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← Back to GamesDec 23, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Utah State by 0.7

Home Win Probability

Utah State 49%

Market (Bovada)

Utah State -2

Edge: Georgia State +2 (1.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia StateGeorgia State
21107745
Utah StateUtah State
1400822

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-714-2114-2414-3114-3822-45
Utah StateGeorgia State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USGSUSGSUSGSUSGSUSGSUSGSUSGSGSUSGSUSGSUSGSUSGSUSUSGSDOWNS743ydTD1068ydTD450ydTD575ydTD265ydTD775ydMISS855ydTO573ydTO413ydFG4-3ydPUNT518ydTD980ydPUNT32ydEND2-1ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT411ydTD980ydDOWNS625ydMISS537ydPUNT420ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-7ydTD571ydTD1175ydDOWNS49ydEND649yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia State and Utah State
StatisticGeorgia StateUtah State
Passing19-2219-32
Pass Yards257188
Rush Yards386158
Total Yards643346
Turnovers11
3rd Down8-145-14
Penalties11-1074-30
Possession36:1223:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia State
passing
Darren Grainger
19/22, 257 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Freddie Brock
24 CAR, 276 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Cadarrius Thompson
5 REC, 117 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Utah State
passing
Levi Williams
12/21, 131 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Davon Booth
4 CAR, 71 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Terrell Vaughn
8 REC, 86 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Rahsul Faison run for 5 yds to the USU 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Rahsul Faison run for 4 yds to the USU 34

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Utah State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USU 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.47

Levi Williams pass complete to Jalen Royals for 15 yds to the USU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Georgia State Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (15 Yards) to the GAST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Levi Williams pass complete to Jalen Royals for 7 yds to the GAST 34

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Levi Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Levi Williams pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 1 yd to the GAST 33

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -2.58

Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the GAST 32

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.19

Freddie Brock run for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 30

2nd & 12Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Darren Grainger pass complete to Freddie Brock for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 29

3rd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.86

Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 16 yds to the GAST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 8 yds to the USU 47

2nd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.46

Darren Grainger run for 15 yds to the USU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the USU 28

2nd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.58

Darren Grainger sacked by Jaiden Francois for a loss of 5 yards to the USU 33 Darren Grainger fumbled, recovered by GAST

3rd & 11Penalty+15 yds

Utah State Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the USU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Darren Grainger run for 6 yds to the USU 12

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.47

Darren Grainger run for 11 yds to the USU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Darren Grainger 1 Yd Run (Liam Rickman Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Georgia State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the GAST 20

1st & 25Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Braeden McAlister kickoff for 58 yds , Terrell Vaughn return for 28 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Levi Williams pass complete to Davon Booth for 6 yds to the GAST 44

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Levi Williams run for 2 yds to the GAST 42

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.16

Levi Williams run for 7 yds to the GAST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Jalen Royals 35 Yd pass from Levi Williams (Elliott Nimrod Kick)

1st & 10Rush+60 ydsPPA +3.52

Freddie Brock run for 60 yds to the USU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Freddie Brock run for 3 yds to the USU 12

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 6 yds to the USU 6

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.57

Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the USU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Darren Grainger 1 Yd Run (Liam Rickman Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Levi Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +6.26

Davon Booth 65 Yd Run (Elliott Nimrod Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Georgia State Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the GAST 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Darren Grainger pass complete to Peter Kikwata for 10 yds to the GAST 30

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Darren Grainger run for 7 yds to the GAST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Darren Grainger pass complete to Ahmon Green for 4 yds to the GAST 41

2nd & 6Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.47

Darren Grainger run for 32 yds to the USU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Freddie Brock run for 2 yds to the USU 25

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Georgia State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the USU 35

2nd & 18Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 8 yds to the USU 27

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.90

Tailique Williams 27 Yd pass from Darren Grainger (Liam Rickman Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Levi Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Robert Briggs Jr. run for 13 yds to the USU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Levi Williams run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Levi Williams pass complete to Colby Bowman for 11 yds to the GAST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Georgia State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the GAST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.65

Levi Williams sacked by Javon Denis for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 26

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Levi Williams run for 3 yds to the GAST 23

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Levi Williams run for 3 yds to the GAST 20

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Elliott Nimrod 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+58 ydsPPA +3.74

Freddie Brock run for 58 yds to the USU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Freddie Brock run for 1 yd to the USU 21

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.36

Darren Grainger run for 8 yds to the USU 13

3rd & 1Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.57

Darren Grainger run for 7 yds to the USU 6 Georgia State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the USU 21

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.25

Darren Grainger pass complete to Rykem Laney for 14 yds Rykem Laney fumbled, recovered by USU

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Davon Booth run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 8

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Levi Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Levi Williams pass complete to Colby Bowman for 14 yds to the USU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+17 ydsPPA -0.73

Levi Williams pass intercepted Ronald Cooper return for 17 yds to the USU 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Freddie Brock run for 3 yds to the USU 7

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Freddie Brock run for 4 yds to the USU 3

3rd & 0Penalty-5 yds

Georgia State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USU 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

4th & 0Penalty-5 yds

Georgia State Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the USU 13

4th & 13Field Goal Good+31 yds

Liam Rickman 31 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Rahsul Faison run for 8 yds to the USU 33

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the USU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the USU 37

