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← Back to GamesDec 16, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio by 12.1

Home Win Probability

Ohio 78%

Market (Bovada)

Ohio +1.5

Edge: Ohio +1.5 (13.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern
0014721
OhioOhio
31714741

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-017-020-027-734-734-2141-21
OhioGeorgia Southern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSOHIGSOHIGSOHIGSOHIGSOHIOHIGSOHIGSOHIGSOHIGSGSOHIGSOHIGSOHITO410ydFG1143ydPUNT3-1ydTD1359ydTO2-2ydDOWNS47ydPUNT810ydTD462ydTO58ydEND625ydPUNT37ydTO26ydTD16ydTD969ydPUNT30ydTO340ydTD660ydTD268ydTD752ydPUNT433ydDOWNS846ydTD855ydDOWNS1067ydEND20yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia Southern and Ohio
StatisticGeorgia SouthernOhio
Passing32-4211-16
Pass Yards350120
Rush Yards33232
Total Yards383352
Turnovers50
3rd Down6-1210-15
Penalties6-706-60
Possession26:4033:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia Southern
passing
Davis Brin
32/42, 350 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT
rushing
David Mbadinga
4 CAR, 44 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Derwin Burgess Jr.
6 REC, 117 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Justin Rhodes
1 TFL, 1 PD
Ohio
passing
Parker Navarro
11/16, 120 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Rickey Hunt
17 CAR, 115 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
Sam Wiglusz
5 REC, 64 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Alex Kasee kickoff for 64 yds , DeAndre Buchannon return for 19 yds to the GASO 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 4 yds to the GASO 24

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Davis Brin run for 1 yd to the GASO 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.21

Davis Brin pass complete to OJ Arnold for 5 yds to the GASO 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.31

Davis Brin pass intercepted Jeremiah Wood return for no gain to the OHIO 48

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Parker Navarro run for 6 yds to the GASO 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.46

Parker Navarro pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 6 yds to the GASO 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.93

Nolan McCormick run for a loss of 5 yards to the GASO 45

2nd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Nolan McCormick run for 7 yds to the GASO 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 9 yds to the GASO 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Nolan McCormick run for 9 yds to the GASO 20

2nd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.65

Nolan McCormick run for 17 yds to the GASO 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Nolan McCormick run for 1 yd to the GASO 2

2nd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.69

Nolan McCormick run for a loss of 3 yards to the GASO 5

3rd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.64

Parker Navarro run for a loss of 4 yards to the GASO 9

4th & 9Field Goal Good+27 yds

Gianni Spetic 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

OJ Arnold run for no gain to the GASO 25

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

OJ Arnold run for 8 yds to the GASO 33

3rd & 2Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.01

Davis Brin sacked by Shay Taylor for a loss of 9 yards to the GASO 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Alex Smith punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Sam Wiglusz at the OHIO 41

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Sam Wiglusz run for 1 yd to the OHIO 42

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Rickey Hunt run for no gain to the OHIO 42

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.69

Parker Navarro pass complete to Tyler Foster for 9 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 4 yds to the GASO 45

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Parker Navarro run for 3 yds to the GASO 42

3rd & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.57

Parker Navarro run for 16 yds to the GASO 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.59

Parker Navarro run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 27

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Rickey Hunt run for 3 yds to the GASO 24

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 11 yds to the GASO 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Rickey Hunt run for no gain to the GASO 13

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Tyler Foster

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Ohio Penalty, False Start (Rickey Hunt) to the GASO 18

3rd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.51

Parker Navarro pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 16 yds to the GASO 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Rickey Hunt run for 2 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Alex Kasee kickoff for 64 yds , DeAndre Buchannon return for 11 yds to the GASO 12

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jalen White run for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 10

2nd & 12Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.21

Davis Brin pass intercepted Adonis Williams Jr. return for no gain to the GASO 21

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Nolan McCormick run for 4 yds to the GASO 17

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Nolan McCormick run for 3 yds to the GASO 14

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Parker Navarro pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.76

Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Sam Wiglusz

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Davis Brin pass complete to Jalen White for 4 yds to the GASO 18

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Davis Brin run for 5 yds to the GASO 23

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.57

Davis Brin run for 2 yds to the GASO 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Davis Brin pass complete to David Mbadinga for 3 yds to the GASO 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.52

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 11 yds to the GASO 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 38

2nd & 11Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.10

Davis Brin sacked by Vonnie Watkins for a loss of 8 yards to the GASO 30

3rd & 19Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.14

OJ Arnold run for a loss of 6 yards to the GASO 24

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Alex Smith punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OHIO 38

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Rickey Hunt run for 2 yds to the OHIO 40

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Rickey Hunt run for 3 yds to the OHIO 43

3rd & 5Rush+39 ydsPPA +3.39

Parker Navarro run for 24 yds to the GASO 33 for a 1ST down Georgia Southern Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the GASO 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Parker Navarro pass complete to Rickey Hunt for 18 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dalen Cobb run for 7 yds to the GASO 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -1.70

Davis Brin pass complete to OJ Arnold for 2 yds to the GASO 34 Georgia Southern Penalty, Offensive Holding (Khaleb Hood) to the GASO 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 10 yds to the GASO 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Davis Brin run for 3 yds to the GASO 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.65

Davis Brin sacked by Bradley Weaver for a loss of 4 yards to the GASO 33 Davis Brin fumbled, recovered by OHIO Shay Taylor , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Nolan McCormick run for 3 yds to the GASO 30

