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← Back to GamesNov 4, 2023Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mercer by 27.1

Home Win Probability

The Citadel 7%

Market (ESPN Bet)

The Citadel +20

Edge: Mercer -20 (7.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 4, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Mercer
77101438
The Citadel
370616

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284210-710-1410-3110-38
The CitadelMercer

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TCTCMERTCMERTCMERTCMERTCMERTCMERTCMERTCMERTCMERTCMERTCMERTD381ydFG1874ydPUNT6-1ydTD1159ydPUNT510ydPUNT35ydTD840ydEND10ydFG961ydPUNT37ydPUNT520ydTO411ydTD315ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT36ydPUNT33ydTD463ydPUNT4-9ydTD533ydTD1075ydPUNT37ydTO69ydUncategorized830yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Mercer and The Citadel
StatisticMercerThe Citadel
Passing10-1713-27
Pass Yards147139
Rush Yards155120
Total Yards302259
Turnovers03
3rd Down5-129-19
Penalties4-255-50
Possession27:5432:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Mercer
passing
Carter Peevy
10/17, 147 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Brayden Smith
2 CAR, 60 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ty James
3 REC, 74 YDS
The Citadel
passing
Graeson Underwood
13/27, 139 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Graeson Underwood
12 CAR, 46 YDS
receiving
Tyler Cherry
5 REC, 54 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Hi'keem Elmore run for 2 yds to the CIT 21

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.47

Jay Graves-Billips run for a loss of 3 yards to the CIT 18

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Bryce Addison kickoff for 62 yds , Romello Jones return for 16 yds to the CIT 19

3rd & 11Interception Return Touchdown+27 ydsPPA -6.75

Ken Standley 27 Yd Interception Return (Reice Griffith Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Bryce Addison kickoff for 65 yds , Romello Jones return for 12 yds to the CIT 12

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Johnny Crawford III run for 4 yds to the CIT 16

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Johnny Crawford III run for 2 yds to the CIT 18

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.80

Graeson Underwood run for 5 yds to the CIT 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete to Tyler Cherry, broken up by Jordan Swain

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Hayden Johnson run for 4 yds to the CIT 27

3rd & 6Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.22

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Pat McSweeney for 25 yds to the MER 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Hi'keem Elmore run for 5 yds to the MER 43

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Hi'keem Elmore run for 3 yds to the MER 40

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.99

Graeson Underwood run for 5 yds to the MER 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Hayden Johnson run for 2 yds to the MER 33

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Varney Layman run for 5 yds to the MER 28

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Graeson Underwood run for 2 yds to the MER 26

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.10

Graeson Underwood run for 1 yd to the MER 25 for a 1ST down Mercer Penalty, off-side (Lance Wise) to the MER 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -1.31

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Tyler Cherry for 7 yds to the MER 13 The Citadel Penalty, illegal block (Hayden Johnson) to the MER 28

1st & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Dervon Pesnell for 7 yds to the MER 21

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Graeson Underwood run for 4 yds to the MER 17

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Malachi Taylor for 3 yds to the MER 14

4th & 4Field Goal Good+32 yds

Colby Kintner 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Al Wooten II run for 7 yds to the MER 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Micah Bell run for 2 yds to the MER 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Carter Peevy run for 1 yd to the MER 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Micah Bell run for a loss of 3 yards to the MER 32

2nd & 13Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.64

Carter Peevy sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the MER 24

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

pass incomplete to Devron Harper

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Underwood,Graeson rush middle (Standley,Ken;Hill,Chris).

