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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2023Week 7
VMI
17
-Final
13
The Citadel
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

VMI by 2.9

Home Win Probability

The Citadel 41%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

The Citadel +2

Edge: VMI -2 (0.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 14, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VMI
730717
The Citadel
0103013

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40143-710-1013-10
The CitadelVMI

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VMITCVMITCVMITCVMITCVMITCVMITCVMITCVMITCVMITCVMITCTD1375ydMISS1024ydDOWNS622ydFG637ydFG614ydTD1275ydDOWNS733ydTO536ydEND427ydPUNT829ydPUNT31ydFG731ydPUNT633ydPUNT35ydDOWNS48ydPUNT30ydTD1286ydDOWNS1012ydPUNT39ydUncategorized747yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing VMI and The Citadel
StatisticVMIThe Citadel
Passing19-2812-27
Pass Yards166142
Rush Yards147140
Total Yards313282
Turnovers01
3rd Down4-126-15
Penalties8-805-45
Possession28:5831:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

VMI
passing
Collin Ironside
19/28, 166 YDS
rushing
Hunter Rice
18 CAR, 111 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Chance Knox
9 REC, 98 YDS
The Citadel
passing
Graeson Underwood
11/25, 118 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Graeson Underwood
14 CAR, 57 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Romello Jones
2 REC, 37 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Collin Ironside pass complete to Aidan Twombly for 5 yds to the VMI 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Collin Ironside pass complete to Isaiah Lemmond for 6 yds to the VMI 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.01

Collin Ironside pass complete to Chance Knox for 25 yds to the CIT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Collin Ironside pass complete to Chance Knox for 2 yds to the CIT 37

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Chance Knox run for 2 yds to the CIT 35

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Rashad Raymond run for 5 yds to the CIT 30

4th & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.47

Rashad Raymond run for 15 yds to the CIT 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Rashad Raymond run for 3 yds to the CIT 12

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33
3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.30

Collin Ironside run for 8 yds to the CIT 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Rashad Raymond run for 2 yds to the CIT 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Rashad Raymond run for 1 yd to the CIT 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Hunter Rice run for 1 yd for a TD (Caden Beck KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Jack Culbreath kickoff for 55 yds , Romello Jones return for 16 yds to the CIT 41

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Cooper Wallace run for 2 yds to the CIT 43

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Graeson Underwood run for 3 yds to the CIT 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Jay Graves-Billips for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.40

Cooper Wallace run for 5 yds to the VMI 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.51

Cooper Wallace run for a loss of 7 yards to the CIT 48

2nd & 17Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.01

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Romello Jones for 17 yds to the VMI 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

pass incomplete to Landon Owens

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

The Citadel Penalty, false start (Cole England) to the VMI 40

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

pass incomplete to Jay Graves-Billips

3rd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Graeson Underwood run for 5 yds to the VMI 35

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+53 yds

Colby Kintner 53 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Hunter Rice run for 9 yds to the VMI 44

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Hunter Rice run for 4 yds to the VMI 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Hunter Rice run for 4 yds to the CIT 48

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Hunter Rice run for 4 yds to the CIT 44

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16
4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.52

Hunter Rice run for 1 yd to the CIT 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete to Malachi Taylor for a 1ST down VMI Penalty, Defensive holding (Alex Oliver) to the VMI 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.95

Cooper Wallace pass complete to Pat McSweeney for 24 yds to the VMI 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Jay Graves-Billips for 3 yds to the VMI 20

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46
3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete to Jay Graves-Billips, broken up by Christian Dunn

4th & 7Field Goal Good+38 yds

Colby Kintner 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Rashad Raymond run for 2 yds to the CIT 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.26

Collin Ironside pass complete to Chance Knox for 11 yds to the CIT 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

pass incomplete to Chance Knox

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Rashad Raymond run for 1 yd to the CIT 33

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

pass incomplete to VJ Johnson

4th & 9Field Goal Good+50 yds

Caden Beck 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Johnny Crawford III run for 4 yds to the CIT 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Johnny Crawford III run for 2 yds to the CIT 31

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Graeson Underwood run for 6 yds to the CIT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Johnny Crawford III run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIT 36

2nd & 11Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.05

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Tyson Trottier for 23 yds to the VMI 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete to Ha'Keem Monroe, broken up by Alex Oliver

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Graeson Underwood run for 5 yds to the VMI 36

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Pat McSweeney for 8 yds to the VMI 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Cooper Wallace run for 3 yds to the VMI 25

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cooper Wallace run for 5 yds to the VMI 20

3rd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.39

Hi'keem Elmore run for 17 yds to the VMI 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Graeson Underwood run for 3 yds for a TD (Colby Kintner KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Colby Kintner kickoff for 54 yds , Tahj Summey return for 18 yds to the VMI 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Collin Ironside pass complete to Isaiah Lemmond for 6 yds to the VMI 35

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00
3rd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.93

Collin Ironside pass complete to Aidan Twombly for 20 yds to the CIT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

pass incomplete to Tahj Summey

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Collin Ironside pass complete to Isaiah Lemmond for 5 yds to the CIT 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Collin Ironside pass complete to Chance Knox for 2 yds to the CIT 38

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.97

pass incomplete to Grant Swinehart

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Dervon Pesnell for 11 yds to the CIT 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

The Citadel Penalty, false start (Cameron Moewe) to the CIT 44

1st & 15Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.11

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Romello Jones for 20 yds to the VMI 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

pass incomplete to Tyler Cherry

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.01

Graeson Underwood run for 10 yds to the VMI 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.28

