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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Incarnate Word by 34.7

Home Win Probability

Incarnate Word 97%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North American University
00033
Incarnate Word
281414763

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567028-042-056-3
Incarnate WordNorth American University

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NAUIWNAUNAUIWNAUIWNAUIWNAUIWNAUIWNAUIWNAUIWIWNAUNAUIWNAUNAUIWNAUPUNT3-5ydTD545ydTD375ydPUNT38ydTD480ydPUNT3-6ydTD535ydPUNT6-2ydTO412ydPUNT3-4ydTD1054ydPUNT3-3ydTO438ydPUNT3-8ydTD221ydPUNT827ydEND10ydTD777ydTD374ydPUNT3-8ydDOWNS844ydPUNT39ydFG43ydTD1270ydPUNT3-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North American University and Incarnate Word
StatisticNorth American UniversityIncarnate Word
Passing15-2418-29
Pass Yards2281
Rush Yards10250
Total Yards12531
Turnovers22
3rd Down1-156-9
Penalties6-367-68
Possession36:0523:55

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North American University
passing
Oscar Ozuna
5/5, 9 YDS
rushing
receiving
Colbi Clark
5 REC, 22 YDS
Incarnate Word
passing
Zach Calzada
11/16, 193 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jarrell Wiley
7 CAR, 59 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
CJ Hardy
4 REC, 72 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Derrodrick Hadnot run for 1 yd to the NOAM 31

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

pass incomplete to Colbi Clark

3rd & 9Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.39

Derrodrick Hadnot run for a loss of 6 yards to the NOAM 25

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Anthony Schembri punt for 20 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Zach Calzada pass complete to Tre Siggers for 4 yds to the NOAM 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to CJ Hardy

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion-5 ydsPPA -1.90

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to CJ Hardy Incarnate Word Penalty, off-side (-5 Yards) to the NOAM 46

3rd & 11Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.91

Tre Siggers run for 15 yds to the NOAM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Zach Calzada pass complete to CJ Hardy for 31 yds for a TD (Mason Lawler KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jesper Korkalainen pass complete to Colbi Clark for 3 yds to the NOAM 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Jaylyn Williams

3rd & 7Interception Return Touchdown+35 ydsPPA -7.07

Ronald Wilson 35 Yd Interception Return (Mason Lawler Kick)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.91

Derrodrick Hadnot run for a loss of 5 yards to the NOAM 35

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

pass incomplete to Colbi Clark

3rd & 15Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.92

Jesper Korkalainen run for 13 yds to the NOAM 48

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jesper Korkalainen punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.83

Jarrell Wiley run for 5 yds to the UIW 25 Incarnate Word Penalty, Offensive holding (Alex Costilla) to the UIW 15

1st & 15Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.50

Zach Calzada pass complete to Marquez Perez for 40 yds to the NOAM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +2.26

Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 43 yds to the NOAM 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Zach Calzada run for 2 yds for a TD (Mason Lawler KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Derrodrick Hadnot run for a loss of 2 yards to the NOAM 23

2nd & 12Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.35

Derrodrick Hadnot run for a loss of 4 yards to the NOAM 19

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

pass incomplete to Colbi Clark

4th & 16Punt+27 yds

Anthony Schembri punt for 43 yds , Dekalon Taylor returns for 27 yds to the NOAM 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jaelin Campbell for 8 yds to the NOAM 27

2nd & 2Rush+18 ydsPPA -0.02

Timothy Carter run for 18 yds to the NOAM 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Timothy Carter run for 2 yds to the NOAM 7

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Timothy Carter run for 5 yds to the NOAM 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Timothy Carter run for 2 yds for a TD (Mason Lawler KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Mason Lawler kickoff for 66 yds , Alleion Hogan return for no gain to the NOAM 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jesper Korkalainen pass incomplete to Alleion Hogan, broken up by Tre Richardson

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

North American University Penalty, delay of game (E Z) to the NOAM 9

2nd & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.17

Colbi Clark run for 9 yds to the NOAM 18

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.96

Jesper Korkalainen pass complete to Colbi Clark for 6 yds to the NOAM 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.97

Derrodrick Hadnot run for a loss of 4 yards to the NOAM 20

2nd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Jesper Korkalainen run for 7 yds to the NOAM 27