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Parker Navarro pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Parker Navarro pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 13 yds to the GASO 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 5 yds to the GASO 12

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Parker Navarro run for 4 yds to the GASO 8

3rd & 1Field Goal Good+26 yds

Gianni Spetic 26 yd FG GOOD

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Brendan Franke kickoff for 64 yds , Keegan Wilburn return for 15 yds to the OHIO 16

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Parker Navarro run for 7 yds to the OHIO 23

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Ohio Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OHIO 18

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Will Kacmarek run for 5 yds to the OHIO 23

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Parker Navarro run for no gain to the OHIO 23

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 42 yds, downed at the GASO 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 6 yds to the GASO 41

2nd & 4Pass Interception Return+40 ydsPPA -2.16

Davis Brin pass intercepted Walter Reynolds return for 40 yds to the GASO 6

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Rickey Hunt run for 6 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Alex Kasee kickoff for 55 yds , DeAndre Buchannon return for 21 yds to the GASO 31

1st & 10Rush-14 ydsPPA -1.72

Dalen Cobb run for 1 yd to the GASO 32 Georgia Southern Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the GASO 17

1st & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Davis Brin pass incomplete

2nd & 24Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 2 yds to the GASO 19

3rd & 22Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.69

Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 20 yds to the GASO 39

4th & 2Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +4.03

Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 39 yds to the OHIO 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 9 yds to the OHIO 13

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Davis Brin pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.14

OJ Arnold run for 10 yds to the OHIO 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

David Mbadinga run for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Parker Navarro run for a loss of 3 yards to the OHIO 22

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Parker Navarro pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Parker Navarro run for 3 yds to the OHIO 25

4th & 10Punt+25 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GASO 35 Ohio Penalty, Kick Catch Interference (-15 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.94

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 2 yds to the OHIO 48 for a 1ST down Ohio Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the OHIO 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Davis Brin pass complete to David Mbadinga for 3 yds to the OHIO 30

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+30 ydsPPA -3.90

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 20 yds Derwin Burgess Jr. fumbled, recovered by OHIO Roman Parodie , return for 30 yds to the OHIO 40

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Ohio Penalty, Offensive Holding (Parker Titsworth) to the OHIO 30

1st & 20Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.61

Parker Navarro run for 3 yds to the OHIO 33 Ohio Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OHIO 23

1st & 27Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Rickey Hunt run for 6 yds to the OHIO 29

2nd & 21Penalty+5 yds

Georgia Southern Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the OHIO 34

2nd & 16Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.97

Rickey Hunt run for 15 yds to the OHIO 49

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.27

Rickey Hunt run for 5 yds to the GASO 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Parker Navarro run for 6 yds to the GASO 40

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.23

Rickey Hunt run for 40 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)

2nd & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Alex Kasee kickoff for 50 yds , David Mbadinga return for 17 yds to the GASO 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 3 yds to the GASO 35

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.90

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 65 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 5 yds to the OHIO 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.93

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 12 yds to the OHIO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.88

OJ Arnold run for a loss of 6 yards to the OHIO 41

2nd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 9 yds to the OHIO 32

3rd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for no gain to the OHIO 32

4th & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.40

Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 17 yds to the OHIO 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 15 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.66

Parker Navarro pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 31 yds to the GASO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Nolan McCormick run for 2 yds to the GASO 42

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Nolan McCormick run for 2 yds to the GASO 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Parker Navarro pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 42

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GASO 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.44

Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 11 yds to the GASO 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 12 yds to the GASO 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 6 yds to the GASO 38

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

David Mbadinga run for 9 yds to the GASO 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.45

Davis Brin sacked by Bradley Weaver for a loss of 7 yards to the GASO 40

2nd & 17Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.37

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 12 yds to the OHIO 48

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

David Mbadinga run for 3 yds to the OHIO 45

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.43

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Khaleb Hood

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.95

Parker Navarro run for a loss of 4 yards to the OHIO 41

2nd & 14Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.36

Parker Navarro run for 11 yds to the GASO 48

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.45

Rickey Hunt run for 4 yds to the GASO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Georgia Southern Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Shemar Bartholomew) to the GASO 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Rickey Hunt run for 1 yd to the GASO 28

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Rickey Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 29

3rd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.51

Rickey Hunt run for 15 yds to the GASO 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Rickey Hunt run for 5 yds to the GASO 9

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.47

Rickey Hunt run for 9 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)

2nd & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Alex Kasee kickoff for 65 yds , DeAndre Buchannon return for 28 yds to the GASO 37 Georgia Southern Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jamari Whitehead) to the GASO 18

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.78

Davis Brin sacked by Vonnie Watkins for a loss of 6 yards to the GASO 12

2nd & 16Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Davis Brin pass complete to David Mbadinga for 7 yds to the GASO 19

3rd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.53

Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 22 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 8 yds to the GASO 49

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.34

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Khaleb Hood

3rd & 2Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.35

David Mbadinga run for 29 yds to the OHIO 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Davis Brin pass complete to David Mbadinga for 7 yds to the OHIO 15

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Dalen Cobb

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Dalen Cobb

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.72

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Caimon Mathis

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

TEAM run for no gain to the OHIO 15

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.20

TEAM run for no gain to the OHIO 15

Situational Analysis

Georgia Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
44%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
71%
7 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play

Ohio

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
38%
21 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
13%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play