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Johnny Crawford III run for 3 yds to the CIT 44

3rd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.65

Graeson Underwood run for 11 yds to the MER 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Varney Layman run for 3 yds to the MER 42

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Hi'keem Elmore run for 3 yds to the MER 39

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.20

Varney Layman run for 4 yds to the MER 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Jay Graves-Billips run for a loss of 2 yards to the MER 37

2nd & 12Fumble Recovery (Own)+29 ydsPPA +1.70

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Tyler Cherry for 29 yds Graeson Underwood fumbled, recovered by CIT Jay Graves-Billips for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Graeson Underwood run for 2 yds to the MER 6

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Hi'keem Elmore run for 4 yds to the MER 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Hi'keem Elmore run for 2 yds for a TD (Colby Kintner KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

Colby Kintner kickoff for 59 yds , Brayden Smith return for 35 yds to the CIT 44

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Tyrell Coard run for a loss of 2 yards to the CIT 46

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Tyrell Coard run for 6 yds to the CIT 40

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.64

Tyrell Coard run for 7 yds to the CIT 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.40

Carter Peevy sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the CIT 42

2nd & 19Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Al Wooten II run for 8 yds to the CIT 34

3rd & 11Punt0 yds

Carter Peevy punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Elmore,Hi'Keem rush left (Hanson,Christian).

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Hi'keem Elmore run for 4 yds to the CIT 8

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Hi'keem Elmore run for 1 yd to the CIT 9

4th & 5Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Wooten II,Al rush middle (Pierce,KJ).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

pass incomplete to Ty James

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Carter Peevy pass complete to Sam Albee for 7 yds to the CIT 33

4th & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.83

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 7 yds to the CIT 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Carter Peevy pass complete to Parker Wroble for 2 yds to the CIT 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.44

Carter Peevy pass complete to Sam Albee for 12 yds to the CIT 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.42

Al Wooten II run for a loss of 2 yards to the CIT 14

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.95

Carter Peevy pass complete to Devron Harper for 14 yds for a TD (Reice Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Bryce Addison kickoff for 50 yds , Landon Owens return for 12 yds to the CIT 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Malachi Taylor for 9 yds to the CIT 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Carter Peevy pass complete to Devron Harper for 7 yds to the MER 34

2nd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Carter Peevy pass complete to Devron Harper for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Devron Harper run for a loss of 1 yard to the MER 49

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Al Wooten II run for 6 yds to the CIT 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.37

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 35 yds to the CIT 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Mercer Penalty, false start (Riley Adcock) to the CIT 15

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Al Wooten II run for 3 yds to the CIT 12

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Carter Peevy pass incomplete to Ty James, broken up by Dominick Poole

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

pass incomplete to Ty James

4th & 12Field Goal Good+29 yds

Reice Griffith 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Bryce Addison kickoff for 59 yds , Landon Owens return for 28 yds to the CIT 34

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Hi'keem Elmore run for 5 yds to the CIT 39

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Hi'keem Elmore run for 2 yds to the CIT 41

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

pass incomplete to Malachi Taylor

4th & 3Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Al Wooten II run for 3 yds to the MER 10

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Al Wooten II run for 8 yds to the MER 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Al Wooten II run for 5 yds to the MER 23

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Carter Peevy run for 4 yds to the MER 27

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Bell,Micah rush right (Black,Hasan).

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Reice Griffith punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

pass incomplete to Jay Graves-Billips

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.79

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Tyler Cherry for 9 yds to the CIT 38

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.06

Hi'keem Elmore run for 2 yds to the CIT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -2.12

Hayden Johnson run for a loss of 7 yards to the CIT 15 Hayden Johnson fumbled, recovered by MER Richie Coffey Johnson,Hayden rush left for loss of 7 yards to the CIT33, fumble by Johnson,Hayden recovered by MER Coffey,Richie, Coffey,Richie rush (Johnson,Hayden). Johnson,Hayden rush left for loss of 7 yards to the CIT33, fumble by Johnson,Hayden recovered by MER Coffey,Richie, Coffey,Richie rush (Johnson,Hayden).