3rd & 7Sack-15 ydsPPA -0.43

Jesper Korkalainen sacked for a loss of 15 yards to the NOAM 12

4th & 22Punt+21 yds

Anthony Schembri punt for 54 yds , Dekalon Taylor returns for 21 yds to the NOAM 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

pass incomplete to Jaelin Campbell

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07
3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

North American University Penalty, off-side (Decarlos Johnson) to the NOAM 40

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.50

Tre Siggers run for 7 yds to the NOAM 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -4.10

Tre Siggers run for 4 yds to the NOAM 29 Tre Siggers fumbled, recovered by NOAM Kevin Jamerson

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jesper Korkalainen run for 2 yds to the NOAM 31

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59
3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.44

Jesper Korkalainen sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the NOAM 25

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Anthony Schembri punt for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Zach Calzada pass complete to Marquez Perez

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.15

Zach Calzada pass complete to Marquez Perez for 14 yds to the NOAM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Zach Calzada pass complete to Marquez Perez for 12 yds to the NOAM 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

pass incomplete to Jaelin Campbell

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Jarrell Wiley run for 10 yds to the NOAM 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Zach Calzada pass complete to CJ Hardy for 10 yds to the NOAM 8 for a 1ST down

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

pass incomplete to Jarrell Wiley

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jarrell Wiley run for 4 yds to the NOAM 1

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

CJ Hardy 1 Yd pass from Zach Calzada (Mason Lawler Kick)

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jarrell Wiley run for 3 yds to the NOAM 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jesper Korkalainen pass complete to Colbi Clark for 4 yds to the NOAM 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jesper Korkalainen pass complete to Colbi Clark for 3 yds to the NOAM 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -0.87

Jesper Korkalainen pass complete to Derrodrick Hadnot for a loss of 10 yards to the NOAM 22

4th & 13Punt+1 yds

Anthony Schembri punt for 34 yds , Dekalon Taylor returns for 1 yd to the UIW 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Marquez Perez

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Zach Calzada run for 8 yds to the NOAM 47

3rd & 2Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.02

Zach Calzada pass complete to CJ Hardy for 30 yds to the NOAM 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Uncategorized0 yds

fumbled, recovered by NOAM Ahmaury Calhoun

1st & 10Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -0.80

Jesper Korkalainen pass complete to Jesper Korkalainen for a loss of 9 yards to the NOAM 8

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Jesper Korkalainen pass incomplete to Jason Reaves, broken up by James Tuayemie

3rd & 19Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.02

Derrodrick Hadnot run for 1 yd to the NOAM 9

4th & 18Punt+29 yds

Anthony Schembri punt for 41 yds , Dekalon Taylor returns for 29 yds to the NOAM 21

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Jarrell Wiley run for 7 yds to the NOAM 14

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.32

Jarrell Wiley run for 14 yds for a TD (Mason Lawler KICK)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Xander Armani Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the NOAM 21

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Jesper Korkalainen run for 2 yds to the NOAM 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Jesper Korkalainen pass incomplete to Jason Reaves for a 1ST down Incarnate Word Penalty, Defensive pass interference (James Tuayemie) to the NOAM 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jesper Korkalainen pass complete to Jason Reaves for 5 yds to the NOAM 39

2nd & 5Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.29

Xander Armani Williams run for 27 yds to the UIW 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jesper Korkalainen pass incomplete to Jason Reaves, broken up by Ethan Alexander

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

North American University Penalty, delay of game (Michael Blaylock) to the UIW 39

2nd & 15Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -2.14

Jesper Korkalainen pass complete to Derrodrick Hadnot for a loss of 7 yards to the UIW 46

3rd & 22Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Derrodrick Hadnot run for 3 yds to the UIW 43

4th & 19Penalty-5 yds

North American University Penalty, delay of game (Jesper Korkalainen) to the UIW 48

4th & 24Punt+5 yds

Anthony Schembri punt for 39 yds , Dekalon Taylor returns for 5 yds to the UIW 43 Incarnate Word Penalty, illegal block (7 Yards) to the UIW 7

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.60

Timothy Carter run for 23 yds to the NOAM 30 North American University Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Decarlos Johnson) to the NOAM 35

