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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2023Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Incarnate Word by 2

Home Win Probability

Abilene Christian 46%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 17, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Incarnate Word
01001727
Abilene Christian
01001020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-710-1010-24
Abilene ChristianIncarnate Word

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ACIWACIWACIWACIWACIWACIWIWACIWACIWACIWACIWDOWNS1572ydPUNT39ydPUNT31ydPUNT517ydPUNT3-7ydDOWNS519ydTO411ydTO756ydTD880ydTD475ydFG539ydFG349ydPUNT624ydPUNT613ydPUNT31ydPUNT31ydPUNT735ydPUNT38ydTD564ydPUNT30ydTD870yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Incarnate Word and Abilene Christian
StatisticIncarnate WordAbilene Christian
Passing21-3310-20
Pass Yards32674
Rush Yards98135
Total Yards424209
Turnovers11
3rd Down5-123-11
Penalties5-485-50
Possession22:0827:46

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Incarnate Word
passing
Zach Calzada
21/33, 326 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Zach Calzada
7 CAR, 66 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Brandon Porter
9 REC, 172 YDS, 1 TD
Abilene Christian
passing
Maverick McIvor
10/20, 74 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jermiah Dobbins
21 CAR, 106 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tristan Golightly
3 REC, 36 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Tristan Golightly for 8 yds to the ACU 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jed Castles for 6 yds to the ACU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jermiah Dobbins run for 7 yds to the ACU 46

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Jermiah Dobbins run for 8 yds to the UIW 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jermiah Dobbins run for no gain to the UIW 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jermiah Dobbins for 5 yds to the UIW 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.59

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Taelyn Williams for 8 yds to the UIW 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jermiah Dobbins run for 3 yds to the UIW 30

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Jermiah Dobbins run for 7 yds to the UIW 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 3 yds to the UIW 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Tristan Golightly for 9 yds to the UIW 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jay'Veon Sunday run for no gain to the UIW 11

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Cooper McCasland for 4 yds to the UIW 7

4th & 6Penalty0 yds

RAMSEY, Kyle field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD [kick was spotted at UIW14], score nullified by penalty, clock 06:18. PENALTY UIW Offsides on PARKER, Steven enforced half the distance from the goal, 3 yards from the UIW7 to the UIW4. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.13

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Tre Siggers run for no gain to the UIW 3

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.29

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jaelin Campbell for 9 yds to the UIW 12

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Maverick McIvor run for a loss of 1 yard to the ACU 46

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Jermiah Dobbins run for 2 yds to the ACU 48

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 37 yds , returns for no gain to the UIW 18

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Jarrell Wiley run for 1 yd to the UIW 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.07

Zach Calzada pass complete to CJ Hardy for 10 yds to the UIW 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 1 yd to the UIW 30

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jarrell Wiley run for 5 yds to the UIW 35

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 37 yds

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

JONES, Marcayll rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the ACU31 (ADEOYE, Ayodele). PENALTY ACU Holding on GHIRMAI, Rafiti enforced 10 yards from the ACU28 to the ACU18 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

3rd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 3 yds to the ACU 21

4th & 17Punt+59 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 59 yds , returns for no gain to the UIW 39 , returns for no gain to the UIW 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Zach Calzada pass complete to Tre Siggers for 10 yds to the UIW 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tre Siggers run for no gain to the UIW 49

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Zach Calzada pass complete to CJ Hardy for 7 yds to the ACU 44

4th & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -1.39

Zach Calzada pass complete to CJ Hardy for 2 yds to the ACU 42

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MCIVOR, Maverick pass deep to the right incomplete intended for GOLIGHTLY, Tristan thrown to the UIW15. PENALTY ACU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on GHIRMAI, Rafiti enforced 5 yards from the ACU42 to the ACU37 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Jermiah Dobbins run for 8 yds to the ACU 45

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jermiah Dobbins run for 3 yds to the ACU 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.80

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jed Castles for 5 yds to the UIW 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.39

Maverick McIvor pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 4 yds to the UIW 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.82

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jaelin Campbell for 30 yds to the ACU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

CALZADA, Zach scrambles to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the ACU32, out of bounds. PENALTY UIW Holding on MEYER, Dalton enforced 10 yards from the ACU36 to the ACU46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 6 yds to the ACU 40

2nd & 14Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.93

Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 23 yds to the ACU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jarrell Wiley run for 3 yds to the ACU 14

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -3.96

Zach Calzada pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.63

run for a loss of 1 yard to the ACU 19 Maverick McIvor fumbled, recovered by ACU Maverick McIvor

2nd & 11Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.50

Jermiah Dobbins run for 13 yds to the ACU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jermiah Dobbins run for 3 yds to the ACU 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.35

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Tristan Golightly for 19 yds to the UIW 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jermiah Dobbins run for 6 yds to the UIW 40

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jermiah Dobbins run for no gain to the UIW 40

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

DOBBINS, Jermiah rush up the middle for no gain to the UIW40 (PARKER, Steven). PENALTY Before the snap, UIW Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the UIW40 to the UIW35 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jermiah Dobbins run for 6 yds to the UIW 29

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.74

Jermiah Dobbins run for 29 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 14 yds to the UIW 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Zach Calzada pass complete to CJ Hardy for 9 yds to the UIW 48

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.41

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +4.91

Zach Calzada run for 52 yds for a TD (Mason Lawler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.64

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 31 yds to the UIW 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SUNDAY, Jay'Veon rush to the right for a loss of 2 yards to the UIW44 (CHAMBERS, Mason). PENALTY UIW Face mask on ADEOYE, Ayodele enforced 15 yards from the UIW42 to the UIW27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.04

Jay'Veon Sunday run for a loss of 4 yards to the UIW 31

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 1 yd to the UIW 30

3rd & 13Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.75

Jay'Veon Sunday run for a loss of 4 yards to the UIW 34

4th & 17Field Goal Good+51 yds

Kyle Ramsey 51 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tre Siggers run for no gain to the UIW 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +4.06

Zach Calzada pass complete to Marquez Perez for 49 yds to the ACU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+43 yds

Mason Lawler 43 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Zach Calzada pass complete to CJ Hardy for 4 yds to the UIW 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Zach Calzada pass complete to Marquez Perez for 2 yds to the UIW 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.32

Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 27 yds to the ACU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

CALZADA, Zach pass up the middle complete for 42 yards to WILEY, Jarrell caught at the ACU35 and advanced to the ACU0, TOUCHDOWN UIW, score nullified by penalty, clock 13:17 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY UIW Illegal Block in the Back on MARK, Stanley enforced 15 yards from the ACU42 to the UIW43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.66

Zach Calzada run for 13 yds to the ACU 44

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Tre Siggers run for 9 yds to the ACU 35

3rd & 3Sack-16 ydsPPA -3.39

Zach Calzada sacked by Kenton Wilhoit for a loss of 16 yards to the UIW 49

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jermiah Dobbins run for 6 yds to the ACU 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.87

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Marcayll Jones for no gain to the ACU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.95

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Cooper McCasland for 10 yds to the ACU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.08

Jermiah Dobbins run for a loss of 6 yards to the ACU 35

2nd & 16Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Jermiah Dobbins run for a loss of 1 yard to the ACU 34

3rd & 17Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jermiah Dobbins run for 4 yds to the ACU 38

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Dekalon Taylor at the UIW 12

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Tre Siggers run for 1 yd to the UIW 13

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tristan Golightly run for no gain to the ACU 48

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 1 yd to the ACU 49

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

CALZADA, Zach pass deep to the left incomplete intended for CAMPBELL, Jaelin broken up by JOLLY, Patrick at the ACU50. PENALTY ACU Pass Interference on JOLLY, Patrick enforced 15 yards to the UIW35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Zach Calzada run for 7 yds to the UIW 42

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.26

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.50

Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 16 yds to the ACU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.02

Zach Calzada sacked by Cirby Coheley for a loss of 5 yards to the ACU 47

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jarrell Wiley run for 2 yds to the ACU 45

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jermiah Dobbins run for 4 yds to the ACU 10

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jermiah Dobbins run for 4 yds to the ACU 14

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Jermiah Dobbins run for no gain to the ACU 14

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Dekalon Taylor at the UIW 36

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the UIW 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.97

Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 38 yds to the ACU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Tre Siggers run for 1 yd to the ACU 23

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.55

Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 23 yds for a TD (Mason Lawler KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dekalon Taylor at the UIW 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 24 yds to the ACU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jarrell Wiley run for 2 yds to the ACU 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.39

Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 18 yds to the ACU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

CALZADA, Zach pass deep to the left incomplete intended for PEREZ, Marquez thrown to the ACU0. PENALTY ACU Offsides on BUTLER, Jordan enforced 5 yards from the ACU26 to the ACU21 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.53

Jarrell Wiley run for 5 yds to the ACU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.36

Zach Calzada run for 14 yds to the ACU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jarrell Wiley run for 1 yd to the ACU 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jarrell Wiley run for no gain to the ACU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Zach Calzada run for 1 yd for a TD (Mason Lawler KICK)

Situational Analysis

Incarnate Word

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
30%
20 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
60%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Abilene Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
19 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
100%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play