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Brayden Smith run for 10 yds to the CIT 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.22

Wooten II,Al rush , TOUCHDOWN, PENALTY MER holding (Robinson,Demetri) 10 yards to the CIT-5. Mercer Penalty, Offensive holding (Demetri Robinson) to the CIT 15

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.83

Carter Peevy pass complete to Al Wooten II for 15 yds for a TD (Reice Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

The Citadel Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CIT 20

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

pass incomplete to Malachi Taylor

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

pass incomplete to Landon Owens

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

pass incomplete to Landon Owens

4th & 15Punt+2 yds

James Platte punt for 45 yds , Devron Harper returns for 2 yds to the MER 37

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Al Wooten II run for 4 yds to the MER 41

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Tyrell Coard run for 2 yds to the MER 43

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Carter Peevy pass incomplete to Ty James, broken up by Jamond DuBose

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Reice Griffith punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Johnny Crawford III run for 3 yds to the CIT 20

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Monroe,Ha'Keem rush left (Moore,TJ).

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

pass incomplete to Pat McSweeney

4th & 7Punt+1 yds

James Platte punt for 44 yds , Devron Harper returns for 1 yd to the MER 37

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Carter Peevy run for 5 yds to the MER 42

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Carter Peevy pass incomplete to Ty James, broken up by Bradlee Jones

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.21

Carter Peevy run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +3.84

Brayden Smith run for 50 yds for a TD (Reice Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Bryce Addison kickoff for 55 yds , Landon Owens return for 14 yds to the CIT 24

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Hi'keem Elmore run for 5 yds to the CIT 29

2nd & 5Pass Reception-15 ydsPPA -1.31

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Tyler Cherry The Citadel Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Tyler Cherry) to the CIT 15

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete, broken up by Arias Nash

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

pass incomplete to Romello Jones

4th & 19Punt+37 yds

James Platte punt for 55 yds , Devron Harper returns for 37 yds to the CIT 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.97

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 32 yds to the CIT 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.59

Peevy,Carter rush (), PENALTY MER false start 5 yards to the CIT-4. Mercer Penalty, false start (Devron Harper) to the CIT 6

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the CIT 4

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Peevy,Carter rush , TOUCHDOWN, PENALTY CIT substitution infraction (Walter,Carson). The Citadel Penalty, substitution infraction (Carson Walter) to the CIT 1

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Al Wooten II run for 4 yds for a TD (Reice Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Bryce Addison kickoff for 53 yds , Landon Owens return for 13 yds to the CIT 25

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Graeson Underwood run for 9 yds to the CIT 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Tyler Cherry for 4 yds to the CIT 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

pass incomplete to Jay Graves-Billips

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Graeson Underwood run for 4 yds to the CIT 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Tyler Cherry for 5 yds to the CIT 47

4th & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +3.01

Elijah Bass run for 15 yds to the MER 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete to Malachi Taylor, broken up by Dainsus Miller

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Landon Owens for 5 yds to the MER 33

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Graeson Underwood run for 9 yds to the MER 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Ha'Keem Monroe for 24 yds for a TD Mercer Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Devron Harper) to the MER 0

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Jack Weil kickoff for 14 yds , Ty James return for no gain to the CIT 49

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the CIT 47

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

pass incomplete to Sawyer Burt

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Al Wooten II run for 5 yds to the CIT 42

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Reice Griffith punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

pass incomplete to Tyler Cherry

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Hi'keem Elmore run for 3 yds to the CIT 4

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Malachi Taylor for 7 yds to the CIT 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Hayden Johnson for 5 yds to the CIT 16

2nd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.62

Graeson Underwood sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the CIT 10

3rd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA +0.31

Graeson Underwood pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Parker Wroble run for 2 yds to the CIT 42

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Mike McGowan run for 6 yds to the CIT 36

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.74

Mike McGowan run for 3 yds to the CIT 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Mike McGowan run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIT 34

2nd & 11Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.07

Hess Horne run for 13 yds to the CIT 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Mike McGowan run for 3 yds to the CIT 18

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Parker Wroble run for 4 yds to the CIT 14

Situational Analysis

Mercer

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
35%
20 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
71%
7 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

The Citadel

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
23 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
6 plays
27%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
83%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays