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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2
Taylor
13
-Final
41
Butler

House Prediction

Model Margin

Butler by 13.1

Home Win Probability

Butler 76%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Taylor
070613
Butler
14321341

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-017-017-731-738-741-741-13
ButlerTaylor

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BUTTAYBUTTAYBUTTAYBUTTAYBUTTAYBUTTAYTAYBUTTAYBUTTAYBUTTAYBUTTAYBUTTAYBUTTD566ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-1ydDOWNS735ydTD160ydPUNT739ydFG1575ydTD1079ydPUNT39ydPUNT36ydPUNT33ydEND1-1ydDOWNS619ydTD339ydPUNT36ydTD163ydPUNT68ydTD612ydPUNT513ydFG1569ydTD175ydPUNT426ydDOWNS1232ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Taylor and Butler
StatisticTaylorButler
Passing11-2014-23
Pass Yards169185
Rush Yards156254
Total Yards325439
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-153-13
Penalties2-206-44
Possession32:1827:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Taylor
passing
Damon Hockett
10/19, 94 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Stephen Ellis
6 CAR, 42 YDS
receiving
Dakohta Sonnichsen
1 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
Butler
passing
Bret Bushka
13/22, 185 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jyran Mitchell
12 CAR, 178 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Ethan Loss
4 REC, 79 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Bret Bushka pass complete to William Enneking for 9 yds to the BUT 43

2nd & 1Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.30

Bret Bushka pass complete to Ethan Loss for 35 yds to the TAY 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Joey Audia run for 1 yd to the TAY 21

2nd & 9Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.02

Jyran Mitchell run for 20 yds to the TAY 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jyran Mitchell run for 1 yd for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Damon Hockett run for 6 yds to the TAY 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Dylan Scally run for 2 yds to the TAY 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Dylan Scally run for 1 yd to the TAY 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Isaiah Grybauskus punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Bret Bushka run for no gain to the BUT 31

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Bret Bushka sacked by Aven Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the BUT 30

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dakohta Sonnichsen at the TAY 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Dylan Scally run for 1 yd to the TAY 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Damon Hockett pass complete to Jack D'Arcy for 3 yds to the TAY 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.30

Damon Hockett pass complete to Drew Bagley for 25 yds to the BUT 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Stephen Ellis run for 2 yds to the BUT 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Damon Hockett pass complete to Jack D'Arcy for 4 yds to the BUT 40

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Dylan Scally run for no gain to the BUT 40

4th & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.64

Ja Thomas run for no gain to the BUT 40

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +4.76

Jyran Mitchell 60 Yd Run (Luka Zurak Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Ja Thomas run for 6 yds to the TAY 28

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Brendan Lamb run for 2 yds to the TAY 30

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.51

Damon Hockett pass complete to Drew Bagley for 8 yds to the TAY 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.48

Stephen Ellis run for 17 yds to the BUT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Damon Hockett pass complete to Jack D'Arcy for 5 yds to the BUT 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Damon Hockett pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Brendan Lamb run for 1 yd to the BUT 39

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Isaiah Grybauskus punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Ershod Jasey II run for 2 yds to the BUT 22

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Bret Bushka run for 2 yds to the BUT 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +4.09

Bret Bushka pass complete to Ethan Loss for 43 yds to the TAY 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Jyran Mitchell run for 1 yd to the TAY 32

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Bret Bushka run for 6 yds to the TAY 26

4th & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.30

Bret Bushka run for 4 yds to the TAY 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Joey Suchy run for a loss of 1 yard to the TAY 23

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jeremy Johnson for 6 yds to the TAY 17

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

run for 4 yds to the TAY 13

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.86

run for 6 yds to the TAY 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jyran Mitchell run for 4 yds to the TAY 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Bret Bushka run for 1 yd to the TAY 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

run for 1 yd to the TAY 1

4th & 1Penalty-4 yds

BUSHKA, Bret pass short to the right complete for 1 yard to HEALD, Cameron caught at the TU0 and advanced to the TU0, TOUCHDOWN BU, score nullified by penalty, clock 09:00 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY BU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on TURNER, Jack enforced 4 yards from the TU1 to the TU5 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Luka Zurak 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Brendan Lamb run for 2 yds to the TAY 23

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.28

Ja Thomas run for 10 yds to the TAY 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.24

Stephen Ellis run for 27 yds to the BUT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Brendan Lamb run for 1 yd to the BUT 39

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Damon Hockett run for 6 yds to the BUT 33

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Brendan Lamb run for 2 yds to the BUT 31

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.34

Dylan Scally run for 3 yds to the BUT 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Damon Hockett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Dylan Scally run for 4 yds to the BUT 24

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.36

Damon Hockett pass complete to Ja Thomas for 24 yds for a TD (Isaac Hoke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Ershod Jasey II run for 6 yds to the BUT 47

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Dylan Scally run for 6 yds to the TAY 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Damon Hockett pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Damon Hockett pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Isaiah Grybauskus punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.02