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Rahsul Faison run for 5 yds to the USU 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Levi Williams pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 1 yd to the USU 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Marks punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GAST 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 1 yd to the GAST 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Georgia State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GAST 16

3rd & 14Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.16

Darren Grainger run for 20 yds to the GAST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Freddie Brock run for 12 yds to the GAST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 3 yds to the USU 49

2nd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.89

Darren Grainger sacked by Clifton Mosley Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the GAST 47

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.16

Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 14 yds to the USU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.48

Darren Grainger pass complete to Freddie Brock for 16 yds to the USU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Cadarrius Thompson 23 Yd pass from Darren Grainger (Liam Rickman Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Levi Williams pass complete to Kyrese Rowan for 2 yds to the USU 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Levi Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Levi Williams pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Marks punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GAST 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Darren Grainger pass complete to Ahmon Green for 8 yds to the GAST 40

2nd & 2Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.53

Darren Grainger sacked by Paul Fitzgerald for a loss of 9 yards to the GAST 31

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Elliott Nimrod kickoff for 65 yds , Tailique Williams return for 10 yds to the GAST 10 Tailique Williams fumbled, recovered by GAST Tailique Williams

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 6 yds to the GAST 16

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Georgia State Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the GAST 11

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the GAST 13

3rd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.17

Darren Grainger sacked by Paul Fitzgerald for a loss of 6 yards to the GAST 7

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Kade Loggins punt for 43 yds, downed at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.90

Levi Williams pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 16 yds to the GAST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Levi Williams run for no gain to the GAST 34

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the GAST 32

3rd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Levi Williams sacked by Justin Abraham for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 34

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

Utah State Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the GAST 39

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Ryan Marks punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Freddie Brock run for 3 yds to the GAST 23

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Darren Grainger run for 6 yds to the GAST 29

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.06

Freddie Brock run for 5 yds to the GAST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Darren Grainger run for 8 yds to the GAST 42

2nd & 2Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.50

Darren Grainger sacked by Paul Fitzgerald for a loss of 7 yards to the GAST 35

3rd & 9Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.71

Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 27 yds to the USU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Darren Grainger run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 39

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Freddie Brock run for 2 yds to the USU 37

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +4.65

Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 37 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)

3rd & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+33 yds

Braeden McAlister kickoff for 63 yds , Terrell Vaughn return for 33 yds to the USU 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Robert Briggs Jr. run for 2 yds to the USU 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.40

Levi Williams pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 18 yds to the GAST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Levi Williams run for no gain to the GAST 45

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Levi Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Levi Williams pass complete to Davon Booth for 5 yds to the GAST 40

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.51

Levi Williams pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.99

Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 32 yds to the USU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Freddie Brock run for 7 yds to the USU 21

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Darren Grainger run for a loss of 2 yards to the USU 23

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Liam Rickman 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Rahsul Faison run for 11 yds to the USU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Rahsul Faison run for 5 yds to the USU 39

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Rahsul Faison run for 4 yds to the USU 43

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Rahsul Faison run for no gain to the USU 43

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ryan Marks punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jacari Carter at the GAST 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Freddie Brock run for 3 yds to the GAST 15

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Freddie Brock run for 4 yds to the GAST 19

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Freddie Brock run for 2 yds to the GAST 21

4th & 1Punt+9 yds

Kade Loggins punt for 35 yds , Cooper Jones returns for 9 yds to the GAST 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

McCae Hillstead pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Davon Booth run for 4 yds to the GAST 43

3rd & 6Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.29

McCae Hillstead sacked by Jordan Veneziale for a loss of 11 yards to the USU 46

4th & 17Punt+25 yds

Ryan Marks punt for 30 yds, downed at the GAST 24 Utah State Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the GAST 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the GAST 34

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.02

Darren Grainger run for 7 yds to the GAST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Freddie Brock run for 11 yds to the USU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+43 ydsPPA +1.80

Freddie Brock run for 43 yds to the USU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Freddie Brock run for 5 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Robert Briggs Jr. run for 4 yds to the USU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.00

McCae Hillstead pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 31 yds to the GAST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

McCae Hillstead pass complete to Josh Sterzer for 5 yds to the GAST 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

McCae Hillstead pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 4 yds to the GAST 31

3rd & 1Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA +0.38

McCae Hillstead pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 1 yd to the GAST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

McCae Hillstead run for 2 yds to the GAST 28

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Rahsul Faison run for no gain to the GAST 28

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.19

McCae Hillstead pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 10 yds to the GAST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

McCae Hillstead pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

McCae Hillstead pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 4 yds to the GAST 14

3rd & 6Penalty+12 yds

Georgia State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (12 Yards) to the GAST 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

McCae Hillstead pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 2 yds for a TD (McCae Hillstead pass to Jalen Royals for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

McCae Hillstead pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Davon Booth run for 3 yds to the GAST 49

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

McCae Hillstead pass incomplete

4th & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.59

McCae Hillstead run for 6 yds to the GAST 43

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Freddie Brock run for 2 yds to the GAST 45

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.80

Freddie Brock run for 12 yds to the USU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +0.82

Freddie Brock run for 31 yds to the USU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Freddie Brock run for 4 yds to the USU 8

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Freddie Brock run for 1 yd to the USU 7

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 8

Situational Analysis

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
50%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
67%
6 plays
100%
3 plays
4th

Utah State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
42%
26 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
36%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play