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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
VMI
3
-Final
38
Mercer
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mercer by 20.4

Home Win Probability

Mercer 85%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Mercer -20

Edge: Mercer -20 (0.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VMI
00303
Mercer
71414338

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-028-035-338-3
MercerVMI

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MERVMIMERVMIMERVMIMERVMIMERVMIMERVMIMERVMIVMIMERVMIMERVMIMERVMIMERVMIMERTD176ydPUNT515ydPUNT725ydPUNT622ydPUNT37ydPUNT511ydPUNT916ydTO722ydTD734ydTO416ydTD336ydDOWNS748ydEND1-1ydTD30ydFG523ydTD1158ydPUNT30ydPUNT32ydPUNT36ydFG984ydPUNT712ydPUNT35ydTO215ydEND934yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing VMI and Mercer
StatisticVMIMercer
Passing19-3311-17
Pass Yards172103
Rush Yards42298
Total Yards214401
Turnovers30
3rd Down3-156-13
Penalties3-404-55
Possession26:1733:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

VMI
passing
Collin Ironside
19/33, 172 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Rashad Raymond
6 CAR, 22 YDS
receiving
Chance Knox
5 REC, 54 YDS
Mercer
passing
Carter Peevy
11/17, 103 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Al Wooten II
12 CAR, 164 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Devron Harper
5 REC, 60 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+76 ydsPPA +6.15

Al Wooten II run for 76 yds for a TD (Reice Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Rashad Raymond run for 9 yds to the VMI 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Rashad Raymond run for 3 yds to the VMI 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Collin Ironside pass complete to Aidan Twombly for 2 yds to the VMI 39

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Rashad Raymond run for 1 yd to the VMI 40

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Collin Ironside run for no gain to the VMI 40

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 21 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Al Wooten II run for no gain to the MER 30

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.90

Carter Peevy run for 11 yds to the MER 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Al Wooten II run for 3 yds to the MER 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 2 yds to the MER 46

3rd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.59

Carter Peevy run for 15 yds to the VMI 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -2.10

Carter Peevy pass complete to Devron Harper for a loss of 6 yards to the VMI 45

2nd & 16Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.93

Carter Peevy pass complete to Al Wooten II for no gain to the VMI 45

3rd & 16Punt0 yds

Ian Garcia punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Hunter Rice run for 4 yds to the VMI 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Collin Ironside pass complete to Aidan Twombly for 5 yds to the VMI 29

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.06

Hunter Rice run for 5 yds to the VMI 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Collin Ironside pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Collin Ironside run for 4 yds to the VMI 38

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Hunter Rice run for 4 yds to the VMI 42

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Al Wooten II run for 6 yds to the MER 30

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Al Wooten II run for 1 yd to the MER 31

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ian Garcia punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Rashad Raymond run for 4 yds to the VMI 40

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.21

Collin Ironside run for 7 yds to the VMI 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Collin Ironside pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Collin Ironside pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Collin Ironside pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyrell Coard run for 5 yds to the MER 32

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

PEEVY, Carter pass to the right complete for 8 yards to ALBEE, Sam caught at the MER40 and advanced to the MER40 (ARTIS, Dahmon). PENALTY MER Holding on MAY, Andrew enforced 10 yards from the MER32 to the MER22 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Penalty-15 yds

Mercer Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the MER 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Tyrell Coard run for 8 yds to the MER 34

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Tyrell Coard run for 7 yds to the MER 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Carter Peevy run for 6 yds to the MER 47

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Tyrell Coard run for 4 yds to the VMI 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Tyrell Coard run for 1 yd to the VMI 48

2nd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.32

Carter Peevy sacked by Josh Knapp for a loss of 9 yards to the MER 43

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Ian Garcia punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ivan Thorpe at the VMI 20

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Collin Ironside run for a loss of 2 yards to the VMI 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Collin Ironside pass complete to VJ Johnson for 7 yds to the VMI 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.21

Collin Ironside pass complete to Chance Knox for 5 yds to the VMI 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

VMI Penalty, Face mask Face mask on ASHLEY, Jacob enforced (Yards) to the VMI 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Grant Swinehart run for 3 yds to the VMI 41

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Collin Ironside pass incomplete

3rd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -0.83

Collin Ironside pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Carter Peevy pass complete to Scooter Risper for 7 yds to the VMI 27

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Al Wooten II run for 8 yds to the VMI 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the VMI 17

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Carter Peevy run for 2 yds to the VMI 15

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Carter Peevy pass complete to Andrew May for 7 yds to the VMI 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Tyrell Coard run for 8 yds for a TD (Reice Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.49

Collin Ironside pass complete to VJ Johnson for 16 yds to the VMI 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Rashad Raymond run for no gain to the VMI 44

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Collin Ironside pass incomplete

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.59

Collin Ironside pass complete to Isaiah Lemmond for no gain Isaiah Lemmond fumbled, recovered by MER Richie Coffey