Graeson Underwood pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Hunter Rice run for 14 yds to the VMI 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

pass incomplete to VJ Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.01

Collin Ironside pass complete to Chance Knox for 13 yds to the CIT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cooper Wallace run for 4 yds to the CIT 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cooper Wallace run for 5 yds to the CIT 34

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

VMI Penalty, off-side (Christian Dunn) to the CIT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Cooper Wallace run for 2 yds to the CIT 41

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Graeson Underwood run for 5 yds to the CIT 46

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.68

Graeson Underwood run for 5 yds to the VMI 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

pass incomplete to Hi'keem Elmore

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Hi'keem Elmore run for 3 yds to the VMI 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.95

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Pat McSweeney

4th & 7Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Rashad Raymond run for 1 yd to the VMI 2

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Collin Ironside pass incomplete to Chance Knox, broken up by Carson Walter

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.05
4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Johnny Crawford III run for 5 yds to the VMI 46

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Cooper Wallace run for 4 yds to the VMI 42

3rd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.28

Hi'keem Elmore run for 18 yds to the VMI 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Hi'keem Elmore run for 1 yd to the VMI 23

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Cooper Wallace run for 2 yds to the VMI 21

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Cooper Wallace run for 1 yd to the VMI 20

4th & 6Field Goal Good+38 yds

Colby Kintner 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Colby Kintner kickoff for 46 yds , VJ Johnson return for 8 yds to the VMI 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.25

Collin Ironside pass complete to Chance Knox for 25 yds to the CIT 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Collin Ironside run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down The Citadel Penalty, personal foul (Thomas Wyatt) to the CIT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Hunter Rice run for 6 yds to the CIT 29

2nd & 4Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -2.27

Collin Ironside pass complete to Chance Knox for 2 yds to the CIT 27 VMI Penalty, Offensive holding (Alex Oliver) to the CIT 37

2nd & 17Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Collin Ironside pass complete to Isaiah Lemmond for 6 yds to the CIT 36

3rd & 11Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.67

Collin Ironside sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the CIT 40 VMI Penalty, Offensive holding (Yards) to the CIT 40

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

VMI Penalty, false start (Alex Oliver) to the CIT 42

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Graeson Underwood run for 2 yds to the CIT 3

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Cooper Wallace run for 3 yds to the CIT 6

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

pass incomplete to Malachi Taylor

4th & 5Punt+1 yds

James Platte punt for 50 yds , Tahj Summey returns for 1 yd to the VMI 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Collin Ironside pass complete to Ivan Thorpe for 3 yds to the VMI 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Collin Ironside pass complete to Chance Knox for 6 yds to the CIT 46

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.42

Rashad Raymond run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIT 47

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.25

Collin Ironside pass incomplete to Isaiah Lemmond, broken up by Carson Walter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Johnny Crawford III run for 4 yds to the VMI 49

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Johnny Crawford III run for 1 yd to the VMI 48

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

The Citadel Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CIT 47

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

pass incomplete to Dervon Pesnell

4th & 10Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.58

Hunter Rice run for 11 yds to the VMI 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Collin Ironside pass complete to Isaiah Lemmond for 4 yds to the VMI 29

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.34

Hunter Rice run for 10 yds to the VMI 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

VMI Penalty, false start (Aidan Twombly) to the VMI 34

1st & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.19

Collin Ironside pass complete to Isaiah Lemmond for 13 yds to the VMI 47

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Hunter Rice run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Collin Ironside pass incomplete to Rashad Raymond, broken up by DaVonyae Pettis

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Rashad Raymond run for 3 yds to the CIT 47

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.38

Collin Ironside pass complete to Chance Knox for 12 yds to the CIT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69
2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.06

Hunter Rice run for 16 yds to the CIT 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.36

Collin Ironside pass complete to Hunter Rice

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.97

Hunter Rice run for 19 yds for a TD (Caden Beck KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Jack Culbreath kickoff for 31 yds , Ha'Keem Monroe return for no gain to the CIT 34

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Graeson Underwood run for 7 yds to the CIT 41

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

Graeson Underwood run for 2 yds to the CIT 43

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Hi'keem Elmore run for 3 yds to the CIT 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Graeson Underwood run for 3 yds to the CIT 49

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.68

Cooper Wallace run for a loss of 3 yards to the CIT 46

3rd & 10Interception+15 ydsPPA -0.72

Graeson Underwood pass intercepted for a 1ST down VMI Penalty, roughing passer (Alex Oliver) to the VMI 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

The Citadel Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Maurice Bonneau Jr.) to the CIT 46

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

pass incomplete to Jay Graves-Billips

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

pass incomplete to Jay Graves-Billips

3rd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

pass incomplete to Malachi Taylor

4th & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.27

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete to Landon Owens, broken up by Tahj Summey

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Hunter Rice run for 6 yds to the CIT 40

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Hunter Rice run for 3 yds to the CIT 37

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09
4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 21 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.97

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete to Tyler Cherry for a 1ST down VMI Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Alex Oliver) to the CIT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Cooper Wallace for 15 yds to the CIT 46 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Cooper Wallace for 10 yds to the VMI 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

pass incomplete to Malachi Taylor

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Dervon Pesnell for 7 yds to the VMI 37

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Graeson Underwood run for 1 yd to the VMI 37

Situational Analysis

VMI

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
43%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
55%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
25%
4 plays

The Citadel

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
28%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
50%
12 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play