castellanos run for no gain to the SMU 27

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Kye Robichaux run for no gain to the SMU 27

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete to Jaedn Skeete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+45 yds

Liam Connor 45 yd FG GOOD

4th & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Liam Connor kickoff for 57 yds , Roderick Daniels Jr. return for 14 yds to the SMU 49 SMU Penalty, Face Mask (8 yards) (8 Yards) to the SMU 14

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the SMU 15

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jake Bailey, broken up by #

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete, broken up by #

4th & 9Blocked Punt+29 yds

Ryan Bujcevski punt blocked by TEAM blocked by TEAM Bujcevski, Ryan punt 29 yards to the SMU44, recovered by BOSTONCOLL # at SMU44 (blocked by TEAM).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the SMU 43

2nd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.35

Thomas Castellanos run for 13 yds to the SMU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Thomas Castellanos run for 1 yd to the SMU 29

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete to #

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Thomas Castellanos run for 7 yds to the SMU 22

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Boston College Penalty, False Start (Dwayne Allick) to the SMU 27

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Liam Connor 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 4 yds to the SMU 31

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the SMU 34

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete, broken up by #

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

SMU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SMU 29

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

SMU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SMU 24

4th & 13Punt+6 yds

Ryan Bujcevski punt for 34 yds , Lewis Bond returns for 6 yds to the BC 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete to #

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete to #

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -1.04

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Alex Broome for a loss of 6 yards Alex Broome fumbled, recovered by BC #

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Sam Candotti punt for 36 yds, downed at the SMU 22

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Jake Bailey run for 10 yds to the SMU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jaylan Knighton run for 2 yds to the SMU 34

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jaylan Knighton run for 4 yds to the SMU 38

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.13

Kevin Jennings run for 9 yds to the SMU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

SMU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SMU 37

1st & 20Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jaylan Knighton for 3 yds to the SMU 40

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete, broken up by #

3rd & 17Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.70

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jake Bailey for 18 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyler Lavine run for 2 yds to the BC 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 4 yds to the BC 36

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jordan Hudson, broken up by #

4th & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.13

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jake Bailey for 5 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

LJ Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the BC 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.87

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Adam Moore for 16 yds to the BC 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.62

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 14 yds to the BC 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Collin Rogers kickoff for 58 yds , Lewis Bond return for 16 yds to the BC 23

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Alex Broome run for 1 yd to the BC 24

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Thomas Castellanos run for 1 yd to the BC 25

3rd & 8Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.69

Thomas Castellanos run for 19 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Thomas Castellanos run for 7 yds to the SMU 49

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Thomas Castellanos run for 8 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.48

Thomas Castellanos run for 13 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.21

Kye Robichaux run for 13 yds to the SMU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Nate Johnson run for 6 yds to the SMU 9

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 3 yds to the SMU 6

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.50

Kye Robichaux run for 6 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)

3rd & 1Kickoff Return (Offense)+38 yds

Liam Connor kickoff for 58 yds , Key'Shawn Smith return for 38 yds to the SMU 45

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Jaylan Knighton run for 6 yds to the BC 49

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.23

Jaylan Knighton run for no gain to the BC 49

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

Boston College Penalty, Defensive Offside (#) to the BC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 2 yds to the BC 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.20

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Adam Moore for 15 yds to the BC 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Lavine run for 3 yds to the BC 24

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Tyler Lavine, broken up by #

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 9 yds to the BC 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Kevin Jennings run for 9 yds to the BC 6

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jordan Hudson, broken up by #

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.50

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jaylan Knighton for 6 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Collin Rogers kickoff for 53 yds , Lewis Bond return for 19 yds to the BC 31

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the BC 35

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Boston College Penalty, False Start (#) to the BC 30

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Thomas Castellanos run for 6 yds to the BC 36

3rd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.04

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Alex Broome for 20 yds to the SMU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Dino Tomlin run for 6 yds to the SMU 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 11 yds to the SMU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA -4.26

Thomas Castellanos pass intercepted Alexander Kilgore return for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 15 Alexander Kilgore fumbled, forced by #, recovered by SMU Isaiah Nwokobia

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Romello Brinson, broken up by #

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jake Bailey for 11 yds to the SMU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Camar Wheaton run for no gain to the SMU 26

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete, broken up by #

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jordan Hudson, broken up by #

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ryan Bujcevski punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 43

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Kye Robichaux run for 10 yds to the SMU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 3 yds to the SMU 44

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Boston College Penalty, False Start (#) to the SMU 49

2nd & 12Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.65

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Alex Broome for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 46

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete to #

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Loren DiLoreto punt for 42 yds, downed at the SMU 12

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the SMU 18

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the SMU 20

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.69

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the SMU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kevin Jennings run for 4 yds to the SMU 28

2nd & 6Penalty-14 yds

SMU Penalty, Personal Foul (-14 Yards) to the SMU 14

2nd & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jaylan Knighton for 4 yds to the SMU 18

3rd & 16Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.46

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Moochie Dixon for 21 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 8 yds to the SMU 47

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jaylan Knighton run for 6 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Key'Shawn Smith, broken up by #

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kevin Jennings pass complete to LJ Johnson Jr. for 4 yds to the BC 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.96

Kevin Jennings pass complete to LJ Johnson Jr. for 11 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jaylan Knighton run for 5 yds to the BC 27

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jaylan Knighton run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 28

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete, broken up by #

4th & 6Blocked Field Goal+46 yds

Collin Rogers 46 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by KP Price Rogers, Collin field goal attempt from 46 blocked, recovered by BOSTONCOLL TEAM at BOSTONCOLL28 spot at BOSTONCOLL28, clock 01:21 (blocked by Price, KP).

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Thomas Castellanos sacked by Elijah Chatman for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 27

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.21

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 15 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 45

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Thomas Castellanos run for no gain to the BC 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.44

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 8 yds to the SMU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete to Lewis Bond

2nd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.11

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 32 yds to the SMU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Thomas Castellanos run for 15 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Connor Lytton kickoff for 50 yds , Moochie Dixon return for 20 yds to the SMU 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Romello Brinson, broken up by #

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jake Bailey, broken up by #

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Kevin Jennings run for 7 yds to the SMU 42

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete, broken up by #

1st & 10Penalty-16 yds

Boston College Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Sione Hala) to the BC 42

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the BC 46

2nd & 6Rush+40 ydsPPA +2.18

Kye Robichaux run for 40 yds to the SMU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Thomas Castellanos run for 14 yds for a TD (Liam Connor PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Kevin Jennings run for 7 yds to the SMU 35

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.55

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jake Bailey for 6 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete, broken up by #

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete, broken up by #

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.68

Kevin Jennings sacked by Kam Arnold and # for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 35

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Ryan Bujcevski punt for 47 yds, downed at the BC 18

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Alex Broome run for 7 yds to the BC 25

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.94

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 12 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kye Robichaux run for 6 yds to the BC 43

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Thomas Castellanos run for no gain to the BC 43

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Thomas Castellanos run for no gain to the BC 43

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Loren DiLoreto punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 4 yds to the SMU 23

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete, broken up by #

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to LJ Johnson Jr., broken up by #

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

Boston College Penalty, Defensive Offside (#) to the SMU 28

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Kevin Jennings run for 3 yds to the SMU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to LJ Johnson Jr., broken up by #

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jordan Hudson, broken up by #

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.43

Kevin Jennings run for 11 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.15

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Tyler Lavine for no gain to the SMU 42

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete, broken up by #

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Moochie Dixon, broken up by #

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.00

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Key'Shawn Smith, broken up by #

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.70

Thomas Castellanos run for 24 yds to the SMU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Thomas Castellanos run for 5 yds to the SMU 13

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the SMU 11

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the SMU 9

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.75

Thomas Castellanos run for 2 yds to the SMU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 8

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 9

Situational Analysis

SMU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
39%
28 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
23%
13 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Boston College

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
28 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play