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Langston White run for no gain to the VMI 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Carter Peevy pass complete to Devron Harper for 3 yds to the VMI 33

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +4.05

Carter Peevy pass complete to Devron Harper for 33 yds for a TD (Reice Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.97

Collin Ironside pass complete to Hunter Rice for a loss of 4 yards to the VMI 20

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Collin Ironside pass complete to Egypt Nelson for 5 yds to the VMI 25

3rd & 9Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +4.12

Collin Ironside pass complete to Chance Knox for 40 yds to the MER 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

IRONSIDE, Collin pass up the middle complete for 15 yards to RICE, Hunter caught at the MER35 and advanced to the MER20 (WESTON, Myles). PENALTY VMI Pass Interference on NELSON, Egypt enforced 15 yards to the VMI50 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Collin Ironside run for 6 yds to the MER 44

2nd & 19Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Collin Ironside pass complete to Chance Knox for 1 yd to the MER 43

3rd & 18Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Collin Ironside pass complete to VJ Johnson for no gain to the MER 43

4th & 17Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA -0.29

Collin Ironside pass complete to Aidan Twombly for 14 yds to the MER 28

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

[NH] Kneel down by PEEVY, Carter at MER27 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Collin Ironside pass complete to Rashad Raymond for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 17

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Aidan Twombly run for 1 yd to the VMI 18

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Collin Ironside pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt Return Touchdown+73 ydsPPA -6.67

Devron Harper 73 Yd Punt Return (Reice Griffith Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.40

Collin Ironside pass complete to Isaiah Lemmond for 33 yds to the MER 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Hunter Rice run for no gain to the MER 19

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Collin Ironside pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-10 yds

IRONSIDE, Collin sacked for a loss of 2 yards at the MER21 (THOMAS, Marques). PENALTY VMI Holding on REID, Will enforced 10 yards from the MER19 to the MER29 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Collin Ironside pass incomplete

4th & 20Field Goal Good+46 yds

Caden Beck 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyrell Coard run for 4 yds to the MER 46

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the MER 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.00

Carter Peevy pass complete to Devron Harper for 8 yds to the VMI 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Al Wooten II run for 4 yds to the VMI 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.75

Carter Peevy run for 11 yds to the VMI 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyrell Coard run for 1 yd to the VMI 28

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Carter Peevy pass complete to Travion Solomon for 8 yds to the VMI 20

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.75

Carter Peevy run for 1 yd to the VMI 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Al Wooten II run for 19 yds for a TD (Reice Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Collin Ironside run for 1 yd to the VMI 39

2nd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.27

Collin Ironside sacked by Jordan Swain and Isaiah Washburn for a loss of 6 yards to the VMI 33

3rd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Rashad Raymond run for 5 yds to the VMI 38

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 57 yds

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Langston White run for a loss of 3 yards to the MER 18

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Langston White run for 6 yds to the MER 24

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ian Garcia punt for 31 yds, downed at the VMI 46

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.63

Collin Ironside sacked by Ken Standley for a loss of 9 yards to the VMI 37

2nd & 19Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.79

Collin Ironside pass complete to VJ Johnson for 15 yds to the MER 48

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Collin Ironside pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 38 yds, downed at the MER 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Al Wooten II run for 4 yds to the MER 14

2nd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.69

Carter Peevy pass complete to Devron Harper for 22 yds to the MER 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +2.45

Al Wooten II run for 39 yds to the VMI 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Langston White run for 9 yds to the VMI 16

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Langston White run for 1 yd to the VMI 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Langston White run for 2 yds to the VMI 13

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Langston White run for 5 yds to the VMI 8

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Langston White run for 2 yds to the VMI 6

4th & 1Field Goal Good+23 yds

Reice Griffith 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Collin Ironside pass complete to Chance Knox for 3 yds to the VMI 28

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Collin Ironside run for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 27

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Collin Ironside run for 5 yds to the VMI 32

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.93

Collin Ironside pass complete to Chance Knox for 5 yds to the VMI 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Collin Ironside pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Collin Ironside pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Collin Ironside pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Mike McGowan run for no gain to the MER 23

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Langston White run for 3 yds to the MER 26

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Mike McGowan run for 1 yd to the MER 27

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ian Garcia punt for 47 yds, downed at the VMI 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Collin Ironside pass complete to Ivan Thorpe for 17 yds to the VMI 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.55

Collin Ironside sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the VMI 40

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Micah Bell run for 6 yds to the VMI 34

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Micah Bell run for 7 yds to the VMI 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Micah Bell run for 3 yds to the VMI 24

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Micah Bell run for 7 yds to the VMI 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Micah Bell run for no gain to the VMI 17

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.46

Micah Bell run for 14 yds to the VMI 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

[NH] Kneel down by BELL, Micah at VMI4 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

[NH] Kneel down by BELL, Micah at VMI5 (team loss of 1).

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

[NH] Kneel down by BELL, Micah at VMI6 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

VMI

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
20%
20 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
0%
9 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Mercer

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
37%
27 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
45%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play