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Cristobal Salgado kickoff for 60 yds , Dekalon Taylor return for 18 yds to the UIW 23

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.65

Tyrese Brown run for 19 yds to the UIW 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Richard Torres pass complete to Lontrell Turner for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Richard Torres pass complete to Lontrell Turner for 7 yds to the NOAM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Tyrese Brown run for 8 yds to the NOAM 35

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

pass incomplete to CJ Hardy

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Tyrese Brown run for 11 yds to the NOAM 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Richard Torres pass complete to Dekalon Taylor for 24 yds for a TD (Mason Lawler KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Mason Lawler kickoff for 61 yds , Alleion Hogan return for 22 yds to the NOAM 26

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Derrodrick Hadnot run for a loss of 1 yard to the NOAM 25

2nd & 11Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Jesper Korkalainen pass complete to Derrodrick Hadnot for a loss of 1 yard to the NOAM 24

3rd & 12Interception Return Touchdown+43 ydsPPA -6.80

AJ Harris 43 Yd Interception Return (Mason Lawler Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Mason Lawler kickoff for 61 yds , Alleion Hogan return for 26 yds to the NOAM 30

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.28

Oscar Ozuna pass complete to Darunce Allen for a loss of 4 yards to the NOAM 26

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Oscar Ozuna run for 2 yds to the NOAM 28

3rd & 12Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.24

Xander Armani Williams run for a loss of 6 yards to the NOAM 22

4th & 18Punt+7 yds

Anthony Schembri punt for 43 yds , Lontrell Turner returns for 7 yds to the UIW 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Richard Torres pass complete to Lontrell Turner for 12 yds to the NOAM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.61

Jarvis Reed run for 12 yds to the NOAM 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jarvis Reed run for 5 yds to the NOAM 29

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.24

Jarvis Reed run for 9 yds to the NOAM 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Richard Torres pass incomplete to Jameson Garcia, broken up by Kenneth Berry Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Tyrese Brown run for 6 yds to the NOAM 14

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

pass incomplete to Lontrell Turner

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.69

pass incomplete to Jameson Garcia

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Oscar Ozuna pass complete to Jason Reaves for 3 yds to the NOAM 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Oscar Ozuna pass complete to Colbi Clark for 6 yds to the NOAM 23

3rd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.43

Oscar Ozuna pass complete to Jason Reaves

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Anthony Schembri punt for 57 yds , Lontrell Turner returns for no gain to the UIW 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Khorin Brown run for 3 yds to the UIW 16

2nd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.82

Oscar Ozuna sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the UIW 20

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Oscar Ozuna pass complete to Mason Polomack for 4 yds to the UIW 16

4th & 7Field Goal Good+33 yds

Cristobal Salgado 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Cristobal Salgado kickoff for 58 yds , Jarvis Reed return for 23 yds to the UIW 30

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Tyrese Brown run for 7 yds to the UIW 37

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Ronald Wilson run for 5 yds to the UIW 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.42

Ryan Stubblefield pass complete to Kailan Noseff for 19 yds to the NOAM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Ryan Stubblefield pass complete to Jalen Smothers for 6 yds to the NOAM 33

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81
3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.06

Ryan Stubblefield pass complete to Tyrese Brown for 12 yds to the NOAM 21 for a 1ST down North American University Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Decarlos Johnson) to the NOAM 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.75

Jarrell Wiley run for 16 yds to the NOAM 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

pass incomplete to Kailan Noseff

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Jarvis Reed run for 2 yds to the NOAM 3

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Nick Meehan run for 1 yd to the NOAM 2

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -4.15

North American University Penalty, substitution infraction (Derrodrick Hadnot) to the NOAM 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Nick Meehan run for 1 yd for a TD (Mason Lawler KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Griffin Williams pass complete to Danhijalon Gibson for a loss of 1 yard to the NOAM 24

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Elijah Henderson run for 1 yd to the NOAM 25

3rd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.22

Elijah Henderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the NOAM 21

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Anthony Schembri punt for 29 yds

Situational Analysis

North American University

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
6%
17 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
20%
10 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
5 plays
25%
8 plays
4th

Incarnate Word

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
64%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
83%
6 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play