Bret Bushka sacked by Thaddaeus Thoman for a loss of 10 yards to the BUT 26

2nd & 20Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Bret Bushka pass complete to Joey Suchy for 13 yds to the BUT 39

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Dakohta Sonnichsen at the TAY 14

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Brendan Lamb run for a loss of 1 yard to the TAY 13

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Dylan Scally run for 1 yd to the TAY 21

2nd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.46

Dylan Scally run for a loss of 5 yards to the TAY 16

3rd & 14Penalty+15 yds

HOCKETT, Damon pass to the right incomplete thrown to the TU25; QB hurried by CAIN, Jacob. PENALTY BU Roughing the Passer on CAIN, Jacob enforced 15 yards from the TU16 to the TU31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Brendan Lamb run for 2 yds to the TAY 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Damon Hockett pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Damon Hockett pass complete to Drew Bagley for 7 yds to the TAY 40

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Brendan Lamb run for a loss of 1 yard to the TAY 39

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.40

Jyran Mitchell run for 12 yds to the TAY 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Jyran Mitchell run for 1 yd to the TAY 26

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

MITCHELL, Jyran rush to the right for a gain of 8 yards to the TU18 (JONES, Aven). PENALTY BU Holding on GONZALEZ, Fabian enforced 10 yards from the TU26 to the TU36 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 19Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +4.72

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 36 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dylan Scally run for 4 yds to the TAY 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Dylan Scally run for 2 yds to the TAY 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Damon Hockett pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Isaiah Grybauskus punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Joey Audia at the BUT 37

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +5.05

Jyran Mitchell run for 63 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Brendan Lamb run for 2 yds to the TAY 20

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Brendan Lamb run for 5 yds to the TAY 25

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.07

Damon Hockett pass complete to Drew Bagley for 5 yds to the TAY 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Brendan Lamb run for 1 yd to the TAY 31

2nd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.80

Stephen Ellis run for a loss of 5 yards to the TAY 26

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Damon Hockett pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Isaiah Grybauskus punt for 41 yds, downed at the BUT 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jyran Mitchell run for 5 yds to the BUT 38

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.41

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 11 yds to the BUT 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Butler Penalty, False Start (Adam Dolan) to the BUT 44

1st & 15Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Bret Bushka pass complete to Ethan Loss for 1 yd to the BUT 45

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

4th & 14Fumble Return Touchdown0 ydsPPA -6.95

Harry Ochs 0 Yd Fumble Return (Luka Zurak Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Damon Hockett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.24

Braxton Ream run for 12 yds to the TAY 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Damon Hockett pass complete to Drew Bagley for 6 yds to the TAY 35

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Damon Hockett pass incomplete

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.81

run for a loss of 5 yards to the TAY 30 fumbled, recovered by TAY Damon Hockett

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Isaiah Grybauskus punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Ershod Jasey II run for 11 yds to the BUT 39 fumbled, recovered by BUT Cameron Heald for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.38

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 16 yds to the TAY 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Joey Suchy run for 5 yds to the TAY 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.47

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 6 yds to the TAY 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Joey Suchy run for 4 yds to the TAY 30

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Joey Suchy run for 2 yds to the TAY 28

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Bret Bushka pass complete to Joey Suchy for 3 yds to the TAY 25

4th & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Joey Suchy run for 10 yds to the TAY 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jyran Mitchell pass complete to Ethan Loss for no gain to the TAY 15

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.00

Joey Suchy run for 10 yds to the TAY 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Joey Suchy run for 4 yds to the TAY 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Joey Suchy run for no gain to the TAY 1

3rd & 1Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Bret Bushka sacked by Caleb Ranzau for a loss of 2 yards to the TAY 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

Luka Zurak 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Stephen Ellis pass complete to Dakohta Sonnichsen for 75 yds for a TD (Isaac Hoke PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.99

Bret Bushka run for 22 yds to the TAY 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Bret Bushka run for 1 yd to the TAY 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 3 yds to the TAY 43

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Braxton Ream run for 2 yds to the TAY 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Damon Hockett pass complete to Drew Bagley for 7 yds to the TAY 34

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Stephen Ellis run for a loss of 1 yard to the TAY 33

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.66

Braxton Ream run for 2 yds to the TAY 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Braxton Ream run for 20 yds to the BUT 45 Taylor Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TAY 37

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.82

Braxton Ream run for 7 yds to the TAY 44

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Damon Hockett run for 4 yds to the TAY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Braxton Ream run for no gain to the TAY 48

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Taylor Penalty, Illegal Block (Josh Ellman) to the TAY 43

2nd & 15Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.79

Damon Hockett sacked by Danny Orgler for a loss of 2 yards to the TAY 41

3rd & 17Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.42

Damon Hockett run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 8Penalty+5 yds

GRYBAUSKUS, Isaiah punt 44 yards to the BU6 out of bounds, clock 00:46. PENALTY Before the snap, BU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the TU50 to the BU45. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -1.30

Stephen Ellis run for 2 yds to the BUT 43

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

[SG] Kneel down by BUSHKA, Bret at BU42 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Taylor

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
24 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
6 plays
45%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
40%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Butler

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
41%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays